Stocks/KLRS

KLRS

Kalaris Therapeutics Inc
Healthcare·Biotechnology
$5.27
$99M market cap
Claude Rating
2/10SHORT
Revenue
$0.0M
Free Cash Flow
$-49.1M
Rev Growth
+0.0%
FCF Margin
0.0%
P/FCF
--
EV/FCF
--
Fwd EV/EBITDA
--
Fair Value
$2.50
Upside
-52.6%

Kalaris Therapeutics Inc operates as a pharmaceutical company. The Company specializes in the development of novel cell therapies with a focus on restoring natural immunity against life-threatening virus-associated diseases in patients with severely weakened immune systems.

2-Year Price History

$5.12-46.9%
$4.0$6.0$8.0$10volMar 25May 25Aug 25Oct 25Dec 25Feb 26May 26

Quarterly Financials & Projections

Quarterly Waterfall ($ M)
PeriodRevEBITDAOpInNIOCFFCFCapExCashDebtSharesROICIntCovEV/EBITDA
Est2027-Q40.00.0--0.0--0.0-0.097.2----------
Est2027-Q30.00.0--0.0--0.0-0.097.2----------
Est2027-Q20.00.0--0.0--0.0-0.097.2----------
Est2027-Q10.00.0--0.0--0.0-0.097.2----------
Est2026-Q40.00.0--0.0--0.0-0.097.2----------
Est2026-Q30.00.0--0.0--0.0-0.097.2----------
Est2026-Q20.00.0--0.0--0.0-0.097.2----------
Est2026-Q10.00.0--0.0--0.0-0.097.2----------
Act2026-Q10.0-11.8-11.8-10.9-13.4-13.4-0.097.21.423.7-31.5%----
Act2025-Q40.0-10.8-10.8-10.0-9.3-9.3-0.0118.01.522.9-26.5%----
Act2025-Q30.0-11.9-12.7-11.9-11.3-11.5-0.277.01.518.7-39.7%----
Act2025-Q20.0-11.4-12.3-11.4-14.9-14.9-0.088.40.018.7-35.0%----
Act2025-Q10.0-8.8-10.4-10.2-7.4-7.4-0.0101.00.04.1-27.0%-6.1x--
Act2024-Q30.0-37.3-37.9-38.1-4.3-4.3-0.01.99.35.0<-999%-45.7x--
Act2024-Q20.0-5.2-4.2-5.7-4.0-4.0-0.0129.69.05.0-9.8%-10.3x--
Act2024-Q10.0-3.3-2.6-3.4-4.5-4.5-0.0140.518.35.0-5.6%-42.7x--
Act2023-Q40.0-3.4-3.5-3.5-4.1-4.1-0.03.20.05.0---88.0x--
Act2023-Q30.0-40.6-47.0-44.3-34.5-34.5-0.0213.332.95.0-204.6%----
Act2023-Q20.0-45.3-47.3-45.3-27.1-27.1-0.0246.531.54.1-150.6%----
Act2023-Q10.0-40.6-43.2-41.2-32.1-32.1-0.0202.633.84.1-185.4%----
Act2022-Q40.0-37.5-40.4-38.1-31.6-31.6-0.0233.835.44.1-125.8%----
Act2022-Q30.0-41.9-43.0-42.1-35.1-35.1-0.0264.121.73.7-119.2%----
Act2022-Q20.0-44.1-44.6-44.6-28.9-28.9-0.0172.722.52.8-354.9%----
Act2022-Q10.0-43.0-43.2-43.9-46.5-46.5-0.0201.423.12.8-202.3%----
Historical Valuation

Multiples vs the company's own history — cheap or rich relative to itself? Historical fiscal years, then TTM, then forward projections (E). Forward rows hold today's price against projected earnings, so the multiple compresses if the company grows into it.

YearPriceRev GrEBITDA %EBITDAEV/EBITDAEV/FCFP/EP/S
2022-166
2023-130
20258.44-43n/m
TTM5.27-460.0×0.0×0.0×
2026E5.270
2027E5.270

EBITDA in reporting-currency $M. Historical multiples use year-end market cap (split-adjusted price history); TTM & forward years use today's.

AI Analysis

LLM Evaluations

Claude2/10SHORTFV: $2.50

Kalaris Therapeutics is a deeply distressed pre-revenue biotech whose sole clinical asset TH103 has suffered a critical safety setback with recurrent intraocular inflammation that may be intrinsic to the molecule rather than a manufacturing artifact. The trial pause, delayed readout to H1 2027, and $100M equity filing signal a company entering survival mode. Even if the IOI issue is resolved, TH103 faces an extremely competitive anti-VEGF market dominated by Eylea HD and Vabysmo with established safety profiles. Historical dilution of 360% annually, 22.6% short interest, and share count expansion from 4M to 23M shares in two years reflect capital destruction. With $118M cash against ~$12-15M quarterly burn, the company has roughly 2 years of runway but will need to raise capital on increasingly punitive terms. DCF is inapplicable - this is a binary clinical outcome bet with deteriorating probability of success and massive dilution headwinds. The risk/reward is heavily skewed to the downside.

Catalyst Potential positive catalyst would be resolution of the IOI issue and resumption of dosing with clean safety data, or a partnership/acquisition by a larger pharma company seeking anti-VEGF pipeline assets. However, these are low-probability events given the current clinical profile.
Risk The IOI may be inherent to TH103's molecular design rather than a manufacturing issue, rendering the entire program non-viable and leaving the company with no viable pipeline - essentially a cash shell facing liquidation or a desperate pivot.
Trend
DETERIORATING
Mgmt
3/10
Quarter
2/10
Exp. Move
-15.0%

Valuation & Metrics

Market Stats

Price$5.27
Market Cap$99M
Enterprise Value$3M
P/S Ratio0.0x
P/FCF--
EV/FCF--
FCF Margin (TTM)0.0%
FCF Yield-49.8%
Dividend Yield (TTM)--
Annual Dilution485.3%
CurrencyUSD

TTM Financial Snapshot

Revenue$0.0M
Net Income$-44.1M
Free Cash Flow$-49.1M

Revenue Growth (YoY)+0.0%
EBITDA Margin0.0%
Net Margin0.0%
FCF Margin0.0%
CapEx % of Revenue0.0%
SBC % of Revenue0.0%
ROIC-33.2%
WC Change % Rev0.0%
Interest Coverage--

DCF Fair Value Estimate

$4.04
-23.4% upside
Fair Enterprise Value$0M
− Net Debt$-96M
= Fair Equity$96M
Revenue Growth0.0% → 1.0%
FCF Margin0.0% → 0.0%
Discount Rate18.0%
Terminal EV/FCF6.0x

Forward Outlook & Risk

Short Interest

Short % of Float20.0%
Short Shares0.8M
Days to Cover8.9
Change (vs Prior)-4.4%
Short % Float History
20.00%+18.70pp
0.0%5.0%10.0%15.0%20.0%25.0%04-3007-1509-1511-1401-1504-30

Forward Projections & Estimates

NTM Revenue Growth+0.0%
Forward FCF Margin0.0%
Forward EBITDA Margin0.0%
Forward P/FCF--
Forward EV/FCF--
Forward Int. Coverage--
Model Risk Score10/10
Bankruptcy Odds20%
Est. Borrow Rate100.0%
Terminal EV/FCF0.0x
LT Growth0.0%
LT FCF Margin0.0%

Employees

Headcount14
Revenue / Employee$0
Gross Profit / Employee$-1,429

Cash Runway

23.8months
WATCH

Institutional Ownership

Headline & net flow

NET BUYING

In Q1 2026 so far (quarter still filing), institutions are net buyers — bought 21.8% of float, sold 6.0%. 1 filer moved >1% of shares (1 buying, 0 selling).

Net flow · Q1 2026still filing
+15.8% of float (net)
Bought 21.8% · Sold 6.0%
57 filers reported (last quarter: 51)

Ownership composition

Active
109.1%(-5.9% YoY)
49 filers
hedge / family / endowment
Retail funds
Fidelity, Schwab, 401(k)
Passive
2.8%(+1.2% YoY)
7 filers
Vanguard, iShares, SPDR
Market makers
0.3%(+0.2% YoY)
2 filers
Citadel, Susquehanna
Insiders
3.4%
Form 4 — latest per insider
0%25%50%75%100%2025-032025-062025-092025-122026-03
ActiveRetail fundsPassiveMarket makersRetail direct

Top holders

Fund$ valueCost basisΔ QoQΔ YoYα lifeFund AUM
Samsara BioCapital, LLC$74.7M$8.08+$0+$8.7M-3.1%$1.03B
RTW INVESTMENTS, LP$7.5M$8.44+$0+$7.5M-2.2%$9.26B
Paradigm Biocapital Advisors LP$4.0M$8.44+$0+$4.0M+2.0%$4.69B
Alyeska Investment Group, L.P.$3.3M$7.65+$976K+$3.3M-0.5%$35.33B
Siren, L.L.C.$2.5M$7.96+$0+$884K+6.2%$3.61B
Ikarian Capital, LLC$2.1M$8.44+$0+$2.1M-8.8%$698M
Propel Bio Management, LLC$1.7M$6.15+$1.5M+$1.7M-2.9%$159M
VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLCPassive$1.5M$5.77+$1.5M+$1.5M$4.04T
Kalehua Capital Management LLC$782K$8.44−$25K+$782K-6.9%$141M
RAYMOND JAMES FINANCIAL INC$686K$7.63+$176K+$686K-0.0%$322.69B
GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC$638K$6.06+$440K+$638K-0.2%$760.93B
ADAR1 Capital Management, LLC$577K$8.44+$0+$577K+8.3%$1.64B
Woodline Partners LP$577K$5.98+$0+$453K-0.1%$26.43B
WHI TRUST Co LLC$563K$8.44+$0+$563K-1.0%$133M
BOOTHBAY FUND MANAGEMENT, LLC$532K$8.44+$0+$532K-0.4%$4.25B
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLCPassive$505K$7.00+$28K+$351K+2.3%$1.61T
Simplify Asset Management Inc.$504K$6.38+$389K+$504K-1.4%$6.44B
MARSHALL WACE, LLP$392K$8.36−$29K+$310K+0.6%$92.71B
RENAISSANCE TECHNOLOGIES LLC$382K$4.03−$125K+$271K+1.2%$63.91B
MILLENNIUM MANAGEMENT LLC$344K$4.88+$200K+$248K-0.5%$127.40B
Cost basis is a volume-weighted estimate from accumulation periods within our 13F history; holders who built their position before our window started will show a stale basis. % above the cost basis is the unrealized gain at the current price.

Trading behavior

Smart-money alpha (lifetime, %/qtr)NEUTRAL
Holders
-3.01%
avg per quarter
Holders (ex-self)
-2.46%
excl. this stock
Buyers (this Q)
-2.02%
20 buyers · $0.00B in
Sellers (this Q)
-2.25%
9 sellers · $0.00B out
alpha coverage: 98% of $ has a lifetime-alpha record
Holder behavior on this stocksource: stock
On big dips (−10%+)
+29.6%
how holders react when this stock falls
On quiet Qs
+23.7%
−10% to +10% baseline
On rallies (+10%+)
-27.4%
how they react when this stock rises
Holders' portfolio flow this Q
+9.5%
inflows — adds are organic
Sellers' portfolio flow this Q
+12.0%
Sellers grew AUM elsewhere — opinionated cut of this stock.
▸ Compare to holder-profile behavior (across all their stocks)
Holder dip (any stock)
-0.9%
Holder mid (any stock)
-2.2%
Holder rally (any stock)
-5.1%

Top Holders Over Time

5-year share-count history (top 10 holders by peak, incl. exited) + price

04.2M8.3M12.5M16.6M$2.67$4.11$5.55$7.00$8.442025-032025-062025-092025-122026-03
hover the chart for per-quarter detailprice (right axis)
Samsara BioCapital, LLC12.9MRTW INVESTMENTS, LP1.3MParadigm Biocapital Advisors LP700KGILEAD SCIENCES, INC.Octagon Capital Advisors LPSiren, L.L.C.436KAlyeska Investment Group, L.P.573KIkarian Capital, LLC360KTANG CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLCPropel Bio Management, LLC296K

Analyst Coverage

Analyst Coverage
Price Targets
Last Quarter (3 analysts)$18.0024160.0%
Last Year (5 analysts)$15.2018840.0%
Current Price$5.27
Analyst Ratings
1
Buy: 1Consensus: Buy
Consensus Estimates
QuarterRevenueEBITDANet IncEPSEPS Range# Analysts
2025 Q30M0M-11M$-0.61$-0.66 – $-0.574
2025 Q40M0M-13M$-0.59$-0.76 – $-0.185
2026 Q10M0M-12M$-0.52$-0.61 – $-0.435
2026 Q20M0M-11M$-0.47$-0.50 – $-0.356
2026 Q30M0M-12M$-0.49$-0.55 – $-0.376
2026 Q40M0M-12M$-0.53$-0.53 – $-0.534
2027 Q10M0M-13M$-0.53$-0.53 – $-0.532
2027 Q20M0M-9M$-0.38$-0.38 – $-0.382
2027 Q30M0M-9M$-0.40$-0.40 – $-0.402
2027 Q40M0M-11M$-0.47$-0.47 – $-0.472

Corporate

Insider Trading (last 12mo)

Open-market only (Form 4 P-Purchase + S-Sale). Excludes grants, option exercises, tax withholding, gifts.
Officers & directors
Buys ($, 12mo)
$0
0 txns · 0 insiders · 0 sh
Sells ($, 12mo)
$13K
1 txn · 1 insider · 1,915 sh
Major holders (≥10% beneficial owners)
Buys ($, 12mo)
$6.18M
2 txns · 1 insider · 724,147 sh
Sells ($, 12mo)
$0
0 txns · 0 insiders · 0 sh
Recent transactions
DateSideInsiderTitleSharesPriceDollarsOwned $
2026-05-20BUYAKKARAJU SRINIVASdirector, 10 percent owner: 244,300$4.83$1.18M$10.74M
2026-03-20SELLHagen Brett Rofficer: Chief Accounting Officer1,915$6.72$13K$0
2025-12-18BUYAKKARAJU SRINIVASdirector, 10 percent owner: 479,847$10.42$5.00M$20.63M

Order Flow (FINRA, ~3w lag)

21.2%retail+1.0pp
21.5%dark-7.1pp
week of 2026-04-13
0%10%20%30%40%50%25-0325-0625-0825-1025-1226-0326-04retail (non-ATS)dark (ATS)
Off-exchange volume from FINRA. Retail = non-ATS (wholesaler PFOF + broker internalization). Dark = ATS (dark-pool crossing networks, institutional). Lit-exchange = remainder.

Counter-Thesis

Counter-Thesis & Recent News

📰 Recent News

On March 11, 2026, Kalaris Therapeutics paused patient dosing in its Phase 1b/2 clinical trial for lead candidate TH103 due to persistent intraocular inflammation (IOI). Despite previous manufacturing 'tweaks' to reduce host cell proteins, a patient receiving a 5-mg dose of the updated material experienced moderate IOI. This safety setback has delayed the expected preliminary data readout from H2 2026 to H1 2027. Further adding to negative momentum, the company filed for a $100 million follow-on equity offering on April 4, 2026, signaling imminent shareholder dilution (Sources: Fierce Biotech, Simply Wall St).

🐻 Bear Case

The bear case centers on a potentially 'broken' clinical profile for TH103. The recurrence of inflammation even after manufacturing modifications suggests the IOI may be inherent to the molecule's design rather than a simple purity issue. With clinical readouts delayed until 2027, Kalaris faces an extended period of high cash burn (~$12M–$15M per quarter) without near-term catalysts. The stock has plummeted 31.4% YTD as of April 2026, reflecting investor fear that the drug will fail to reach Phase 3 or will be commercially unviable due to safety risks (Sources: Seeking Alpha, AAII).

🚩 Red Flags

Short interest in KLRS has reached a significant 17.36% of the float, with a 'days to cover' ratio of 14.58, indicating heavy professional betting against the company. A major red flag is the $100M equity filing occurring immediately after the trial pause, which suggests a desperate need to bolster the balance sheet while the stock is under pressure. Furthermore, the 8.25% monthly increase in short positions indicates rapidly deteriorating sentiment among institutional traders (Source: MarketBeat).

⚔️ Competitive Threats

TH103 is entering an exceptionally crowded anti-VEGF market dominated by Regeneron's Eylea HD and Roche's Vabysmo. These competitors have established safety records and superior durability profiles. Any drug associated with intraocular inflammation faces an uphill battle; historical precedents like Novartis’ Beovu show that even minor safety concerns can lead to a 'black box' label or total commercial failure, regardless of the drug's efficacy (Sources: Seeking Alpha, Fierce Biotech).

💬 Customer Sentiment

Sentiment among retinal specialists and the broader medical community is increasingly skeptical. Physicians in this space are highly risk-averse regarding inflammation, as IOI can cause permanent vision loss. The trial pause for TH103 is a 'poison pill' for physician trust, and current market data shows the stock hitting 52-week lows, reflecting a broader lack of confidence in management's ability to resolve the product's biological flaws (Sources: Fierce Biotech, AAII).