Stocks/STTK

STTK

Shattuck Labs, Inc.
Healthcare·Biotechnology
$5.95
$285M market cap
Claude Rating
3/10SELL
Revenue
$1.0M
Free Cash Flow
$-41.3M
Rev Growth
+0.0%
FCF Margin
-4128.2%
P/FCF
--
EV/FCF
--
Fwd EV/EBITDA
--
Fair Value
$2.50
Upside
-58.0%

Shattuck Labs, Inc., a clinical-stage biotechnology company, develops therapeutics for the treatment of cancer and autoimmune disease in the United States. The company's lead product candidate is SL-172154, which is in Phase 1 clinical trial for the treatment of ovarian, fallopian tube, and peritoneal cancers. It also develops SL-279252 that is in Phase 1 clinical trial in patients with advanced solid tumors and lymphoma. The company was incorporated in 2016 and is headquartered in Austin, Texas

2-Year Price History

$6.10-13.1%
$1.0$2.0$3.0$4.0$5.0$6.0$7.0volJun 24Oct 24Jan 25May 25Sep 25Jan 26May 26

Quarterly Financials & Projections

Quarterly Waterfall ($ M)
PeriodRevEBITDAOpInNIOCFFCFCapExCashDebtSharesROICIntCovEV/EBITDA
Est2027-Q30.2-15.0---15.4---14.4-0.02.5----------
Est2027-Q20.2-14.0---14.4---13.4-0.016.9----------
Est2027-Q10.2-13.0---13.4---12.4-0.030.3----------
Est2026-Q40.2-12.0---12.4---11.4-0.042.7----------
Est2026-Q30.2-11.0---11.4---10.4-0.054.1----------
Est2026-Q20.3-9.6---9.9---9.0-0.064.5----------
Est2026-Q10.3-9.0---9.3---8.4-0.073.5----------
Act2026-Q10.0-14.7-15.5-14.8-13.4-13.4-0.190.42.0112.2-155.8%----
Est2025-Q40.5-9.0---9.5---8.5-0.081.9----------
Act2025-Q40.0-12.5-13.4-12.6-8.5-8.5-0.078.11.6103.8-202.6%----
Act2025-Q31.0-9.1-10.7-10.1-8.9-9.0-0.142.61.872.2-112.9%----
Act2025-Q20.0-11.5-13.0-12.5-10.4-10.4-0.050.53.051.0<-999%----
Act2025-Q10.0-13.5-14.4-13.7-12.0-12.0-0.060.93.251.0<-999%----
Act2024-Q40.0-18.7-19.6-18.7-17.4-17.4-0.073.03.450.8<-999%----
Act2024-Q33.0-17.0-17.9-16.7-16.1-16.1-0.090.13.650.8<-999%----
Act2024-Q21.6-22.0-23.0-21.6-10.9-10.9-0.0105.33.850.8<-999%----
Act2024-Q11.1-19.1-20.0-18.5-16.2-16.2-0.0114.64.050.6-410.0%----
Act2023-Q40.7-18.0-19.0-17.7-19.4-19.4-0.0130.64.243.0-209.8%----
Act2023-Q30.7-27.6-28.6-27.5-16.7-16.8-0.0101.14.442.5<-999%----
Act2023-Q20.2-21.7-22.8-21.4-18.6-18.9-0.3117.24.642.5<-999%----
Act2023-Q10.1-20.7-21.7-20.7-26.5-26.5-0.1135.54.042.4<-999%----
Act2022-Q40.4-23.2-26.3-25.4-23.8-24.5-0.7161.34.942.4<-999%----
Act2022-Q30.2-24.3-25.2-24.6-28.1-28.8-0.8185.14.442.4-299.5%----
Act2022-Q20.1-27.0-27.7-27.4-16.3-24.0-7.7214.24.642.4-191.4%----
Act2022-Q10.0-23.7-24.2-24.5-26.3-28.8-2.5239.24.742.4-112.9%----
Historical Valuation

Multiples vs the company's own history — cheap or rich relative to itself? Historical fiscal years, then TTM, then forward projections (E). Forward rows hold today's price against projected earnings, so the multiple compresses if the company grows into it.

YearPriceRev GrEBITDA %EBITDAEV/EBITDAEV/FCFP/EP/S
20222.30-15054.6%-98n/m175.5×
20237.13+154.1%-5305.7%-88n/m38.9×
20241.21+245.3%-1341.3%-77n/mn/mn/m17.1×
20253.65-82.5%-4658.6%-47n/mn/mn/m121.4×
TTM5.95-78.3%-4778.7%-480.0×0.0×0.0×0.0×
2026E5.950.0%-41.6%-00.0×0.0×0.0×0.0×

EBITDA in reporting-currency $M. Historical multiples use year-end market cap (split-adjusted price history); TTM & forward years use today's.

AI Analysis

LLM Evaluations

Claude3/10SELLFV: $2.50

Shattuck Labs is a high-risk, single-asset clinical-stage biotech that is essentially restarting after the complete failure of its lead oncology candidate SL-172154. The entire enterprise value (~$250M EV) rests on SL-325, a Phase 1 DR3-blocking antibody for IBD with a Q2 2026 data readout. While the mechanism is differentiated vs. TL1A inhibitors, the company faces vastly better-funded competitors (Sanofi, Roche), has near-zero revenue, massive warrant-driven dilution (52M+ warrants on a 72M share base), and a cash runway dependent on warrant exercises. The August 2025 financing was a distressed-style deal with toxic warrant structures that will cap per-share upside even in a positive data scenario. At $6/share with fully diluted shares potentially exceeding 125M, the market is pricing in significant probability of clinical success that is not yet supported by data. T. Rowe Price's involvement and the Needham $25 target provide institutional validation, but the risk/reward is skewed negatively given the dilution overhang and binary nature of the catalyst.

Catalyst SL-325 Phase 1 data readout expected Q2 2026 — positive safety/efficacy signals would validate the DR3 mechanism and could drive a significant re-rating, though warrant exercises would dilute upside.
Risk SL-325 Phase 1 data failure in Q2 2026 would likely result in near-total equity value destruction given no backup pipeline, limited cash, and the company's track record of lead program failure.
Trend
STABLE
Mgmt
4/10
Quarter
5/10
Exp. Move
-2.0%

Valuation & Metrics

Market Stats

Price$5.95
Market Cap$285M
Enterprise Value$197M
P/S Ratio285.0x
P/FCF--
EV/FCF--
FCF Margin (TTM)-4128.2%
FCF Yield-14.5%
Dividend Yield (TTM)--
Annual Dilution120.2%
CurrencyUSD

TTM Financial Snapshot

Revenue$1.0M
Net Income$-49.9M
Free Cash Flow$-41.3M

Revenue Growth (YoY)+0.0%
EBITDA Margin-4778.7%
Net Margin-4987.4%
FCF Margin-4128.2%
CapEx % of Revenue13.4%
SBC % of Revenue591.1%
ROIC-556.3%
WC Change % Rev-28.0%
Interest Coverage--

DCF Fair Value Estimate

$-0.19
-103.3% upside
Fair Enterprise Value$-217M
− Net Debt$-88M
= Fair Equity$-22M
Revenue Growth-38.5% → 8.0%
FCF Margin-4128.2% → 25.0%
Discount Rate18.0%
Terminal EV/FCF25.0x

Forward Outlook & Risk

Short Interest

Short % of Float3.1%
Short Shares1.4M
Days to Cover3.3
Change (vs Prior)+6.0%
Short % Float History
3.10%-0.50pp
1.0%2.0%3.0%4.0%5.0%04-3007-1509-1511-1401-1504-30

Options

Call IV (ATM)--
Put IV (ATM)--
ATM Spread--
Call $OI (near money)$8K
Put $OI (near money)$745
ATM ExpiryJuly 17, 2026 (56D)
ATM Strike$5.0
Major Expirations3
Near-money chain · July 17, 2026
StrikeCall Bid/AskCall OIPut Bid/AskPut OI
$2.50$1.50/$6.000--/$4.900
$5.00--/$4.900--/$4.900
$7.50--/$4.900$0.10/$4.900
$10.00$0.05/$4.900$1.60/$5.800
$12.50--/$4.900$4.80/$9.000
Snapshot: 2026-05-22

Forward Projections & Estimates

NTM Revenue Growth+30.0%
Forward FCF Margin-2792.3%
Forward EBITDA Margin-2969.2%
Forward P/FCF--
Forward EV/FCF--
Forward Int. Coverage--
Model Risk Score10/10
Bankruptcy Odds25%
Est. Borrow Rate100.0%
Terminal EV/FCF25.0x
LT Growth15.0%
LT FCF Margin25.0%

Employees

Headcount44
Revenue / Employee$22,727
Gross Profit / Employee$-18,636
2022: 105 → 2023: 75 → 2024: 44 → 2025: 200,000 (1140% CAGR)

Cash Runway

26.3months
WATCH

Institutional Ownership

Headline & net flow

NET BUYING

In Q1 2026 so far (quarter still filing), institutions are net buyers — bought 39.0% of float, sold 8.3%. 8 filers moved >1% of shares (5 buying, 3 selling).

Net flow · Q1 2026still filing
+30.7% of float (net)
Bought 39.0% · Sold 8.3%
82 filers reported (last quarter: 63)

Ownership composition

Active
111.1%(+103.3% YoY)
72 filers
hedge / family / endowment
Retail funds
Fidelity, Schwab, 401(k)
Passive
9.5%(+7.2% YoY)
8 filers
Vanguard, iShares, SPDR
Market makers
2.5%(+2.5% YoY)
3 filers
Citadel, Susquehanna
Insiders
39.3%
Form 4 — latest per insider
0%25%50%75%100%2022-062023-032023-122024-092025-062026-03
ActiveRetail fundsPassiveMarket makersRetail direct

Top holders

Fund$ valueCost basisΔ QoQΔ YoYα lifeFund AUM
T. Rowe Price Investment Management, Inc.$63.4M$6.05+$54.7M+$63.4M-1.3%$145.22B
ORBIMED ADVISORS LLC$40.5M$2.39+$0+$40.5M-8.2%$4.38B
Redmile Group, LLC$35.6M$4.26+$0+$0-5.8%$1.51B
Prosight Management, LP$32.2M$4.88+$16.9M−$10.5M-16.0%$610M
ADAGE CAPITAL PARTNERS GP, L.L.C.$29.9M$4.13−$10.7M−$193K-0.1%$64.61B
NEXTBio Capital Management LP$20.3M$3.65+$0+$20.3M+13.3%$215M
VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLCPassive$14.6M$6.43+$14.6M+$14.6M$4.04T
PRICE T ROWE ASSOCIATES INC /MD/$11.5M$3.65−$922K+$11.4M-0.2%$864.93B
CLARK ESTATES INC/NY$9.5M$3.83+$0+$0-1.8%$416M
PINNACLE ASSOCIATES LTD$8.8M$2.30+$113K+$440K-0.0%$7.78B
Aberdeen Group plc$7.5M$5.05+$4.0M+$7.5M-0.6%$61.88B
Point72 Asset Management, L.P.$6.6M$4.99−$239K+$6.6M+0.9%$54.88B
AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL INC$5.8M$6.39+$5.7M+$5.8M-0.1%$430.96B
683 Capital Management, LLC$5.1M$1.70−$3.8M−$1.6M-2.2%$1.02B
MILLENNIUM MANAGEMENT LLC$4.9M$4.80+$1.8M+$3.0M-0.5%$127.40B
SUSQUEHANNA INTERNATIONAL GROUP, LLPMM$4.6M$5.97+$3.6M+$4.3M-0.6%$77.14B
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLCPassive$4.2M$4.24+$176K−$1.9M+2.3%$1.61T
RENAISSANCE TECHNOLOGIES LLC$3.9M$4.45+$1.7M+$3.7M+1.2%$63.91B
MARSHALL WACE, LLP$3.7M$2.93+$589K+$3.7M+0.6%$92.71B
BlackRock, Inc.Passive$3.3M$3.57+$593K−$13.5M-0.2%$5.69T
Cost basis is a volume-weighted estimate from accumulation periods within our 13F history; holders who built their position before our window started will show a stale basis. % above the cost basis is the unrealized gain at the current price.

Trading behavior

Smart-money alpha (lifetime, %/qtr)BEARISH
Holders
-2.43%
avg per quarter
Holders (ex-self)
-2.84%
excl. this stock
Buyers (this Q)
-3.69%
54 buyers · $0.16B in
Sellers (this Q)
+0.05%
16 sellers · $-0.01B out
alpha coverage: 95% of $ has a lifetime-alpha record
Holder behavior on this stocksource: stock
On big dips (−10%+)
+4.7%
how holders react when this stock falls
On quiet Qs
-15.9%
−10% to +10% baseline
On rallies (+10%+)
-10.8%
how they react when this stock rises
Holders' portfolio flow this Q
+4.3%
inflows — adds are organic
Sellers' portfolio flow this Q
-0.5%
Sellers' overall flow ~ flat.
▸ Compare to holder-profile behavior (across all their stocks)
Holder dip (any stock)
-0.4%
Holder mid (any stock)
-5.5%
Holder rally (any stock)
-8.4%

Top Holders Over Time

5-year share-count history (top 10 holders by peak, incl. exited) + price

09.1M18.2M27.3M36.4M$0.79$2.83$4.87$6.90$8.942021-062022-062023-062024-062025-062026-03
hover the chart for per-quarter detailprice (right axis)
FMR LLC393KRedmile Group, LLC5.5MEcoR1 Capital, LLCT. Rowe Price Investment Management, Inc.9.9MAvidity Partners Management LPORBIMED ADVISORS LLC6.3MProsight Management, LP5.0MADAGE CAPITAL PARTNERS GP, L.L.C.4.6MCLARK ESTATES INC/NY1.5MNEXTBio Capital Management LP3.1M

Analyst Coverage

Analyst Coverage
Price Targets
Last Quarter (2 analysts)$14.5014370.0%
Last Year (5 analysts)$10.407480.0%
Current Price$5.95
Analyst Ratings
7
2
Buy: 7Hold: 2Consensus: Buy
Consensus Estimates
QuarterRevenueEBITDANet IncEPSEPS Range# Analysts
2025 Q31M-1M-11M$-0.15$-0.22 – $-0.115
2025 Q40M-0M-15M$-0.14$-0.17 – $-0.115
2026 Q10M0M-16M$-0.14$-0.17 – $-0.124
2026 Q20M0M-15M$-0.13$-0.17 – $-0.105
2026 Q30M0M-14M$-0.12$-0.20 – $-0.095
2026 Q40M0M-14M$-0.13$-0.13 – $-0.131
2027 Q10M0M-12M$-0.11$-0.11 – $-0.111
2027 Q20M0M-12M$-0.11$-0.11 – $-0.111
2027 Q30M0M-13M$-0.12$-0.12 – $-0.121
2027 Q40M0M-14M$-0.13$-0.13 – $-0.131

Corporate

Executive Compensation (2023-2025)

Direct Pay$10.0M
Incentive & Other$13.5M
Total Compensation$23.5M
% of Revenue282.5%

Insider Trading (last 12mo)

Open-market only (Form 4 P-Purchase + S-Sale). Excludes grants, option exercises, tax withholding, gifts.
Officers & directors
Buys ($, 12mo)
$50.95M
2 txns · 2 insiders · 73,759,152 sh
Sells ($, 12mo)
$213K
2 txns · 2 insiders · 32,032 sh
Recent transactions
DateSideInsiderTitleSharesPriceDollarsOwned $
2026-05-12SELLPandite Arundathy N.officer: Chief Medical Officer30,000$6.61$198K$1.10M
2026-05-12SELLShukla Abhinav A.officer: Chief Technical Officer2,032$7.01$14K$570K
2025-08-25BUYAshiya Monadirector36,879,576$0.69$25.47M$10.61M
2025-08-25BUYORBIMED ADVISORS LLCdirector36,879,576$0.69$25.47M$10.61M

Order Flow (FINRA, ~3w lag)

18.4%retail-1.9pp
31.1%dark-5.5pp
week of 2026-04-13
0%20%40%60%80%24-1125-0225-0525-0825-1126-0226-04retail (non-ATS)dark (ATS)
Off-exchange volume from FINRA. Retail = non-ATS (wholesaler PFOF + broker internalization). Dark = ATS (dark-pool crossing networks, institutional). Lit-exchange = remainder.

Revenue Breakdown

Revenue Segments

By Product (2025-Q4)
License$2.4MNEW

Filing Risk Analysis

Filing Risk Scores

Shattuck Labs: A Masterclass in Shareholder Dilution and Non-Cash Circularity

Overall Risk
7/10
Fraud
3/10
Dilution
10/10
Insolvency
6/10
Earnings Overstated
4/10
Hidden Liabilities
3/10
Legal
2/10
Audit Warnings
5/10
Hidden Upside
4/10
Contextually Acceptable
6/10

Counter-Thesis

Counter-Thesis & Recent News

📰 Recent News

In March 2026, Shattuck Labs reported a Q4 2025 earnings beat with a net loss of $0.12 per share, narrower than the anticipated $0.13. The company successfully raised $21.4M via an at-the-market (ATM) facility in early 2026, extending its cash runway into 2029. Management confirmed that its lead candidate, SL-325 (a first-in-class DR3-blocking antibody for IBD), is nearing Phase 1 completion with a major data readout expected in Q2 2026 and a Phase 2 trial in Crohn’s disease planned for Q3 2026 (Source: MarketBeat, Stock Titan).

🐻 Bear Case

The bear thesis is rooted in the October 2024 total failure and discontinuation of Shattuck's former lead oncology program, SL-172154, which lacked significant survival benefits. This pivot forced a 40% workforce reduction and left the company with zero revenue and a high-risk reliance on a single, early-stage Phase 1 asset. Skeptics argue the company is essentially starting over in a highly competitive immunology market where clinical success is statistically low (Source: Investing.com, Seeking Alpha).

🚩 Red Flags

The stock exhibits extreme volatility with a beta of 2.8 and a 1-year price range of $0.69 to $6.05. A significant portion of the projected cash runway through 2029 is contingent on the full exercise of outstanding warrants, which is not guaranteed. Additionally, management has previously warned that efficacy in this therapeutic area often 'erodes' as trials progress from early-stage to larger randomized studies (Source: GuruFocus, TradingView).

⚔️ Competitive Threats

Shattuck operates in the crowded Inflammatory Bowel Disease (IBD) space, specifically the TL1A/DR3 axis. It faces 'heavyweight' competition from pharmaceutical giants like Sanofi and Roche/Televant, who are developing TL1A inhibitors. While Shattuck's DR3-direct approach is unique, it must prove superior safety and efficacy against these more advanced and better-funded competitors to capture market share (Source: Public.com, Piper Sandler).

💬 Customer Sentiment

Institutional sentiment has turned sharply bullish; T. Rowe Price recently increased its stake to over 10%, and institutions now hold approximately 68% of shares. Analysts are increasingly optimistic, with Needham initiating coverage in March 2026 with a 'Buy' rating and a $25 price target, citing the favorable risk/reward profile of the SL-325 platform (Source: MarketBeat, Intellectia.AI).