Stocks/BYSI

BYSI

BeyondSpring Inc.
Healthcare·Biotechnology
$1.68
$69M market cap
Claude Rating
2/10SHORT
Revenue
$0.0M
Free Cash Flow
$-19.1M
Rev Growth
+0.0%
FCF Margin
0.0%
P/FCF
--
EV/FCF
--
Fwd EV/EBITDA
--
Fair Value
$0.65
Upside
-61.3%

BeyondSpring Inc., a clinical stage biopharmaceutical company, together with its subsidiaries, focuses on the development of cancer therapies. The company's lead asset is the Plinabulin, a selective immune-modulating microtubule-binding agent that has completed Phase III clinical trials for the prevention of chemotherapy-induced neutropenia; and for treatment of later-stage non-small cell lung cancer. It is also developing Plinabulin in combination with various immuno-oncology agents, including

2-Year Price History

$1.57-35.7%
$1.5$2.0$2.5$3.0volJun 24Oct 24Jan 25May 25Sep 25Jan 26May 26

Quarterly Financials & Projections

Quarterly Waterfall ($ M)
PeriodRevEBITDAOpInNIOCFFCFCapExCashDebtSharesROICIntCovEV/EBITDA
Est2027-Q30.1-5.5---4.8---5.0-0.0-30.7----------
Est2027-Q20.1-5.5---4.8---5.0-0.0-25.7----------
Est2027-Q10.1-5.5---4.8---5.0-0.0-20.7----------
Est2026-Q40.1-5.2---4.5---4.7-0.0-15.7----------
Est2026-Q30.1-5.5---4.8---5.0-0.0-11.0----------
Est2026-Q20.1-5.0---4.2---4.6-0.0-6.0----------
Est2026-Q10.1-5.2---4.5---4.8-0.0-1.4----------
Act2026-Q10.0-2.2-2.2-2.2-3.3-3.3-0.07.90.341.1<-999%----
Est2025-Q40.1-5.0---4.0---4.5-0.03.4----------
Act2025-Q40.0-2.6-2.6-2.1-5.7-5.7-0.012.60.340.4<-999%----
Act2025-Q30.0-1.7-1.8-1.5-4.3-4.3-0.012.60.440.3-504.1%----
Act2025-Q20.0-1.9-2.0-1.8-5.9-5.9-0.09.50.540.3-252.3%----
Act2025-Q10.0-2.5-2.64.5-4.5-4.5-0.18.50.640.3-203.2%----
Act2024-Q40.0-1.7-1.7-1.70.00.0-0.02.90.639.7<-999%----
Act2024-Q3-1.00.50.4-2.10.00.0-0.02.90.639.7249.9%----
Act2024-Q20.5-3.6-3.7-3.60.00.0-0.014.43.739.1-402.7%----
Act2024-Q10.5-3.6-3.7-3.60.00.0-0.014.43.739.1-402.7%----
Act2023-Q40.4-4.7-4.8-4.20.00.0-0.05.40.939.0<-999%----
Act2023-Q30.4-4.8-4.8-4.20.00.0-0.05.40.939.0<-999%----
Act2023-Q20.4-6.7-6.7-6.40.00.0-0.015.44.539.0-602.8%----
Act2023-Q10.4-6.7-6.7-6.40.00.0-0.015.44.539.0-602.8%----
Act2022-Q40.3-8.2-8.2-7.40.83.7-2.837.35.039.1-657.3%----
Act2022-Q30.3-8.2-8.2-7.40.00.0-0.037.35.039.1-657.3%----
Act2022-Q20.3-10.4-10.4-9.20.00.0-0.051.95.339.1-528.4%----
Act2022-Q10.3-10.4-10.4-9.20.00.0-0.051.95.339.1-525.7%----
Historical Valuation

Multiples vs the company's own history — cheap or rich relative to itself? Historical fiscal years, then TTM, then forward projections (E). Forward rows hold today's price against projected earnings, so the multiple compresses if the company grows into it.

YearPriceRev GrEBITDA %EBITDAEV/EBITDAEV/FCFP/EP/S
20221.88-2748.7%-37n/m1.2×n/m27.3×
20230.90+29.6%-1305.8%-23n/mn/m17.8×
20241.63-100.0%-8n/mn/m
20251.63-9n/mn/mn/m
TTM1.68-100.0%-80.0×0.0×0.0×
2026E1.68-52.3%-00.0×0.0×0.0×0.0×

EBITDA in reporting-currency $M. Historical multiples use year-end market cap (split-adjusted price history); TTM & forward years use today's.

AI Analysis

LLM Evaluations

Claude2/10SHORTFV: $0.65

BeyondSpring is a deeply distressed clinical-stage biotech that has no meaningful revenue, a shareholders' deficit, and is literally selling off its most promising subsidiary (SEED Therapeutics) piece by piece to fund quarterly burn. The Plinabulin Asian Phase 3 subset data is encouraging but insufficient for FDA registration without the global dataset, and the company received a CRL in 2021. With ~10 months of cash runway, the company faces a near-certain dilutive raise or further asset liquidation. The ~$60M market cap is speculative option value on Plinabulin, but the probability-weighted outcome is heavily skewed toward further dilution or insolvency. The SEED stake (~38%) has real value given the $30M Series A-3, but monetizing it further reduces BYSI's future upside. Insider net selling and founder control compound governance concerns. This is a deteriorating situation masquerading as a turnaround story.

Catalyst Potential positive: A major pharma partnership or licensing deal for Plinabulin in Asia based on DUBLIN-3 subset data could provide non-dilutive capital and validation. Completion of remaining SEED sale tranches would extend runway. On the short side: cash exhaustion forcing a deeply dilutive raise at micro-cap levels, or failure to secure additional Plinabulin partnerships.
Risk Cash runway exhaustion within 10 months forces a highly dilutive equity raise at distressed valuations, destroying existing shareholder value, or the company fails to find a partner and winds down.
Trend
DETERIORATING
Mgmt
3/10
Quarter
4/10
Exp. Move
-5.0%

Valuation & Metrics

Market Stats

Price$1.68
Market Cap$69M
Enterprise Value$61M
P/S Ratio0.0x
P/FCF--
EV/FCF--
FCF Margin (TTM)0.0%
FCF Yield-27.6%
Dividend Yield (TTM)--
Annual Dilution2.0%
CurrencyUSD

TTM Financial Snapshot

Revenue$0.0M
Net Income$-7.6M
Free Cash Flow$-19.1M

Revenue Growth (YoY)+0.0%
EBITDA Margin0.0%
Net Margin0.0%
FCF Margin0.0%
CapEx % of Revenue0.0%
SBC % of Revenue0.0%
ROIC-1374.7%
WC Change % Rev0.0%
Interest Coverage--

DCF Fair Value Estimate

$-0.27
-116.3% upside
Fair Enterprise Value$-113M
− Net Debt$-8M
= Fair Equity$-11M
Revenue Growth0.0% → 1.0%
FCF Margin0.0% → 0.0%
Discount Rate18.0%
Terminal EV/FCF6.0x

Forward Outlook & Risk

Short Interest

Short % of Float7.0%
Short Shares2.2M
Days to Cover281.6
Change (vs Prior)-0.2%
Short % Float History
7.00%+1.10pp
6.0%6.5%7.0%7.5%8.0%8.5%04-3007-1509-1511-1401-1504-30

Options

Call IV (ATM)--
Put IV (ATM)--
ATM Spread--
Call $OI (near money)$368
Put $OI (near money)$200
ATM ExpiryJuly 17, 2026 (56D)
ATM Strike$2.5
Major Expirations1
Near-money chain · July 17, 2026
StrikeCall Bid/AskCall OIPut Bid/AskPut OI
$2.50--/$0.0552--/$1.502
$5.00--/$0.104$1.10/$5.000
$7.50--/$4.404$3.60/$7.500
Snapshot: 2026-05-22

Forward Projections & Estimates

NTM Revenue Growth+0.0%
Forward FCF Margin-4725.0%
Forward EBITDA Margin-5175.0%
Forward P/FCF--
Forward EV/FCF--
Forward Int. Coverage--
Model Risk Score10/10
Bankruptcy Odds45%
Est. Borrow Rate100.0%
Terminal EV/FCF5.0x
LT Growth0.0%
LT FCF Margin0.0%

Employees

Headcount40
Revenue / Employee$0
Gross Profit / Employee$-1,000
2022: 67 → 2023: 35 → 2024: 40 → 2025: 44 (-13% CAGR)

Cash Runway

4.9months
CRITICAL

Institutional Ownership

Headline & net flow

BALANCED

In Q1 2026 so far (quarter still filing), institutions are roughly balanced — bought 0.7% of float, sold 0.9%.

Net flow · Q1 2026still filing
-0.2% of float (net)
Bought 0.7% · Sold 0.9%
21 filers reported (last quarter: 26)

Ownership composition

Active
11.0%(-1.4% YoY)
12 filers
hedge / family / endowment
Retail funds
Fidelity, Schwab, 401(k)
Passive
6.0%(+5.4% YoY)
7 filers
Vanguard, iShares, SPDR
Market makers
0.0%(-0.1% YoY)
1 filers
Citadel, Susquehanna
Insiders
1.1%
Form 4 — latest per insider
0%25%50%75%100%2022-062023-032023-122024-092025-062026-03
ActiveRetail fundsPassiveMarket makersRetail direct

Top holders

Fund$ valueCost basisΔ QoQΔ YoYα lifeFund AUM
Decheng Capital LLC$6.2M$0.90+$0−$1.8M-2.0%$661M
BlackRock, Inc.Passive$1.1M$2.29−$34K+$704K-0.2%$5.69T
VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLCPassive$997K$1.64+$997K+$997K$4.04T
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLCPassive$616K$2.15+$11K+$576K+2.3%$1.61T
STATE STREET CORPPassive$379K$1.76+$0+$379K-0.2%$2.89T
VANGUARD FIDUCIARY TRUST COPassive$295K$1.64+$295K+$295K$395.83B
NORTHERN TRUST CORPPassive$114K$1.73+$0+$86K-0.2%$755.34B
TANAKA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT INC$43K$2.20+$0+$0+2.4%$57.1M
Meridian Wealth Management, LLC$25K$1.64+$25K+$25K+0.4%$2.81B
RENAISSANCE TECHNOLOGIES LLC$18K$2.01+$0−$0+1.2%$63.91B
Vanguard Global Advisers, LLCPassive$8K$1.64+$8K+$8K$186.48B
MORGAN STANLEY$7K$2.19−$0−$6K-0.3%$1.65T
NATIONAL BANK OF CANADA /FI/$5K$2.20+$0+$0-0.6%$97.70B
Trifecta Capital Advisors, LLC$2K$1.44+$0+$0+0.6%$646M
UBS Group AG$2K$1.92−$2K−$65K-0.3%$562.11B
Tower Research Capital LLC (TRC)MM$2K$1.40+$1K+$2K-0.6%$3.84B
SIMPLEX TRADING, LLC$1K$2.20−$0+$1K+2.5%$3.23B
JPMORGAN CHASE & CO$0$2.17+$0−$0-0.2%$1.47T
SBI Securities Co., Ltd.$0$1.63+$0+$0+0.9%$3.62B
BNP PARIBAS FINANCIAL MARKETS$0$1.56+$0+$0-0.2%$149.31B
Cost basis is a volume-weighted estimate from accumulation periods within our 13F history; holders who built their position before our window started will show a stale basis. % above the cost basis is the unrealized gain at the current price.

Trading behavior

Smart-money alpha (lifetime, %/qtr)BEARISH
Holders
-1.30%
avg per quarter
Holders (ex-self)
-1.93%
excl. this stock
Buyers (this Q)
+0.42%
8 buyers · $0.00B in
Sellers (this Q)
+1.19%
4 sellers · $0.00B out
alpha coverage: 87% of $ has a lifetime-alpha record
Holder behavior on this stocksource: stock
On big dips (−10%+)
-17.8%
how holders react when this stock falls
On quiet Qs
-6.2%
−10% to +10% baseline
On rallies (+10%+)
-1.8%
how they react when this stock rises
Holders' portfolio flow this Q
-3.6%
outflows — trims may be forced
Sellers' portfolio flow this Q
+0.5%
Sellers' overall flow ~ flat.
▸ Compare to holder-profile behavior (across all their stocks)
Holder dip (any stock)
-0.4%
Holder mid (any stock)
-5.6%
Holder rally (any stock)
-2.7%

Top Holders Over Time

5-year share-count history (top 10 holders by peak, incl. exited) + price

01.7M3.5M5.2M6.9M$0.80$1.49$2.18$2.88$3.572021-062022-062023-062024-062025-062026-03
hover the chart for per-quarter detailprice (right axis)
ALLIANCEBERNSTEIN L.P.Decheng Capital LLC3.8MDecheng Capital Management III (Cayman), LLCMORGAN STANLEY5KTWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LPTANAKA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT INC26KBLAIR WILLIAM & CO/ILCITADEL ADVISORS LLCMILLENNIUM MANAGEMENT LLCSECTORAL ASSET MANAGEMENT INC

Analyst Coverage

Analyst Coverage
Analyst Ratings
6
2
1
Buy: 6Hold: 2Sell: 1Consensus: Buy
Consensus Estimates
QuarterRevenueEBITDANet IncEPSEPS Range# Analysts
2025 Q20M0M-12M$-0.29$-0.29 – $-0.291
2025 Q30M0M-23M$-0.57$-0.57 – $-0.571
2025 Q40M0M-22M$-0.54$-0.54 – $-0.541
2026 Q19M2M-22M$-0.54$-0.54 – $-0.541
2026 Q29M2M-22M$-0.54$-0.54 – $-0.541
2026 Q39M2M-20M$-0.48$-0.48 – $-0.481
2026 Q40M0M-24M$-0.58$-0.58 – $-0.581
2027 Q10M0M-12M$-0.29$-0.29 – $-0.291
2027 Q20M0M-24M$-0.58$-0.58 – $-0.581
2027 Q30M0M-12M$-0.29$-0.29 – $-0.291

Corporate

Insider Trading (last 12mo)

Open-market only (Form 4 P-Purchase + S-Sale). Excludes grants, option exercises, tax withholding, gifts.
Major holders (≥10% beneficial owners)
Buys ($, 12mo)
$0
0 txns · 0 insiders · 0 sh
Sells ($, 12mo)
$2.02M
62 txns · 1 insider · 854,615 sh
Recent transactions
DateSideInsiderTitleSharesPriceDollarsOwned $
2025-10-17SELLDecheng Capital China Life Sciences USD Fund III, L.P.10 percent owner45,513$1.76$80K$2.67M
2025-10-16SELLDecheng Capital China Life Sciences USD Fund III, L.P.10 percent owner85,798$1.72$148K$2.69M
2025-10-15SELLDecheng Capital China Life Sciences USD Fund III, L.P.10 percent owner17,960$1.65$30K$2.72M
2025-10-14SELLDecheng Capital China Life Sciences USD Fund III, L.P.10 percent owner28,495$1.65$47K$2.75M
2025-10-13SELLDecheng Capital China Life Sciences USD Fund III, L.P.10 percent owner107,361$1.70$183K$2.88M
2025-10-10SELLDecheng Capital China Life Sciences USD Fund III, L.P.10 percent owner2,390$1.77$4K$3.19M
2025-10-09SELLDecheng Capital China Life Sciences USD Fund III, L.P.10 percent owner3,979$1.81$7K$3.27M
2025-10-08SELLDecheng Capital China Life Sciences USD Fund III, L.P.10 percent owner7,507$1.77$13K$3.20M
2025-10-07SELLDecheng Capital China Life Sciences USD Fund III, L.P.10 percent owner2,100$1.79$4K$3.25M
2025-10-06SELLDecheng Capital China Life Sciences USD Fund III, L.P.10 percent owner17,500$1.78$31K$3.24M
2025-10-03SELLDecheng Capital China Life Sciences USD Fund III, L.P.10 percent owner600$1.76$1K$3.23M
2025-10-02SELLDecheng Capital China Life Sciences USD Fund III, L.P.10 percent owner600$1.73$1K$3.18M
2025-10-01SELLDecheng Capital China Life Sciences USD Fund III, L.P.10 percent owner2,601$1.80$5K$3.31M
2025-09-30SELLDecheng Capital China Life Sciences USD Fund III, L.P.10 percent owner4,464$1.81$8K$3.33M
2025-09-29SELLDecheng Capital China Life Sciences USD Fund III, L.P.10 percent owner500$1.75$875$3.23M
2025-09-26SELLDecheng Capital China Life Sciences USD Fund III, L.P.10 percent owner600$1.68$1K$3.10M
2025-09-25SELLDecheng Capital China Life Sciences USD Fund III, L.P.10 percent owner700$1.66$1K$3.07M
2025-09-24SELLDecheng Capital China Life Sciences USD Fund III, L.P.10 percent owner2,256$1.68$4K$3.10M
2025-09-23SELLDecheng Capital China Life Sciences USD Fund III, L.P.10 percent owner4,106$1.72$7K$3.18M
2025-09-22SELLDecheng Capital China Life Sciences USD Fund III, L.P.10 percent owner5,410$1.83$10K$3.39M

Order Flow (FINRA, ~3w lag)

56.2%retail-5.0pp
2.4%dark+2.1pp
week of 2026-04-13
0%20%40%60%24-1125-0225-0525-0825-1126-0226-04retail (non-ATS)dark (ATS)
Off-exchange volume from FINRA. Retail = non-ATS (wholesaler PFOF + broker internalization). Dark = ATS (dark-pool crossing networks, institutional). Lit-exchange = remainder.

Filing Risk Analysis

Filing Risk Scores

BeyondSpring Inc.: Liquidity Crisis Forcing Asset Fire Sales Amidst $30M Shareholders' Deficit

Overall Risk
9/10
Fraud
3/10
Dilution
8/10
Insolvency
9/10
Earnings Overstated
2/10
Hidden Liabilities
7/10
Legal
4/10
Audit Warnings
6/10
Hidden Upside
4/10
Contextually Acceptable
3/10

Counter-Thesis

Counter-Thesis & Recent News

📰 Recent News

In December 2025, BeyondSpring presented promising results from the Asian subset of its DUBLIN-3 Phase 3 trial at ESMO Asia, showing Plinabulin + docetaxel improved median overall survival to 10.8 months vs. 8.8 months for docetaxel alone (p=0.0426) and dramatically reduced grade 4 neutropenia from 26.5% to 3.9%. In January 2026, its subsidiary SEED Therapeutics (BYSI owns ~38%) secured $30M in Series A-3 financing and received FDA/China NMPA clearance for an IND for its lead RBM39 degrader, ST-01156. Financials for Q3 2025 showed a significant cash increase to $12.5M (up from $2.9M YoY) following a strategic divestiture of SEED interests.

🐻 Bear Case

The prevailing short thesis relies on the 2021 FDA Complete Response Letter (CRL) and a perceived lack of capital to fund global registration. However, bears may be missing the 'Global Registration Path' strategy being built through strong Asian Phase 3 data and successful high-value divestitures. The company has pivoted from a pure R&D burn model to a strategic holding model by monetizing its stake in SEED Therapeutics while maintaining 40% equity, providing a non-dilutive capital lifeline that the market has not fully priced in.

🚩 Red Flags

Despite recent cash inflows, the $12.5M balance remains thin for a company pursuing late-stage clinical trials. Weiss Ratings maintained a 'Sell (D+)' rating in February 2026, and the stock suffers from low trading volume (50% below average in early 2026), making it highly susceptible to volatility. The company still reports consistent net losses ($4.9M in Q3 2025), and its micro-cap status ($52M-53M market cap) keeps it off the radar of many institutional buyers.

⚔️ Competitive Threats

BYSI operates in the hyper-competitive NSCLC (Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer) space, where standard-of-care docetaxel is increasingly challenged by emerging immuno-oncology (IO) combinations. While Plinabulin aims to 're-sensitize' patients who failed PD-1/L1 inhibitors, it must compete with newer ADC (Antibody-Drug Conjugates) and TIGIT inhibitors that are also targeting the same second- and third-line patient populations.

💬 Customer Sentiment

Sentiment among clinical investigators remains high, evidenced by ongoing collaborations with MD Anderson Cancer Center. Phase 2 data presented in late 2025 showed an 85% Disease Control Rate (DCR) in immunotherapy-resistant patients, suggesting strong demand for the drug's unique mechanism (Dendritic Cell maturation). Speculative investor interest saw a minor spike in December 2025, and institutional filings (e.g., Geode Capital increasing stake by 951%) suggest some professionals are bottom-fishing for a turnaround.