Stocks/OBT

OBT

Orange County Bancorp, Inc.
Financial Services·Banks - Regional
$34.12
$457M market cap
Revenue
$74.4M
Free Cash Flow
$22.7M
Rev Growth
+0.0%
FCF Margin
30.5%
P/FCF
20.1x
EV/FCF
3.3x
Fwd EV/EBITDA
--
Fair Value
--
Upside
--

Orange County Bancorp, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides commercial and consumer banking products and services, and trust and wealth management services to small businesses, middle-market enterprises, local municipal governments, and affluent individuals. It accepts various deposit products, including interest-bearing and noninterest-bearing demand accounts, money market deposit accounts, savings accounts, and certificates of deposit. The company also offers commercial real estate loans,

2-Year Price History

$34.05+53.5%
$22$24$26$28$30$32$34$36volJun 24Oct 24Jan 25May 25Sep 25Jan 26May 26

Quarterly Financials & Projections

Quarterly Waterfall ($ M)
PeriodRevEBITDAOpInNIOCFFCFCapExCashDebtSharesROICIntCovEV/EBITDA
Act2026-Q134.410.510.411.310.29.7-0.6416.534.613.421.4%1.6x--
Act2025-Q440.013.713.712.413.813.1-0.7362.634.613.339.2%2.0x--

Valuation & Metrics

Market Stats

Price$34.12
Market Cap$457M
Enterprise Value$76M
P/S Ratio6.2x
P/FCF20.1x
EV/FCF3.3x
FCF Margin (TTM)30.5%
FCF Yield5.0%
Dividend Yield (TTM)2.0%
Annual Dilution0.0%
CurrencyUSD

TTM Financial Snapshot

Revenue$74.4M
Net Income$23.7M
Free Cash Flow$22.7M

Revenue Growth (YoY)+0.0%
EBITDA Margin32.4%
Net Margin31.9%
FCF Margin30.5%
CapEx % of Revenue1.7%
SBC % of Revenue1.7%
ROIC30.3%
WC Change % Rev-0.8%
Interest Coverage1.8x

Forward Outlook & Risk

Short Interest

Short % of Float--
Short Shares0.1M
Days to Cover1.4
Change (vs Prior)-0.8%
Need at least 2 settlement dates for chart

Employees

Headcount225
Revenue / Employee$330,800
Gross Profit / Employee$263,880

Institutional Ownership

Headline & net flow

NEUTRAL
Net flow · still filing
No float data — flow unavailable.

Ownership composition

Active
28.2%(+10.4% YoY)
91 filers
hedge / family / endowment
Retail funds
Fidelity, Schwab, 401(k)
Passive
22.2%(+13.5% YoY)
9 filers
Vanguard, iShares, SPDR
Market makers
0.0%(-0.1% YoY)
2 filers
Citadel, Susquehanna
Insiders
Form 4 — latest per insider
0%25%50%75%100%2022-062023-032023-122024-092025-062026-03
ActiveRetail fundsPassiveMarket makersRetail direct

Top holders

Fund$ valueCost basisΔ QoQΔ YoYα lifeFund AUM
BlackRock, Inc.Passive$60.5M$25.41−$1.6M+$37.0M-0.2%$5.69T
HUDSON VALLEY INVESTMENT ADVISORS INC /ADV$33.9M$22.91−$1.3M−$3.8M-0.1%$772M
WELLINGTON MANAGEMENT GROUP LLP$15.9M$24.53−$2.5M−$379K-0.3%$533.98B
VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLCPassive$14.8M$31.98+$14.8M+$14.8M$4.04T
MANUFACTURERS LIFE INSURANCE COMPANY, THE$9.9M$23.68−$133K+$2.0M-0.2%$113.45B
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLCPassive$8.3M$21.70+$59K+$1.1M+2.3%$1.61T
AMERICAN CENTURY COMPANIES INC$7.5M$26.83+$2.2M+$3.6M+0.7%$193.48B
BANC FUNDS CO LLC$6.3M$22.62+$0−$7.6M-1.4%$537M
ALLIANCEBERNSTEIN L.P.$6.3M$23.62−$814K+$701K-0.3%$307.70B
STATE STREET CORPPassive$6.0M$22.60+$669K+$1.1M-0.2%$2.89T
DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LPPassive$4.1M$26.64+$934K+$2.6M-0.4%$480.92B
MORGAN STANLEY$3.2M$28.03+$1.5M+$2.3M-0.3%$1.65T
NORTHERN TRUST CORPPassive$2.8M$22.04+$93K+$192K-0.2%$755.34B
MARSHALL WACE, LLP$2.8M$27.96+$1.1M+$2.8M+0.6%$92.71B
BROWN BROTHERS HARRIMAN & CO$2.7M$25.35+$0+$2.7M-0.3%$18.65B
EJF Capital LLC$2.6M$25.38−$330K+$2.6M-5.6%$142M
TWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP$2.5M$28.05+$1.2M+$2.1M-0.9%$117.03B
VANGUARD FIDUCIARY TRUST COPassive$2.3M$31.98+$2.3M+$2.3M$395.83B
GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC$2.3M$25.69+$40K+$1.1M-0.2%$760.93B
VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLCPassive$2.2M$31.98+$2.2M+$2.2M$1.91T
Cost basis is a volume-weighted estimate from accumulation periods within our 13F history; holders who built their position before our window started will show a stale basis. % above the cost basis is the unrealized gain at the current price.

Trading behavior

Smart-money alpha (lifetime, %/qtr)BULLISH
Holders
-0.27%
avg per quarter
Holders (ex-self)
-0.28%
excl. this stock
Buyers (this Q)
-0.08%
50 buyers · $0.04B in
Sellers (this Q)
-2.30%
29 sellers · $-0.00B out
alpha coverage: 92% of $ has a lifetime-alpha record
Holder behavior on this stocksource: stock
On big dips (−10%+)
+16.6%
how holders react when this stock falls
On quiet Qs
+4.4%
−10% to +10% baseline
On rallies (+10%+)
+4.8%
how they react when this stock rises
Holders' portfolio flow this Q
-0.4%
outflows — trims may be forced
Sellers' portfolio flow this Q
-38.3%
Sellers shed AUM broadly — partly forced.
▸ Compare to holder-profile behavior (across all their stocks)
Holder dip (any stock)
-4.5%
Holder mid (any stock)
-3.3%
Holder rally (any stock)
-4.3%

Top Holders Over Time

5-year share-count history (top 10 holders by peak, incl. exited) + price

0907K1.8M2.7M3.6M$18$21$25$28$322021-062022-062023-062024-062025-062026-03
hover the chart for per-quarter detailprice (right axis)
HUDSON VALLEY INVESTMENT ADVISORS INC /ADV1.1MWELLINGTON MANAGEMENT GROUP LLP497KBANC FUNDS CO LLC198KALLIANCEBERNSTEIN L.P.219KMANUFACTURERS LIFE INSURANCE COMPANY, THE309KAMERICAN CENTURY COMPANIES INC235KM3F, Inc.Fourthstone LLC27KFJ Capital Management LLCENDEAVOUR CAPITAL ADVISORS INC

Analyst Coverage

Analyst Coverage
Price Targets
Last Year (2 analysts)$33.50-180.0%
Current Price$34.12
Analyst Ratings
2
Buy: 2Consensus: Buy

Corporate

Insider Trading (last 12mo)

Open-market only (Form 4 P-Purchase + S-Sale). Excludes grants, option exercises, tax withholding, gifts.
Officers & directors
Buys ($, 12mo)
$196K
3 txns · 2 insiders · 8,301 sh
Sells ($, 12mo)
$29K
1 txn · 1 insider · 1,000 sh
Recent transactions
DateSideInsiderTitleSharesPriceDollarsOwned $
2026-03-19BUYGilfeather Michael Jdirector, officer: President and CEO200$31.25$6K$512K
2025-12-11SELLDineen David Pofficer: SVP, Dir. Wealth Services1,000$28.81$29K$237K
2025-10-31BUYGilfeather Michael Jdirector, officer: President and CEO1,650$24.02$40K$2.57M
2025-06-04BUYSchiller Jondirector6,451$23.25$150K$289K

Order Flow (FINRA, ~3w lag)

8.1%retail-4.4pp
21.6%dark-0.8pp
week of 2026-04-13
0%10%20%30%40%50%24-1125-0225-0525-0825-1126-0226-04retail (non-ATS)dark (ATS)
Off-exchange volume from FINRA. Retail = non-ATS (wholesaler PFOF + broker internalization). Dark = ATS (dark-pool crossing networks, institutional). Lit-exchange = remainder.

Filing Risk Analysis

Filing Risk Scores

Orange County Bancorp, Inc.: Administrative cover page provides no evidence of financial distress or reporting irregularities.

Overall Risk
2/10
Fraud
1/10
Dilution
1/10
Insolvency
1/10
Earnings Overstated
1/10
Hidden Liabilities
1/10
Legal
1/10
Audit Warnings
1/10
Hidden Upside
1/10
Contextually Acceptable
10/10