Stocks/CGTX

CGTX

Cognition Therapeutics, Inc.
Healthcare·Biotechnology
$1.18
$87M market cap
Claude Rating
4/10UNDERWEIGHT
Revenue
$0.0M
Free Cash Flow
$-20.3M
Rev Growth
+0.0%
FCF Margin
0.0%
P/FCF
--
EV/FCF
--
Fwd EV/EBITDA
--
Fair Value
$0.85
Upside
-28.0%

Cognition Therapeutics, Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, engages in the discovery and development of small molecule therapeutics targeting age-related degenerative diseases and disorders of the central nervous system and retina. Its lead product candidate is CT1812, a sigma-2 receptor antagonist, which is in Phase II clinical trial for the treatment of mild-to-moderate Alzheimer's disease, as well as has completed Phase I clinical trial to treat early-stage Alzheimer's disease;

2-Year Price History

$1.26-35.4%
$0.50$1.0$1.5$2.0$2.5volJun 24Oct 24Jan 25May 25Sep 25Jan 26May 26

Quarterly Financials & Projections

Quarterly Waterfall ($ M)
PeriodRevEBITDAOpInNIOCFFCFCapExCashDebtSharesROICIntCovEV/EBITDA
Est2027-Q33.5-6.0---6.0---5.6-0.1-12.4----------
Est2027-Q24.0-6.0---6.0---5.6-0.1-6.8----------
Est2027-Q15.0-6.0---6.0---5.5-0.1-1.2----------
Est2026-Q45.0-6.0---6.0---5.5-0.14.3----------
Est2026-Q35.0-6.0---6.0---5.5-0.19.8----------
Est2026-Q24.5-6.0---6.0---5.4-0.115.3----------
Est2026-Q14.5-6.0---6.0---5.4-0.120.7----------
Act2026-Q10.0-8.8-8.8-4.6-5.5-5.5-0.031.10.589.2-156.9%-1749.8x--
Est2025-Q44.0-6.0---6.0---5.0-0.126.1----------
Act2025-Q40.0-3.3-13.7-3.3-3.4-3.4-0.037.00.688.9-199.4%-655.4x--
Act2025-Q30.0-4.9-6.4-4.9-5.7-5.7-0.039.80.478.0-85.3%----
Act2025-Q20.0-6.7-14.0-6.7-5.6-5.6-0.010.70.563.7<-999%-2223.3x--
Act2025-Q10.0-8.4-13.8-8.5-9.9-9.9-0.016.40.661.8<-999%-1686.0x--
Act2024-Q40.0-7.8-10.7-7.8-8.4-8.4-0.025.00.846.4-844.0%-1553.2x--
Act2024-Q30.0-9.9-14.5-9.9-6.9-6.9-0.022.00.640.4<-999%-3288.0x--
Act2024-Q20.0-7.0-14.7-7.0-6.0-6.0-0.028.50.840.1<-999%-995.3x--
Act2024-Q10.0-9.1-14.1-9.2-7.2-7.2-0.034.71.033.7<-999%-908.3x--
Act2023-Q40.0-8.1-15.2-8.1-5.5-5.5-0.029.91.230.8<-999%-896.2x--
Act2023-Q30.0-6.7-14.7-6.8-4.2-4.2-0.133.00.730.4<-999%-3341.0x--
Act2023-Q20.0-4.7-11.8-4.7-3.7-3.7-0.037.21.029.6<-999%-776.5x--
Act2023-Q10.0-6.1-9.0-6.2-2.7-2.8-0.038.81.229.1<-999%-610.2x--
Act2022-Q40.0-5.1-9.3-5.2-10.2-10.2-0.041.61.529.0-446.9%-511.2x--
Act2022-Q30.0-6.6-12.6-6.60.0-0.0-0.046.60.723.0-750.8%-3281.5x--
Act2022-Q20.0-5.8-12.2-5.8-5.4-5.4-0.045.81.022.6-412.6%-830.1x--
Act2022-Q10.0-3.7-9.4-3.8-3.0-3.1-0.151.51.422.4-218.5%-405.3x--
Historical Valuation

Multiples vs the company's own history — cheap or rich relative to itself? Historical fiscal years, then TTM, then forward projections (E). Forward rows hold today's price against projected earnings, so the multiple compresses if the company grows into it.

YearPriceRev GrEBITDA %EBITDAEV/EBITDAEV/FCFP/EP/S
20222.10-21n/mn/mn/m
20231.85-26n/mn/mn/m
20240.70-34n/m
20251.35-23n/mn/mn/m
TTM1.18-240.0×0.0×0.0×
2026E1.18-1.3%-00.0×0.0×0.0×0.0×

EBITDA in reporting-currency $M. Historical multiples use year-end market cap (split-adjusted price history); TTM & forward years use today's.

AI Analysis

LLM Evaluations

Claude4/10UNDERWEIGHTFV: $0.85

Cognition Therapeutics is a high-risk clinical-stage biotech with genuinely interesting science — zervimesine's DLB data (82% less behavioral worsening, 91% reduction in cognitive fluctuations) and the tau-enriched AD subgroup (95% slowing) are compelling. However, the investment case is severely impaired by: (1) zero revenue and no near-term commercialization path, (2) devastating 93% annual dilution that destroys per-share value, (3) cash runway only to mid-2027 even after recent raises, (4) complete dependence on a pharma partnership that has not yet materialized, (5) Phase 3 trials requiring hundreds of millions in funding, and (6) intense competition from Leqembi and Donanemab. The science deserves attention but the equity structure is toxic for public market investors. At the current $84M market cap with 78M shares (and growing rapidly), the risk/reward skews negative unless a major partnership is announced imminently. This is a lottery ticket, not an investment.

Catalyst A major pharma partnership for Phase 3 development of zervimesine in AD or DLB would be transformative — potentially providing non-dilutive funding, validation, and a path to NASDAQ compliance. FDA alignment on registrational trial design is the near-term catalyst.
Risk Failure to secure a pharma partnership before cash runs out, forcing additional massively dilutive equity raises at sub-$1 prices or potential NASDAQ delisting, which would effectively destroy remaining equity value.
Trend
STABLE
Mgmt
5/10
Quarter
5/10
Exp. Move
+2.0%

Latest Earnings Call

Transcript Summary

Cognition Therapeutics is narrowing its focus to its Alzheimer's disease (AD) and Dementia with Lewy Bodies (DLB) programs, discontinuing its Phase II dry AMD study to extend its cash runway into Q4 2025. The company is preparing for two major end-of-Phase II meetings with the FDA to finalize pivotal trial designs for its lead candidate, zervimesine (CT1812). Financed by $25 million in cash and $50 million in remaining NIA grants, Cognition is actively seeking strategic partnerships to fund Phase III development. Clinical data from the SHINE and SHIMMER trials support the drug's safety and efficacy, with management planning to use tau enrichment for AD trials and a traditional regulatory path. A significant headwind is the company's NASDAQ compliance status, as it has until September 2025 to raise its share price above $1.00. Management remains bullish on zervimesine’s potential, citing strong feedback from key opinion leaders and payers, and is prioritizing business development to secure non-dilutive funding. The company also improved its manufacturing processes to be 'Phase III ready,' filing new patents for a novel chemical production method aimed at supporting future commercial scales.

Valuation & Metrics

Market Stats

Price$1.18
Market Cap$87M
Enterprise Value$56M
P/S Ratio0.0x
P/FCF--
EV/FCF--
FCF Margin (TTM)0.0%
FCF Yield-23.3%
Dividend Yield (TTM)--
Annual Dilution44.3%
CurrencyUSD

TTM Financial Snapshot

Revenue$0.0M
Net Income$-19.6M
Free Cash Flow$-20.3M

Revenue Growth (YoY)+0.0%
EBITDA Margin0.0%
Net Margin0.0%
FCF Margin0.0%
CapEx % of Revenue0.0%
SBC % of Revenue0.0%
ROIC-3097.1%
WC Change % Rev0.0%
Interest Coverage-1812.7x

DCF Fair Value Estimate

$-0.28
-123.7% upside
Fair Enterprise Value$-250M
− Net Debt$-31M
= Fair Equity$-25M
Revenue Growth-2.8% → 8.0%
FCF Margin0.0% → 25.0%
Discount Rate18.0%
Terminal EV/FCF25.0x

Forward Outlook & Risk

Short Interest

Short % of Float13.5%
Short Shares8.0M
Days to Cover6.4
Change (vs Prior)+9.1%
Short % Float History
13.50%+12.00pp
0.0%5.0%10.0%15.0%04-3007-1509-1511-1401-1504-30

Forward Projections & Estimates

NTM Revenue Growth+0.0%
Forward FCF Margin-118.3%
Forward EBITDA Margin-133.2%
Forward P/FCF--
Forward EV/FCF--
Forward Int. Coverage-97.8x
Model Risk Score10/10
Bankruptcy Odds35%
Est. Borrow Rate100.0%
Terminal EV/FCF25.0x
LT Growth15.0%
LT FCF Margin25.0%

Employees

Headcount25
Revenue / Employee$0
Gross Profit / Employee$-5,160
2022: 25 → 2023: 28 → 2024: 28 → 2025: 30 (6% CAGR)

Cash Runway

18.4months
WATCH

Institutional Ownership

Headline & net flow

BALANCED

In Q1 2026 so far (quarter still filing), institutions are roughly balanced — bought 2.6% of float, sold 2.1%.

Net flow · Q1 2026still filing
+0.5% of float (net)
Bought 2.6% · Sold 2.1%
38 filers reported (last quarter: 78)

Ownership composition

Active
12.5%(+8.1% YoY)
62 filers
hedge / family / endowment
Retail funds
Fidelity, Schwab, 401(k)
Passive
4.9%(+4.0% YoY)
8 filers
Vanguard, iShares, SPDR
Market makers
0.5%(+0.4% YoY)
5 filers
Citadel, Susquehanna
Insiders
7.9%
Form 4 — latest per insider
0%25%50%75%100%2022-062023-032023-122024-092025-062026-03
ActiveRetail fundsPassiveMarket makersRetail direct

Top holders

Fund$ valueCost basisΔ QoQΔ YoYα lifeFund AUM
BIOS Capital Management, LP$4.6M$0.70+$0+$0-14.2%$52.9M
VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLCPassive$2.3M$0.76+$2.3M+$2.3M$4.04T
DAVENPORT & Co LLC$2.2M$1.35+$16K+$2.2M-0.2%$17.92B
RENAISSANCE TECHNOLOGIES LLC$848K$1.30+$112K+$806K+1.2%$63.91B
Chescapmanager LLC$757K$0.82+$0+$757K+1.2%$626M
BlackRock, Inc.Passive$735K$1.22−$35K+$618K-0.2%$5.69T
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLCPassive$699K$1.36+$35K+$419K+2.3%$1.61T
Hilton Capital Management, LLC$417K$1.35+$0+$417K+1.8%$1.32B
VANGUARD FIDUCIARY TRUST COPassive$352K$0.76+$352K+$352K$395.83B
Dauntless Investment Group, LLC$327K$1.35−$27K+$327K+5.1%$35.6M
CM Management, LLC$304K$0.95+$152K+$0-4.4%$120M
JANE STREET GROUP, LLCMM$281K$1.33−$185K+$281K-0.1%$92.10B
Sigma Planning Corp$257K$1.00+$92K−$206K-0.0%$3.58B
STATE STREET CORPPassive$239K$1.31+$0+$146K-0.2%$2.89T
AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP INC$156K$2.75+$0+$0-2.7%$270M
Voss Capital, LLC$152K$1.25−$60K−$190K-0.8%$1.75B
XTX Topco Ltd$149K$0.78+$120K+$149K-1.9%$5.74B
TOCQUEVILLE ASSET MANAGEMENT L.P.$148K$1.41+$2K+$126K-0.1%$6.74B
NORTHERN TRUST CORPPassive$128K$1.49−$19K+$92K-0.2%$755.34B
HRT FINANCIAL LP$116K$0.76+$116K+$116K-0.6%$39.46B
Cost basis is a volume-weighted estimate from accumulation periods within our 13F history; holders who built their position before our window started will show a stale basis. % above the cost basis is the unrealized gain at the current price.

Trading behavior

Smart-money alpha (lifetime, %/qtr)BEARISH
Holders
-5.25%
avg per quarter
Holders (ex-self)
-5.55%
excl. this stock
Buyers (this Q)
-0.98%
15 buyers · $0.00B in
Sellers (this Q)
+0.97%
15 sellers · $0.00B out
alpha coverage: 84% of $ has a lifetime-alpha record
Holder behavior on this stocksource: stock
On big dips (−10%+)
+10.2%
how holders react when this stock falls
On quiet Qs
-5.9%
−10% to +10% baseline
On rallies (+10%+)
-11.6%
how they react when this stock rises
Holders' portfolio flow this Q
+2.3%
inflows — adds are organic
Sellers' portfolio flow this Q
+8.6%
Sellers grew AUM elsewhere — opinionated cut of this stock.
▸ Compare to holder-profile behavior (across all their stocks)
Holder dip (any stock)
-1.9%
Holder mid (any stock)
-2.7%
Holder rally (any stock)
-3.5%

Top Holders Over Time

5-year share-count history (top 10 holders by peak, incl. exited) + price

02.9M5.8M8.7M11.6M$0.31$0.92$1.53$2.14$2.752021-122022-092023-062024-032024-122025-092026-03
hover the chart for per-quarter detailprice (right axis)
BIOS Capital Management, LP6.0MPATHSTONE FAMILY OFFICE, LLCAIGH Capital Management LLCPathstone Holdings, LLCDAVENPORT & Co LLC2.9MProsight Management, LPTANG CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLCChescapmanager LLC997KNantahala Capital Management, LLCRENAISSANCE TECHNOLOGIES LLC1.1M

Analyst Coverage

Analyst Coverage
Analyst Ratings
6
1
Buy: 6Hold: 1Consensus: Buy
Consensus Estimates
QuarterRevenueEBITDANet IncEPSEPS Range# Analysts
2025 Q30M0M-7M$-0.09$-0.12 – $-0.083
2025 Q40M0M-7M$-0.08$-0.09 – $-0.063
2026 Q14M0M-6M$-0.07$-0.11 – $-0.023
2026 Q25M0M-6M$-0.06$-0.07 – $-0.063
2026 Q35M0M-6M$-0.07$-0.07 – $-0.073
2026 Q40M0M-12M$-0.13$-0.13 – $-0.131
2027 Q10M0M-4M$-0.05$-0.05 – $-0.051
2027 Q20M0M-4M$-0.05$-0.05 – $-0.051
2027 Q30M0M-4M$-0.05$-0.05 – $-0.051
2027 Q40M0M-4M$-0.05$-0.05 – $-0.051

Corporate

Executive Compensation (2023-2025)

Direct Pay$11.8M
Incentive & Other$5.1M
Total Compensation$16.9M
% of Revenue0.0%

Insider Trading (last 12mo)

Open-market only (Form 4 P-Purchase + S-Sale). Excludes grants, option exercises, tax withholding, gifts.
Officers & directors
Buys ($, 12mo)
$32K
3 txns · 3 insiders · 29,175 sh
Sells ($, 12mo)
$0
0 txns · 0 insiders · 0 sh
Recent transactions
DateSideInsiderTitleSharesPriceDollarsOwned $
2026-04-16BUYCaggiano Anthonyofficer: Chief Medical Officer10,000$1.11$11K$971K
2026-04-16BUYDoyle John Brendanofficer: Chief Financial Officer10,000$1.13$11K$709K
2026-04-16BUYRicciardi Lisadirector, officer: CEO & President9,175$1.10$10K$1.89M

Order Flow (FINRA, ~3w lag)

62.2%retail+4.9pp
6.3%dark-1.2pp
week of 2026-04-13
0%20%40%60%80%24-1125-0225-0525-0825-1126-0226-04retail (non-ATS)dark (ATS)
Off-exchange volume from FINRA. Retail = non-ATS (wholesaler PFOF + broker internalization). Dark = ATS (dark-pool crossing networks, institutional). Lit-exchange = remainder.

Filing Risk Analysis

Filing Risk Scores

Cognition Therapeutics: A Grant-Dependent Burner Fueling Growth via Aggressive Equity Shelves

Overall Risk
7/10
Fraud
3/10
Dilution
8/10
Insolvency
6/10
Earnings Overstated
4/10
Hidden Liabilities
2/10
Legal
2/10
Audit Warnings
5/10
Hidden Upside
4/10
Contextually Acceptable
7/10

Counter-Thesis

Counter-Thesis & Recent News

📰 Recent News

In January 2026, Cognition Therapeutics published full Phase 2 SHIMMER results in 'Alzheimer’s & Dementia,' demonstrating that zervimesine (CT1812) significantly improved behavioral outcomes (82% less worsening) and reduced cognitive fluctuations by 91% in DLB patients. Additionally, the company presented its Phase 3 registrational plan for Alzheimer’s at the CTAD conference (Dec 2025), focusing on a patient population enriched for low p-tau217 levels, where prior Phase 2 data showed a staggering 95% slowing of cognitive decline.

🐻 Bear Case

The primary bear thesis rests on the Phase 2 SHINE trial failing to meet a previously hyped '3-point' improvement on the ADAS-Cog11 scale, only achieving a 1.04-point difference (39% slowing). Bears view this as a 'clinical miss' compared to management's early bold predictions. Furthermore, with zero revenue and a net income drop of 50% YoY as of Q3 2025, shorts argue the company is a 'dilution machine' that will require frequent equity raises to reach Phase 3 completion.

🚩 Red Flags

Cash runway is a perennial concern; while the company claims funding into Q2 2027, this includes ~$36M in NIA grants which are milestone-dependent and not guaranteed. H.C. Wainwright recently lowered its price target to $3 (from $5) specifically to account for anticipated equity dilution. The stock also faces technical resistance near the $1.20–$1.27 levels, and recent price increases have occurred on declining volume, suggesting weak buying conviction.

⚔️ Competitive Threats

CGTX faces intense competition from heavyweights like Eisai/Biogen (Leqembi) and Eli Lilly (Donanemab). While CT1812 is an oral pill (easier administration), it must prove it can provide additive benefit to these established monoclonal antibodies. The Phase 2 START trial is currently testing this combo, but any failure to show synergy could relegate CT1812 to a niche player in a crowded neurodegeneration market.

💬 Customer Sentiment

Positive sentiment is reflected through rapid patient and investigator uptake. The company’s Expanded Access Program (EAP) for DLB reached full enrollment by late 2025, indicating high demand from patients who have exhausted traditional treatments. Clinical investigators at the Alzheimer's Clinical Trials Consortium (ACTC) remain highly engaged, as evidenced by the successful full enrollment of the 540-patient START study in November 2025.

Full Earnings Call Transcript

Full Earnings Call Transcript — Q4 • 2025-03-20

Operator: Greetings, and welcome to the Cognition Therapeutics Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2024 Earnings Call. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to your host, Mr. Mike Moyer with LifeSci Advisors. Thank you. You may begin.
Mike Moyer: Thank you, operator, and good morning, everyone. Welcome to Cognition Therapeutics Fourth Quarter and Year-end 2024 Results Conference Call. With me today are Lisa Ricciardi, President and Chief Executive Officer; John Doyle, Chief Financial Officer; and Dr. Tony Caggiano, Chief Medical Officer. This morning, the company issued a press release detailing its 2024 fourth quarter and year-end results. We encourage everyone to read this morning's press release as well as Cognition's annual report on Form 10-K, which is now filed with the SEC and available on our website. In addition, this conference call is being webcast through the company's website and will be archived for 30 days. Please note that certain information discussed on the call today is covered under the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act. We caution listeners that during this call, management will be making forward-looking statements. Actual results could differ materially from those stated or implied by these forward-looking statements due to the risks and uncertainties associated with the company's business. These forward-looking statements are qualified by the cautionary statements contained in Cognition's press releases and SEC filings, including its annual report on Form 10-K and previous filings. This conference call contains time-sensitive information that is accurate only as of the date of this live broadcast. Cognition undertakes no obligation to revise or update any forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after the date of this conference call. With that, I would like to now hand the call over to Lisa Ricciardi.
Lisa Ricciardi: Mike, thank you, and good morning, everyone. Cognition Therapeutic's focus is the development of zervimesine for patients with Alzheimer's disease and dementia with Lewy bodies, which I'll refer to as DLB. For clarity, zervimesine is the USAN or the generic name for our lead candidate, CT1812. Last year, we reported data through 2 studies in both patient populations, and the results showed strong efficacy signals, making it clear that zervimesine has the potential to bring great value to patients and their care partners and we believe to investors as well. Many of you were wondering what are the next steps to advance zervimesine into registrational trials. Our clinical development team -- our clinical operations and development teams are working to prepare final study documents from both trials. To be clear, these are very large dossiers. They need to be compiled, reviewed and crosschecked, and when we're satisfied with these documents, we will submit them to the FDA along with requests for 2 different end of Phase II meetings, one for Alzheimer's and one for DLB. At the same time, we're having discussions with advisers to ensure that we are as prepared as possible when approaching the FDA. Now let's talk about capital allocation. We decided to conclude our dry AMD -- Phase II dry AMD study before its completion. The reduced expense extends our runway and now 100% of our attention and resources are allocated to our Alzheimer's and DLB programs. Let me be clear, the decision to conclude the dry AMD study was not due to any safety concerns. Quite the contrary, our clinical research organization partner conducted an analysis of the masked data. This type of analysis is referred to as a futility study and it is used to determine if an experimental drug has signals of efficacy during the clinical trial. We reported that we had indeed passed the analysis, which supports the potential of zervimesine in patients with dry AMD. However, we felt them and we still believe that the decision to conclude the dry AMD study was necessary for the success of our Alzheimer's and DLB programs. Zervimesine has shown clear activity in these 2 large patient populations, and there is such a clear need for new effective convenient drugs in both Alzheimer's and Lewy body dementia. Therefore, we intend to discuss with the FDA plans to pursue each indication in separate studies. Now we are not naive about the significant capital needed to fund these studies. We have an active business development program ongoing. We've built strong relationships with biotech and pharma players in this space since we began as a company. We have conducted a number of fruitful meetings since the beginning of the year, updating interested parties on the data from SHINE and SHIMMER. The ideal scenario would be to find a partner to work with on the development and registration program and in the process obtain non-dilutive funding for one or both indications. There's nothing I can confirm today, and I have no guarantee that we're going to sign a deal, but I am confident we will find a path forward with funding. We are evaluating all our options to finance our clinical development efforts. In addition, beyond securing capital, we're making strides to ensure we're Phase III ready. Our CMC team has developed a novel chemical process for the manufacture of zervimesine. Provisional patent applications covering this chemical process have been filed. We expect that this manufacturing process will produce material sufficient for future clinical studies and if zervimesine is approved, we expect it will support commercial manufacturing needs. On that same front, we're working with the domestic CMO or contract manufacturing organization that will be capable of producing commercial quantities of zervimesine. With that, John Doyle will review our financial results and provide color around our cash position and capital requirements. John?
John Doyle : Thank you, Lisa. We made the strategic decision in January 2025 to voluntarily conclude our Phase II MAGNIFY study in dry AMD. This pipeline prioritization will result in cost savings that we expect will extend our cash runway into the fourth quarter of 2025. This allows us to focus our resources entirely on our Alzheimer's and DLB programs. During 2024, we used one of the tools we have at our disposal, our at-the-market or ATM facility with B. Riley Securities. For the year ended December 31, 2024, we sold almost 20 million shares of our common stock for gross proceeds of approximately $12.8 million. Now let's proceed to the financials for the fiscal year 2024. Cash and cash equivalents as of December 31, 2024 were approximately $25 million and total obligated grant funds remaining from the NIA were $50 million. As indicated earlier, we estimate that we have sufficient cash to fund operations and capital expenditures into the fourth quarter of 2025. Research and development expenses were $41.7 million for the year, ended December 31, 2024, compared to $37.2 million for 2023. This increase was primarily related to higher costs associated with activities underway to complete 2 Phase II trials. General and administrative expenses were $12.3 million for the year ended December 31, 2024, compared to $13.5 million for 2023. The decrease was primarily related to lower equity-based compensation and professional fees. The company reported a net loss of $34 million or $0.86 per basic and diluted share for the year ended December 31, 2024, compared to a net loss of $25.8 million or $0.86 per basic and diluted share for 2023. Lisa?
Lisa Ricciardi: Thank you, John. I want to take this opportunity to address the question of NASDAQ compliance. As many of you saw last week, we were granted a 6-month grace period to come back into compliance with NASDAQ's minimum bid requirement. This means our stock has to come close above $1 for 10 days consecutively before September 8, 2025. We are confident we will regain compliance during the allotted time. We have multiple milestones coming up that we believe will drive value in the stock. We expect to hold 2 Phase II -- end of Phase II meetings with the FDA for Alzheimer's disease and Lewy body dementia, gaining clarity on our clinical programs going forward, and we anticipate having announcements about partnering or other sources of funding. Now I'll turn the call back to the operator who can open the call to questions. We'll begin with the sell side and then take questions from recent conferences.
Operator: [Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from the line of Mayank Mamtani with B. Riley Securities.
Mayank Mamtani : I appreciate the detailed update. As you prep for the end of Phase II FDA meeting, do you have any latest thoughts on the tau cutoff threshold that you might be thinking about based on the SHINE study learnings? And also if you could comment on implications of that biomarker to the ongoing Phase II early AD study and if there's any update on enrollment for that early AD study would be helpful too? And then I have a follow-up.
Anthony Caggiano : Yes. Sure. Mayank, it's Tony Caggiano. Yes, so we certainly are planning to do enrichment of participants in the next study for those who have lower tau. We haven't announced exactly what that level is going to be, but it will be very, very similar to what we used in the SHINE study. Now we're looking at the data and we're looking at databases and our collaborators' databases around what we would expect in the population and then making cuts to see where the effects are most robust and where that best number would be. But we haven't landed on a specific number, but you can expect it to be very similar. And then relating to the early AD study, we haven't made any announcements as to how we're progressing in that study. It is still continuing to recruit. Now there you had asked about whether there is a particular cut around tau in that study. So in that study, there is not. So understand, this is a different population of people with Alzheimer's disease. These are folks at the early end of the spectrum. So inherently, what's going to be enriched with those who have a slightly lower tau anyway, but that's not part of that study.
Mayank Mamtani : And then on SHIMMER data that was presented at a recent conference, are you able to share any investigative physician feedback that you came away with? And also, obviously, interested in what sort of next steps in terms of publication strategy that you may have there in DLB because obviously, not a lot going on there? And if you're able to just maybe update us on how corporate development activity could look like, if it's the same partner interested in both indications or do you think one indication could be more sort of manageable by a company your size versus maybe another indication being pursued by a larger company? Would love to hear your thoughts on that.
Lisa Ricciardi: Mayank, thank you. We don't have any updates on partnering. We have lots of interest in different forms. You alluded to several, one indication, both indications. So when a deal is concluded, we will make that announcement and we're talking to all the interested parties. With regard to feedback, what I can tell you is, we have excellent feedback from KOLs, from people we were with in the International Conference in Amsterdam, from surveys we've done of neurologists and from payers. So as we are approaching the coming days, we'll make more of that information public in various ways. But I can tell you it is consistently strong feedback where KOLs and others, payers, in particular, are identifying the fact they are great needs, this is a convenient drug, they appreciate the safety profile. Patients don't have many options out there. It's all the kind of feedback we would have hoped to receive. And it's very, very consistent. With regard to the publication, I'll turn that back to Tony.
Anthony Caggiano : Sure. So the publication is already underway. Obviously, it's a long cycle, right? So the preparation will take a little bit and then there's submission review, revision and publication, but it's underway and hopefully will be out in the next many, many months.
Operator: Our next question comes from the line of Daniil Gataulin with Chardan Capital.
Daniil Gataulin : I have one for DLB specifically, similar to the Alzheimer's program, are you looking at any biomarkers or did you find any biomarkers to try to increase the probability of success of that program in the pivotal studies?
Anthony Caggiano : This is Tony again. Good question. Right now, we don't have any definitive enrichment strategy. The good news is we saw really good robust response across all the people that we recruited regardless of how we looked at it, whether it's age, gender, amyloid status, alpha-synuclein status, whether they were on dopamine-related drugs, whether they were on acetyl cholinesterase related drugs. So the good news is, we believe, across the spectrum of people with DLB, we expect to see a good response.
Daniil Gataulin : Got it. And then with respect to dosing. So when you reported the news about GA, and I think you had a green light for the SMB. Was that for 200-milligram dose? And thinking about the dose for pivotal studies for AD and DLB, what are your current thinking? Are you leaning towards 100 or 200?
Anthony Caggiano : We haven't selected an exact dose yet. Most likely, we will be operating below 300 milligrams. And the reason for that is when you look at the data, you'll see we had a really nice robust response that's nearly identical for the 100 and 300-milligram dose group, which means we can get the full effect of the drug, and then obviously, the less drug you're using, the fewer troublesome side effects you'll have. So we'll be exploring doses below 300. But we haven't come to agreement exactly what that dose will be. Obviously, that will be part of our end of Phase II meeting where you justify the dose and you propose how it will be designed, statistical analysis and so forth. So we'll have an announcement once that meeting is done as to the agreement on the exact plan.
Operator: [Operator Instructions] Our next question comes from the line of Ram Selvaraju with H.C. Wainwright.
Unidentified Analyst : This is Dan on Ram. We were wondering what does the competitive landscape in DLB look like and recognizing your plans to meet with the FDA regarding zervimesine, what are your thoughts around the potential approvability of it in DLB based on neuropsychiatric parameters? And I'd like to ask a follow-up, if I could.
Lisa Ricciardi: Sure. Tony?
Anthony Caggiano : Yes. The neuropsychiatric symptoms that you mentioned are key or a core symptom of disease. So we're very confident that physicians and FDA will be interested in this. Unlike Alzheimer's disease where there's guidance, like a cognitive outcome with a functional outcome, that doesn't exist for DLB. So a strong emphasis of our FDA meeting will be around which of the outcome measures we will propose, how they'll be ordered, whether they'll be stand-alone or co-primary or composite outcomes. So that's exactly what that meeting will be about. And again, once we have that meeting and have agreement and understand what that study will look like, there will be an announcement.
Unidentified Analyst : Awesome. And then what are the outlooks in Europe versus the United States for accelerated approval in anti-Alzheimer's drugs? And what are your thoughts for more near- or medium-term grant funding given the reported NIH cutbacks?
Anthony Caggiano : So right now, we are primarily pursuing a very traditional path, right, of Phase III studies that are adequately sized, well controlled, either 2 studies, a supportive study in a single pivotal or 2 parallel studies. The accelerated pathway in Alzheimer's disease, as you know, has been interesting, right, following Biogen and then now with successes from Eisai and Lilly. And given our ability to clearly measure what are meaningful clinical outcomes, our path is to follow the traditional outcomes and seek a traditional approval. Now in Europe, we haven't seen that it's any easier to get an approval. So again, we plan to follow a very traditional pathway.
Lisa Ricciardi: And then with regard to the NIH funding, John mentioned we have a $50 million balance of funding, and that supports our START trial in early-stage patients. All of our other trials were funded by the NIH or the NIA within the NIH and those trials have completed, and we're very confident that this final balance will be available to us. Like everyone else, we're watching what's going on. We're learning on a real-time basis, but we believe we'll have access to those funds to finish the trial. As for your other question about new grants, it's our understanding that by the time you're into Phase III programs, you have the ability to reach other sources of funding the capital markets, partnerships, et cetera, and that the funding vehicles we've seen so far are really geared toward earlier-stage programs. So I would say, we don't anticipate more grant funding from the NIA. It's possible, we'll certainly try, but I think it's a lower probability now than when we were an earlier stage company.
Operator: That concludes our questions over the phone. I'll turn the floor back to Ms. Ricciardi for any final comments.
Lisa Ricciardi: Great. I'm just looking at prior questions we were asked. John addressed the question about the ATM, how we have an ATM in place. We've addressed planning for Phase III trials in AD and DLB. Someone had previously asked us, why are you not starting your Phase III trials yet, and I think we've covered it on this call. You prepare an enormous dossier, you sit with the agency, you review your protocol. From there, by identifying your funding, you're good to go. You have a plan and a source of funding to complete it. And last, with regard to partnerships, as we said earlier, we're very actively involved in that process and when we have something that we can announce, we will. What I would like to conclude with is saying we have FDA meetings coming this year. While there are challenges ahead in terms of financing our studies, we're committed to meeting these challenges. We're positioned to achieve and deliver on multiple clinical milestones, and we're focused on creating long-term value for our shareholders as we create important new medications. As always, we want to thank study participants and their caregivers, our investors as well as supporters at the NIA, Michael J. Fox, the ADDF, our CRO partners and our team. Without all of these groups, we'd not be where we are today developing new medicines for neurodegenerative diseases. Thank you, operator. That concludes our call.
Operator: Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today's conference call. You may disconnect your lines at this time. Thank you for your participation.