Stocks/TECX

TECX

Tectonic Therapeutic, Inc.
Healthcare·Biotechnology
$31.16
$588M market cap
Revenue
$0.0M
Free Cash Flow
$-32.9M
Rev Growth
+0.0%
FCF Margin
0.0%
P/FCF
--
EV/FCF
--
Fwd EV/EBITDA
--
Fair Value
--
Upside
--

Tectonic Therapeutic, Inc., a clinical stage biotechnology company focuses on the discovery and development of therapeutic proteins and antibodies to modulate the activity of G-protein coupled receptors(GPCRs). It offers GEODe technology platform to enable the discovery and development of GPCR-targeted biologic medicines. The company's pipeline products include RXFP1 agonist, which is in ongoing phase 1a and 1b for the indication of heart failure with preserved ejection fraction; GPCR antagonist

2-Year Price History

$29.12+59.6%
$20$30$40$50volJun 24Oct 24Jan 25May 25Sep 25Jan 26May 26

Quarterly Financials & Projections

Quarterly Waterfall ($ M)
PeriodRevEBITDAOpInNIOCFFCFCapExCashDebtSharesROICIntCovEV/EBITDA
Act2026-Q10.0-27.3-27.3-25.2-18.4-18.4-0.0236.94.618.8-170.3%-3412.6x--
Act2025-Q40.0-18.3-21.5-19.2-14.5-14.5-0.0253.81.318.3-103.8%-1522.3x--

Valuation & Metrics

Market Stats

Price$31.16
Market Cap$588M
Enterprise Value$356M
P/S Ratio0.0x
P/FCF--
EV/FCF--
FCF Margin (TTM)0.0%
FCF Yield-5.6%
Dividend Yield (TTM)--
Annual Dilution0.0%
CurrencyUSD

TTM Financial Snapshot

Revenue$0.0M
Net Income$-44.5M
Free Cash Flow$-32.9M

Revenue Growth (YoY)+0.0%
EBITDA Margin0.0%
Net Margin0.0%
FCF Margin0.0%
CapEx % of Revenue0.0%
SBC % of Revenue0.0%
ROIC-137.0%
WC Change % Rev0.0%
Interest Coverage-2278.4x

Forward Outlook & Risk

Short Interest

Short % of Float--
Short Shares2.5M
Days to Cover10.9
Change (vs Prior)+1.2%
Need at least 2 settlement dates for chart

Employees

Headcount51
Revenue / Employee$0
Gross Profit / Employee$0

Institutional Ownership

Headline & net flow

NEUTRAL
Net flow · still filing
No float data — flow unavailable.

Ownership composition

Active
67.5%(+33.5% YoY)
100 filers
hedge / family / endowment
Retail funds
Fidelity, Schwab, 401(k)
Passive
11.7%(+9.3% YoY)
9 filers
Vanguard, iShares, SPDR
Market makers
0.1%(-0.4% YoY)
2 filers
Citadel, Susquehanna
Insiders
Form 4 — latest per insider
0%25%50%75%100%2024-062024-122025-062025-122026-03
ActiveRetail fundsPassiveMarket makersRetail direct

Top holders

Fund$ valueCost basisΔ QoQΔ YoYα lifeFund AUM
FMR LLC$87.1M$20.91+$280K+$528K-0.0%$1.89T
TCG Crossover Management, LLC$37.2M$30.91+$37.2M+$37.2M+4.6%$3.50B
Aberdeen Group plc$35.3M$19.25+$0+$35.3M-0.6%$61.88B
BlackRock, Inc.Passive$26.6M$23.32+$185K+$20.2M-0.2%$5.69T
BRAIDWELL LP$26.2M$16.75−$2.5M+$26.2M-1.8%$2.63B
First Light Asset Management, LLC$20.0M$26.15+$13.8M+$20.0M-10.2%$1.12B
BAKER BROS. ADVISORS LP$18.8M$20.51−$9.1M+$15.7M-0.5%$16.13B
5AM Venture Management, LLC$18.8M$17.03+$0+$2.9M+0.8%$360M
VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLCPassive$14.6M$30.91+$14.6M+$14.6M$4.04T
Vestal Point Capital, LP$10.1M$20.86+$0+$10.1M-0.1%$3.58B
Bollard Group LLC$9.4M$17.71+$0+$0+0.3%$3.27B
KENNEDY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC$8.9M$19.81+$2.4M+$8.9M-1.5%$4.72B
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLCPassive$8.3M$21.46+$146K+$5.8M+2.3%$1.61T
MARSHALL WACE, LLP$7.1M$27.30+$6.1M+$5.4M+0.6%$92.71B
ORBIMED ADVISORS LLC$7.0M$20.86−$10.8M+$7.0M-8.1%$4.38B
STATE STREET CORPPassive$6.6M$21.34+$135K+$5.6M-0.2%$2.89T
Squarepoint Ops LLC$5.1M$19.95−$1.1M+$3.4M+0.4%$46.27B
PRICE T ROWE ASSOCIATES INC /MD/$5.1M$29.51+$4.5M+$4.7M-0.2%$864.93B
Ikarian Capital, LLC$4.9M$24.04−$190K−$3.4M-8.9%$698M
AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL INC$4.4M$31.71+$4.2M+$4.4M-0.1%$430.96B
Cost basis is a volume-weighted estimate from accumulation periods within our 13F history; holders who built their position before our window started will show a stale basis. % above the cost basis is the unrealized gain at the current price.

Trading behavior

Smart-money alpha (lifetime, %/qtr)BULLISH
Holders
-0.69%
avg per quarter
Holders (ex-self)
-0.70%
excl. this stock
Buyers (this Q)
-0.10%
59 buyers · $0.15B in
Sellers (this Q)
-3.48%
40 sellers · $0.02B out
alpha coverage: 96% of $ has a lifetime-alpha record
Holder behavior on this stocksource: stock
On big dips (−10%+)
+2.8%
how holders react when this stock falls
On quiet Qs
+13.7%
−10% to +10% baseline
On rallies (+10%+)
-3.3%
how they react when this stock rises
Holders' portfolio flow this Q
+0.4%
inflows — adds are organic
Sellers' portfolio flow this Q
+6.7%
Sellers grew AUM elsewhere — opinionated cut of this stock.
▸ Compare to holder-profile behavior (across all their stocks)
Holder dip (any stock)
-3.7%
Holder mid (any stock)
-2.9%
Holder rally (any stock)
-5.1%

Top Holders Over Time

5-year share-count history (top 10 holders by peak, incl. exited) + price

01.7M3.3M5.0M6.6M$16$23$31$39$462024-062024-122025-062025-122026-03
hover the chart for per-quarter detailprice (right axis)
FMR LLC2.8MVida Ventures Advisors, LLCEcoR1 Capital, LLCTCG Crossover Management, LLC1.2MAberdeen Group plc1.1MFARALLON CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLCDeep Track Capital, LP5AM Venture Management, LLC607KBRAIDWELL LP847KParadigm Biocapital Advisors LP

Analyst Coverage

Analyst Coverage
Price Targets
Last Quarter (1 analysts)$75.0014070.0%
Last Year (2 analysts)$67.5011660.0%
Current Price$31.16
Analyst Ratings
4
Buy: 4Consensus: Buy

Corporate

Insider Trading (last 12mo)

Open-market only (Form 4 P-Purchase + S-Sale). Excludes grants, option exercises, tax withholding, gifts.
Officers & directors
Buys ($, 12mo)
$235K
2 txns · 2 insiders · 11,000 sh
Sells ($, 12mo)
$630K
6 txns · 2 insiders · 21,626 sh
Recent transactions
DateSideInsiderTitleSharesPriceDollarsOwned $
2026-05-04SELLRuddy Marcella K.officer: Chief Medical Officer1,065$30.00$32K$2.03M
2026-04-01SELLRuddy Marcella K.officer: Chief Medical Officer1,000$31.05$31K$2.13M
2026-03-06SELLMcNamara Peterofficer: Chief Scientific Officer6,262$30.17$189K$1.67M
2026-03-06SELLRuddy Marcella K.officer: Chief Medical Officer10,000$30.00$300K$2.09M
2026-03-04SELLMcNamara Peterofficer: Chief Scientific Officer1,650$25.00$41K$1.47M
2026-03-03SELLMcNamara Peterofficer: Chief Scientific Officer1,649$22.06$36K$827K
2026-02-11BUYREICIN ALISEdirector, officer: Chief Executive Officer5,000$21.10$106K$5.01M
2026-02-10BUYLochner Danielofficer: Chief Financial Officer6,000$21.61$130K$692K

Order Flow (FINRA, ~3w lag)

12.2%retail-1.0pp
27.4%dark-5.3pp
week of 2026-04-13
10%20%30%40%50%60%24-1125-0225-0525-0825-1126-0226-04retail (non-ATS)dark (ATS)
Off-exchange volume from FINRA. Retail = non-ATS (wholesaler PFOF + broker internalization). Dark = ATS (dark-pool crossing networks, institutional). Lit-exchange = remainder.

Filing Risk Analysis

Filing Risk Scores

TECX: A Clean Rebirth with a Solid Cash Fortress and Surprising Insider Conviction

Overall Risk
4/10
Fraud
2/10
Dilution
7/10
Insolvency
3/10
Earnings Overstated
2/10
Hidden Liabilities
4/10
Legal
3/10
Audit Warnings
2/10
Hidden Upside
8/10
Contextually Acceptable
9/10