Stocks/ALSN

ALSN

Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc.
Consumer Cyclical·Auto - Parts
$113.53
$9.4B market cap
Claude Rating
6/10SLIGHT BUY
Revenue
$3.6B
Free Cash Flow
$657.0M
Rev Growth
+83.6%
FCF Margin
18.0%
P/FCF
14.3x
EV/FCF
20.4x
Fwd EV/EBITDA
8.7x
Fair Value
$135.00
Upside
+18.9%

Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and sells commercial and defense fully-automatic transmissions for medium-and heavy-duty commercial vehicles, and medium-and heavy-tactical U.S. defense vehicles worldwide. It offers transmissions for various applications, including distribution, refuse, construction, fire, and emergency on-highway trucks; school and transit buses; motor homes; energy, mining, and construction off-highway vehicles and equ

2-Year Price History

$109.87+47.8%
$80$90$100$110$120$130volMay 24Sep 24Jan 25May 25Sep 25Jan 26May 26

Quarterly Financials & Projections

Quarterly Waterfall ($ M)
PeriodRevEBITDAOpInNIOCFFCFCapExCashDebtSharesROICIntCovEV/EBITDA
Est2028-Q11,470426.3--183.8--169.1-63.21,680----------
Est2027-Q41,520440.8--182.4--182.4-76.01,511----------
Est2027-Q31,460416.1--167.9--211.7-61.31,329----------
Est2027-Q21,480414.4--162.8--192.4-63.61,117----------
Est2027-Q11,400385.0--147.0--126.0-63.0924.8----------
Est2026-Q41,450398.8--145.0--159.5-72.5798.8----------
Est2026-Q31,380372.6--131.1--186.3-62.1639.3----------
Est2026-Q21,420376.3--120.7--142.0-63.9453.0----------
Act2026-Q11,406262.0195.0112.0156.0103.0-53.0311.04,26784.112.7%4.3x13.9x
Act2025-Q4737.0204.0226.099.0237.0163.0-74.01,4952,92184.117.1%8.2x8.5x
Act2025-Q3693.0233.0204.0137.0228.0181.0-44.0902.02,39884.117.5%9.7x9.2x
Act2025-Q2814.0294.0256.0195.0184.0210.0-26.0778.02,42385.023.3%13.4x8.9x
Act2025-Q1766.0284.0249.0192.0181.0155.0-26.0753.02,41986.123.7%13.5x9.8x
Act2024-Q4796.0262.0235.0175.0211.0132.0-75.0781.02,42087.122.8%12.5x9.1x
Act2024-Q3824.0299.0260.0200.0246.0209.0-36.0788.02,42188.024.1%14.2x7.4x
Act2024-Q2816.0285.0263.0187.0171.0150.0-21.0648.02,42288.025.6%12.9x8.3x
Act2024-Q1789.0261.0234.0169.0173.0162.0-11.0551.02,42389.024.5%10.4x6.4x
Act2023-Q4775.0270.0225.0170.0238.0186.0-52.0555.02,52189.023.3%11.3x6.6x
Act2023-Q3736.0259.0222.0158.0212.0182.0-30.0501.02,50890.023.4%9.6x6.8x
Act2023-Q2783.0282.0242.0175.0141.0122.0-19.0351.02,50991.026.1%10.1x6.1x
Act2023-Q1741.0277.0230.0170.0193.0169.0-24.0344.02,52292.024.8%9.9x6.2x
Act2022-Q4718.0237.0192.0141.0224.0132.0-92.0232.02,52492.822.4%7.9x6.0x
Act2022-Q3710.0229.0203.0139.0207.0182.0-25.0180.02,52396.026.0%7.9x--
Act2022-Q2664.0222.0187.0122.066.035.0-30.0122.02,52397.022.1%7.4x--
Act2022-Q1677.0230.0202.0129.0163.0128.0-20.0145.02,52699.024.5%7.9x--

AI Analysis

LLM Evaluations

Claude6/10SLIGHT BUYFV: $135.00

Allison Transmission is a high-quality industrial franchise with dominant market share in automatic transmissions for medium/heavy-duty trucks, now transformed by the Dana Off-Highway acquisition into a $5.5-6B diversified powertrain company. The bull case rests on $120M of synergies, defense growth, and a depressed NA truck cycle that will eventually recover. However, the stock is fairly valued at ~15x TTM FCF and 20.6x EV/FCF, which already prices in a reasonable recovery and synergy realization. The near-term margin dilution from the acquisition, elevated leverage at ~2x net debt/EBITDA, working capital headwinds from integration, and the secular EV threat to the core business limit upside. The company generates strong cash flows and has excellent capital allocation discipline, but the risk/reward is balanced at current levels given execution risk on the largest acquisition in company history during a soft end-market environment.

Catalyst NA truck cycle recovery (likely H2 2027+), faster-than-expected synergy realization from Off Highway integration, defense budget tailwinds from international programs, and deleveraging below 1.5x net debt/EBITDA which could unlock accelerated buybacks.
Risk Integration execution risk on the $2.7B Dana carve-out during a cyclical downturn, combined with the secular threat of EV adoption rendering mechanical transmissions obsolete over the next decade, as evidenced by the $29M electrification asset impairment.
Trend
DETERIORATING
Mgmt
7/10
Quarter
4/10
Exp. Move
-3.0%

Latest Earnings Call

Transcript Summary

Allison Transmission’s Q1 2026 results highlight the successful initial integration of the Off Highway business unit, leading to a 22% year-over-year increase in adjusted EBITDA to $362 million. While legacy transmission sales saw a slight 4% dip, the Defense sector surged by 64% due to international demand. The company reported adjusted diluted EPS of $2.57, up 6% from the previous year. Management reaffirmed its 2026 revenue guidance of $5.575–$5.925 billion and continues to target $120 million in annual synergies. Financial strategy remains focused on deleveraging, with a target net leverage ratio of 2.0x, alongside returning capital via a doubled dividend over seven years and $20 million in Q1 share repurchases. Despite geopolitical uncertainties and potential impacts from EPA 2027 emissions rulings, the leadership team expressed confidence in the company's expanded global footprint and the accretive nature of the Off Highway acquisition. Mining and European construction remain bright spots in the Off Highway segment, while North American On-Highway markets show cautious optimism. The company ended the quarter with $311 million in cash and substantial liquidity to support long-term growth initiatives and debt reduction goals.

Valuation & Metrics

Market Stats

Price$113.53
Market Cap$9.4B
Enterprise Value$13.4B
P/S Ratio2.6x
P/FCF14.3x
EV/FCF20.4x
FCF Margin (TTM)18.0%
FCF Yield7.0%
Dividend Yield (TTM)--
Annual Dilution-2.4%
CurrencyUSD

TTM Financial Snapshot

Revenue$3.6B
Net Income$543.0M
Free Cash Flow$657.0M

Revenue Growth (YoY)+83.6%
EBITDA Margin27.2%
Net Margin14.9%
FCF Margin18.0%
CapEx % of Revenue5.4%
SBC % of Revenue0.2%
ROIC17.7%
WC Change % Rev-14.0%
Interest Coverage7.5x

DCF Fair Value Estimate

$51.27
-54.8% upside
Fair Enterprise Value$8.3B
− Net Debt$4.0B
= Fair Equity$4.3B
Revenue Growth5.0% → 3.0%
FCF Margin18.0% → 14.0%
Discount Rate14.0%
Terminal EV/FCF14.0x

Forward Outlook & Risk

Short Interest

Short % of Float3.2%
Short Shares2.6M
Days to Cover3.4
Change (vs Prior)+2.4%
Short % Float History
3.20%-0.20pp
2.5%3.0%3.5%4.0%4.5%04-3007-1509-1511-1401-1504-30

Options

Call IV (ATM)36%
Put IV (ATM)36%
ATM Spread1.8%
Call $OI (near money)$574K
Put $OI (near money)$166K
ATM ExpiryJuly 17, 2026 (56D)
ATM Strike$110.0
Major Expirations4
Near-money chain · July 17, 2026
StrikeCall Bid/AskCall OIPut Bid/AskPut OI
$90.00$19.90/$23.000--/$2.250
$95.00$15.40/$18.500$0.60/$2.000
$100.00$11.10/$13.900$0.80/$3.303
$105.00$7.90/$10.201$2.00/$5.108
$110.00$5.50/$7.500$5.00/$6.805
$115.00$2.35/$4.601$7.00/$9.300
$120.00$0.65/$3.200$10.10/$13.000
$125.00--/$2.450$14.40/$17.100
Snapshot: 2026-05-22

Forward Projections & Estimates

NTM Revenue Growth+54.8%
Forward FCF Margin10.9%
Forward EBITDA Margin27.1%
Forward P/FCF15.3x
Forward EV/FCF21.8x
Forward Int. Coverage7.0x
Model Risk Score6/10
Bankruptcy Odds2%
Est. Borrow Rate5.5%
Terminal EV/FCF14.0x
LT Growth3.0%
LT FCF Margin14.0%

Employees

Headcount4,000
Revenue / Employee$912,500
Gross Profit / Employee$372,250
2022: 3,500 → 2023: 3,700 → 2024: 4,000 → 2025: 4,000 (5% CAGR)

Institutional Ownership

Headline & net flow

NET BUYING

In Q1 2026 so far (quarter still filing), institutions are net buyers — bought 11.0% of float, sold 6.4%. 4 filers moved >1% of shares (2 buying, 2 selling).

Net flow · Q1 2026still filing
+4.6% of float (net)
Bought 11.0% · Sold 6.4%
556 filers reported (last quarter: 529)

Ownership composition

Active
85.2%(+17.2% YoY)
527 filers
hedge / family / endowment
Retail funds
Fidelity, Schwab, 401(k)
Passive
12.9%(-7.2% YoY)
6 filers
Vanguard, iShares, SPDR
Market makers
0.3%(-0.4% YoY)
5 filers
Citadel, Susquehanna
Insiders
0.2%
Form 4 — latest per insider
0%25%50%75%100%2022-062023-032023-122024-092025-062026-03
ActiveRetail fundsPassiveMarket makersRetail direct

Top holders

Fund$ valueCost basisΔ QoQΔ YoYα lifeFund AUM
FMR LLC$1.46B$76.62+$9.4M−$43.1M+0.3%$1.89T
BlackRock, Inc.Passive$444M$95.12+$5.7M−$857K-0.2%$5.69T
FULLER & THALER ASSET MANAGEMENT, INC.$397M$82.55+$9.5M+$89.5M-0.1%$29.55B
Boston Partners$334M$94.51+$63.3M+$209M+0.5%$95.40B
RENAISSANCE TECHNOLOGIES LLC$265M$62.27−$39.6M−$100M+1.2%$63.91B
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLCPassive$258M$76.23+$28.5M+$16.1M+2.3%$1.61T
LSV ASSET MANAGEMENT$249M$37.88−$18.0M−$57.9M-0.0%$46.40B
FIRST TRUST ADVISORS LP$237M$99.80+$109M+$139M-0.9%$139.72B
LONDON CO OF VIRGINIA$223M$66.12−$22.8M−$64.0M+0.6%$16.23B
DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LPPassive$223M$53.74−$106K+$4.0M-0.4%$480.92B
BANK OF MONTREAL /CAN/$182M$96.52−$70.2M+$174M-0.1%$234.58B
STATE STREET CORPPassive$178M$58.69+$3.5M−$13.0M-0.2%$2.89T
FEDERATED HERMES, INC.$145M$71.52−$2.0M+$12.1M-1.1%$61.33B
AQR CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC$142M$46.07−$36.0M−$43.3M-0.2%$218.19B
BANK OF AMERICA CORP /DE/$129M$81.72+$14.1M+$31.6M-0.1%$1.36T
Stockbridge Partners LLC$121M$117.06+$121M+$121M+0.2%$4.14B
Invesco Ltd.$109M$56.59−$5.1M−$39.0M-0.2%$652.04B
CHARLES SCHWAB INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT INC$104M$94.26+$2.9M+$4.6M+1.0%$645.81B
Quantinno Capital Management LP$102M$90.90+$8.9M+$84.6M-0.4%$59.83B
BALYASNY ASSET MANAGEMENT LLC$99.3M$78.48+$34.7M+$67.7M-0.4%$48.01B
Cost basis is a volume-weighted estimate from accumulation periods within our 13F history; holders who built their position before our window started will show a stale basis. % above the cost basis is the unrealized gain at the current price.

Trading behavior

Smart-money alpha (lifetime, %/qtr)NEUTRAL
Holders
+0.13%
avg per quarter
Holders (ex-self)
+0.12%
excl. this stock
Buyers (this Q)
+0.16%
239 buyers · $1.85B in
Sellers (this Q)
-0.09%
219 sellers · $0.14B out
alpha coverage: 100% of $ has a lifetime-alpha record
Holder behavior on this stocksource: stock
On big dips (−10%+)
-7.8%
how holders react when this stock falls
On quiet Qs
-5.1%
−10% to +10% baseline
On rallies (+10%+)
-21.0%
how they react when this stock rises
Holders' portfolio flow this Q
+1.5%
inflows — adds are organic
Sellers' portfolio flow this Q
+2.5%
Sellers grew AUM elsewhere — opinionated cut of this stock.
▸ Compare to holder-profile behavior (across all their stocks)
Holder dip (any stock)
-5.8%
Holder mid (any stock)
-3.2%
Holder rally (any stock)
-4.6%

Top Holders Over Time

5-year share-count history (top 10 holders by peak, incl. exited) + price

011.2M22.4M33.6M44.8M$32$53$75$96$1172021-062022-062023-062024-062025-062026-03
hover the chart for per-quarter detailprice (right axis)
FMR LLC12.5MFULLER & THALER ASSET MANAGEMENT, INC.3.4MRENAISSANCE TECHNOLOGIES LLC2.3MBoston Partners2.9MBurgundy Asset Management Ltd.LSV ASSET MANAGEMENT2.1MLONDON CO OF VIRGINIA1.9MLOOMIS SAYLES & CO L PFIRST TRUST ADVISORS LP2.0MBANK OF MONTREAL /CAN/1.6M

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Analyst Coverage

Analyst Coverage
Price Targets
Last Quarter (2 analysts)$130.501490.0%
Last Year (6 analysts)$111.50-180.0%
Current Price$113.53

Corporate

Executive Compensation (2023-2025)

Direct Pay$61.2M
Incentive & Other$55.6M
Total Compensation$116.8M
% of Revenue1.2%

Insider Trading (last 12mo)

Open-market only (Form 4 P-Purchase + S-Sale). Excludes grants, option exercises, tax withholding, gifts.
Officers & directors
Buys ($, 12mo)
$534K
1 txn · 1 insider · 6,000 sh
Sells ($, 12mo)
$2.02M
6 txns · 4 insiders · 18,365 sh
Recent transactions
DateSideInsiderTitleSharesPriceDollarsOwned $
2026-05-08SELLMell Scott Aofficer: CFO & Treasurer1,337$125.00$167K$132K
2026-03-09SELLScroggins Eric C.officer: CLO & Asst. Secretary1,313$114.40$150K$2.02M
2026-02-13SELLBohley G Frederickofficer: Allison COO,Pres.&BU Leader AT10,348$116.40$1.20M$11.53M
2025-12-31SELLColl Johnofficer: SVP, Global MSS1,791$98.79$177K$990K
2025-09-30SELLColl Johnofficer: SVP, Global MSS1,788$84.32$151K$996K
2025-08-14BUYBohley G Frederickofficer: Chief Operating Officer6,000$89.00$534K$8.82M
2025-06-30SELLColl Johnofficer: SVP, Global MSS1,788$94.69$169K$1.29M

Order Flow (FINRA, ~3w lag)

9.0%retail+0.9pp
35.9%dark+10.6pp
week of 2026-04-27
10%20%30%40%24-1125-0225-0525-0825-1126-0226-04retail (non-ATS)dark (ATS)
Off-exchange volume from FINRA. Retail = non-ATS (wholesaler PFOF + broker internalization). Dark = ATS (dark-pool crossing networks, institutional). Lit-exchange = remainder.

Revenue Breakdown

Revenue Segments

By Product (2025-Q4)
Service Parts Support Equipment And Other$160.0M-51%
Defense$73.0M-37%

Filing Risk Analysis

Filing Risk Scores

Allison Transmission Holdings Inc: Administrative Header Review Devoid of Forensic Substance

Overall Risk
1/10
Fraud
1/10
Dilution
1/10
Insolvency
1/10
Earnings Overstated
1/10
Hidden Liabilities
1/10
Legal
1/10
Audit Warnings
1/10
Hidden Upside
1/10
Contextually Acceptable
10/10

Counter-Thesis

Counter-Thesis & Recent News

📰 Recent News

As of May 5, 2026, Allison reported a 'margin squeeze' in Q1 2026 results; while revenue jumped to $1.41 billion following the Dana Off-Highway acquisition, net income plummeted to $112 million from $192 million year-over-year. This follows a disappointing FY2025 where core revenue declined 7% and Q4 earnings fell 15.4% (Zacks, Seeking Alpha). Management recently cautioned that North American on-highway demand is facing a 'quieter period' due to OEM layoffs and inventory build-ups (Finviz).

🐻 Bear Case

The bear thesis centers on a 'stagnant core' masked by expensive M&A. Before the $2.7 billion Dana acquisition, revenue and EPS were flat for two years (2024–2025), suggesting the organic moat is eroding. Short-sellers point to deteriorating operating efficiency metrics, specifically ROA and ROE, which indicate loss of pricing power (Seeking Alpha). The company is heavily reliant on the cyclical North American truck market, which is currently suffering from deferred demand and high interest rates.

🚩 Red Flags

Significant balance sheet deterioration is a primary concern, with long-term debt rising to $2.9 billion to fund acquisitions, pushing the net debt-to-EBITDA ratio to 1.9x—the high end for its peer group (Public.com). Additionally, a $29 million impairment loss related to electrification investments in late 2025 suggests that Allison's pivot to EV technology is proving more costly and less certain than projected (Investing.com).

⚔️ Competitive Threats

The existential threat is the accelerated transition to Electric Vehicles (EVs), which could render Allison's core mechanical transmissions obsolete. While Allison is investing in e-axles, it faces intense competition from both legacy rivals and vertically integrated OEMs like Daimler and Volvo who are developing in-house propulsion systems. Analysts warn of 'technology obsolescence' risk if the 10% global EV adoption target by 2028 is met or exceeded (Simply Wall St).

💬 Customer Sentiment

Customer sentiment is currently characterized by 'extreme caution.' Management noted in recent earnings calls that end-users are deferring purchases due to regulatory uncertainty (emissions standards) and volatile trade policies/tariffs (TradingView). This 'deferred demand' is increasingly viewed by bears not as a delay, but as a permanent shift or loss to competitors offering better-integrated electrified solutions.

Full Earnings Call Transcript

Full Earnings Call Transcript — Q1 • 2026-05-04

Operator: Good afternoon. Thank you for standing by. Welcome to Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc.'s first quarter 2026 earnings conference call. My name is Shamali, and I will be your conference call operator today. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. After prepared remarks, Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. executives will conduct a question-and-answer session. Conference call participants will be given instructions at that time. As a reminder, this conference call is being recorded. If anyone should require operator assistance during the conference, I would now like to turn the conference call over to Jacalyn C. Bolles, Executive Director of Treasury and Investor Relations. Please go ahead, Jacalyn.
Jacalyn C. Bolles: Thank you, Shamali. Good afternoon, and thank you for joining us for our first quarter 2026 earnings conference call. With me this afternoon are David S. Graziosi, our Chair, President and Chief Executive Officer; Scott A. Mell, our Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer; G. Frederick Bohley, Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc.’s Chief Operating Officer and Allison Transmission business unit leader; and Craig Price, Allison Off Highway business unit leader. As a reminder, this conference call, webcast, and this afternoon's presentation are available on the Investor Relations section of allisontransmission.com. A replay of this call will be available through May 18. As noted on slide two of the presentation, many of our remarks today contain forward-looking statements based on current expectations. These forward-looking statements are subject to known and unknown risks, including those set forth in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended 12/31/2025. Should one or more of these risks or uncertainties materialize, or should underlying assumptions or estimates prove incorrect, actual results may vary materially from those that we express today. In addition, as noted on slide three of the presentation, some of our remarks today contain non-GAAP financial measures as defined by the SEC. You can find reconciliations of the non-GAAP financial measures to the most comparable GAAP measures in the appendix to the presentation and in our first quarter 2026 earnings press release. Today's call is set to end at 5:45 p.m. Eastern Time. In order to maximize participation opportunities on the call, please take just one question from each analyst. Please turn to slide four of the presentation for the call agenda. During today's call, David S. Graziosi will provide a business update and briefly review the company's performance. Scott A. Mell will then discuss Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc.’s segment reporting structure, and further review our first quarter 2026 financial performance and our full-year guidance update prior to commencing the Q&A. Now, I will turn the call over to David. Thank you, and good afternoon.
David S. Graziosi: Please turn to slide five of the presentation for our first quarter business update. First, I want to recognize and thank our global employee base for all the work done so far this year. Our teams have been working diligently on integration and value capture within both Allison business units. Our execution has tracked closely with our planning, and the integration process is proceeding in a disciplined and structured manner. Having said that, it has not been without a tremendous amount of effort by the Allison teams to arrive at where we are today. As our teams more closely coordinate efforts, we are beginning to see the initial phases of synergy realization take shape across several key areas and expect to begin to see financial benefits later in 2026. It has been encouraging to see the groundwork laid prior to the transaction translate into real momentum and reaffirmed guidance in achieving our target of $120 million of annual run-rate synergies. We remain confident in our acquisition thesis: accelerating sales growth through the strategic combination of the two business units, strengthening our localized production footprint, and generating sustainable cost reductions that enhance long-term shareholder value. Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc.’s reach is now greatly expanded with our global operations allowing for more localized production and opportunities for cost reduction. By leveraging increased purchasing scale and utilizing in best-cost countries, we expect to drive value creation and margin improvement across our business. I want to give another welcome to our new colleagues around the world and thank you for all that you do. It has been a productive first quarter and exciting times for Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. as we enter this new chapter. Moving now to a brief update on first quarter sales performance and end market outlooks for both of our business units. Please turn to slide six. Starting with our legacy Allison Transmission business, first quarter net sales were $733 million, a year-over-year decline of 4% when compared against a robust 2025. In the North America On-Highway end market, we continue to view the truck market with cautious optimism. Although order trends have shown strength and imply a slight ramp throughout the year, we believe there is still uncertainty surrounding geopolitical impacts including tariffs and final rulings on emissions regulations that are hindering end users' new vehicle purchasing decisions. Continuing with the Allison Transmission business unit, the Defense end market had an extremely strong first quarter with revenue up 64% year-over-year. We continue to see strength from international customers primarily in tracked programs, with both legacy and new products, including our 3040 MX cross-drive transmission. We hold a favorable outlook for the Defense end market as national security becomes even more relevant to nations around the world leading to increased budgets and new programs being funded. Please turn to slide seven. The Allison Off Highway business unit generated $673 million of sales in the first quarter with continued growth in the mining end market driven by elevated commodity prices, including gold, copper, and rare earth minerals. The construction and material handling end market also performed in the first quarter as global construction markets are seeing steadier investments and positive developments, particularly in Europe. In the agriculture end market, while commodity prices remain a driving factor there are early positive indicators in certain subsegments and regions—for example, the low horsepower market in India—but overall, a fairly muted environment even prior to the start of conflict in the Middle East. On that topic, the conflict in the Middle East currently has undetermined impact and implications, both favorable and unfavorable, across multiple end markets across Allison business units. While the duration of the conflict remains uncertain, we have not seen any material disruption to our business at this time. We recognize the potential for indirect impacts across our supply chains, energy markets, and broader macroeconomic conditions, and our teams are actively monitoring and maintaining close coordination. In summary, integration is progressing as expected, and value capture is materializing. End markets, although impacted by uncertainty in some aspects, are steady if not showing signs of recovery. To everyone across our organization, thank you for the extraordinary commitment, resilience, and teamwork you have shown. Your efforts have laid a strong foundation for Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc.’s future. To our investors, we are confidently positioned to unlock meaningful synergies, accelerate growth, and create lasting value. Now I will pass the call over to Scott for a review of Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc.’s segment reporting structure, first quarter 2026 financial performance, and full-year guidance update. Scott?
Scott A. Mell: Thank you, David. And thanks to those of you joining us on the call. Please turn to slide eight of the presentation. Before we begin with segment and consolidated results, I want to quickly go over some housekeeping items and outline our new reporting structure. First quarter results now include segment reporting for Allison Transmission, Allison Off Highway, and Allison Central Group. The Allison Transmission business unit is the company's legacy business excluding certain costs now accounted for within the Allison Central Group, while the Allison Off Highway business unit reflects the business acquired from Dana at the beginning of the year. Allison Central Group is a centralized cost center, which includes certain functional costs that support the company's global operations. Now, on the left-hand side of slide eight, we provide sales, operating profit, and adjusted EBITDA by segment. Segment operating income flows over to the consolidated table on the right, with further detail down to net income and the non-GAAP financial measures of adjusted diluted EPS and consolidated adjusted EBITDA. Please note that first quarter gross profit in the Allison Off Highway segment was negatively impacted by approximately $76 million of one-time acquisition-related purchase price accounting items. On a consolidated basis, first quarter net income decreased year-over-year to $112 million driven by the addition of costs from the Allison Off Highway business unit, including approximately $76 million of expenses related to the stepped-up basis in inventory and incremental depreciation expense related to the stepped-up basis in fixed assets, and an additional $22 million of intangible asset amortization expense. The year-over-year decrease in net income was also driven by higher interest expense, net, along with approximately $17 million of one-time acquisition-related integration expenses. Moving down to per share earnings, first quarter diluted EPS was $1.33. When excluding the effect of noncash, nonrecurring, infrequent, or unusual items, including the costs associated with the acquisition of the Allison Off Highway business unit, adjusted net income and adjusted diluted EPS were $216 million and $2.57 per share, respectively. As a reminder, reconciliations for non-GAAP financial measures can be found in the appendix of the first quarter earnings presentation and earnings press release. There will also be more detail provided in our 10-Q to be published later this week. Please turn to slide nine of the presentation. First quarter adjusted diluted EPS of $2.57 increased 6% year-over-year, and we expect the acquisition of the Allison Off Highway business unit to be accretive to earnings on a full-year basis. Adjusted EBITDA for the first quarter was $362 million, increasing 22% year-over-year, with adjusted EBITDA margin at 26%, reflecting disciplined execution across our business units despite the less than ideal operating environment. As we have discussed previously, we believe that improving end market conditions in both business units will have a favorable impact on margins. Our value capture and synergy realization will also provide an uplift to our margins, with our target for adjusted EBITDA margin in the 27% to 29% range. Cash generation continues to be a key attribute of Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc., with the ability to generate substantial cash flow while successfully integrating the Allison Off Highway business unit and navigating uncertain end market environments, including geopolitical policies and conflicts. Now I will briefly highlight our capital allocation priorities. We continue to invest for long-term and sustainable growth across our business units with new products and initiatives targeting identified growth opportunities. We are also focused on debt reduction to achieve our near-term leverage targets while simultaneously returning capital to shareholders through share repurchases and our quarterly dividend. At the bottom of the slide, you can see how we allocated capital in the first quarter. During the quarter, we repaid $150 million of the $300 million of outstanding borrowings under our revolving credit facility, which were used as part of the funding for the Allison Off Highway acquisition. During the quarter, we also increased our quarterly dividend for the seventh consecutive year. Currently at $0.29 per share, our quarterly dividend has nearly doubled over the last seven years. And finally, we maintained our commitment to share repurchases, with $20 million of our common stock bought back in the first quarter. We ended the first quarter with approximately $1.2 billion of share repurchase authorization remaining. Even with the recent appreciation in our share price, we continue to view our stock as undervalued relative to the underlying strength of our business units and long-term earnings potential and believe share repurchases remain an attractive use of capital at this time. On the right side of slide nine, you can see Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc.’s liquidity and leverage metrics at the end of the first quarter. We ended the first quarter with $311 million of cash on hand and approximately $845 million of available revolving credit facility commitments. Our net debt is just under $4 billion, resulting in a pro forma net leverage ratio below three times when giving consideration to a full year of earnings from the Allison Off Highway acquisition. In the near term, we plan to reduce our net leverage to a target of two times through a recovery in our end markets along with margin improvement through value capture and synergy realization. We will reduce our leverage ratio through both increased earnings and a concerted effort towards debt reduction. Before moving on to the 2026 guidance update, building on David’s comments, I want to summarize our financial performance for the quarter. In summary, our businesses are performing well. Macroeconomic clarity across our end markets would be well received and likely drive increased volumes with favorable drop-throughs to margin performance and per-share earnings. Importantly, we continue to generate substantial cash flow and invest for long-term growth while also reducing debt and returning capital to shareholders. Please turn now to slide 10 for a review of our full-year 2026 guidance. Given first quarter results, and taking into consideration current macroeconomic and geopolitical uncertainty, we are reaffirming our full-year 2026 guidance provided to the market on February 23. For 2026 revenue, we expect consolidated net sales in the range of $5.575 billion to $5.925 billion. This includes net sales for the Allison Transmission business unit in the range of $3.025 billion to $3.175 billion and net sales for the Allison Off Highway business unit in the range of $2.55 billion to $2.75 billion. For earnings, we expect consolidated net income in the range of $600 million to $750 million, subject to the completion of purchase price accounting associated with the acquisition of the Allison Off Highway business unit. Our net income guidance for 2026 includes more than $100 million of one-time pretax expenses associated with the separation, integration, and restructuring of the Allison Off Highway business unit. Despite these one-time costs, we expect the Allison Off Highway acquisition to be accretive to net income and earnings per share in 2026. Further, we expect consolidated adjusted EBITDA in the range of $1.365 billion to $1.515 billion. At the midpoint, this implies a 25% adjusted EBITDA margin. For our 2026 cash flow guidance, we anticipate consolidated net cash provided by operating activities in the range of $970 million to $1.1 billion, consolidated capital expenditures in the range of $295 million to $315 million including one-time separation and integration capital of approximately $45 million, and consolidated adjusted free cash flow in the range of $655 million to $[inaudible] million. Please note that our consolidated net cash provided by operating activities guidance includes approximately $55 million of one-time cash outlays associated with our acquisition of the Off Highway business unit. This concludes our prepared remarks. Shamali, please open the call for questions.
Operator: Thank you. We will now open the call for questions. If you would like to ask a question, please press 1 on your telephone keypad. A confirmation tone will indicate your line is in the question queue. You may press 2 to remove yourself from the queue. For participants using speaker equipment, it may be necessary to pick up your handset before pressing the star keys. Again, we ask everyone in the queue to please limit themselves to only one question to allow others a chance to ask. Our first question comes from the line of Robert Cameron Wertheimer with Melius Research. Please proceed with your question.
Robert Cameron Wertheimer: Yes. Hi. Thank you, good evening. There has been a lot that has changed in the world since you announced the deal and even since you closed. I wonder if you could kind of talk about what versus your deal model has changed most, the positive and most of the negative, if you would.
David S. Graziosi: Hey, Rob. Thank you for the question. To your point, I think we made this comment on the last call when we were asked about tariffs and so we just got on the call; we have not checked the news a minute or two to see what happened. That continues, right? The rate of change and volatility in the overall market—every day is truly an adventure. Having said that, we are very pleased with the acquisition, frankly. We would assess it currently as exceeding expectations in terms of the additional capabilities. Frankly, I think the attributes that are required to really excel in this type of market with the level of volatility that we are seeing—the operational footprint flexibility that we now have, the additional talent in multiple regions to really address and try to mitigate. At the same time, as you know, with trade developments being what they are and some of the regional realignment that is going on, a broader footprint is really much more to our benefit than we had anticipated when we originally put the deal thesis together. Having said all that, the team is very engaged in dealing with those developments, but also, as I mentioned in the prepared remarks, working on value capture as well. One thing that has become clear as we are dealing with various issues is other opportunities as well that are arising out of that. But again, if we go back to pre-acquisition, the ability to deal with from an Allison perspective would have been a bit more challenged, frankly, just given the rather limited footprint we had at that stage. So I would say in summary, very pleased with what we have seen and what we continue to work on, but also our ability to deal with the volatility in the broader markets.
Robert Cameron Wertheimer: So more internal capability and flexibility that is more beneficial in this changed world. And then on end markets, you inherited some troughy-ish end markets. Any change overall in where you see those either standing or going? Thank you.
David S. Graziosi: It is good in terms of an update there and, between the prepared remarks and what we had listed out in the press release as well as the IR package, I would say overall, our view in terms of end market conditions has not really changed. I think to use your word, troughy, that still really is our view. If nothing else, it is pointing out as, hopefully, we all get some clarity in terms of these geopolitical developments what the future holds. But it is very clear equipment in our end markets continues to be utilized, and that will always lead to demand. It is just a question of when exactly that will happen, but we feel very good about overall the point that we entered the markets.
Operator: Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Timothy W. Thein with Raymond James. Please proceed with your question.
Timothy W. Thein: Thank you. Good afternoon. The question is on the target for adjusted EBITDA margins of 27% to 29%. David, just curious what, in terms of your internal model, when you see that as a potential realization? And to the extent has that moved up or down as you closed the acquisition—essentially, the timeline to hit that—has it changed, and how are you thinking in terms of realization of that target? Thank you.
David S. Graziosi: Tim, I appreciate the question. I would say overall, very comfortable with the target range that you mentioned. From a timing perspective, given a few of the near-term issues that have arisen that I just mentioned, there is no longer-term impact in terms of our timing. As we said at the time of the acquisition announcement and close, we still feel that is very attainable within a few years. One thing I would certainly repeat is the work that the team has been doing on value capture and synergies—with some of these market condition changes—has really pointed out a number of other areas that the team is diving into as well. So again, we feel very good about the range and the timing being realized over the next handful of years.
Jacalyn C. Bolles: Thank you, David.
Operator: Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Ian Alton Zaffino with Oppenheimer & Company. Please proceed with your question.
Ian Alton Zaffino: Hi. Thank you very much. I just wanted to ask on the medium-duty side. When do we think that starts bottoming out and improving in a larger way? And then when we think about just the business in general, what could potentially offset that as far as vocational? Any other color you could give us there? Thanks.
G. Frederick Bohley: Sure, Ian. This is Fred. Relative to medium duty, the first quarter was still extremely soft. I will say we are starting to see some signs that would give you some optimism there, relative to the lease-rental guys—some of them leaning into the market a little bit. I think the unknown for 2026 is really where we end up on medium-duty engines, which I think we need some direction from the EPA and how that is going to impact the cost of engines going into 2027. As we have the year modeled, we have had and continue to have the second half stepping up somewhat from the first half. Relative to Class 8 straight truck, versus our initial expectations, it was a little stronger in Q1 and continues to remain steady in demand.
Ian Alton Zaffino: Okay. Thanks. And then just as a follow-up on use of capital or use of cash flow. I know you talked about buybacks and deleveraging. How are you kind of prioritizing one versus the other? Because I know the stock is cheap, but at the same time, you want to delever. And then are we kind of done on the M&A side for the foreseeable future, just given you are in the midst of integrating a very large one? Any color there? Thanks.
Scott A. Mell: Yes, it is Scott. On the capital allocation, as I mentioned on the call, fortunately, we have not had to make overly challenging decisions on the allocation of capital. We feel very comfortable with the cash-generating abilities of both business units and the overall company. We have talked about this year targeting getting down to a two-times net leverage multiple here in the very near future, next couple of years. We paid $150 million off in the first quarter. I think you should anticipate seeing that rate somewhat continue as we go throughout the course of the year. And obviously, we are still in the market repurchasing shares. At share prices where they are today, it is not as dilutive to shares outstanding, but still demonstrative of our ability to continue to buy back shares. So that is not going to change. I think what you saw in the first quarter is a good precursor to what we expect to see over the course of the rest of the year.
David S. Graziosi: And, Ian, on your second question in terms of future inorganic opportunities or otherwise, we continue to be active assessing different opportunities. So our capital allocation model that Scott went through—overall leverage targets, etcetera—and the ability of the business, the new business so to speak, to generate cash, we are continuing to be active looking at different opportunities. That being said, as you know and from your comments, the team is very engaged working on a sizable acquisition with our new team members. In the meantime, we are also assessing, as part of the combined business, other opportunities that could present themselves from an inorganic perspective. In summary, we remain engaged in that process and will certainly provide an update should one be necessary.
Operator: Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Jerry Revich with Wells Fargo Securities. Please proceed with your question.
Jerry Revich: Yes. Hi. Good afternoon, everyone. I am wondering if you could just talk about your expectations for sequential performance in the business. I think normally, for both the Allison and the Dana Off Highway business, we have production ramping up sequentially 2Q versus 1Q and margins up sequentially. Is that how we should be thinking about this year? And then separately, can you just comment on your expectations of synergy capture as we go through the year? Do you expect any cost benefits 2Q versus 1Q?
G. Frederick Bohley: From a sequential standpoint, Jerry, this is Fred. We do expect things on the Transmission side to step up sequentially, and as we have it modeled, we have Q2 up off of Q1, and then Q4, based on the number of days, stepping down a little. I think the drivers there will really be whether there is a meaningful prebuy in Q4. And, Craig, maybe you want to talk a little bit about what you are seeing sequentially?
Craig Price: Yes, sure. From the Off Highway side, there is a step up in Q2. A greater portion of our business is in the European segment where in Q3 we get into the European holiday mode, so Q3 and Q4 can tend to go down for us. That is the picture from the Off Highway side.
Scott A. Mell: And on the synergy capture, as David and I mentioned, we are starting to get much clearer line of sight relative to the specific opportunities—size, timing—everything that you need to start to see that impact through the financials. What I will tell you is our expectations on the amount of opportunity and the timing of the opportunity has not changed whatsoever, and as we go throughout the course of the year, I think you should expect to hear from us relative to providing more detail on impact and updates on when we think we will get the full run-rate of those impacts.
Jerry Revich: Super. Thank you. And Fred, can I just ask a clarification? You mentioned we will see what the EPA wants to do. What is the range of outcomes? Is there a scenario under which EPA ’27 is delayed, or considering the timing of engine rollout, is there a potential for higher prebuy in medium duty? What is the range of outcomes that you alluded to that you think is reasonable?
G. Frederick Bohley: We are not expecting a delay. I think most are expecting some sort of modification to the warranty. My specific comment was really relative to medium duty and the ability of everybody to meet the requirements of 2027—and if not, what could be some associated fees for being noncompliant—and then how that might impact a prebuy or not in 2026.
Operator: Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Tami Zakaria with JPMorgan. Please proceed with your question.
Tami Zakaria: Hi. Thank you so much. The $673 million of Off Highway revenue this quarter—could you tell us how that compares to last year? And related to that, could you comment on price realization by segment—On-Highway and Off Highway, please?
G. Frederick Bohley: I will take the price one first and then let Craig roll through what he is seeing in generalities on a year-over-year basis. From a price standpoint, within Allison Transmission in the quarter we generated about 325 basis points of price. We expect to be in that range for the full year. And as we talked about on the last earnings call, we anticipate price for Allison Off Highway to be neutral year-over-year.
Craig Price: And from the Off Highway end market year-over-year comparison, I would say that we were up probably just over 10% year-over-year. It was a combination of currency factors, given the footprint and sales in Europe—we went from a euro conversion of about $1.07–$1.08 to roughly $1.17—and we also saw significant strong demand across a number of our segments. As David alluded to in his prepared remarks, we saw the construction market that was positive for us in Europe but was slightly negative in North America. Agriculture was a positive trend as well for us. The different subsegments of high horsepower business in Europe were strong. Also, the low horsepower business out of India came in strong. And the mining segment was up significantly as well, driven by the higher commodity prices seen at this time.
Tami Zakaria: Understood. Thank you.
Operator: Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Angel Castillo Malpica with Morgan Stanley. Please proceed with your question.
Angel Castillo Malpica: Hi. Good evening. Thanks for taking my question. I was hoping to go back to the end market discussion. I think, David, you mentioned that end market views have not really changed. It sounds like at least in North America On-Highway there are some pockets that maybe are coming in a little better than expected. I fully understand there is still a lot of uncertainty in the second half, but as you think about the unchanged full-year guide, could you go through the other Transmission end markets? Any others where you are seeing particular pockets of maybe better performance? I know Defense looked like it was a pretty good quarter here. Any others that maybe are offsetting that and where you are seeing a little bit more weakness? In particular, any commentary you have in terms of order books or customer commentary would be helpful.
G. Frederick Bohley: Hey, Angel. This is Fred. I think we have already covered North America On-Highway, the largest end market. You mentioned Defense—it was an amazing quarter, with revenue up 64%, and we anticipate the balance of the year looking a lot like Q1. I would say relative to the quarter, things were a little softer outside North America On-Highway than what we had initially modeled. We do expect the service parts business to be stepping up sequentially into Q2. We are seeing, as Craig mentioned, strength from a mining standpoint in his business unit. We think we have some upside in our Global Off-Highway relative to mining as well as hydraulic fracking.
Angel Castillo Malpica: Got it. That is helpful. And maybe just some housekeeping questions as we try to model the pro forma business. The $12 million of corporate, I think that was in the first quarter—is that a good run rate for how we should think about that part of the business, the Central Group, on an EBITDA basis? And then will you be giving the end markets that you gave for Off Highway historicals for 2025?
Scott A. Mell: I will answer the second question first. No, we do not intend to provide that level of detail for the business since we did not own it. Relative to the Central Group function EBITDA number of $12 million, when you carve out the nonrecurring and the noncash stock comp, I think that is a reasonable number to apply on an annualized basis.
Angel Castillo Malpica: Got it. Thank you.
Operator: Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Luke Junk with Baird. Please proceed with your question.
Luke Junk: Thanks for taking the question. Maybe just continuing on that Defense thread, Fred, wondering how you think about the interplay between Defense and North America On-Highway if the latter comes back later this year. Historically, there has been a level of interrelationship there from the supply chain standpoint to some extent in the past, but maybe looking forward, that relationship is not as strong or as relevant in the current geopolitical environment. Can you just talk about that interplay a little? Thank you.
G. Frederick Bohley: I would say at this point, with a lot of the growth in Defense being driven by non-U.S. government, outside North America volume—and we talked about the successes we are having with Hanwha in Korea with the K9 howitzer, our 3040 MX and our 4040 MX, new products for us—with Borsuk out of Poland, the Kaplan out of Turkey, BAE Hägglunds—there is a really good backdrop for Defense. We have invested in these products even pre-pandemic. They are coming to market. We are extremely excited about them and expect to have a great year in Defense. So I would not, based on the fact that it is primarily driven by outside North America, see much connectivity back into the North America On-Highway end market.
Luke Junk: Maybe just related to that, is any of this flowing through the Outside North America On-Highway segment? I know you can tend to pick up some commercial terms that are better there. Are we seeing any of that in that part of the business?
G. Frederick Bohley: We do flow the wheeled portion of the Defense through the Outside North America On-Highway, primarily because we are selling a lot of times to the same OEMs. We are seeing strength primarily in Europe relative to wheeled volume. We are also seeing some strength in Europe from a vocational standpoint as well.
Luke Junk: Very helpful. I will leave it there. Thank you.
Operator: Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Kyle David Menges with Citigroup. Please proceed with your question.
Kyle David Menges: Great. Thank you for taking the question. I just wanted to go back to some of the pricing comments and how to think about price versus cost for the two business units for the year. The 350 or so basis points for the Allison Transmission piece of the business—at that level, are we price/cost positive for the year? Are we confident in that? And then it sounds like for the Off Highway business, if price is flat, I am assuming cost inflation is greater, so then the price/cost would be negative in that business for the year?
Scott A. Mell: On the Allison Transmission business, yes, we do anticipate our year-over-year price to cover inflationary cost factors, with obviously the delta in the first quarter being the volume and mix impact there. On the Off Highway side, while they obviously have less pricing leverage, they certainly have shown the ability to take costs down on a year-over-year basis relative to either operations or purchasing. Craig, you can expand a bit.
Craig Price: Sure. I would classify it as pretty neutral. To Scott’s points, there are some minor price givebacks, but we are able to offset those within our operational structure.
Kyle David Menges: Helpful. Thank you.
Operator: Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Analyst with Bank of America. Please proceed with your question.
Analyst: Hi. Good afternoon. Just looking at the first quarter, adjusted EPS was up about 6% year-over-year and adjusted free cash flow is down about 34%. I understand reaffirmed guidance calls for both to grow on a year-over-year basis for 2026, but can you give us some color on the seasonality of working capital for the new business and what Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc.’s free cash flow profile looks like now through the year?
Scott A. Mell: Yes. A couple of questions in there. I think the cash flow profile is going to be very similar to what you experienced prior to the acquisition, with it being said that the first quarter for the Off Highway business unit is a substantially meaningful user of cash during the quarter, just given some of the seasonality and the fact that it is a European-centric organization. But as you think about your modeling on a go-forward basis, you should expect to see the quarterly trends that you have seen in the past in terms of Q1 being a use of cash, Q2 turning the other way, Q3 turning back, and then Q4 generating cash as we get to the end of the year.
Analyst: Thank you.
Operator: And we have reached the end of the question-and-answer session. I would like to turn the floor back to David S. Graziosi for closing remarks.
David S. Graziosi: Thank you, Shamali. Thank you for your continued interest in Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. and for participating on today's call. Enjoy your evening.
Operator: Thank you. This concludes today's conference, and you may disconnect your lines at this time. We thank you for your participation.