Stocks/CGON

CGON

CG Oncology, Inc. Common stock
Healthcare·Biotechnology
$62.29
$5.5B market cap
Revenue
$3.4M
Free Cash Flow
$-93.5M
Rev Growth
+0.0%
FCF Margin
-2745.1%
P/FCF
--
EV/FCF
--
Fwd EV/EBITDA
--
Fair Value
--
Upside
--

CG Oncology Inc is a clinical biopharmaceutical company focused on developing and commercializing a potential backbone bladder-sparing therapeutic for patients afflicted with bladder cancer. Their product candidate cretostimogene, is initially in clinical development for the treatment of patients with high-risk Non-Muscle Invasive Bladder Cancer who are unresponsive to Bacillus Calmette Guerin (BCG) therapy, the current standard-of-care for high-risk NMIBC.

2-Year Price History

$64.25+97.2%
$20$30$40$50$60$70volMay 24Sep 24Jan 25May 25Sep 25Jan 26May 26

Quarterly Financials & Projections

Quarterly Waterfall ($ M)
PeriodRevEBITDAOpInNIOCFFCFCapExCashDebtSharesROICIntCovEV/EBITDA
Act2026-Q11.1-65.6-66.4-60.2-56.9-57.3-0.31,0767.684.5-45.2%----
Act2025-Q42.3-40.5-48.7-41.3-36.2-36.2-0.0742.27.077.3-77.4%----

Valuation & Metrics

Market Stats

Price$62.29
Market Cap$5.5B
Enterprise Value$4.4B
P/S Ratio1613.5x
P/FCF--
EV/FCF--
FCF Margin (TTM)-2745.1%
FCF Yield-1.7%
Dividend Yield (TTM)--
Annual Dilution0.0%
CurrencyUSD

TTM Financial Snapshot

Revenue$3.4M
Net Income$-101.5M
Free Cash Flow$-93.5M

Revenue Growth (YoY)+0.0%
EBITDA Margin-3113.3%
Net Margin-2981.2%
FCF Margin-2745.1%
CapEx % of Revenue9.1%
SBC % of Revenue211.1%
ROIC-61.3%
WC Change % Rev58.9%
Interest Coverage--

Forward Outlook & Risk

Short Interest

Short % of Float--
Short Shares9.2M
Days to Cover10.1
Change (vs Prior)-3.3%
Need at least 2 settlement dates for chart

Employees

Headcount113
Revenue / Employee$30,133
Gross Profit / Employee$-21,867

Institutional Ownership

Headline & net flow

NEUTRAL
Net flow · still filing
No float data — flow unavailable.

Ownership composition

Active
82.5%(+58.0% YoY)
213 filers
hedge / family / endowment
Retail funds
Fidelity, Schwab, 401(k)
Passive
20.2%(+14.2% YoY)
12 filers
Vanguard, iShares, SPDR
Market makers
1.8%(+1.7% YoY)
8 filers
Citadel, Susquehanna
Insiders
Form 4 — latest per insider
0%25%50%75%100%2024-032024-092025-032025-092026-03
ActiveRetail fundsPassiveMarket makersRetail direct

Top holders

Fund$ valueCost basisΔ QoQΔ YoYα lifeFund AUM
RTW INVESTMENTS, LP$473M$58.30+$337M+$358M-2.2%$9.26B
T. Rowe Price Investment Management, Inc.$455M$64.13+$426M+$455M-1.3%$145.22B
Decheng Capital LLC$431M$41.75+$0+$0-6.3%$661M
WELLINGTON MANAGEMENT GROUP LLP$364M$37.21−$42.5M+$220M-0.3%$533.98B
BlackRock, Inc.Passive$343M$37.42+$15.0M+$48.0M-0.2%$5.69T
FMR LLC$255M$29.38−$36.1M+$82.6M-0.0%$1.89T
TCG Crossover Management, LLC$248M$43.56+$0+$0+4.9%$3.50B
PRICE T ROWE ASSOCIATES INC /MD/$247M$38.53+$14.2M+$179M-0.2%$864.93B
VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLCPassive$209M$67.68+$209M+$209M$1.91T
VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLCPassive$205M$67.68+$205M+$205M$4.04T
STATE STREET CORPPassive$179M$36.75−$23.7M+$46.0M-0.2%$2.89T
Foresite Capital Management VI LLC$150M$28.68+$0+$0+5.8%$460M
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLCPassive$108M$39.54+$5.8M+$21.5M+2.3%$1.61T
FRANKLIN RESOURCES INC$102M$38.30−$3.7M+$12.7M-0.2%$403.03B
BANK OF AMERICA CORP /DE/$98.1M$33.96+$17.6M+$75.0M-0.1%$1.36T
DV Trading LLCMM$97.4M$41.52+$0+$97.4M-2.7%$1.10B
UBS Group AG$88.8M$27.02−$41.4M−$26.6M-0.3%$562.11B
Avidity Partners Management LP$87.2M$39.02−$12.4M+$20.8M-8.4%$505M
GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC$78.5M$31.46−$11.2M+$26.5M-0.2%$760.93B
ACORN CAPITAL ADVISORS, LLC$76.6M$28.68−$68K−$68K+1.7%$352M
Cost basis is a volume-weighted estimate from accumulation periods within our 13F history; holders who built their position before our window started will show a stale basis. % above the cost basis is the unrealized gain at the current price.

Trading behavior

Smart-money alpha (lifetime, %/qtr)BULLISH
Holders
-0.18%
avg per quarter
Holders (ex-self)
-0.84%
excl. this stock
Buyers (this Q)
-1.11%
134 buyers · $2.15B in
Sellers (this Q)
-11.29%
71 sellers · $-0.30B out
alpha coverage: 92% of $ has a lifetime-alpha record
Holder behavior on this stocksource: stock
On big dips (−10%+)
+3.3%
how holders react when this stock falls
On quiet Qs
+10.7%
−10% to +10% baseline
On rallies (+10%+)
-0.5%
how they react when this stock rises
Holders' portfolio flow this Q
+0.2%
inflows — adds are organic
Sellers' portfolio flow this Q
-10.7%
Sellers shed AUM broadly — partly forced.
▸ Compare to holder-profile behavior (across all their stocks)
Holder dip (any stock)
-3.5%
Holder mid (any stock)
-3.5%
Holder rally (any stock)
-4.5%

Top Holders Over Time

5-year share-count history (top 10 holders by peak, incl. exited) + price

010.3M20.6M30.9M41.2M$24$35$46$57$682024-032024-092025-032025-092026-03
hover the chart for per-quarter detailprice (right axis)
RTW INVESTMENTS, LP7.0MT. Rowe Price Investment Management, Inc.6.7MDecheng Capital LLC6.4MWELLINGTON MANAGEMENT GROUP LLP5.4MFMR LLC3.8MTCG Crossover Management, LLC3.7MPRICE T ROWE ASSOCIATES INC /MD/3.7MForesite Capital Management VI LLC2.2MBRAIDWELL LP985KFRANKLIN RESOURCES INC1.5M

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Analyst Coverage

Analyst Coverage
Price Targets
Last Quarter (5 analysts)$82.403230.0%
Last Year (18 analysts)$76.502280.0%
Current Price$62.29
Analyst Ratings
10
Buy: 10Consensus: Buy

Corporate

Insider Trading (last 12mo)

Open-market only (Form 4 P-Purchase + S-Sale). Excludes grants, option exercises, tax withholding, gifts.
Officers & directors
Buys ($, 12mo)
$50.00M
1 txn · 1 insider · 1,515,151 sh
Sells ($, 12mo)
$7.49M
15 txns · 3 insiders · 207,414 sh
Recent transactions
DateSideInsiderTitleSharesPriceDollarsOwned $
2026-04-17SELLMulay Jamesdirector15,600$73.01$1.14M$0
2026-03-16SELLMulay Jamesdirector1,310$63.50$83K$0
2026-01-09SELLMulay Jamesdirector11,145$52.47$585K$0
2025-11-17SELLPOST LEONARD Edirector1,000$41.43$41K$0
2025-10-13SELLPOST LEONARD Edirector1,000$43.25$43K$0
2025-10-09SELLMulay Jamesdirector5,903$43.99$260K$0
2025-09-30SELLPOST LEONARD Edirector5,000$40.09$200K$0
2025-09-29SELLMulay Jamesdirector12,755$39.19$500K$0
2025-09-19SELLMulay Jamesdirector3,574$38.99$139K$0
2025-09-18SELLMulay Jamesdirector19,112$39.01$746K$0
2025-09-15SELLPOST LEONARD Edirector1,000$35.10$35K$0
2025-09-11BUYLiu Brian Guan-Chyundirector1,515,151$33.00$50.00M$50.00M
2025-09-05SELLMulay Jamesdirector27,015$31.53$852K$0
2025-09-03SELLPOST LEONARD Edirector1,000$28.00$28K$0
2025-09-03SELLSong Hong Fangdirector100,000$27.80$2.78M$80.72M
2025-07-17SELLPOST LEONARD Edirector2,000$28.00$56K$0

Order Flow (FINRA, ~3w lag)

14.9%retail-8.7pp
28.6%dark+4.8pp
week of 2026-04-13
10%20%30%40%24-1125-0225-0525-0825-1126-0226-04retail (non-ATS)dark (ATS)
Off-exchange volume from FINRA. Retail = non-ATS (wholesaler PFOF + broker internalization). Dark = ATS (dark-pool crossing networks, institutional). Lit-exchange = remainder.

Filing Risk Analysis

Filing Risk Scores

CG Oncology, Inc.: The High-Octane Dilution Machine

Overall Risk
6/10
Fraud
2/10
Dilution
9/10
Insolvency
3/10
Earnings Overstated
2/10
Hidden Liabilities
4/10
Legal
5/10
Audit Warnings
1/10
Hidden Upside
7/10
Contextually Acceptable
8/10