Stocks/COGT

COGT

Cogent Biosciences, Inc.
Healthcare·Biotechnology
$34.96
$6.0B market cap
Revenue
$0.0M
Free Cash Flow
$-167.3M
Rev Growth
+0.0%
FCF Margin
0.0%
P/FCF
--
EV/FCF
--
Fwd EV/EBITDA
--
Fair Value
--
Upside
--

Cogent Biosciences, Inc., a biotechnology company, focuses on developing precision therapies for genetically defined diseases. Its lead product candidate includes CGT9486, a selective tyrosine kinase inhibitor designed to inhibit the KIT D816V mutation that drives systemic mastocytosis, as well as other mutations in KIT exon 17, which are found in patients with advanced gastrointestinal stromal tumors. It has a licensing agreement with Plexxikon Inc. for the research, development, and commercial

2-Year Price History

$32.67+307.9%
$10$20$30$40volMay 24Sep 24Jan 25May 25Sep 25Jan 26May 26

Quarterly Financials & Projections

Quarterly Waterfall ($ M)
PeriodRevEBITDAOpInNIOCFFCFCapExCashDebtSharesROICIntCovEV/EBITDA
Act2026-Q10.0-102.5-103.6-97.4-86.9-87.3-0.5866.4238.767.4-100.2%-84.5x--
Act2025-Q40.0-108.7-99.5-102.5-79.1-79.9-0.8900.8253.267.6-86.5%-84.3x--

Valuation & Metrics

Market Stats

Price$34.96
Market Cap$6.0B
Enterprise Value$5.3B
P/S Ratio0.0x
P/FCF--
EV/FCF--
FCF Margin (TTM)0.0%
FCF Yield-2.8%
Dividend Yield (TTM)--
Annual Dilution0.0%
CurrencyUSD

TTM Financial Snapshot

Revenue$0.0M
Net Income$-199.8M
Free Cash Flow$-167.3M

Revenue Growth (YoY)+0.0%
EBITDA Margin0.0%
Net Margin0.0%
FCF Margin0.0%
CapEx % of Revenue0.0%
SBC % of Revenue0.0%
ROIC-93.4%
WC Change % Rev0.0%
Interest Coverage-84.4x

Forward Outlook & Risk

Short Interest

Short % of Float--
Short Shares11.8M
Days to Cover7.5
Change (vs Prior)-2.4%
Need at least 2 settlement dates for chart

Employees

Headcount205
Revenue / Employee$0
Gross Profit / Employee$-11,376

Institutional Ownership

Headline & net flow

NEUTRAL
Net flow · still filing
No float data — flow unavailable.

Ownership composition

Active
99.2%(+87.4% YoY)
284 filers
hedge / family / endowment
Retail funds
Fidelity, Schwab, 401(k)
Passive
29.1%(+26.7% YoY)
11 filers
Vanguard, iShares, SPDR
Market makers
0.3%(+0.1% YoY)
7 filers
Citadel, Susquehanna
Insiders
Form 4 — latest per insider
0%25%50%75%100%2022-062023-032023-122024-092025-062026-03
ActiveRetail fundsPassiveMarket makersRetail direct

Top holders

Fund$ valueCost basisΔ QoQΔ YoYα lifeFund AUM
FMR LLC$890M$10.46+$1.4M+$233M-0.0%$1.89T
BlackRock, Inc.Passive$618M$20.24+$118M+$303M-0.2%$5.69T
DEERFIELD MANAGEMENT COMPANY, L.P. (SERIES C)$348M$11.42+$0+$247M-1.0%$7.18B
VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLCPassive$282M$38.49+$282M+$282M$1.91T
VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLCPassive$265M$38.49+$265M+$265M$4.04T
JANUS HENDERSON GROUP PLC$230M$17.35+$55.0M+$229M+1.2%$209.29B
STATE STREET CORPPassive$218M$12.35+$27.8M+$59.5M-0.2%$2.89T
Fairmount Funds Management LLC$212M$10.84−$135M−$27.8M+3.8%$1.38B
RTW INVESTMENTS, LP$210M$25.86−$82.1M+$210M-2.3%$9.26B
TCG Crossover Management, LLC$190M$10.08−$35.5M−$77.7M+4.6%$3.50B
GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC$171M$26.02+$105M+$133M-0.2%$760.93B
Kynam Capital Management, LP$155M$7.57−$81.9M−$195M-0.2%$1.58B
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLCPassive$142M$14.74+$7.1M+$49.4M+2.3%$1.61T
WELLINGTON MANAGEMENT GROUP LLP$138M$32.60+$33.3M+$128M-0.3%$533.98B
PRICE T ROWE ASSOCIATES INC /MD/$124M$35.42+$25.0M+$122M-0.2%$864.93B
LORD, ABBETT & CO. LLC$122M$36.74+$50.5M+$122M+0.4%$30.58B
Commodore Capital LP$111M$11.76+$26.6M−$231M-0.5%$1.73B
Invesco Ltd.$93.5M$25.49+$71.0M+$90.9M-0.2%$652.04B
Octagon Capital Advisors LP$90.5M$9.42+$0−$15.9M+0.5%$904M
Holocene Advisors, LP$86.6M$35.83+$41.3M+$86.6M-0.1%$41.28B
Cost basis is a volume-weighted estimate from accumulation periods within our 13F history; holders who built their position before our window started will show a stale basis. % above the cost basis is the unrealized gain at the current price.

Trading behavior

Smart-money alpha (lifetime, %/qtr)NEUTRAL
Holders
+0.60%
avg per quarter
Holders (ex-self)
+0.49%
excl. this stock
Buyers (this Q)
+0.23%
183 buyers · $1.91B in
Sellers (this Q)
-0.07%
92 sellers · $0.46B out
alpha coverage: 92% of $ has a lifetime-alpha record
Holder behavior on this stocksource: stock
On big dips (−10%+)
+12.7%
how holders react when this stock falls
On quiet Qs
-3.8%
−10% to +10% baseline
On rallies (+10%+)
-13.3%
how they react when this stock rises
Holders' portfolio flow this Q
-0.0%
outflows — trims may be forced
Sellers' portfolio flow this Q
-12.2%
Sellers shed AUM broadly — partly forced.
▸ Compare to holder-profile behavior (across all their stocks)
Holder dip (any stock)
-5.8%
Holder mid (any stock)
-3.3%
Holder rally (any stock)
-5.2%

Top Holders Over Time

5-year share-count history (top 10 holders by peak, incl. exited) + price

018.1M36.1M54.2M72.3M$5.88$14$22$30$382021-062022-062023-062024-062025-062026-03
hover the chart for per-quarter detailprice (right axis)
FMR LLC23.1MDEERFIELD MANAGEMENT COMPANY, L.P. (SERIES C)9.0MFairmount Funds Management LLC5.5MRTW INVESTMENTS, LP5.5MJANUS HENDERSON GROUP PLC6.0MKynam Capital Management, LP4.0MTCG Crossover Management, LLC4.9MGOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC4.4MWELLINGTON MANAGEMENT GROUP LLP3.6MPRICE T ROWE ASSOCIATES INC /MD/3.2M

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Analyst Coverage

Analyst Coverage
Price Targets
Last Quarter (1 analysts)$55.005730.0%
Last Year (12 analysts)$42.172060.0%
Current Price$34.96
Analyst Ratings
10
2
Buy: 10Hold: 2Consensus: Buy

Corporate

Insider Trading (last 12mo)

Open-market only (Form 4 P-Purchase + S-Sale). Excludes grants, option exercises, tax withholding, gifts.
Officers & directors
Buys ($, 12mo)
$25.00M
1 txn · 1 insider · 2,777,777 sh
Sells ($, 12mo)
$382.20M
6 txns · 5 insiders · 10,814,642 sh
Recent transactions
DateSideInsiderTitleSharesPriceDollarsOwned $
2026-03-31SELLFairmount Funds Management LLCdirector7,000,000$34.66$242.62M$190.75M
2026-01-22SELLFairmount Funds Management LLCdirector3,500,000$36.40$127.40M$200.32M
2025-12-26SELLGreen John L.officer: Chief Financial Officer77,000$38.68$2.98M$5.10M
2025-12-26SELLKearns Evanofficer: Chief Legal Officer65,000$38.70$2.52M$4.23M
2025-12-26SELLRobinson John Edwardofficer: Chief Scientific Officer90,000$38.74$3.49M$5.42M
2025-12-26SELLSachs Jessicaofficer: Chief Medical Officer82,642$38.70$3.20M$5.18M
2025-07-10BUYFairmount Funds Management LLCdirector2,777,777$9.00$25.00M$81.03M

Order Flow (FINRA, ~3w lag)

21.6%retail-0.8pp
30.9%dark+8.3pp
week of 2026-04-13
10%20%30%40%50%60%24-1125-0225-0525-0825-1126-0226-04retail (non-ATS)dark (ATS)
Off-exchange volume from FINRA. Retail = non-ATS (wholesaler PFOF + broker internalization). Dark = ATS (dark-pool crossing networks, institutional). Lit-exchange = remainder.

Filing Risk Analysis

Filing Risk Scores

Cogent Biosciences: High-Octane Dilution Engine Powered by Clinical Hope

Overall Risk
7/10
Fraud
4/10
Dilution
9/10
Insolvency
3/10
Earnings Overstated
4/10
Hidden Liabilities
5/10
Legal
2/10
Audit Warnings
6/10
Hidden Upside
7/10
Contextually Acceptable
8/10