Stocks/SCYX

SCYX

SCYNEXIS, Inc.
Healthcare·Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic
$0.70
$36M market cap
Claude Rating
2/10SHORT
Revenue
$20.3M
Free Cash Flow
$-5.9M
Rev Growth
-100.0%
FCF Margin
-29.1%
P/FCF
--
EV/FCF
--
Fwd EV/EBITDA
--
Fair Value
$0.45
Upside
-35.7%

SCYNEXIS, Inc., a biotechnology company, develops products for the treatment fungal infections in the United States. It offers BREXAFEMME (ibrexafungerp tablets) for the treatment of vulvovaginal candidiasis (VVC). The company is developing its lead product candidate, Ibrexafungerp, as a novel oral and intravenous drug for the treatment of various fungal infections, including recurrent VVC, invasive aspergillosis, invasive candidiasis, and refractory invasive fungal infections; and ibrexafungerp

2-Year Price History

$0.73-69.8%
$1.0$1.5$2.0volMay 24Sep 24Jan 25May 25Sep 25Jan 26May 26

Quarterly Financials & Projections

Quarterly Waterfall ($ M)
PeriodRevEBITDAOpInNIOCFFCFCapExCashDebtSharesROICIntCovEV/EBITDA
Est2027-Q45.5-4.7---3.9---5.5-0.03.3----------
Est2027-Q34.5-5.4---4.3---6.3-0.08.8----------
Est2027-Q24.0-5.6---4.4---6.4-0.015.1----------
Est2027-Q13.0-6.0---5.1---6.9-0.021.5----------
Est2026-Q43.5-6.0---4.9---7.0-0.028.4----------
Est2026-Q32.5-6.5---5.5---7.5-0.035.4----------
Est2026-Q22.0-7.0---6.0---8.0-0.042.9----------
Est2026-Q11.2-7.8---6.6---8.4-0.050.9----------
Act2026-Q10.0-16.9-16.9-21.3-8.1-8.1-0.059.32.151.0-114.9%----
Act2025-Q418.712.310.512.318.418.4-0.040.12.243.561.8%--0.1x
Act2025-Q30.3-0.2-8.4-8.6-8.7-8.7-0.038.02.349.9-59.9%----
Act2025-Q21.42.7-9.6-6.9-7.5-7.5-0.044.82.449.8-58.6%----
Act2025-Q10.33.4-8.6-5.4-7.5-7.5-0.040.62.549.4-47.5%7.0x--
Act2024-Q41.0-3.7-8.1-4.4-9.9-9.9-0.059.316.338.0-35.0%-5.5x--
Act2024-Q30.7-3.0-10.3-2.80.80.8-0.068.815.948.6-41.2%-4.6x--
Act2024-Q20.7-14.3-9.2-14.5-10.9-10.9-0.073.015.548.5-37.3%-23.1x--
Act2024-Q11.41.2-9.50.4-4.00.0-4.080.615.248.6-33.4%1.9x0.2x
Act2023-Q45.8-18.7-23.1-19.6-7.7-7.7-0.074.415.147.9-80.8%-31.2x0.3x
Act2023-Q31.8-1.0-10.1-1.812.412.4-0.088.514.847.9-30.0%-1.8x0.9x
Act2023-Q2131.5125.7116.5122.374.474.4-0.086.014.749.9338.5%38.7x2.0x
Act2023-Q11.1-32.3-10.7-33.9-18.9-18.9-0.054.849.247.8-86.9%-22.3x--
Act2022-Q41.5-12.7-22.5-14.4-22.8-22.8-0.073.548.632.7-185.0%-6.6x--
Act2022-Q31.6-28.1-21.8-29.6-22.5-22.5-0.096.148.547.5-179.9%-15.8x--
Act2022-Q21.3-11.5-21.7-13.4-18.60.0-18.6118.748.543.3-128.8%-7.0x--
Act2022-Q10.7-8.9-19.7-5.5-16.0-16.0-0.095.247.933.2-99.3%-6.2x--

AI Analysis

LLM Evaluations

Claude2/10SHORTFV: $0.45

SCYNEXIS is a deeply distressed micro-cap biotech with a single commercially challenged product (BREXAFEMME) that was recalled and faces steep competition from generic fluconazole. The company's survival depends entirely on the GSK partnership for relaunch, yet GSK already tried to terminate a key study. Cash burn is extreme relative to revenue, dilution is relentless (85% of current float reserved for issuance), Nasdaq delisting is imminent without a reverse split, and class action litigation adds further risk. The early-stage SCY-247 pipeline is years from value creation. Even in an optimistic scenario, massive dilution from the 35.9M share overhang and ongoing capital raises makes equity nearly worthless on a per-share basis. This is a capital destruction machine for common shareholders.

Catalyst A successful BREXAFEMME relaunch by GSK with meaningful prescription volume growth could theoretically stabilize the business, as could positive SCY-247 clinical data. However, both are low-probability near-term events.
Risk Another capital raise at distressed terms or GSK partnership deterioration leading to complete loss of commercial revenue, triggering insolvency or penny-stock death spiral.
Trend
DETERIORATING
Mgmt
3/10
Quarter
6/10
Exp. Move
-5.0%

Valuation & Metrics

Market Stats

Price$0.70
Market Cap$36M
Enterprise Value$-22M
P/S Ratio1.8x
P/FCF--
EV/FCF--
FCF Margin (TTM)-29.1%
FCF Yield-16.7%
Dividend Yield (TTM)--
Annual Dilution3.1%
CurrencyUSD

TTM Financial Snapshot

Revenue$20.3M
Net Income$-24.5M
Free Cash Flow$-5.9M

Revenue Growth (YoY)-100.0%
EBITDA Margin-10.8%
Net Margin-120.5%
FCF Margin-29.1%
CapEx % of Revenue0.0%
SBC % of Revenue10.0%
ROIC-42.9%
WC Change % Rev54.5%
Interest Coverage--

DCF Fair Value Estimate

$-0.57
-180.7% upside
Fair Enterprise Value$-290M
− Net Debt$-57M
= Fair Equity$-29M
Revenue Growth30.0% → 2.0%
FCF Margin-29.1% → 5.0%
Discount Rate17.0%
Terminal EV/FCF6.0x

Forward Outlook & Risk

Short Interest

Short % of Float4.3%
Short Shares2.1M
Days to Cover5.5
Change (vs Prior)+79.6%
Short % Float History
4.30%+3.00pp
1.0%2.0%3.0%4.0%04-3007-1509-1511-1401-1504-30

Options

Call IV (ATM)--
Put IV (ATM)--
ATM Spread--
Call $OI (near money)$16K
Put $OI (near money)$2K
ATM ExpiryJuly 17, 2026 (56D)
ATM Strike$2.5
Major Expirations3
Near-money chain · July 17, 2026
StrikeCall Bid/AskCall OIPut Bid/AskPut OI
$2.50--/$0.050--/$2.500
$5.00--/$0.050$2.00/$5.000
$7.50--/$0.050$4.50/$7.500
Snapshot: 2026-05-22

Forward Projections & Estimates

NTM Revenue Growth-54.8%
Forward FCF Margin-335.9%
Forward EBITDA Margin-296.2%
Forward P/FCF--
Forward EV/FCF--
Forward Int. Coverage-111.0x
Model Risk Score9/10
Bankruptcy Odds35%
Est. Borrow Rate18.0%
Terminal EV/FCF6.0x
LT Growth2.0%
LT FCF Margin5.0%

Employees

Headcount28
Revenue / Employee$726,571
Gross Profit / Employee$726,571
2022: 36 → 2023: 29 → 2024: 28 → 2025: 18 (-21% CAGR)

Institutional Ownership

Headline & net flow

NET BUYING

In Q1 2026 so far (quarter still filing), institutions are net buyers — bought 32.5% of float, sold 4.5%. 7 filers moved >1% of shares (6 buying, 1 selling).

Net flow · Q1 2026still filing
+28.0% of float (net)
Bought 32.5% · Sold 4.5%
39 filers reported (last quarter: 36)

Ownership composition

Active
68.2%(+45.0% YoY)
34 filers
hedge / family / endowment
Retail funds
Fidelity, Schwab, 401(k)
Passive
2.6%(-4.6% YoY)
4 filers
Vanguard, iShares, SPDR
Market makers
0.2%(+0.1% YoY)
3 filers
Citadel, Susquehanna
Insiders
5.3%
Form 4 — latest per insider
0%25%50%75%100%2022-062023-032023-122024-092025-062026-03
ActiveRetail fundsPassiveMarket makersRetail direct

Top holders

Fund$ valueCost basisΔ QoQΔ YoYα lifeFund AUM
Squadron Capital Management LLC$7.0M$0.92+$7.0M+$7.0M+17.3%$250M
GREAT POINT PARTNERS LLC$6.9M$0.92+$6.9M+$6.9M-4.5%$408M
Avidity Partners Management LP$1.9M$1.42+$0+$793K-8.0%$435M
HEIGHTS CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, INC$1.9M$0.92+$1.9M+$1.9M-2.5%$357M
KINGDON CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.L.C.$1.8M$2.33−$233K−$233K-2.3%$597M
Empery Asset Management, LP$1.7M$0.92+$1.7M+$1.7M$83.0M
DAFNA Capital Management LLC$997K$1.16+$856K+$997K-5.3%$434M
ACADIAN ASSET MANAGEMENT LLC$670K$1.65+$136K+$264K-0.5%$70.48B
MILLENNIUM MANAGEMENT LLC$570K$1.15+$547K+$570K-0.5%$127.40B
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLCPassive$446K$2.08+$34K+$61K+2.3%$1.61T
BlackRock, Inc.Passive$305K$1.49−$2K−$83K-0.2%$5.69T
RENAISSANCE TECHNOLOGIES LLC$206K$2.10+$45K+$61K+1.2%$63.91B
Yakira Capital Management, Inc.$173K$2.51−$1K−$1K-6.1%$342M
CITADEL ADVISORS LLC$120K$1.60+$25K+$54K-0.4%$138.22B
BRIDGEWAY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC$114K$1.83−$36K−$210K-2.3%$4.93B
Empowered Funds, LLC$113K$1.87+$0+$15K+0.3%$15.64B
STATE STREET CORPPassive$111K$2.61+$0+$0-0.2%$2.89T
NORTHERN TRUST CORPPassive$88K$1.57+$18K−$39K-0.2%$755.34B
WEALTH EFFECTS LLC$80K$2.23−$4K−$2K-1.0%$282M
GSA CAPITAL PARTNERS LLP$80K$1.04−$67K+$80K-5.9%$1.61B
Cost basis is a volume-weighted estimate from accumulation periods within our 13F history; holders who built their position before our window started will show a stale basis. % above the cost basis is the unrealized gain at the current price.

Trading behavior

Smart-money alpha (lifetime, %/qtr)BULLISH
Holders
+1.27%
avg per quarter
Holders (ex-self)
+2.49%
excl. this stock
Buyers (this Q)
+3.10%
14 buyers · $0.02B in
Sellers (this Q)
-3.11%
15 sellers · $-0.00B out
alpha coverage: 100% of $ has a lifetime-alpha record
Holder behavior on this stocksource: stock
On big dips (−10%+)
-2.4%
how holders react when this stock falls
On quiet Qs
-6.9%
−10% to +10% baseline
On rallies (+10%+)
-3.0%
how they react when this stock rises
Holders' portfolio flow this Q
+7.5%
inflows — adds are organic
Sellers' portfolio flow this Q
-7.0%
Sellers shed AUM broadly — partly forced.
▸ Compare to holder-profile behavior (across all their stocks)
Holder dip (any stock)
-17.5%
Holder mid (any stock)
-5.9%
Holder rally (any stock)
-2.7%

Top Holders Over Time

5-year share-count history (top 10 holders by peak, incl. exited) + price

04.8M9.6M14.4M19.2M$0.63$1.45$2.27$3.09$3.912021-062022-062023-062024-062025-062026-03
hover the chart for per-quarter detailprice (right axis)
FEDERATED HERMES, INC.Avidity Partners Management LP2.1MAIGH Capital Management LLCCAXTON CORPSquadron Capital Management LLC7.6MGREAT POINT PARTNERS LLC7.6MStonepine Capital Management, LLCKINGDON CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.L.C.2.0MWorth Venture Partners, LLCTWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP

Corporate

Executive Compensation (2023-2025)

Direct Pay$11.0M
Incentive & Other$6.6M
Total Compensation$17.6M
% of Revenue10.8%

Insider Trading (last 12mo)

Open-market only (Form 4 P-Purchase + S-Sale). Excludes grants, option exercises, tax withholding, gifts.
Officers & directors
Buys ($, 12mo)
$130K
1 txn · 1 insider · 217,390 sh
Sells ($, 12mo)
$0
0 txns · 0 insiders · 0 sh
Recent transactions
DateSideInsiderTitleSharesPriceDollarsOwned $
2026-04-01BUYAngulo Gonzalez Daviddirector, officer: Chief Executive Officer217,390$0.60$130K$814K

Order Flow (FINRA, ~3w lag)

49.4%retail-12.9pp
13.6%dark+4.0pp
week of 2026-04-13
0%20%40%60%80%24-1125-0225-0525-0825-1126-0226-04retail (non-ATS)dark (ATS)
Off-exchange volume from FINRA. Retail = non-ATS (wholesaler PFOF + broker internalization). Dark = ATS (dark-pool crossing networks, institutional). Lit-exchange = remainder.

Revenue Breakdown

Revenue Segments

By Product (2025-Q4)
License and Service$17.2M+457%

Filing Risk Analysis

Filing Risk Scores

SCYNEXIS, Inc.: Massive Dilutive Private Placement and Share Authorization Failures Signal Desperation

Overall Risk
8/10
Fraud
3/10
Dilution
10/10
Insolvency
7/10
Earnings Overstated
2/10
Hidden Liabilities
6/10
Legal
5/10
Audit Warnings
5/10
Hidden Upside
4/10
Contextually Acceptable
3/10

Counter-Thesis

Counter-Thesis & Recent News

📰 Recent News

On March 31, 2026, SCYNEXIS announced a dilutive $40 million private placement of common stock and warrants, which, while extending the cash runway, significantly increased the share count and potential overhang. Additionally, in late 2025, the company resolved a dispute with GSK regarding the Phase 3 MARIO study, resulting in the study's termination and the loss of future milestone payments for that specific indication. The company is currently operating under a Nasdaq extension to regain compliance with the $1.00 minimum bid price rule, with a deadline of June 15, 2026.

🐻 Bear Case

The bear case centers on massive shareholder dilution and a high-risk reliance on a single partner (GSK) for the relaunch of BREXAFEMME in 2026. Analysts have recently revised revenue estimates for the next quarter downward by 100%, indicating zero confidence in near-term commercial sales. Furthermore, the termination of the MARIO study narrows the drug's potential market applications, leaving the company heavily dependent on its early-stage pipeline (SCY-247) which is years from generating revenue. The threat of a reverse stock split to maintain Nasdaq listing remains a looming negative catalyst.

🚩 Red Flags

A major red flag is the ongoing class action litigation led by firms like the Rosen Law Firm, alleging that SCYNEXIS made misleading statements regarding manufacturing contamination risks (cross-contamination with non-antibacterial beta-lactam). This history of manufacturing failures previously led to a total product recall. Additionally, short interest recently increased by 5.64% (April 2026), and technical indicators suggest a 'Strong Sell' trend due to a consistent decline in price over the last six months despite 'positive' press releases.

⚔️ Competitive Threats

BREXAFEMME faces a 'de facto access gap' due to its high wholesale acquisition cost compared to generic Fluconazole, which dominates the market. Retail pharmacies currently have little incentive to stock the drug due to low prescription volume. Furthermore, the antifungal space is seeing increased competition from generic incumbents and larger pharmaceutical players, making it difficult for a single-source, high-cost branded drug to gain traction in community settings.

💬 Customer Sentiment

Sentiment among providers and prescribers is strained due to limited drug availability. Reports from early 2026 indicate that while the drug is technically manufactured, it is frequently absent from community pharmacies, forcing patients to navigate specialty pharmacy hurdles or insurance prior-authorizations. This creates significant friction and effectively discourages repeat prescribing.