ET

Energy Transfer LP
Energy·Oil & Gas Midstream
$19.17
$66.0B market cap
Claude Rating
6/10SLIGHT BUY
Revenue
$89.4B
Free Cash Flow
$3.7B
Rev Growth
+32.1%
FCF Margin
4.1%
P/FCF
18.1x
EV/FCF
37.3x
Fwd EV/EBITDA
8.2x
Fair Value
$19.50
Upside
+1.7%

Energy Transfer LP provides energy-related services. The company owns and operates approximately 11,600 miles of natural gas transportation pipeline, and three natural gas storage facilities in Texas and two natural gas storage facilities located in the state of Texas and Oklahoma; and 19,830 miles of interstate natural gas pipeline. It also sells natural gas to electric utilities, independent power plants, local distribution and other marketing companies, and industrial end-users. The company o

2-Year Price History

$20.07+46.0%
$14$15$16$17$18$19$20volMay 24Sep 24Jan 25May 25Sep 25Jan 26May 26

Quarterly Financials & Projections

Quarterly Waterfall ($ M)
PeriodRevEBITDAOpInNIOCFFCFCapExCashDebtSharesROICIntCovEV/EBITDA
Est2028-Q123,0004,715--1,610--2,300-1,15011,236----------
Est2027-Q423,5004,465--1,528--587.5-1,6458,936----------
Est2027-Q321,5004,193--1,247--1,505-1,2908,349----------
Est2027-Q221,0004,200--1,302--1,575-1,2606,844----------
Est2027-Q122,5004,455--1,463--1,913-1,3505,269----------
Est2026-Q422,8004,218--1,368--228.0-1,8243,356----------
Est2026-Q320,8003,952--1,144--1,248-1,4563,128----------
Est2026-Q220,2003,939--1,172--909.0-1,5151,880----------
Act2026-Q127,7713,6942,9831,2533,4171,501-1,916971.071,1063,45714.0%3.9x9.6x
Act2025-Q422,4103,4952,3701,4601,898-225.0-2,1231,32471,6083,65011.5%4.6x8.6x
Act2025-Q319,9543,7092,1511,0192,5721,275-1,2973,59463,9743,63911.1%4.2x8.0x
Act2025-Q219,2423,7862,4281,0992,7621,103-1,659254.061,5763,45413.0%4.4x8.3x
Act2025-Q121,0203,9372,4911,3232,9171,693-1,224459.060,6073,45313.6%4.9x8.2x
Act2024-Q419,5413,7642,2791,0772,5901,118-1,472321.060,5663,45011.9%4.7x7.5x
Act2024-Q320,7723,6752,1811,1832,8741,788-1,086325.060,0653,44111.6%4.4x7.7x
Act2024-Q220,7294,1942,2981,3142,2701,459-811.0678.058,4323,39511.9%5.5x7.6x
Act2024-Q121,6293,7632,3801,2403,7722,977-795.01,97354,2273,39013.6%5.2x7.4x
Act2023-Q420,5323,3232,1651,3271,296592.0-704.0227.053,2223,29512.6%4.8x7.7x
Act2023-Q320,7393,3412,233584.02,3731,672-701.0528.048,9013,16814.5%5.3x7.3x
Act2023-Q218,3202,9061,835911.02,5361,660-876.0345.048,9623,14811.5%4.5x7.4x
Act2023-Q118,9953,1222,0621,1133,3502,497-853.0336.048,0673,11513.5%5.0x6.8x
Act2022-Q420,5012,8661,8061,1551,338450.0-888.0267.049,1073,10311.7%4.8x6.8x
Act2022-Q322,9393,0891,9731,0062,9891,954-1,035345.048,2523,10912.8%5.3x--
Act2022-Q225,9453,1592,1131,3262,3541,648-706.0410.048,9513,10613.6%5.5x--
Act2022-Q120,4913,1741,8461,2692,3701,618-752.01,15250,3303,10112.2%5.7x--

AI Analysis

LLM Evaluations

Claude6/10SLIGHT BUYFV: $19.50

Energy Transfer is a well-positioned midstream infrastructure giant with compelling secular tailwinds from data center power demand, NGL exports, and Permian Basin growth. The ~8% distribution yield and 3-5% distribution growth provide attractive total return potential. However, the stock has re-rated significantly toward fair value, with the easy gains captured. The 5.8% annual dilution meaningfully erodes per-unit economics, the $63B debt load creates refinancing risk, and heavy growth capex ($5.5-5.9B) suppresses near-term FCF. DAPL legal risk remains a binary tail event. At current prices near analyst targets and with compressed FCF yields, the risk/reward is balanced rather than compelling.

Catalyst Hugh Brinson pipeline Phase 1 coming online in Q3-Q4 2026 could demonstrate material incremental EBITDA. Successful FERC pre-filing for Desert Southwest pipeline, and continued data center contract wins could re-rate the stock as a 'picks and shovels' AI infrastructure play.
Risk Dakota Access Pipeline (DAPL) court-mandated shutdown risk remains the single biggest binary risk, with the Environmental Impact Statement expected and the Standing Rock Sioux Tribe's permanent injunction request still active. A forced shutdown would remove a significant cash flow contributor.
Trend
IMPROVING
Mgmt
7/10
Quarter
8/10
Exp. Move
-2.0%

Latest Earnings Call

Transcript Summary

Energy Transfer LP delivered a robust Q1 2026, posting adjusted EBITDA of $4.9 billion and prompting a $750 million increase to the midpoint of its full-year EBITDA guidance. The partnership achieved record volumes across its Midstream, NGL, and Crude segments, benefitting from high utilization and strategic optimization during market volatility. Organic growth capital was revised upward to $5.5–$5.9 billion, supporting an aggressive slate of infrastructure projects including the Desert Southwest pipeline, the Springerville lateral, and the Hugh Brinson pipeline, the latter of which may begin flowing gas ahead of schedule in Q3 2026. Management highlighted a surge in demand from power generation and AI data centers, securing new long-term contracts to support these sectors. Strategically, the firm is leveraging the global shift toward U.S. energy security, extending ethane export contracts to 2041 and expanding its Permian processing footprint. Despite commodity price fluctuations, the company’s diversified asset base and demand-pull contracts provide a stable outlook for 2026. The leadership reaffirmed its commitment to capital discipline, targeting a 3-5% distribution growth rate and a 4.0x-4.5x leverage ratio.

Valuation & Metrics

Market Stats

Price$19.17
Market Cap$66.0B
Enterprise Value$136.1B
P/S Ratio0.7x
P/FCF18.1x
EV/FCF37.3x
FCF Margin (TTM)4.1%
FCF Yield5.5%
Dividend Yield (TTM)--
Annual Dilution0.1%
CurrencyUSD

TTM Financial Snapshot

Revenue$89.4B
Net Income$4.8B
Free Cash Flow$3.7B

Revenue Growth (YoY)+32.1%
EBITDA Margin16.4%
Net Margin5.4%
FCF Margin4.1%
CapEx % of Revenue7.8%
SBC % of Revenue0.1%
ROIC12.4%
WC Change % Rev-2.3%
Interest Coverage4.2x

DCF Fair Value Estimate

$1.62
-91.6% upside
Fair Enterprise Value$56.0B
− Net Debt$70.1B
= Fair Equity$5.6B
Revenue Growth3.1% → 2.5%
FCF Margin4.1% → 8.0%
Discount Rate13.0%
Terminal EV/FCF10.0x

Forward Outlook & Risk

Short Interest

Short % of Float1.0%
Short Shares31.1M
Days to Cover2.2
Change (vs Prior)+7.9%
Short % Float History
1.00%+0.10pp
0.8%0.9%1.0%1.1%04-3007-1509-1511-1401-1504-30

Options

Call IV (ATM)20%
Put IV (ATM)20%
ATM Spread0.30%
Call $OI (near money)$39.6M
Put $OI (near money)$2.2M
ATM ExpiryJuly 17, 2026 (56D)
ATM Strike$20.0
Major Expirations5
Near-money chain · July 17, 2026
StrikeCall Bid/AskCall OIPut Bid/AskPut OI
$17.00$2.97/$3.40330--/$0.141,605
$18.00$2.25/$2.341,325$0.07/$0.133,873
$19.00$1.21/$1.488,735$0.15/$0.272,537
$20.00$0.70/$0.7638,327$0.46/$0.60992
$21.00$0.25/$0.3712,018$1.01/$1.26124
$22.00$0.06/$0.1219,546$1.75/$2.145
$23.00$0.01/$0.072,346$2.43/$3.401
$24.00--/$0.06651$3.45/$4.550
Snapshot: 2026-05-22

Forward Projections & Estimates

NTM Revenue Growth-3.4%
Forward FCF Margin5.0%
Forward EBITDA Margin19.2%
Forward P/FCF15.3x
Forward EV/FCF31.7x
Forward Int. Coverage5.3x
Model Risk Score5/10
Bankruptcy Odds2%
Est. Borrow Rate5.8%
Terminal EV/FCF10.0x
LT Growth2.5%
LT FCF Margin8.0%

Employees

Headcount16,248
Revenue / Employee$5,500,800
Gross Profit / Employee$1,260,401
2022: 12,565 → 2023: 13,786 → 2024: 16,248 → 2025: 0

Institutional Ownership

Headline & net flow

NET BUYING

In Q1 2026 so far (quarter still filing), institutions are net buyers — bought 3.4% of float, sold 0.5%. 1 filer moved >1% of shares (1 buying, 0 selling).

Net flow · Q1 2026still filing
+2.9% of float (net)
Bought 3.4% · Sold 0.5%
1,286 filers reported (last quarter: 1,272)

Ownership composition

Active
29.4%(+0.4% YoY)
1,248 filers
hedge / family / endowment
Retail funds
Fidelity, Schwab, 401(k)
Passive
0.1%(+0.1% YoY)
4 filers
Vanguard, iShares, SPDR
Market makers
0.2%(+0.0% YoY)
10 filers
Citadel, Susquehanna
Insiders
4.1%
Form 4 — latest per insider
0%25%50%75%100%2022-062023-032023-122024-092025-062026-03
ActiveRetail fundsPassiveMarket makersRetail direct

Top holders

Fund$ valueCost basisΔ QoQΔ YoYα lifeFund AUM
MORGAN STANLEY$1.68B$14.13+$17.8M+$359M-0.3%$1.65T
ALPS ADVISORS INC$1.66B$13.29+$40.8M+$205M+0.0%$21.23B
JPMORGAN CHASE & CO$1.41B$14.90+$685M+$565M-0.2%$1.47T
GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC$1.17B$14.76+$169M−$320M-0.2%$760.93B
Invesco Ltd.$1.08B$14.55+$21.2M−$531K-0.2%$652.04B
TORTOISE CAPITAL ADVISORS, L.L.C.$762M$14.82+$15.2M+$24.3M+1.8%$9.60B
Blackstone Group L.P.$601M$7.95−$300M−$404M+2.8%$24.20B
UBS Group AG$598M$13.44−$9.9M−$40.1M-0.3%$562.11B
BANK OF AMERICA CORP /DE/$597M$12.57+$32.0M−$124M-0.1%$1.36T
Energy Income Partners, LLC$487M$11.22+$952K+$40.3M+1.3%$6.22B
KAYNE ANDERSON CAPITAL ADVISORS LP$474M$13.61+$12.1M+$7.9M+1.8%$5.22B
MIRAE ASSET GLOBAL ETFS HOLDINGS Ltd.$461M$15.01+$25.8M+$84.3M+1.7%$73.71B
FMR LLC$458M$13.04+$32.2M−$393M+0.3%$1.89T
NATIXIS$413M$10.55+$17.3M+$61.7M+0.1%$24.76B
WESTWOOD HOLDINGS GROUP INC$328M$14.43+$322M+$3.8M-0.4%$13.73B
Neuberger Berman Group LLC$306M$8.79−$2.1M−$4.3M+0.1%$131.37B
CIBC Bancorp USA Inc.$261M$19.30+$261M+$261M+2.3%$74.02B
COOPERMAN LEON G$257M$10.29+$0+$6.2M-0.0%$3.05B
Clearbridge Investments, LLC$253M$12.29+$1.8M−$70.4M-0.1%$114.75B
WELLS FARGO & COMPANY/MN$242M$12.74−$4.3M+$24.4M-0.2%$497.71B
Cost basis is a volume-weighted estimate from accumulation periods within our 13F history; holders who built their position before our window started will show a stale basis. % above the cost basis is the unrealized gain at the current price.

Trading behavior

Smart-money alpha (lifetime, %/qtr)BEARISH
Holders
+0.27%
avg per quarter
Holders (ex-self)
+0.20%
excl. this stock
Buyers (this Q)
+0.27%
614 buyers · $4.29B in
Sellers (this Q)
+5.65%
355 sellers · $0.22B out
alpha coverage: 100% of $ has a lifetime-alpha record
Holder behavior (holder profile)source: holder
On big dips (−10%+)
-1.0%
how holders react when this stock falls
On quiet Qs
-7.5%
−10% to +10% baseline
On rallies (+10%+)
-5.7%
how they react when this stock rises
Holders' portfolio flow this Q
+604.8%
inflows — adds are organic
Sellers' portfolio flow this Q
+22488.2%
Sellers grew AUM elsewhere — opinionated cut of this stock.

Top Holders Over Time

5-year share-count history (top 10 holders by peak, incl. exited) + price

0150.9M301.8M452.7M603.7M$7.30$10$13$16$192021-062022-062023-062024-062025-062026-03
hover the chart for per-quarter detailprice (right axis)
Blackstone Group L.P.31.1MMORGAN STANLEY87.2MGOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC60.4MALPS ADVISORS INC86.0MJPMORGAN CHASE & CO72.2MInvesco Ltd.56.1MBANK OF AMERICA CORP /DE/31.0MFMR LLC23.8MTORTOISE CAPITAL ADVISORS, L.L.C.39.5MUBS Group AG31.0M

Related Stocks

Investors who own this also own

Stocks held by the same active managers as this one, ranked by score — how much more often these appear together than random chance (1× = baseline). Excludes index ETFs and market makers; minimum 3 shared holders.

TickerNameCo-holdersScore
CQPCheniere Energy Partners, L.P.769.04×
HESMHess Midstream LP753.70×
WESWestern Midstream Partners, LP1950.45×
PAAPlains All American Pipeline, L.P.1746.95×
SUNSunoco LP646.03×
MPLXMPLX Lp2341.79×
KNTKKinetik Holdings Inc.439.45×
DTMDT Midstream, Inc.934.52×
AMAntero Midstream Corporation732.22×
FEFirstEnergy Corp.329.59×
PAGPPlains GP Holdings, L.P.827.62×
PBAPembina Pipeline Corporation726.85×

Analyst Coverage

Analyst Coverage
Price Targets
Last Year (3 analysts)$19.67260.0%
Current Price$19.17

Corporate

Insider Trading (last 12mo)

Open-market only (Form 4 P-Purchase + S-Sale). Excludes grants, option exercises, tax withholding, gifts.
Officers & directors
Buys ($, 12mo)
$68.44M
4 txns · 1 insider · 4,000,000 sh
Sells ($, 12mo)
$25K
1 txn · 1 insider · 1,369 sh
Recent transactions
DateSideInsiderTitleSharesPriceDollarsOwned $
2025-11-20BUYWARREN KELCY Ldirector1,000,000$16.81$16.81M$1.77B
2025-11-19BUYWARREN KELCY Ldirector1,000,000$16.95$16.95M$1.77B
2025-08-20BUYWARREN KELCY Ldirector1,350,000$17.36$23.44M$1.20B
2025-08-19BUYWARREN KELCY Ldirector650,000$17.30$11.24M$1.17B
2025-06-13SELLPerry James Richarddirector1,369$18.48$25K$453K

Order Flow (FINRA, ~3w lag)

62.8%retail+18.4pp
10.6%dark-4.0pp
week of 2026-04-13
0%20%40%60%24-1125-0225-0525-0825-1126-0226-04retail (non-ATS)dark (ATS)
Off-exchange volume from FINRA. Retail = non-ATS (wholesaler PFOF + broker internalization). Dark = ATS (dark-pool crossing networks, institutional). Lit-exchange = remainder.

Revenue Breakdown

Revenue Segments

By Product (2026-Q1)
Refined product sales$10.3B+107%
Crude sales$7.0B+28%
NGL sales$5.1B-9%
Gathering, transportation and other fees$3.3B+9%
Natural gas sales$1.5B-7%
Product and Service, Other$638.0M+68%
By Geography (2026-Q1)
Midstream$3.0BNEW

Filing Risk Analysis

Filing Risk Scores

Energy Transfer LP: Procedural 8-K Metadata Lacks Substantive Forensic Material

Overall Risk
2/10
Fraud
1/10
Dilution
2/10
Insolvency
2/10
Earnings Overstated
1/10
Hidden Liabilities
1/10
Legal
1/10
Audit Warnings
1/10
Hidden Upside
1/10
Contextually Acceptable
10/10

Counter-Thesis

Counter-Thesis & Recent News

📰 Recent News

Energy Transfer (ET) reported a first-quarter 2026 earnings miss, with EPS of $0.35 falling short of the $0.38 consensus estimate. In January 2026, the company's subsidiary, Panhandle Eastern Pipe Line Co., agreed to a $1.425 million settlement with the DOJ to resolve safety violations linked to a fatal 2020 employee incident. Additionally, a major explosion in a residential neighborhood near Houston in late 2024 forced over 1,000 residents to shelter in place, reigniting safety concerns across its infrastructure network (Source: Investing.com, DOJ, Greenpeace).

🐻 Bear Case

The bear case centers on a 'diminished value proposition' following a stock rally to near 52-week highs, leading some analysts to downgrade the units from 'Strong Buy' to 'Buy' as the easy gains have been realized. Bears point to management's own comments regarding 'compressing DCF' (Distributable Cash Flow) and near-term weakness in the Bakken region, which has reportedly put pressure on storage margins. High growth capital expenditures ($5.5B–$5.9B projected for 2026) also raise concerns about project execution risk and future leverage (Source: Seeking Alpha, MarketBeat).

🚩 Red Flags

A significant red flag is the company's legal volatility; in October 2025, a judge slashed ET's $667 million jury award against Greenpeace by nearly half to $345 million, impacting expected cash inflows. Furthermore, ET recently settled a $15 million securities class action lawsuit (approved October 2025) where investors alleged the company misled them regarding the Mariner East 2 and Revolution projects. Environmental reports also highlight a pattern of over 800 self-reported pipeline incidents since 2010 (Source: Seeking Alpha, Barrack.com, Greenpeace).

⚔️ Competitive Threats

Energy Transfer faces intense competition in the natural gas and NGL sectors as industry supply flows shift. Management has noted that supply and product flows may take an extended period to return to 'normalcy' following geopolitical conflicts, potentially impacting long-term volume stability. Additionally, regulatory hurdles for pipeline expansions remain a persistent threat to maintaining a competitive edge over smaller, more agile midstream players (Source: Investing.com, Morningstar).

💬 Customer Sentiment

While ET benefits from 'toll-booth' style long-term contracts with producers, sentiment is marred by aggressive litigation tactics (labeled 'SLAPP' suits by critics) and a poor environmental track record. This creates reputational risk that could alienate ESG-focused institutional investors and public utilities, particularly following recent methane plume reports and high-profile accidents that have drawn the ire of local communities and activist groups (Source: Greenpeace, MarketBeat).

Full Earnings Call Transcript

Full Earnings Call Transcript — Q1 • 2026-05-05

Operator: Good morning, and welcome to the Energy Transfer LP First Quarter 2026 Earnings Call. All participant lines will be in a listen-only mode. After today's presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. To ask a question, please press star then one on your touch tone phone. To withdraw your question, you may press star then two. Please note this event is being recorded. I will now turn the conference call over to Tom Long, Co-Chief Executive Officer. Thank you, and over to you.
Tom Long: Thank you, Operator, and good morning, everyone, and welcome to the Energy Transfer LP First Quarter 2026 Earnings Call. I am also joined today by Marshall McCrea, Dylan Bramhall, and other members of the senior management team who are here to help answer your questions after our prepared remarks. Hopefully, you saw the press release we issued earlier this morning. As a reminder, our earnings release contains an update to guidance and a thorough MD&A that goes through the segment results in detail. We encourage everyone to review the press release as well as the slides posted to our website to gain a full understanding of the quarter and our growth opportunities. As a reminder, we will be making forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. These statements are based upon our current beliefs, certain assumptions, and information currently available to us and are discussed in more detail in our Form 10-Q for the quarter ended 03/31/2026 that we expect to file later this week. I will also refer to adjusted EBITDA and distributable cash flow, or DCF, both of which are non-GAAP financial measures. You will find a reconciliation of our non-GAAP measures on our website. Let us start with our financial results for the first quarter of 2026. We generated adjusted EBITDA of approximately $4.9 billion compared to approximately $4.1 billion for the first quarter of last year. DCF attributable to the partners of Energy Transfer, as adjusted, was approximately $2.7 billion compared to approximately $23 billion for the first quarter of 2025. These results were supported by strong operations, including record midstream gathering volumes, NGL fractionation volumes, NGL export volumes, and crude oil transportation volumes for the quarter. For 2026, we spent approximately $1.5 billion on organic growth capital, primarily in the intrastate, NGL and refined products, midstream, and interstate segments, excluding Sun and USA Compression CapEx. Turning to our 2026 guidance. As a result of our strong first quarter performance across our segments as well as revised expectations for the rest of 2026, we now expect our 2026 adjusted EBITDA to range between approximately $18.2 billion and $18.6 billion compared to the previous range of approximately $17.45 billion to $17.85 billion. This includes a beat of approximately $500 million and the capture of our full-year optimization target in the first quarter, as well as expectations for continued outperformance for the balance of the year. Now turning to organic growth capital guidance. We now expect 2026 organic growth capital to be between approximately $5.5 billion and $5.9 billion compared to our previous guidance of approximately $5.0 billion to $5.5 billion, excluding Sun and USAC. This increase is primarily a result of the addition of several new growth projects, including the construction of the new Springerville lateral off our existing Transwestern pipeline, the construction of pipelines and meter stations to provide natural gas to various power plants and data center sites in Oklahoma and Arkansas, accelerated timing on longer-term projects like Desert Southwest and FGT capital spend, and gathering system and compression buildout in the midstream segment, primarily in the Permian Basin associated with recent contract and acreage dedication extensions. I will provide additional details about these projects later in the call. Beyond these projects, we continue to have a significant backlog of opportunities that are expected to support future growth. Now turning to our results by segment for the first quarter, starting with NGL and refined products. Adjusted EBITDA was approximately $1.2 billion compared to approximately $978 million for the first quarter of 2025. We saw higher throughput across our Gulf Coast pipeline operations and record performance at our Mont Belvieu fractionators. In addition, new chilling capacity placed into service last year contributed to a $50 million increase in earnings, as well as record export volumes from our Nederland terminal in the first quarter. This more than made up for fog delays experienced in the first quarter of 2025. During the first quarter of 2026, we realized higher gains of $65 million due to the timing of the settlement of NGL and refined product inventory hedges, which offset losses realized in the first quarter of 2025. Results for the quarter also included an increase of approximately $50 million from higher premiums from the sale of propane and butane for both export and domestic supply, as well as approximately a $25 million increase due to inventory writedown losses realized in the first quarter of last year. For Midstream, adjusted EBITDA was approximately $887 million compared to approximately $925 million for the first quarter of 2025. Base business earnings increased primarily due to growth in the Permian Basin where we saw volumes up 8% related to new and upgraded processing plants brought online since the first quarter of last year. In addition, we saw a $25 million decrease due to lower NGL and natural gas prices compared to last year. As a reminder, the first quarter of last year included the recognition of revenue of $160 million from Winter Storm Uri. For the crude oil segment, adjusted EBITDA was approximately $869 million compared to approximately $742 million for the first quarter of 2025. During the quarter, we saw continued growth across several of our crude oil pipeline and gathering systems. Results also included a $60 million increase related to favorable impacts to our crude oil inventory value as a result of rising crude oil prices. We expect these gains to be mostly offset with hedge losses during the second quarter of this year. In addition, we recognized $43 million of revenue that had previously been reserved related to the recontracting and extension of a legacy shipper contract during the recently completed successful DAPL open season, and we had lower expenses due to a $43 million adjustment to an accrual for a litigation-related contingency. In our interstate natural gas segment, adjusted EBITDA was approximately $519 million compared to approximately $512 million for the first quarter of 2025. This increase was primarily due to higher contracted volumes and higher rates on several of our pipelines including Panhandle Eastern, Trunkline, Florida Gas, and Transwestern. And for our intrastate natural gas segment, adjusted EBITDA was approximately $437 million compared to approximately $344 million in the first quarter of 2025. This was primarily due to an increase of approximately $100 million from winter storm burn. Results for the first quarter show how incredibly well-positioned our assets are across the country. Combining our extensive pipeline network, our storage facilities, and our terminals with our exceptionally experienced optimization and operating teams, we were able to capitalize on quickly changing dynamics and market volatility. For a closer look at some of our major projects on the natural gas side of our business, where we continue to see significant demand for our services: We are making good progress on our Desert Southwest pipeline project. In March 2026, Transwestern Pipeline initiated the FERC prefiling process for the project as previously scheduled, and we expect to file the formal certificate application with FERC in the fourth quarter of this year. In April, as a continuation of our comprehensive stakeholder engagement program, we hosted 15 open houses in communities along the entire proposed pipeline route throughout Texas, New Mexico, and Arizona. Our teams continue to actively engage with elected officials, county leadership, landowners, and associated communities along the route to communicate project information and updates; we have engaged with over 500 stakeholders to date. Our discussions have continued to be very positive as existing and potential stakeholders learn more about the expected economic benefits, realize the critical need for a dependable supply of natural gas to help with the transition from coal generation to natural gas–fired generation, and to help address significant power needs in the coming years driven by population and demand growth in Arizona and New Mexico markets. We expect this pipeline to be in service providing a reliable energy source by 2029. On the existing Transwestern pipeline, we recently approved the construction of the new Springerville lateral, an approximately 120-mile, 30-inch pipeline that will have a capacity of approximately 625 million cubic feet per day and extend south to new natural gas power generation that is expected to replace two coal-fired plants. This project is backed by 20-year agreements and is expected to be in service in 2029. Total growth capital for this project is expected to be approximately $600 million. New construction on our Hugh Brinson pipeline is going well. We continue to expect Phase 1 to be in service in the fourth quarter of this year upon the full buildout of the 400-mile pipeline and associated compression required to move 1.5 Bcf per day of gas to customers’ contractual delivery points. However, if we stay on our current schedule, we will have the ability to begin flowing some gas early in the third quarter, which is prior to placing Phase 1 into service. We continue to expect Phase 2, which includes additional compression, to be in service in 2027. The pipe is fully contracted from west to east, and we also have a growing amount of backhaul volumes committed that are expected to add significant upside. Turning to Florida Gas Transmission, or FGT. In February, we completed open seasons for two new projects that are supported by 15- to 25-year long-term agreements with anchor shippers. The Phase 9 project is designed to expand firm gas transportation capacity to multiple new and existing meter stations located across FGT’s market area. This project will consist of the construction of approximately 90 miles of pipeline looping as well as new and upgraded compression, with an anticipated capacity of approximately 525 million cubic feet per day. We recently locked in pipe for delivery in 2027 and compression for delivery in 2028, and we continue to expect the project to be available for service in the fourth quarter of 2028. The South Florida project is designed to enhance the reliability of critical infrastructure and increase overall deliveries in South Florida. The project has a condition precedent but, once we reach FID, it will consist of the construction of an approximately 40-mile extension with a capacity of approximately 230 million cubic feet per day, along with compression and a new meter station, and is expected to be available for service in 2030. Energy Transfer LP’s share of the cost for these two projects is expected to be approximately $565 million and approximately $110 million respectively, depending upon final shipper volume elections. We continue to make progress on a new storage cavern at our 12 Bcf facility. In February, our intrastate power team added connections to serve three new power plant loads in the state of Oklahoma. We have since added a fourth connection for a total of approximately 300 million cubic feet per day of new gas supply. The first of these connections is in service, with two more expected in service in the third quarter of this year. The remaining connection is expected to be in service in 2028. These connections are supported by long-term contracts with investment-grade counterparties. In addition, we have entered advanced negotiations to serve another 400 million cubic feet per day of new power plant demand in Oklahoma. Since our last earnings call, Energy Transfer LP has entered into agreements to provide long-term firm natural gas transportation services through our Texas intrastate system to support the Nexus Hubbard campus located in Central Texas, where Nexus is constructing a behind-the-meter AI hyperscale campus powered by on-site natural gas generation. Initial volumes are expected to be approximately 150 million cubic feet per day with certain rights by the transporter to increase its capacity upon election. Costs associated with this project are expected to be fully reimbursed, and it is expected to be in service by the end of this year. In addition, we recently entered into firm natural gas transportation service through our EGT pipeline to support a new data center site in Arkansas. The facility is expected to be in service in mid-2027. Energy Transfer LP also previously entered into a 20-year binding agreement with Intergic Louisiana to provide at least 250 thousand MMBtus per day of firm transportation service to fuel their facilities in Richland Parish, Louisiana. To facilitate flow of this gas, we plan to construct an 18-mile lateral off of our Tiger Pipeline, for which our customer recently exercised their option to upsize the pipeline lateral to 36 inches, and they continue to have an option to increase their commitment to up to 1 Bcf per day. In addition to these projects, we have multiple ongoing discussions with power plants to provide significant volumes and associated transportation revenues across 15 states, which have a high likelihood of reaching FID. Now looking at our Permian processing expansions, the 275 MMcf per day Mustang Draw 1 processing plant is currently being commissioned and is expected to be in full service next month, and we expect volumes to ramp up quickly. We continue to expect our 275 MMcf per day Mustang Draw 2 plant to be in service in the fourth quarter of this year. In our NGL segment, we placed the Gateway NGL pipeline debottleneck project into service in the first quarter of this year, providing increased deliveries of Delaware Basin liquids to Energy Transfer LP’s NGL fractionation complex in Mont Belvieu. Construction is also underway on a new 3 million barrel ethane storage cavern at Energy Transfer LP’s NGL fractionation complex at Mont Belvieu. The cavern, which is expected to be in service in 2027, will help support our ninth fractionator at Mont Belvieu that is expected to be in service in the fourth quarter of this year, as well as future ethane export expansions. At Nederland, we have recently extended the vast majority of our ethane export agreements into 2041, adding 10 years to the current contracts. We are hopeful to be in position for incremental Nederland ethane expansion in the coming months. In our crude oil segment, we continue to work with Enbridge on a project to provide capacity for approximately 250 thousand barrels per day of light Canadian crude oil through our system. In addition, we have approved an expansion of the Bayou Bridge crude oil pipeline, which is expected to increase the capacity to up to approximately 600 thousand barrels per day depending on destination and product mix. This expansion is underpinned by a 10-year term extension and volume increase from a demand-pull customer and is expected to be in service in the first quarter of 2027. As you can see, we had a lot of great things happen in the first quarter and many more exciting things on the way, which contributed to our increased EBITDA guidance for 2026. Our guidance each year is based upon expectations for the base business, with minimal optimization included. However, in five of the last eight years, we have seen large spreads, optimization, and other opportunities that have provided significant upside to our base business. These kinds of benefits, while one-time in nature, highlight the unique ability of our business to consistently capture significant upside during market volatility. While additional upside is expected to be dependent upon the duration and impact of current market disruption and resulting commodity prices, our assets remain incredibly well-positioned to continue maximizing these opportunities. As a result, we are optimistic that some of the benefits we saw in the first quarter will carry over throughout the rest of the year, putting us in a position to achieve or exceed the high end of our guidance range. Additionally, we continue to expect the ramp-up of growth projects, including our FlexPort NGL export project, new Permian processing plants, Hugh Brinson, and others, which we expect will contribute to continued growth in 2026. In particular, as our Hugh Brinson pipeline is in service, it will be extremely well-positioned to become a major U.S. header system that ties together our network of large-diameter pipelines, providing significant future upside. Our large slate of growth projects is contracted under long-term commitments and expected to generate mid-teen returns and considerable earnings growth over the next decade or more. Completing these projects safely, on time, and on budget remains one of our top priorities for 2026. We also continue to see new growth opportunities across all aspects of our business, demonstrated by the announcement of several new projects this quarter, and we remain extremely well-positioned to help meet the substantial growth in demand for energy resources over many years to come. As a result, we also remain very focused on capital discipline, targeting a long-term annual distribution growth rate of 3% to 5% and maintaining our leverage target of 4.0x to 4.5x EBITDA. In summary, because of the breadth of our assets, we have an unparalleled ability to transport large amounts of energy from all of the major supply basins to markets throughout the U.S., including major trading hubs, power plants, data centers, city gates, industrial complexes, and other downstream markets, including international markets through our export terminals. This concludes our prepared remarks. Operator, please open the line for our first question.
Operator: Thank you. We will now begin the question-and-answer session. If you are using a speakerphone, please pick up your handset before pressing the keys. If at any time your question has been addressed and you would like to withdraw your question, please press star then two. We will pause momentarily to assemble the roster. We have the first question from Michael Blum with Wells Fargo. Please go ahead.
Michael Blum: Thanks. Good morning, everyone. Wanted to start high level in light of the Middle East conflict that is ongoing. Are you seeing any change in U.S. producer activity or messaging? And in a similar vein, would you expect to see any permanent shifts in where global buyers will be sourcing their hydrocarbons, perhaps leaning more heavily on the U.S.? And are you seeing any of that in your discussions yet?
Marshall McCrea: Good morning, Michael. As I look around the room, there are several people who want to answer because we are so excited about where we sit and where our assets sit. Given what has been going on in the world, there is a very clear redirection to the U.S. for all products—LNG, NGLs, oil, etc.—and it really emphasizes the value of what this country offers and, more importantly, what our partnership offers to deliver these products around the world. If you talk about individual basins, it is all different, but the major tenor throughout is optimism. It is not a rush to put a bunch of rigs in, but even as of yesterday, one of our bigger customers in the Midland Basin, Diamondback, announced they are going to upsize and bring in more rigs. We think it will be a slow-moving pickup, not a lot of talk, but evident that we will see more rigs as more countries and companies turn to the U.S. for supply regardless of how long the war may last. An example in North Louisiana, the Haynesville: we are projecting about 800,000 Mcf of growth into our processing, treating, and downstream assets by August or September. Clearly, producers in North Louisiana are drilling and will bring on DUCs as we proceed deeper into this year, and we think that will continue for many years. We love where our assets are and are very excited about the future of drilling growth. It is not clear how quickly all companies and all basins will pick up, but the bottom line is there will be increased drilling and bringing on new wells from DUCs throughout the country, and we are very excited about where we sit.
Michael Blum: Thanks for that, Marshall. Appreciate it. On LPG exports, can you remind us what percent of your capacity is contracted versus open? Are you seeing any increase in demand for contracted capacity? And do you think length of contracts or rates could trend higher over time?
Marshall McCrea: Yes to all of the above. As mentioned earlier, whether with companies building assets here or buying products here, everybody is turning to the U.S., and we are extremely well-positioned. Our strategy is long-term. Whether LPG or natural gas, we are looking to extend into the 2030s and 2040s where possible. Our team did a great job at healthy rates extending our LPG business well into the 2030s. We do not have a lot of spot; we have four or five ship slots where we could be printing more money, but we do have some spots available at the FlexPort project that we just completed and are ramping. We have at least one or two slots a month that can benefit from higher spreads. We do think this environment will bring about longer terms and stronger margins over time as everyone leans on the U.S. for supply.
Operator: Thank you. We have the next question from Gabriel Moreen with Mizuho. Please go ahead.
Gabriel Moreen: Good morning, team. On guidance, in the slides you did not shift your allocation between fee-based and commodity-based margin through the year, and you are using the forward curves. On the other hand, you noted you are hopeful to exceed the upper end of guidance if things persist. Can you talk about the moving pieces, assumptions on commodity versus forward curve, and what you are baking in for the rest of the year?
Dylan Bramhall: We had an incredible first quarter. We beat our internal plan by approximately $500 million and achieved our full-year optimization earnings target. Of that $500 million, about $300 million would probably be considered one-time. We call it one-time, but we see this almost every year at Energy Transfer LP because of our assets and people. The rest is a result of tailwinds to the business. We raised guidance by $750 million at the midpoint based on line-of-sight continued outperformance across most segments—volumes, rates, and spreads. The conflict in the Middle East has made clear, as Marshall pointed out, the need for reliable U.S. energy supplies, increasing demand, volumes, and rates. We pray for a resolution, but we believe supply and product flows will take an extended time to normalize and likely will not return to the pre-conflict pattern, similar to what we saw with the Ukraine conflict. For the balance of the year, the midpoint of our guidance range assumes a conservative commodity price stack going forward. If prices remain anywhere near where they are now, that will push us to the high end of the guidance range and potentially allow us to exceed it.
Gabriel Moreen: Thanks. As a follow-up on Desert Southwest and the Springerville lateral, were the Springerville volumes contemplated in the original 2.3 Bcf/d on Desert Southwest, or is there potentially upsizing to the base project? Any potential for further laterals? And has anything changed on the regulatory approval or timeline given the lateral associated with the project?
Marshall McCrea: The Springerville lateral is tied to the retirement of some coal plants and replacement with natural gas–fired generation. We believe the majority of that gas will come from either the San Juan Basin or the Permian Basin. There are other lateral opportunities off that, and we are constantly evaluating them. Separately, on Desert Southwest, throughout New Mexico and especially in Arizona, there are numerous opportunities to lay laterals to different power plants and customers. We are chasing a lot of demand and have zero concerns about selling the remaining portion of that gas through what will be the largest pipeline built in the U.S. once completed. As always, we will add value on assets already in the ground. The Springerville customers can ultimately source gas from anywhere on the TW system, but the vast majority will come from the Permian Basin or San Juan.
Operator: We are not showing any further questions at this time. I will now turn the call back to Tom Long for any closing remarks.
Tom Long: Thank you, everyone, for joining today. As you heard, we have a lot of great projects underway and a strong outlook, not just for the quarter we reported but for many years to come. Our projects are supported by long-term contracts with a healthy mix of demand-side customers, many with terms extending beyond 20 years. This supports why we remain optimistic and excited about our future. We look forward to following up with you on any additional questions.
Operator: That concludes today’s conference call. You may now disconnect.