Stocks/CATX

CATX

Perspective Therapeutics, Inc.
Healthcare·Medical - Devices
$3.94
$304M market cap
Claude Rating
3/10SELL
Revenue
$0.6M
Free Cash Flow
$-105.0M
Rev Growth
-77.8%
FCF Margin
-18258.1%
P/FCF
--
EV/FCF
--
Fwd EV/EBITDA
--
Fair Value
$3.00
Upside
-23.9%

Perspective Therapeutics, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, develops, manufactures, sells, and markets isotope-based medical products and devices for the treatment of cancer and other malignant diseases in the United States and internationally. The company offers CS-1 Cesium-131 brachytherapy seeds for the treatment of prostate, brain, lung, head and neck, gynecological, pelvic/abdominal, and colorectal cancers. It sells its products to facilities or physician practices that utilize various

2-Year Price History

$3.98-71.2%
$2.0$4.0$6.0$8.0$10$12$14volMay 24Sep 24Jan 25May 25Sep 25Jan 26May 26

Quarterly Financials & Projections

Quarterly Waterfall ($ M)
PeriodRevEBITDAOpInNIOCFFCFCapExCashDebtSharesROICIntCovEV/EBITDA
Est2027-Q40.1-35.0---34.0---40.0-5.0-14.1----------
Est2027-Q30.1-34.0---33.0---39.0-5.025.9----------
Est2027-Q20.1-33.0---32.0---38.0-5.064.9----------
Est2027-Q10.1-32.0---31.0---37.0-5.0102.9----------
Est2026-Q40.1-30.0---29.0---35.0-5.0139.9----------
Est2026-Q30.1-29.0---28.0---34.0-5.5174.9----------
Est2026-Q20.1-27.0---26.0---32.0-5.5208.9----------
Est2026-Q10.1-25.0---24.0---30.0-5.0240.9----------
Act2026-Q10.1-27.2-28.3-26.2-31.5-38.3-6.9270.92.6103.6-40.9%-258.6x--
Act2025-Q40.0-37.2-39.8-37.5-24.7-29.7-5.1144.71.673.8-113.6%-581.4x--
Act2025-Q30.2-25.1-27.9-26.0-16.3-18.3-2.0174.13.374.3-63.0%-386.6x--
Act2025-Q20.3-21.2-24.0-21.5-20.0-18.6-4.8191.63.670.7-47.2%-177.7x--
Act2025-Q10.3-17.3-21.8-18.2-21.6-26.2-4.7211.73.872.4-38.6%-135.3x--
Act2024-Q40.0-41.6-45.0-40.2-26.6-41.2-14.6226.94.170.6-72.6%-570.1x--
Act2024-Q30.0-14.4-18.6-15.13.4-26.4-29.7267.94.370.6-26.8%-208.5x--
Act2024-Q20.0-10.7-14.3-11.7-8.9-9.9-1.0292.93.966.7-19.3%-464.4x--
Act2024-Q10.0-11.4-13.0-12.313.94.8-9.1180.72.949.5-28.0%-394.4x--
Act2023-Q40.3-8.6-7.8-24.7-9.0-9.1-0.19.22.654.9-100.3%-357.7x--
Act2023-Q31.9-9.8-10.5-10.4-10.1-10.3-0.218.03.354.9-74.8%-700.5x--
Act2023-Q21.5-11.1-11.4-11.1-8.1-8.6-0.628.32.654.9-67.2%-426.1x--
Act2023-Q11.8-10.7-11.2-0.4-9.7-9.9-0.236.52.154.9-38.1%-591.7x--
Act2022-Q41.8-3.1-3.2-2.2-2.9-3.0-0.143.80.454.9-83.9%-7.8x--
Act2022-Q31.7-4.2-4.2-3.9-1.8-1.9-0.154.10.554.9-109.2%-30.1x--
Act2022-Q22.5-2.1-2.1-2.0-2.9-3.0-0.155.90.554.9-43.4%----
Act2022-Q12.9-1.4-1.2-1.2-1.4-1.5-0.058.90.654.9-20.2%----

AI Analysis

LLM Evaluations

Claude3/10SELLFV: $3.00

CATX is a clinical-stage radiopharmaceutical company with zero meaningful revenue, escalating quarterly burns of $25-30M, a lead asset (VMT-α-NET) that has disappointed the market at multiple data readouts (ESMO -34%, ASCO-GI -5%), and a capital structure defined by perpetual dilution ($250M ATM facility, $164M Feb 2026 raise, 5% annual evergreen). While the 212Pb alpha therapy platform has scientific merit and the Lantheus relationship provides strategic validation, the stock trades at $329M market cap for a company that is 3+ years from potential commercial revenue, faces intense competition from Novartis/Actinium-225 players, and has a 20% short interest that reflects deep market skepticism. The risk/reward is poor at current levels given the dilution trajectory, clinical uncertainty, and Lantheus's effective call option that caps upside for minority holders.

Catalyst Positive Phase 2/3 pivotal data for VMT-α-NET could re-rate the stock significantly, or Lantheus exercising its exclusive option/acquiring the company would provide a premium exit. FDA breakthrough therapy designation would also be meaningful.
Risk The single biggest risk is a clinical failure or underwhelming efficacy data for VMT-α-NET, which would collapse the stock given zero commercial revenue, high burn rate, and no viable backup asset — potentially leading to a liquidity crisis and forced dilution at deeply distressed prices.
Trend
DETERIORATING
Mgmt
4/10
Quarter
4/10
Exp. Move
-5.0%

Valuation & Metrics

Market Stats

Price$3.94
Market Cap$304M
Enterprise Value$36M
P/S Ratio529.3x
P/FCF--
EV/FCF--
FCF Margin (TTM)-18258.1%
FCF Yield-34.5%
Dividend Yield (TTM)--
Annual Dilution43.2%
CurrencyUSD

TTM Financial Snapshot

Revenue$0.6M
Net Income$-111.1M
Free Cash Flow$-105.0M

Revenue Growth (YoY)-77.8%
EBITDA Margin-19241.6%
Net Margin-19327.5%
FCF Margin-18258.1%
CapEx % of Revenue3258.4%
SBC % of Revenue1559.3%
ROIC-66.2%
WC Change % Rev-1515.5%
Interest Coverage-313.4x

DCF Fair Value Estimate

$-1.79
-145.4% upside
Fair Enterprise Value$-1.9B
− Net Debt$-268M
= Fair Equity$-185M
Revenue Growth0.0% → 8.0%
FCF Margin-18258.1% → 25.0%
Discount Rate18.0%
Terminal EV/FCF25.0x

Forward Outlook & Risk

Short Interest

Short % of Float25.8%
Short Shares13.0M
Days to Cover8.4
Change (vs Prior)-4.9%
Short % Float History
25.80%+15.30pp
10.0%15.0%20.0%25.0%04-3007-1509-1511-1401-1504-30

Options

Call IV (ATM)95%
Put IV (ATM)68%
ATM Spread6.3%
Call $OI (near money)$328K
Put $OI (near money)$4K
ATM ExpiryJuly 17, 2026 (56D)
ATM Strike$5.0
Major Expirations3
Near-money chain · July 17, 2026
StrikeCall Bid/AskCall OIPut Bid/AskPut OI
$2.50$1.55/$1.90678--/$0.306
$5.00$0.15/$0.402,689$0.15/$2.107
$7.50$0.05/$0.251,327$1.10/$6.000
$10.00--/$0.10293$3.60/$8.500
Snapshot: 2026-05-22

Forward Projections & Estimates

NTM Revenue Growth-30.4%
Forward FCF Margin-32750.0%
Forward EBITDA Margin-27750.0%
Forward P/FCF--
Forward EV/FCF--
Forward Int. Coverage-555.0x
Model Risk Score10/10
Bankruptcy Odds18%
Est. Borrow Rate15.0%
Terminal EV/FCF25.0x
LT Growth15.0%
LT FCF Margin25.0%

Employees

Headcount138
Revenue / Employee$4,167
Gross Profit / Employee$-14,920
2024: 140 → 2025: 163 (16% CAGR)

Cash Runway

31.0months
WATCH

Institutional Ownership

Headline & net flow

NEUTRAL
Net flow · still filing
No float data — flow unavailable.

Ownership composition

Active
84.3%(+60.1% YoY)
121 filers
hedge / family / endowment
Retail funds
Fidelity, Schwab, 401(k)
Passive
15.6%(+8.7% YoY)
5 filers
Vanguard, iShares, SPDR
Market makers
0.3%(+0.2% YoY)
5 filers
Citadel, Susquehanna
Insiders
Form 4 — latest per insider
0%25%50%75%100%2024-062024-122025-062025-122026-03
ActiveRetail fundsPassiveMarket makersRetail direct

Top holders

Fund$ valueCost basisΔ QoQΔ YoYα lifeFund AUM
TCG Crossover Management, LLC$33.0M$4.17+$33.0M+$33.0M+4.6%$3.50B
Commodore Capital LP$26.4M$7.70+$12.5M+$26.4M+0.1%$1.73B
Avidity Partners Management LP$23.6M$6.82+$11.8M+$15.0M-7.9%$435M
BlackRock, Inc.Passive$22.3M$10.82+$3.3M+$5.7M-0.2%$5.69T
Opaleye Management Inc.$19.5M$3.81+$14.6M+$19.5M+0.9%$759M
MILLENNIUM MANAGEMENT LLC$16.9M$3.95+$11.0M+$16.4M-0.5%$127.40B
CITADEL ADVISORS LLC$14.9M$4.67+$13.7M+$12.8M-0.4%$138.22B
Affinity Asset Advisors, LLC$13.2M$4.27+$11.9M+$3.9M+1.4%$1.60B
STATE STREET CORPPassive$13.1M$8.07+$8.3M+$8.7M-0.2%$2.89T
BALYASNY ASSET MANAGEMENT LLC$12.5M$4.13+$11.9M+$12.5M-0.4%$48.01B
MORGAN STANLEY$12.4M$3.52−$6.2M+$5.9M-0.3%$1.65T
Spruce Street Capital LP$11.0M$4.17+$11.0M+$11.0M+53.5%$416M
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLCPassive$7.4M$8.07+$1.5M+$2.4M+2.3%$1.61T
Patient Square Capital LP$6.8M$3.33+$2.1M+$6.8M+3.1%$538M
Nicholson Wealth Management Group, LLC$6.8M$13.25+$4K+$40K-2.2%$171M
GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC$5.2M$6.02+$4.5M+$3.9M-0.2%$760.93B
Yu Fan$4.4M$4.17+$4.4M+$4.4M-18.0%$97.0M
TWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP$4.2M$2.97−$814K+$1.6M-0.7%$117.03B
Ally Bridge Group (NY) LLC$3.9M$6.51+$2.4M+$3.9M-4.5%$101M
Nuveen, LLC$3.8M$2.73−$1.5M−$1.4M+0.0%$368.63B
Cost basis is a volume-weighted estimate from accumulation periods within our 13F history; holders who built their position before our window started will show a stale basis. % above the cost basis is the unrealized gain at the current price.

Trading behavior

Smart-money alpha (lifetime, %/qtr)BULLISH
Holders
+2.11%
avg per quarter
Holders (ex-self)
+2.21%
excl. this stock
Buyers (this Q)
+4.22%
72 buyers · $0.18B in
Sellers (this Q)
+0.78%
36 sellers · $0.00B out
alpha coverage: 100% of $ has a lifetime-alpha record
Holder behavior on this stocksource: stock
On big dips (−10%+)
+1.3%
how holders react when this stock falls
On quiet Qs
-2.5%
−10% to +10% baseline
On rallies (+10%+)
+21.7%
how they react when this stock rises
Holders' portfolio flow this Q
+3.6%
inflows — adds are organic
Sellers' portfolio flow this Q
-51.9%
Sellers shed AUM broadly — partly forced.
▸ Compare to holder-profile behavior (across all their stocks)
Holder dip (any stock)
-3.9%
Holder mid (any stock)
-3.4%
Holder rally (any stock)
-8.6%

Top Holders Over Time

5-year share-count history (top 10 holders by peak, incl. exited) + price

06.9M13.9M20.8M27.7M$2.13$4.93$7.74$11$132024-062024-122025-062025-122026-03
hover the chart for per-quarter detailprice (right axis)
FMR LLC314KJANUS HENDERSON GROUP PLCCommodore Capital LP6.3MAvidity Partners Management LP6.0MDEERFIELD MANAGEMENT COMPANY, L.P. (SERIES C)TCG Crossover Management, LLC7.9MNicholson Wealth Management Group, LLC1.6MMARSHALL WACE, LLPOpaleye Management Inc.4.7MOctagon Capital Advisors LP792K

Related Stocks

Investors who own this also own

Stocks held by the same active managers as this one, ranked by score — how much more often these appear together than random chance (1× = baseline). Excludes index ETFs and market makers; minimum 3 shared holders.

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ALMSAlumis Inc. Common Stock4184.12×

Analyst Coverage

Analyst Coverage
Price Targets
Last Quarter (1 analysts)$12.0020460.0%
Last Year (5 analysts)$12.2020960.0%
Current Price$3.94

Corporate

Executive Compensation (2023-2025)

Direct Pay$5.8M
Incentive & Other$21.7M
Total Compensation$27.5M
% of Revenue590.6%

Insider Trading (last 12mo)

Open-market only (Form 4 P-Purchase + S-Sale). Excludes grants, option exercises, tax withholding, gifts.
Officers & directors
Buys ($, 12mo)
$42K
2 txns · 2 insiders · 20,498 sh
Sells ($, 12mo)
$0
0 txns · 0 insiders · 0 sh
Recent transactions
DateSideInsiderTitleSharesPriceDollarsOwned $
2025-11-13BUYHunt Jonathan Robertofficer: Chief Accounting Officer11,000$2.03$22K$121K
2025-11-12BUYWilliamson Robert F IIIdirector9,498$2.10$20K$21K

Order Flow (FINRA, ~3w lag)

18.6%retail-2.7pp
30.6%dark+2.3pp
week of 2026-04-13
10%20%30%40%50%60%24-1125-0225-0525-0825-1126-0226-04retail (non-ATS)dark (ATS)
Off-exchange volume from FINRA. Retail = non-ATS (wholesaler PFOF + broker internalization). Dark = ATS (dark-pool crossing networks, institutional). Lit-exchange = remainder.

Filing Risk Analysis

Filing Risk Scores

PERSPECTIVE THERAPEUTICS: Massive Shareholder Dilution and Strategic Partner Entrapment Under the Guise of Liquidity

Overall Risk
6/10
Fraud
2/10
Dilution
9/10
Insolvency
3/10
Earnings Overstated
4/10
Hidden Liabilities
5/10
Legal
3/10
Audit Warnings
2/10
Hidden Upside
6/10
Contextually Acceptable
7/10

Counter-Thesis

Counter-Thesis & Recent News

📰 Recent News

In March 2026, Perspective Therapeutics reported a significantly widened net loss of $103.1 million for the full year 2025, compared to $79.3 million in 2024. Despite reporting 'positive' clinical signals for its VMT-α-NET program at ASCO-GI 2026, the stock suffered a 5.17% decline on the news day, with some intraday troughs reaching -10.4%. Furthermore, the company executed a massive equity offering in February 2026, raising approximately $164 million, which, while extending the runway, significantly diluted existing shareholders.

🐻 Bear Case

The bear case centers on a 'treadmill of dilution' and underwhelming clinical translation. Despite aggressive R&D spending (up 102% YoY to $84.2M), the market has reacted poorly to interim data updates, notably a 34% plunge in late 2025 following ESMO results. Short interest has surged by nearly 40% as of late March 2026, now representing over 15% of the float. Skeptics argue the company’s lead asset, VMT-α-NET, lacks the 'knockout' efficacy needed to displace established radiopharmaceutical incumbents, especially given the rising cost of clinical operations.

🚩 Red Flags

Financial health metrics indicate weak business operations, evidenced by a low Piotroski F-Score of 3. Technically, the stock triggered a bearish signal on March 30, 2026, when its 10-day moving average crossed below the 50-day moving average (a 'death cross' variant). Additionally, grant revenue—a non-dilutive funding source—declined by 40% year-over-year in 2025, increasing reliance on public markets. At least one analyst downgrade was recorded in late March 2026 amidst these widening losses.

⚔️ Competitive Threats

Perspective operates in the increasingly crowded Targeted Alpha Therapy (TAT) space. It faces intense competition from deep-pocketed players and specialized biotechs utilizing Lutetium-177 and Actinium-225 isotopes. The company's focus on Lead-212 (212Pb) requires complex proprietary manufacturing and 'finishing' facilities; any supply chain hiccup or faster scaling by competitors with more established isotope logistics (like Novartis or Point Biopharma) could render CATX's infrastructure a stranded asset.

💬 Customer Sentiment

Investor sentiment is notably fragile; the market has repeatedly 'sold the news' on clinical updates that the company framed as milestones. While institutional 'Buy' ratings remain, the actual price action reflects a 'show me' attitude from the market. Trading volume spikes during price drops suggest that larger holders may be offloading positions into any liquidity provided by clinical PRs.