Stocks/AVBC

AVBC

Avidia Bancorp, Inc.
Financial Services·Banks - Regional
$19.06
$383M market cap
Revenue
$75.4M
Free Cash Flow
$8.0M
Rev Growth
+0.0%
FCF Margin
10.6%
P/FCF
47.7x
EV/FCF
74.4x
Fwd EV/EBITDA
--
Fair Value
--
Upside
--

Avidia Bancorp, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Avidia Bank that provides various financial services to individual and corporate customers. It provides savings and checking, certificate of deposit, individual retirement, money market, demand deposit, and interest-bearing and noninterest-bearing checking accounts. The company also offers commercial and industrial loans, one-to four-family residential mortgage loans, home equity loans and second mortgage loans, multi-family mortgage

2-Year Price History

$19.11+31.2%
$15$16$17$18$19$20$21volAug 25Sep 25Nov 25Dec 25Feb 26Apr 26May 26

Quarterly Financials & Projections

Quarterly Waterfall ($ M)
PeriodRevEBITDAOpInNIOCFFCFCapExCashDebtSharesROICIntCovEV/EBITDA
Act2026-Q137.98.28.26.00.00.0-0.019.2232.918.66.7%0.8x--
Act2025-Q437.57.87.85.38.88.0-0.815.9287.818.55.2%0.8x--

Valuation & Metrics

Market Stats

Price$19.06
Market Cap$383M
Enterprise Value$596M
P/S Ratio5.1x
P/FCF47.7x
EV/FCF74.4x
FCF Margin (TTM)10.6%
FCF Yield2.1%
Dividend Yield (TTM)0.5%
Annual Dilution0.0%
CurrencyUSD

TTM Financial Snapshot

Revenue$75.4M
Net Income$11.3M
Free Cash Flow$8.0M

Revenue Growth (YoY)+0.0%
EBITDA Margin21.1%
Net Margin15.0%
FCF Margin10.6%
CapEx % of Revenue1.1%
SBC % of Revenue0.6%
ROIC5.9%
WC Change % Rev-0.2%
Interest Coverage0.8x

Forward Outlook & Risk

Short Interest

Short % of Float--
Short Shares0.1M
Days to Cover1.2
Change (vs Prior)+13.6%
Need at least 2 settlement dates for chart

Employees

Headcount250
Revenue / Employee$301,436
Gross Profit / Employee$213,148

Institutional Ownership

Headline & net flow

NEUTRAL
Net flow · still filing
No float data — flow unavailable.

Ownership composition

Active
24.0%(+8.0% YoY)
55 filers
hedge / family / endowment
Retail funds
Fidelity, Schwab, 401(k)
Passive
7.9%(+2.0% YoY)
7 filers
Vanguard, iShares, SPDR
Market makers
0.5%(+0.5% YoY)
2 filers
Citadel, Susquehanna
Insiders
Form 4 — latest per insider
0%25%50%75%100%2025-092025-122026-03
ActiveRetail fundsPassiveMarket makersRetail direct

Top holders

Fund$ valueCost basisΔ QoQΔ YoYα lifeFund AUM
T. Rowe Price Investment Management, Inc.$23.6M$14.98+$621K+$23.6M-1.3%$145.22B
VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLCPassive$16.2M$19.62+$16.1M+$16.2M$4.04T
WELLINGTON MANAGEMENT GROUP LLP$15.3M$14.86−$587K+$15.3M-0.3%$533.98B
FJ Capital Management LLC$9.8M$14.86+$0+$9.8M-0.8%$888M
MILLENNIUM MANAGEMENT LLC$6.4M$18.99+$5.0M+$6.4M-0.5%$127.40B
BlackRock, Inc.Passive$5.4M$14.90−$46K+$5.4M-0.2%$5.69T
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLCPassive$4.3M$15.39+$452K+$4.3M+2.3%$1.61T
TWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP$4.2M$15.71+$1.0M+$4.2M-0.9%$117.03B
HENNESSY ADVISORS INC$3.0M$17.36+$1.2M+$3.0M+0.4%$2.77B
MORGAN STANLEY$2.4M$17.42+$702K+$2.4M-0.3%$1.65T
VANGUARD FIDUCIARY TRUST COPassive$2.3M$19.62+$2.3M+$2.3M$395.83B
ALLIANCEBERNSTEIN L.P.$2.3M$15.42+$0+$2.3M-0.3%$307.70B
MARSHALL WACE, LLP$2.0M$17.35+$431K+$2.0M+0.6%$92.71B
GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC$1.9M$16.24+$644K+$1.9M-0.2%$760.93B
Russell Investments Group, Ltd.$1.5M$19.62+$1.5M+$1.5M+1.5%$93.03B
FRANKLIN RESOURCES INC$1.5M$14.86−$4K+$1.5M-0.2%$403.03B
COMMONWEALTH EQUITY SERVICES, LLC$1.5M$15.70+$144K+$1.5M-0.3%$71.14B
WHITE PINE CAPITAL LLC$1.5M$18.36+$818K+$1.5M-0.0%$355M
STATE STREET CORPPassive$1.2M$16.28+$153K+$1.2M-0.2%$2.89T
SUSQUEHANNA INTERNATIONAL GROUP, LLPMM$1.2M$19.62+$1.2M+$1.2M-0.6%$77.14B
Cost basis is a volume-weighted estimate from accumulation periods within our 13F history; holders who built their position before our window started will show a stale basis. % above the cost basis is the unrealized gain at the current price.

Trading behavior

Smart-money alpha (lifetime, %/qtr)BEARISH
Holders
-0.48%
avg per quarter
Holders (ex-self)
-0.48%
excl. this stock
Buyers (this Q)
-0.13%
38 buyers · $0.04B in
Sellers (this Q)
+3.22%
12 sellers · $-0.00B out
alpha coverage: 85% of $ has a lifetime-alpha record
Holder behavior (holder profile)source: holder
On big dips (−10%+)
-7.0%
how holders react when this stock falls
On quiet Qs
-5.4%
−10% to +10% baseline
On rallies (+10%+)
-0.8%
how they react when this stock rises
Holders' portfolio flow this Q
+1.8%
inflows — adds are organic
Sellers' portfolio flow this Q
+4.3%
Sellers grew AUM elsewhere — opinionated cut of this stock.

Top Holders Over Time

5-year share-count history (top 10 holders by peak, incl. exited) + price

0881K1.8M2.6M3.5M$15$16$17$18$202025-092025-122026-03
hover the chart for per-quarter detailprice (right axis)
T. Rowe Price Investment Management, Inc.1.2MWELLINGTON MANAGEMENT GROUP LLP778KFJ Capital Management LLC497KMILLENNIUM MANAGEMENT LLC323KM3F, Inc.TWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP211KHENNESSY ADVISORS INC155KMORGAN STANLEY124KALLIANCEBERNSTEIN L.P.135KMARSHALL WACE, LLP101K

Corporate

Insider Trading (last 12mo)

Open-market only (Form 4 P-Purchase + S-Sale). Excludes grants, option exercises, tax withholding, gifts.
Officers & directors
Buys ($, 12mo)
$1.59M
39 txns · 10 insiders · 92,960 sh
Sells ($, 12mo)
$0
0 txns · 0 insiders · 0 sh
Recent transactions
DateSideInsiderTitleSharesPriceDollarsOwned $
2026-05-18BUYJensen Barry Hofficer: EVP and Chief Admin Officer500$18.88$9K$793K
2026-05-14BUYJensen Barry Hofficer: EVP and Chief Admin Officer500$19.26$10K$799K
2026-05-14BUYGILLES MICHAEL Odirector1,000$19.50$20K$489K
2026-05-13BUYCozzone Robert Ddirector, officer: President & CEO2,023$19.77$40K$1.29M
2026-05-13BUYGILLES MICHAEL Odirector4,000$19.50$78K$370K
2026-05-08BUYJensen Barry Hofficer: EVP and Chief Admin Officer1,000$20.19$20K$828K
2026-04-29BUYJensen Barry Hofficer: EVP and Chief Admin Officer1,000$20.30$20K$812K
2026-04-28BUYKarmelek Nicolasofficer: EVP and CRO2,429$20.76$50K$160K
2026-04-28BUYMurphy Michael Dennisdirector, other: Chairman of the Board1,850$20.94$39K$39K
2026-04-28BUYDoane Thomasofficer: EVP- Human Resources2,040$21.16$43K$370K
2026-04-27BUYBALL JAMES Ndirector5,000$20.60$103K$1.03M
2026-03-18BUYMurphy Bartholomew H JRofficer: EVP & Chief Operating Off1,500$19.15$29K$440K
2026-03-12BUYGirard Michael Rdirector450$18.80$8K$18K
2026-03-12BUYJensen Barry Hofficer: EVP and Chief Admin Officer1,000$18.69$19K$729K
2026-03-12BUYMurphy Bartholomew H JRofficer: EVP & Chief Operating Off440$18.62$8K$194K
2026-03-09BUYMurphy Bartholomew H JRofficer: EVP & Chief Operating Off1,500$19.09$29K$410K
2026-03-09BUYNelson Jonathan Michaelofficer: CFO and Treasurer2,579$19.39$50K$434K
2026-03-02BUYCozzone Robert Ddirector, officer: President & CEO1,064$18.79$20K$1.19M
2026-03-02BUYKarmelek Nicolasofficer: EVP and CRO1,090$18.59$20K$121K
2026-02-23BUYJensen Barry Hofficer: EVP and Chief Admin Officer2,000$18.71$37K$711K

Order Flow (FINRA, ~3w lag)

8.7%retail-1.1pp
16.7%dark-5.2pp
week of 2026-04-13
10%20%30%40%25-0725-0925-1125-1226-0226-0326-04retail (non-ATS)dark (ATS)
Off-exchange volume from FINRA. Retail = non-ATS (wholesaler PFOF + broker internalization). Dark = ATS (dark-pool crossing networks, institutional). Lit-exchange = remainder.

Filing Risk Analysis

Filing Risk Scores

Avidia Bancorp, Inc.: A Quiet Regional Player Under the Emerging Growth Veil

Overall Risk
3/10
Fraud
1/10
Dilution
2/10
Insolvency
2/10
Earnings Overstated
1/10
Hidden Liabilities
1/10
Legal
1/10
Audit Warnings
1/10
Hidden Upside
1/10
Contextually Acceptable
10/10