Stocks/CYN

CYN

Cyngn Inc.
Technology·Software - Application
--
$0M market cap
Claude Rating
1/10STRONG SHORT
Revenue
$0.3M
Free Cash Flow
$-26.8M
Rev Growth
+121.8%
FCF Margin
-9711.7%
P/FCF
--
EV/FCF
--
Fwd EV/EBITDA
--
Fair Value
$0.15
Upside
--

Cyngn Inc., an autonomous vehicle (AV) technology company, develops autonomous driving software. The company is developing Enterprise Autonomy Suite, which consists of DriveMod, a modular industrial vehicle autonomous driving software; Cyngn Insight, a customer-facing tool suite for monitoring and managing AV fleets and aggregating/analyzing data; and Cyngn Evolve, an internal tool suite and infrastructure that facilitates artificial intelligence and machine learning training to enhance algorith

2-Year Price History

$1.43-99.9%
$200$400$600$800$1.0k$1.2kvolJun 24Oct 24Jan 25May 25Sep 25Jan 26May 26

Quarterly Financials & Projections

Quarterly Waterfall ($ M)
PeriodRevEBITDAOpInNIOCFFCFCapExCashDebtSharesROICIntCovEV/EBITDA
Est2027-Q30.5-6.3---7.3---5.5-0.8-1.0----------
Est2027-Q20.4-6.2---7.2---5.6-0.74.5----------
Est2027-Q10.3-6.3---7.2---5.7-0.610.1----------
Est2026-Q40.3-6.3---7.0---5.5-0.615.8----------
Est2026-Q30.2-6.2---7.0---5.6-0.621.3----------
Est2026-Q20.2-6.3---7.2---5.7-0.526.9----------
Est2026-Q10.1-6.5---7.2---5.8-0.432.6----------
Act2026-Q10.1-6.6-6.9-6.5-8.4-8.7-0.344.46.911.0-56.7%----
Est2025-Q40.1-6.8---7.6---6.0-0.438.4----------
Act2025-Q40.1-6.3-6.6-5.7-6.7-7.1-0.434.76.84.5-69.9%----
Act2025-Q30.1-7.9-8.4-8.4-4.1-4.6-0.534.96.77.0-89.0%-31.3x--
Act2025-Q20.0-4.9-5.5-5.5-6.3-6.4-0.239.26.62.0-47.4%-24.7x--
Act2025-Q10.1-5.0-5.2-7.6-6.5-6.7-0.216.30.11.2-134.2%----
Act2024-Q40.3-5.5-5.5-12.06.15.3-0.723.60.30.9-421.3%-4.8x--
Act2024-Q30.1-5.3-5.5-5.4-10.3-10.5-0.12.80.50.9<-999%----
Act2024-Q20.0-5.6-5.8-5.8-2.0-2.4-0.47.00.70.9-959.5%-3344.5x--
Act2024-Q10.0-5.7-6.0-6.0-3.2-3.4-0.24.81.60.7<-999%----
Act2023-Q40.0-5.1-5.4-5.4-4.3-4.4-0.18.21.00.5<-999%----
Act2023-Q30.0-5.4-5.6-5.5-4.2-5.2-1.08.20.40.4<-999%----
Act2023-Q20.6-6.3-6.5-6.4-4.9-5.0-0.112.10.60.4<-999%----
Act2023-Q10.9-5.6-5.8-5.6-5.4-5.9-0.517.00.20.4-389.7%----
Act2022-Q40.3-5.5-5.7-5.6-4.7-5.1-0.422.60.40.4-207.0%----
Act2022-Q30.0-5.1-5.3-5.3-4.6-5.0-0.427.60.50.4-131.6%----
Act2022-Q20.0-4.5-4.6-4.6-3.6-3.9-0.332.60.70.3-88.0%-2769.3x--
Act2022-Q10.0-3.8-3.8-3.8-3.4-3.6-0.218.30.80.3-219.3%-10017.7x--
Historical Valuation

Multiples vs the company's own history — cheap or rich relative to itself? Historical fiscal years, then TTM, then forward projections (E). Forward rows hold today's price against projected earnings, so the multiple compresses if the company grows into it.

YearPriceRev GrEBITDA %EBITDAEV/EBITDAEV/FCFP/EP/S
20229,185-7183.8%-19n/mn/mn/m129.2×
20232,170+468.4%-1503.0%-22n/mn/mn/m13.7×
2024127.36-75.3%-6012.8%-22n/m20.2×
20252.38-40.5%-10969.1%-24n/m53.7×
TTM-32.5%-9287.7%-26
2026E+153.3%-36.1%-0

EBITDA in reporting-currency $M. Historical multiples use year-end market cap (split-adjusted price history); TTM & forward years use today's.

AI Analysis

LLM Evaluations

Claude1/10STRONG SHORTFV: $0.15

Cyngn is a textbook dilutive death spiral. The company generates effectively zero revenue ($65K over 9 months vs. $16.8M in cash burn), has executed cumulative 1:15,000 reverse splits in under 12 months, restated financials due to material weakness, and survives exclusively through ATM equity issuance that destroys shareholder value at an astronomical 690% annual dilution rate. Even if the autonomous tugger technology works (customer testimonials are encouraging), the path from $0.2M annual revenue to the $50M+ needed to approach breakeven is years away, during which time existing shareholders will be diluted to near-zero. Executive compensation of $15.5M over 3 years on $2.3M of cumulative revenue is egregious. The $100M ATM facility ensures a permanent ceiling on the stock. This is uninvestable for fundamental equity investors.

Catalyst Only a transformational OEM licensing deal generating $10M+ annual revenue could change the trajectory, but nothing in the pipeline suggests this is imminent. A buyout by a larger industrial automation company is theoretically possible but unlikely given the negligible revenue base and messy capital structure.
Risk Continued dilutive financing eventually leads to another reverse split and effective wipeout of current shareholders, or the company simply runs out of ability to raise capital as the stock price collapses further.
Trend
DETERIORATING
Mgmt
2/10
Quarter
2/10
Exp. Move
-10.0%

Valuation & Metrics

Market Stats

Price--
Market Cap$0M
Enterprise Value$-37M
P/S Ratio0.0x
P/FCF--
EV/FCF--
FCF Margin (TTM)-9711.7%
FCF Yield0.0%
Dividend Yield (TTM)--
Annual Dilution856.5%
CurrencyUSD

TTM Financial Snapshot

Revenue$0.3M
Net Income$-26.0M
Free Cash Flow$-26.8M

Revenue Growth (YoY)+121.8%
EBITDA Margin-9287.7%
Net Margin-9422.8%
FCF Margin-9711.7%
CapEx % of Revenue497.7%
SBC % of Revenue293.7%
ROIC-65.8%
WC Change % Rev-946.9%
Interest Coverage-57.0x

Forward Outlook & Risk

Short Interest

Short % of Float--
Short Shares1.5M
Days to Cover5.1
Change (vs Prior)-9.3%
Need at least 2 settlement dates for chart

Forward Projections & Estimates

NTM Revenue Growth+91.8%
Forward FCF Margin-4358.5%
Forward EBITDA Margin-4867.9%
Forward P/FCF--
Forward EV/FCF--
Forward Int. Coverage-23.7x
Model Risk Score10/10
Bankruptcy Odds35%
Est. Borrow Rate100.0%
Terminal EV/FCF5.0x
LT Growth0.0%
LT FCF Margin-500.0%

Employees

Headcount58
Revenue / Employee$4,765
Gross Profit / Employee$1,640

Cash Runway

19.8months
WATCH

Institutional Ownership

Headline & net flow

NEUTRAL
Net flow · still filing
No float data — flow unavailable.

Ownership composition

Active
16.5%(+6.0% YoY)
11 filers
hedge / family / endowment
Retail funds
Fidelity, Schwab, 401(k)
Passive
3.2%(+1.8% YoY)
5 filers
Vanguard, iShares, SPDR
Market makers
2.0%(+2.0% YoY)
4 filers
Citadel, Susquehanna
Insiders
Form 4 — latest per insider
0%25%50%75%100%2025-032025-062025-092025-122026-03
ActiveRetail fundsPassiveMarket makersRetail direct

Top holders

Fund$ valueCost basisΔ QoQΔ YoYα lifeFund AUM
Empery Asset Management, LP$1.6M$1.66+$1.6M+$1.6M-17.0%$83.0M
VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLCPassive$116K$1.66+$116K+$116K$4.04T
TWO SIGMA SECURITIES, LLCMM$76K$1.66+$76K+$76K-3.0%$858M
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLCPassive$68K$5.03−$68K+$44K+2.3%$1.61T
JANE STREET GROUP, LLCMM$62K$2.01+$32K+$62K-0.1%$92.10B
Virtu Financial LLCMM$58K$1.66+$58K+$58K-2.0%$2.41B
VANGUARD FIDUCIARY TRUST COPassive$58K$1.66+$58K+$58K$395.83B
STATE STREET CORPPassive$39K$5.23+$0+$39K-0.2%$2.89T
NORTHERN TRUST CORPPassive$39K$5.14+$0+$39K-0.2%$755.34B
PRICE T ROWE ASSOCIATES INC /MD/$35K$2.38+$0+$35K-0.2%$864.93B
UBS Group AG$29K$5.94−$104K+$3K-0.3%$562.11B
Tower Research Capital LLC (TRC)MM$8K$2.94+$5K+$6K-0.6%$3.84B
SBI Securities Co., Ltd.$3K$12.34−$0+$3K+0.9%$3.62B
ADVISOR GROUP HOLDINGS, INC.$0$14.40+$0+$0-0.3%$67.63B
Redpoint Management, LLC$0$4.58+$0+$0-3.7%$201M
CWM, LLC$0$1.66+$0+$0-0.1%$37.83B
JONES FINANCIAL COMPANIES LLLP$0$14.40+$0+$0-0.1%$208.07B
JPMORGAN CHASE & CO$0$14.39+$0+$0-0.2%$1.47T
Caitong International Asset Management Co., Ltd$0$1.66+$0+$0+1.3%$540M
Ascentis Wealth Management, LLC$0$1.66+$0+$0+0.3%$508M
Cost basis is a volume-weighted estimate from accumulation periods within our 13F history; holders who built their position before our window started will show a stale basis. % above the cost basis is the unrealized gain at the current price.

Trading behavior

Smart-money alpha (lifetime, %/qtr)BEARISH
Holders
-16.44%
avg per quarter
Holders (ex-self)
-16.36%
excl. this stock
Buyers (this Q)
-17.13%
10 buyers · $0.00B in
Sellers (this Q)
-0.27%
3 sellers · $0.00B out
alpha coverage: 92% of $ has a lifetime-alpha record
Holder behavior on this stocksource: stock
On big dips (−10%+)
+10.3%
how holders react when this stock falls
On quiet Qs
-29.4%
−10% to +10% baseline
On rallies (+10%+)
+5.3%
how they react when this stock rises
Holders' portfolio flow this Q
-14.5%
outflows — trims may be forced
Sellers' portfolio flow this Q
+9.4%
Sellers grew AUM elsewhere — opinionated cut of this stock.
▸ Compare to holder-profile behavior (across all their stocks)
Holder dip (any stock)
-44.5%
Holder mid (any stock)
-29.4%
Holder rally (any stock)
-5.0%

Top Holders Over Time

5-year share-count history (top 10 holders by peak, incl. exited) + price

0250K499K749K998K$1.66$4.84$8.03$11$142025-032025-062025-092025-122026-03
hover the chart for per-quarter detailprice (right axis)
Empery Asset Management, LP958KSABBY MANAGEMENT, LLCUBS Group AG17Ka16z Capital Management, L.L.C.DnB Asset Management ASINSIGNEO ADVISORY SERVICES, LLCPRICE T ROWE ASSOCIATES INC /MD/21KJPMORGAN CHASE & CO4SBI Securities Co., Ltd.2KWELLS FARGO & COMPANY/MN

Corporate

Order Flow (FINRA, ~3w lag)

48.4%retail-8.6pp
7.2%dark+3.6pp
week of 2026-04-13
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%25-0225-0525-0725-1025-1226-0326-04retail (non-ATS)dark (ATS)
Off-exchange volume from FINRA. Retail = non-ATS (wholesaler PFOF + broker internalization). Dark = ATS (dark-pool crossing networks, institutional). Lit-exchange = remainder.

Filing Risk Analysis

Filing Risk Scores

Cyngn Inc.: A Dilutive Death Spiral Masked by Massive Reverse Splits and Restatements

Overall Risk
9/10
Fraud
5/10
Dilution
10/10
Insolvency
8/10
Earnings Overstated
7/10
Hidden Liabilities
6/10
Legal
5/10
Audit Warnings
8/10
Hidden Upside
2/10
Contextually Acceptable
2/10

Counter-Thesis

Counter-Thesis & Recent News

📰 Recent News

Cyngn (CYN) has demonstrated significant operational momentum, tripling its autonomous DriveMod Tugger orders in 2025 compared to 2024 (PR Newswire, Jan 2026). In March 2026, the company announced a new commercial deployment at a WEG Electric Motor facility to automate component movement (Stock Titan, March 2026). Strategically, the company added former Lyft executive Ran Makavy to its board in February 2026 and secured its 24th U.S. patent for AI-powered autonomous technology (Investing.com, Jan 2026).

🐻 Bear Case

The bear case centers on severe financial instability and execution risk. Despite triple-digit percentage revenue growth, absolute revenue remains minimal (approx. $151k for the first 9 months of 2025) compared to a quarterly net loss of $8.4 million (DCF Modeling, Nov 2025). The stock has also suffered a massive drawdown from its 52-week high of $41.54 to approximately $1.48, and the company has historically relied on dilutive capital raises, such as the $32M raise in mid-2025, to survive (Nasdaq, Aug 2025; StockTitan, March 2026).

🚩 Red Flags

A major red flag is the material weakness in internal controls that forced a restatement of audited 2024 and quarterly 2025 financials due to errors in accounting for warrants. This resulted in an estimated $12.7 million increase in warrant liability (Investing.com, Nov 2025). Additionally, the company's decision not to host earnings calls for its year-end 2025 results may signal a lack of transparency or confidence in answering direct analyst questions (Stock Titan, March 2026).

⚔️ Competitive Threats

Cyngn faces intense competition from larger, better-capitalized incumbents and specialized automation firms. Primary rivals include Crown Equipment, Brain Corp, Locus Robotics, and Seegrid (Owler). These competitors often have deeper integration with major warehouse providers and significantly higher revenue bases, making it difficult for a micro-cap like Cyngn to gain meaningful market share without burning excessive capital.

💬 Customer Sentiment

Customer sentiment is a potential 'hidden' strength for the bulls. High-profile clients like Coats, G&J Pepsi, and U.S. Continental have provided public testimonials citing 4x increases in efficiency and payback periods of less than 2 years (Cyngn.com Case Studies, Oct 2025). WEG's recent deployment to handle 60 pallets per day suggests that for specific industrial workflows, Cyngn's DriveMod system is successfully moving from 'pilot' to 'production' status (Stock Titan, March 2026).