Stocks/JMSB

JMSB

John Marshall Bancorp, Inc.
Financial Services·Banks - Regional
$21.27
$300M market cap
Revenue
$58.7M
Free Cash Flow
$15.4M
Rev Growth
+0.0%
FCF Margin
26.2%
P/FCF
19.5x
EV/FCF
24.5x
Fwd EV/EBITDA
--
Fair Value
--
Upside
--

John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for John Marshall Bank that provides banking products and financial services. The company accepts checking, demand, NOW, savings, and money market accounts, as well as certificates of deposit. It offers commercial, construction and development, commercial term, mortgage, commercial real estate, industrial other commercial lines of credit; debit and credit cards; and treasury and cash management, investment, business and personal in

2-Year Price History

$21.06+31.7%
$14$16$18$20$22$24volJun 24Oct 24Jan 25May 25Sep 25Jan 26May 26

Quarterly Financials & Projections

Quarterly Waterfall ($ M)
PeriodRevEBITDAOpInNIOCFFCFCapExCashDebtSharesROICIntCovEV/EBITDA
Act2026-Q129.17.67.66.18.58.5-0.09.185.414.113.4%0.6x--
Act2025-Q429.67.87.85.96.96.9-0.0147.385.714.113.8%0.6x--

Valuation & Metrics

Market Stats

Price$21.27
Market Cap$300M
Enterprise Value$376M
P/S Ratio5.1x
P/FCF19.5x
EV/FCF24.5x
FCF Margin (TTM)26.2%
FCF Yield5.1%
Dividend Yield (TTM)2.3%
Annual Dilution0.0%
CurrencyUSD

TTM Financial Snapshot

Revenue$58.7M
Net Income$12.0M
Free Cash Flow$15.4M

Revenue Growth (YoY)+0.0%
EBITDA Margin26.1%
Net Margin20.5%
FCF Margin26.2%
CapEx % of Revenue0.0%
SBC % of Revenue0.3%
ROIC13.6%
WC Change % Rev-3.9%
Interest Coverage0.6x

Forward Outlook & Risk

Short Interest

Short % of Float--
Short Shares0.1M
Days to Cover1.7
Change (vs Prior)-8.6%
Need at least 2 settlement dates for chart

Employees

Headcount136
Revenue / Employee$431,287
Gross Profit / Employee$237,015

Institutional Ownership

Headline & net flow

NEUTRAL
Net flow · still filing
No float data — flow unavailable.

Ownership composition

Active
31.6%(+8.1% YoY)
66 filers
hedge / family / endowment
Retail funds
Fidelity, Schwab, 401(k)
Passive
14.8%(+2.9% YoY)
8 filers
Vanguard, iShares, SPDR
Market makers
0.1%(-0.1% YoY)
3 filers
Citadel, Susquehanna
Insiders
Form 4 — latest per insider
0%25%50%75%100%2022-062023-032023-122024-092025-062026-03
ActiveRetail fundsPassiveMarket makersRetail direct

Top holders

Fund$ valueCost basisΔ QoQΔ YoYα lifeFund AUM
T. Rowe Price Investment Management, Inc.$39.9M$22.12+$58K+$158K-1.3%$145.22B
BlackRock, Inc.Passive$17.8M$19.31+$75K−$476K-0.2%$5.69T
VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLCPassive$10.9M$20.19+$10.8M+$10.9M$4.04T
FJ Capital Management LLC$8.4M$17.44−$14K+$1.9M-0.8%$888M
TOTH FINANCIAL ADVISORY CORP$7.5M$21.41−$118K−$972K-0.3%$911M
EVERMAY WEALTH MANAGEMENT LLC$7.1M$21.42+$31K+$324K-0.1%$902M
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLCPassive$6.0M$20.73−$1K+$77K+2.3%$1.61T
STATE STREET CORPPassive$4.4M$21.55+$85K+$135K-0.2%$2.89T
BANK OF AMERICA CORP /DE/$4.2M$20.16−$755K−$1.1M-0.1%$1.36T
MAI Capital Management$4.0M$19.53+$0−$504K-0.1%$17.61B
Rhino Investment Partners, Inc$2.4M$19.84+$479K+$2.4M-0.4%$359M
BROWN ADVISORY INC$2.2M$21.22+$0−$143K-0.5%$60.79B
Fourthstone LLC$2.2M$18.71−$75K+$2.2M-1.8%$590M
Elizabeth Park Capital Advisors, Ltd.$2.1M$21.44+$0−$690K-1.0%$130M
Cresset Asset Management, LLC$2.1M$20.38+$31K+$31K-0.0%$23.10B
NORTHERN TRUST CORPPassive$2.0M$21.25+$72K−$170K-0.2%$755.34B
VANGUARD FIDUCIARY TRUST COPassive$1.6M$20.19+$1.6M+$1.6M$395.83B
VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLCPassive$1.5M$20.19+$1.5M+$1.5M$1.91T
Wealthspire Advisors, LLC$1.3M$20.13+$1.2M+$1.3M-0.3%$12.72B
Meridian Financial Partners LLC$1.2M$21.44+$0+$0+0.2%$263M
Cost basis is a volume-weighted estimate from accumulation periods within our 13F history; holders who built their position before our window started will show a stale basis. % above the cost basis is the unrealized gain at the current price.

Trading behavior

Smart-money alpha (lifetime, %/qtr)NEUTRAL
Holders
-0.79%
avg per quarter
Holders (ex-self)
-0.78%
excl. this stock
Buyers (this Q)
-0.27%
41 buyers · $0.02B in
Sellers (this Q)
-0.19%
20 sellers · $0.00B out
alpha coverage: 90% of $ has a lifetime-alpha record
Holder behavior on this stocksource: stock
On big dips (−10%+)
+5.9%
how holders react when this stock falls
On quiet Qs
+4.5%
−10% to +10% baseline
On rallies (+10%+)
-0.6%
how they react when this stock rises
Holders' portfolio flow this Q
-0.3%
outflows — trims may be forced
Sellers' portfolio flow this Q
+4.9%
Sellers grew AUM elsewhere — opinionated cut of this stock.
▸ Compare to holder-profile behavior (across all their stocks)
Holder dip (any stock)
-4.6%
Holder mid (any stock)
-2.9%
Holder rally (any stock)
-6.2%

Top Holders Over Time

5-year share-count history (top 10 holders by peak, incl. exited) + price

0973K1.9M2.9M3.9M$16$19$22$25$272022-062023-032023-122024-092025-062026-03
hover the chart for per-quarter detailprice (right axis)
T. Rowe Price Investment Management, Inc.2.0MPRICE T ROWE ASSOCIATES INC /MD/TOTH FINANCIAL ADVISORY CORP369KEVERMAY WEALTH MANAGEMENT LLC350KFJ Capital Management LLC412KBANK OF AMERICA CORP /DE/207KElizabeth Park Capital Advisors, Ltd.105KMAI Capital Management198KBROWN ADVISORY INC108KRhino Investment Partners, Inc119K

Analyst Coverage

Analyst Coverage
Price Targets
Last Quarter (1 analysts)$24.001280.0%
Last Year (1 analysts)$24.001280.0%
Current Price$21.27
Analyst Ratings
1
Buy: 1Consensus: Buy

Corporate

Insider Trading (last 12mo)

Open-market only (Form 4 P-Purchase + S-Sale). Excludes grants, option exercises, tax withholding, gifts.
Officers & directors
Buys ($, 12mo)
$499K
19 txns · 4 insiders · 26,596 sh
Sells ($, 12mo)
$0
0 txns · 0 insiders · 0 sh
Recent transactions
DateSideInsiderTitleSharesPriceDollarsOwned $
2025-12-05BUYKinney Jonathan Craigdirector500$19.63$10K$6.39M
2025-12-02BUYKinney Jonathan Craigdirector1,345$19.33$26K$6.29M
2025-11-06BUYKinney Jonathan Craigdirector500$18.90$9K$6.12M
2025-11-05BUYKinney Jonathan Craigdirector800$18.71$15K$6.05M
2025-11-04BUYKinney Jonathan Craigdirector400$18.95$8K$6.11M
2025-10-31BUYKinney Jonathan Craigdirector500$18.85$9K$6.07M
2025-07-31BUYCarstater Kentofficer: CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER5,000$18.43$92K$979K
2025-07-30BUYGARCIA MICHAEL Adirector6,162$19.20$118K$660K
2025-07-29BUYGARCIA MICHAEL Adirector4,276$19.20$82K$542K
2025-07-28BUYGARCIA MICHAEL Adirector2,747$19.11$53K$457K
2025-07-15BUYMahan Oscar Lelanddirector712$18.63$13K$1.73M
2025-06-12BUYKinney Jonathan Craigdirector700$17.36$12K$5.58M
2025-06-11BUYKinney Jonathan Craigdirector200$17.58$4K$5.64M
2025-06-06BUYKinney Jonathan Craigdirector250$17.70$4K$5.68M
2025-06-05BUYKinney Jonathan Craigdirector900$17.27$16K$5.54M
2025-06-03BUYKinney Jonathan Craigdirector204$17.47$4K$5.58M
2025-06-02BUYKinney Jonathan Craigdirector452$17.40$8K$5.56M
2025-05-30BUYKinney Jonathan Craigdirector148$17.31$3K$5.52M
2025-05-28BUYKinney Jonathan Craigdirector800$17.47$14K$5.57M

Order Flow (FINRA, ~3w lag)

11.7%retail-19.5pp
22.4%dark+6.9pp
week of 2026-04-13
0%20%40%60%24-1125-0225-0525-0825-1126-0226-04retail (non-ATS)dark (ATS)
Off-exchange volume from FINRA. Retail = non-ATS (wholesaler PFOF + broker internalization). Dark = ATS (dark-pool crossing networks, institutional). Lit-exchange = remainder.

Filing Risk Analysis

Filing Risk Scores

John Marshall Bancorp: Regulatory Compliance Shell Lacks Substantive Red Flags

Overall Risk
3/10
Fraud
1/10
Dilution
2/10
Insolvency
2/10
Earnings Overstated
1/10
Hidden Liabilities
1/10
Legal
1/10
Audit Warnings
1/10
Hidden Upside
1/10
Contextually Acceptable
10/10