Stocks/OBIO

OBIO

Orchestra BioMed Holdings, Inc.
Healthcare·Biotechnology
$3.91
$234M market cap
Revenue
$31.0M
Free Cash Flow
$-24.7M
Rev Growth
+0.0%
FCF Margin
-79.5%
P/FCF
--
EV/FCF
--
Fwd EV/EBITDA
--
Fair Value
--
Upside
--

Orchestra BioMed Holdings, Inc. operates as a biomedical innovation company. The company's flagship product candidates include BackBeat Cardiac Neuromodulation Therapy (CNT) for the treatment of hypertension; and Virtue Sirolimus AngioInfusion Balloon (SAB) for the treatment of atherosclerotic artery disease. Its products also comprise FreeHold retractors that are minimally invasive surgical device solutions. The company has a strategic collaboration with Medtronic for the development and commer

2-Year Price History

$4.06-49.1%
$3.0$4.0$5.0$6.0$7.0$8.0volJun 24Oct 24Jan 25May 25Sep 25Jan 26May 26

Quarterly Financials & Projections

Quarterly Waterfall ($ M)
PeriodRevEBITDAOpInNIOCFFCFCapExCashDebtSharesROICIntCovEV/EBITDA
Act2026-Q10.1-22.0-22.1-20.7-22.2-22.4-0.294.41.538.4-941.5%-26.8x--
Act2025-Q430.97.16.86.3-2.3-2.3-0.0106.532.438.450.9%----

Valuation & Metrics

Market Stats

Price$3.91
Market Cap$234M
Enterprise Value$141M
P/S Ratio7.5x
P/FCF--
EV/FCF--
FCF Margin (TTM)-79.5%
FCF Yield-10.5%
Dividend Yield (TTM)--
Annual Dilution0.0%
CurrencyUSD

TTM Financial Snapshot

Revenue$31.0M
Net Income$-14.4M
Free Cash Flow$-24.7M

Revenue Growth (YoY)+0.0%
EBITDA Margin-48.0%
Net Margin-46.6%
FCF Margin-79.5%
CapEx % of Revenue0.7%
SBC % of Revenue8.9%
ROIC-445.3%
WC Change % Rev0.8%
Interest Coverage-18.1x

Forward Outlook & Risk

Short Interest

Short % of Float--
Short Shares1.0M
Days to Cover5.1
Change (vs Prior)+9.7%
Need at least 2 settlement dates for chart

Employees

Headcount70
Revenue / Employee$443,243
Gross Profit / Employee$441,200

Cash Runway

46.0months
WATCH

Institutional Ownership

Headline & net flow

NEUTRAL
Net flow · still filing
No float data — flow unavailable.

Ownership composition

Active
33.0%(+7.9% YoY)
55 filers
hedge / family / endowment
Retail funds
Fidelity, Schwab, 401(k)
Passive
6.7%(-1.3% YoY)
7 filers
Vanguard, iShares, SPDR
Market makers
0.3%(+0.2% YoY)
3 filers
Citadel, Susquehanna
Insiders
Form 4 — latest per insider
0%25%50%75%100%2022-122023-092024-062025-032025-122026-03
ActiveRetail fundsPassiveMarket makersRetail direct

Top holders

Fund$ valueCost basisΔ QoQΔ YoYα lifeFund AUM
RTW INVESTMENTS, LP$35.3M$14.12+$0+$425K-2.2%$9.26B
PERCEPTIVE ADVISORS LLC$21.4M$11.01−$380K+$1.9M-1.3%$5.05B
VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLCPassive$9.4M$4.25+$9.4M+$9.4M$4.04T
Alyeska Investment Group, L.P.$4.3M$2.48+$0+$4.3M-0.5%$35.33B
Propel Bio Management, LLC$3.8M$4.25+$3.8M+$3.8M-2.9%$159M
MILLENNIUM MANAGEMENT LLC$3.0M$3.74+$2.0M+$3.0M-0.5%$127.40B
BlackRock, Inc.Passive$2.7M$5.12+$20K−$5.6M-0.2%$5.69T
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLCPassive$2.1M$8.69+$52K−$467K+2.3%$1.61T
Affinity Asset Advisors, LLC$1.7M$2.48−$724K+$1.7M+0.5%$1.60B
CHARLES SCHWAB INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT INC$1.1M$8.68+$7K+$206K+0.7%$645.81B
Knott David M Jr$1.1M$2.95+$16K+$1.1M-0.2%$168M
VANGUARD FIDUCIARY TRUST COPassive$1000K$4.25+$1000K+$1000K$395.83B
Simplify Asset Management Inc.$932K$4.25+$932K+$932K-1.4%$6.44B
MARSHALL WACE, LLP$801K$3.77+$71K+$801K+0.6%$92.71B
683 Capital Management, LLC$786K$4.15−$81K+$786K-2.2%$1.02B
STATE STREET CORPPassive$720K$7.80+$44K−$1.3M-0.2%$2.89T
GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC$660K$4.03+$90K+$453K-0.2%$760.93B
DAFNA Capital Management LLC$539K$2.48+$0+$539K-5.3%$434M
NORTHERN TRUST CORPPassive$503K$7.81+$31K−$512K-0.2%$755.34B
Qube Research & Technologies Ltd$463K$3.75+$9K+$463K+0.3%$70.36B
Cost basis is a volume-weighted estimate from accumulation periods within our 13F history; holders who built their position before our window started will show a stale basis. % above the cost basis is the unrealized gain at the current price.

Trading behavior

Smart-money alpha (lifetime, %/qtr)BEARISH
Holders
-1.55%
avg per quarter
Holders (ex-self)
-1.50%
excl. this stock
Buyers (this Q)
-1.49%
42 buyers · $0.02B in
Sellers (this Q)
+0.44%
14 sellers · $0.00B out
alpha coverage: 89% of $ has a lifetime-alpha record
Holder behavior on this stocksource: stock
On big dips (−10%+)
+3.5%
how holders react when this stock falls
On quiet Qs
+20.1%
−10% to +10% baseline
On rallies (+10%+)
+14.3%
how they react when this stock rises
Holders' portfolio flow this Q
+2.6%
inflows — adds are organic
Sellers' portfolio flow this Q
+11.3%
Sellers grew AUM elsewhere — opinionated cut of this stock.
▸ Compare to holder-profile behavior (across all their stocks)
Holder dip (any stock)
-5.6%
Holder mid (any stock)
-5.3%
Holder rally (any stock)
-1.6%

Top Holders Over Time

5-year share-count history (top 10 holders by peak, incl. exited) + price

04.2M8.4M12.6M16.8M$2.48$6.75$11$15$202022-122023-092024-062025-032025-122026-03
hover the chart for per-quarter detailprice (right axis)
RTW INVESTMENTS, LP8.3MPERCEPTIVE ADVISORS LLC5.0MPRICE T ROWE ASSOCIATES INC /MD/Boxer Capital, LLCAlyeska Investment Group, L.P.1.0MPropel Bio Management, LLC897KCITADEL ADVISORS LLC79KMILLENNIUM MANAGEMENT LLC703KPathstone Holdings, LLCSVB FINANCIAL GROUP

Analyst Coverage

Analyst Coverage
Price Targets
Last Quarter (1 analysts)$13.0023250.0%
Last Year (2 analysts)$12.5021970.0%
Current Price$3.91
Analyst Ratings
4
1
Buy: 4Hold: 1Consensus: Buy

Corporate

Insider Trading (last 12mo)

Open-market only (Form 4 P-Purchase + S-Sale). Excludes grants, option exercises, tax withholding, gifts.
Officers & directors
Buys ($, 12mo)
$303K
12 txns · 5 insiders · 87,396 sh
Sells ($, 12mo)
$8K
1 txn · 1 insider · 2,683 sh
Major holders (≥10% beneficial owners)
Buys ($, 12mo)
$1.93M
2 txns · 2 insiders · 5,836,363 sh
Sells ($, 12mo)
$132
1 txn · 1 insider · 32 sh
Recent transactions
DateSideInsiderTitleSharesPriceDollarsOwned $
2026-05-18BUYAryeh Jasondirector665$3.75$2K$443K
2026-05-15BUYAryeh Jasondirector8,971$3.90$35K$458K
2026-05-15BUYHochman David Pdirector, officer: See Remarks5,000$3.77$19K$3.99M
2026-05-14BUYFain Eric Sdirector20,000$4.13$83K$379K
2026-04-27SELLRTW INVESTMENTS, LP10 percent owner32$4.13$132$39.47M
2026-03-13BUYHochman David Pdirector, officer: See Remarks10,000$4.29$43K$4.66M
2025-11-14BUYHochman David Pdirector, officer: See Remarks5,000$4.07$20K$2.49M
2025-09-19BUYAryeh Jasondirector1,000$2.45$2K$266K
2025-08-25BUYFain Eric Sdirector5,760$2.61$15K$187K
2025-08-25BUYSherman Darrendirector, officer: See Remarks3,000$2.62$8K$2.43M
2025-08-25BUYTaylor Andrew Lawrenceofficer: Chief Financial Officer2,000$2.55$5K$1.23M
2025-08-21BUYHochman David Pdirector, officer: See Remarks6,000$2.49$15K$1.62M
2025-08-04BUYHochman David Pdirector, officer: See Remarks20,000$2.75$55K$961K
2025-08-04BUYRTW INVESTMENTS, LP10 percent owner3,636,363$0.00$364$364
2025-08-01BUYPERCEPTIVE ADVISORS LLC10 percent owner2,200,000$0.88$1.93M$4.63M
2025-06-26SELLFain Eric Sdirector2,683$3.05$8K$155K

Order Flow (FINRA, ~3w lag)

23.4%retail-14.2pp
20.0%dark+3.3pp
week of 2026-04-13
0%20%40%60%80%24-1125-0225-0525-0825-1126-0226-04retail (non-ATS)dark (ATS)
Off-exchange volume from FINRA. Retail = non-ATS (wholesaler PFOF + broker internalization). Dark = ATS (dark-pool crossing networks, institutional). Lit-exchange = remainder.

Filing Risk Analysis

Filing Risk Scores

Orchestra BioMed: High-Octane Dilution and 22.5% Royalty Debt Masked as Strategic Partnerships

Overall Risk
7/10
Fraud
3/10
Dilution
9/10
Insolvency
6/10
Earnings Overstated
7/10
Hidden Liabilities
8/10
Legal
5/10
Audit Warnings
4/10
Hidden Upside
5/10
Contextually Acceptable
6/10