Stocks/AMAT

AMAT

Applied Materials, Inc.
Technology·Semiconductors
$450.06
$357.3B market cap
Claude Rating
6/10SLIGHT BUY
Revenue
$29.0B
Free Cash Flow
$6.0B
Rev Growth
+11.4%
FCF Margin
20.6%
P/FCF
59.9x
EV/FCF
59.6x
Fwd EV/EBITDA
23.3x
Fair Value
$400.00
Upside
-11.1%

Applied Materials, Inc. provides manufacturing equipment, services, and software to the semiconductor, display, and related industries. It operates through three segments: Semiconductor Systems, Applied Global Services, and Display and Adjacent Markets. The Semiconductor Systems segment develops, manufactures, and sells various manufacturing equipment that is used to fabricate semiconductor chips or integrated circuits. This segment also offers various technologies, including epitaxy, ion implan

2-Year Price History

$432.16+104.1%
$150$200$250$300$350$400volMay 24Sep 24Jan 25May 25Sep 25Jan 26May 26

Quarterly Financials & Projections

Quarterly Waterfall ($ M)
PeriodRevEBITDAOpInNIOCFFCFCapExCashDebtSharesROICIntCovEV/EBITDA
Est2028-Q29,7003,977--3,298--2,134-436.525,488----------
Est2028-Q19,3003,720--3,069--1,581-418.523,354----------
Est2027-Q49,9004,109--3,416--2,673-445.521,773----------
Est2027-Q39,8004,165--3,479--2,450-441.019,100----------
Est2027-Q29,5003,990--3,325--2,280-427.516,650----------
Est2027-Q18,8003,564--2,948--1,584-440.014,370----------
Est2026-Q49,2003,864--3,266--2,576-460.012,786----------
Est2026-Q38,9503,804--3,222--1,969-492.310,210----------
Act2026-Q27,9103,2942,5232,806843.0832.0-11.08,2416,455799.041.4%47.7x30.8x
Act2026-Q17,0122,5242,0962,0261,6861,040-646.08,5117,190799.037.6%36.6x25.8x
Act2025-Q46,8002,4481,7121,8972,8282,043-785.08,5737,050798.030.2%34.5x17.8x
Act2025-Q37,3022,4212,2331,7792,6342,050-584.07,0146,763811.034.7%36.7x16.0x
Act2025-Q27,1002,4932,1692,1371,5711,061-510.06,7476,670815.048.8%36.7x13.2x
Act2025-Q17,1662,2882,1751,185925.0544.0-381.08,2136,588819.035.4%35.8x15.3x
Act2024-Q47,0452,0712,0461,7312,5752,168-407.09,4716,606828.045.6%31.4x18.1x
Act2024-Q36,7782,1151,9421,7052,3852,088-297.09,1036,671833.040.7%33.6x21.3x
Act2024-Q26,6462,1461,9121,7221,3921,135-257.07,5575,998836.042.6%36.4x19.2x
Act2024-Q16,7072,4531,9672,0192,3252,096-229.07,4925,989837.045.6%41.6x14.3x
Act2023-Q46,7232,3601,9712,0041,5551,246-309.06,8695,999842.052.2%40.7x13.6x
Act2023-Q36,4252,0021,8021,5602,5832,328-255.06,5356,099842.048.8%33.4x14.6x
Act2023-Q26,6302,0401,9111,5752,2922,037-255.05,0986,122847.057.4%33.4x12.5x
Act2023-Q16,7392,1401,9701,7172,2701,983-287.04,0476,118849.061.2%36.3x10.1x
Act2022-Q46,7492,1171,9941,591857.0634.0-223.02,5815,829859.066.6%37.1x9.3x
Act2022-Q36,5202,0321,9241,6061,4691,259-210.03,5485,856869.068.2%32.3x--
Act2022-Q26,2452,0301,8941,536415.0205.0-210.03,9225,850883.067.0%35.0x--
Act2022-Q16,2712,0741,9761,7922,6582,514-144.05,7375,757897.076.6%36.4x--

AI Analysis

LLM Evaluations

Claude6/10SLIGHT BUYFV: $400.00

Applied Materials is the broadest-portfolio semiconductor equipment company and is uniquely positioned to benefit from the AI-driven complexity increase in chip manufacturing (GAA, backside power, HBM, advanced packaging). The company is executing exceptionally well with record revenue, 50% gross margins, and unprecedented customer visibility extending 8 quarters. However, the stock at ~$437 trades at 58x trailing FCF and ~44x forward earnings, pricing in near-flawless execution and sustained AI capex growth. The BIS settlement, China revenue concentration (~28%), and potential for AI capex cyclicality create meaningful downside risks. The valuation leaves limited margin of safety — this is a great company at a full price, warranting a slight outperform rating only if one believes the AI cycle extends well beyond current visibility.

Catalyst Continued acceleration in AI infrastructure spending driving WFE above $130B in CY2027, GAA/backside power adoption expanding AMAT's content per wafer by 30%+, and EPIC Center partnerships converting to design wins earlier in the development cycle.
Risk AI capex spending proves more cyclical than secular, with hyperscalers moderating spend in 2027-2028 once initial infrastructure buildout is complete, combined with potential tightening of China export restrictions that could reduce AMAT's addressable market by another $2-3B.
Trend
IMPROVING
Mgmt
8/10
Quarter
8/10
Exp. Move
-1.5%

Latest Earnings Call

Transcript Summary

Applied Materials (AMAT) delivered a record-breaking Q2 2026, with revenue reaching $7.91 billion and non-GAAP gross margin hitting 50%. The results were fueled by the massive global build-out of AI infrastructure. Management raised its calendar 2026 equipment business growth outlook to over 30%, citing a shift toward "agentic AI" which increases demand for logic and memory. A standout highlight was the unprecedented visibility from customers, who are now providing 8-quarter rolling forecasts. The company is heavily investing in its EPIC Center for collaborative R&D with partners like TSMC and Samsung. Advanced packaging is also a major growth engine, expected to rise over 50% this calendar year. Applied Global Services (AGS) saw record revenue, leading management to raise its long-term growth expectations for the segment to the mid-teens. Despite questions on market share in specific niches and geopolitical risks, the leadership remains extremely bullish on 2027 and beyond, viewing AI as a durable multi-year tailwind. Q3 guidance projects continued sequential growth, with revenue estimated at $8.95 billion, as the company scales its recently doubled manufacturing capacity to meet secular demand for high-performance computing.

Valuation & Metrics

Market Stats

Price$450.06
Market Cap$357.3B
Enterprise Value$355.5B
P/S Ratio12.3x
P/FCF59.9x
EV/FCF59.6x
FCF Margin (TTM)20.6%
FCF Yield1.7%
Dividend Yield (TTM)--
Annual Dilution-2.0%
CurrencyUSD

TTM Financial Snapshot

Revenue$29.0B
Net Income$8.5B
Free Cash Flow$6.0B

Revenue Growth (YoY)+11.4%
EBITDA Margin36.8%
Net Margin29.3%
FCF Margin20.6%
CapEx % of Revenue7.0%
SBC % of Revenue1.9%
ROIC36.0%
WC Change % Rev9.0%
Interest Coverage38.9x

DCF Fair Value Estimate

$177.25
-60.6% upside
Fair Enterprise Value$139.8B
− Net Debt$-1.8B
= Fair Equity$141.6B
Revenue Growth6.2% → 5.0%
FCF Margin20.6% → 22.0%
Discount Rate13.0%
Terminal EV/FCF20.0x

Forward Outlook & Risk

Short Interest

Short % of Float2.0%
Short Shares15.9M
Days to Cover2.8
Change (vs Prior)+16.9%
Short % Float History
2.00%-0.10pp
1.6%1.8%2.0%2.2%2.4%2.6%2.8%04-3007-1509-1511-1401-1504-30

Options

Call IV (ATM)54%
Put IV (ATM)55%
ATM Spread0.26%
Call $OI (near money)$134.7M
Put $OI (near money)$43.8M
ATM ExpiryJuly 17, 2026 (56D)
ATM Strike$430.0
Major Expirations9
Near-money chain · July 17, 2026
StrikeCall Bid/AskCall OIPut Bid/AskPut OI
$400.00$53.70/$57.10363$19.80/$22.25374
$410.00$47.85/$50.90292$23.75/$26.60592
$420.00$42.20/$44.30414$28.10/$30.75211
$430.00$38.50/$39.601,145$33.15/$35.75143
$440.00$33.45/$35.551,147$37.95/$40.0088
$450.00$28.50/$30.80861$43.75/$46.0090
$460.00$24.80/$27.70322$50.50/$52.8028
$470.00$21.25/$23.65325$57.55/$60.157
Snapshot: 2026-05-22

Forward Projections & Estimates

NTM Revenue Growth+25.6%
Forward FCF Margin23.1%
Forward EBITDA Margin41.8%
Forward P/FCF42.5x
Forward EV/FCF42.3x
Forward Int. Coverage57.6x
Model Risk Score5/10
Bankruptcy Odds0%
Est. Borrow Rate4.5%
Terminal EV/FCF20.0x
LT Growth5.0%
LT FCF Margin22.0%

Employees

Headcount36,000
Revenue / Employee$806,222
Gross Profit / Employee$394,694
2022: 33,000 → 2023: 34,000 → 2024: 35,700 → 2025: 36,500 (3% CAGR)

Institutional Ownership

Headline & net flow

BALANCED

In Q1 2026 so far (quarter still filing), institutions are roughly balanced — bought 4.5% of float, sold 4.1%.

Net flow · Q1 2026still filing
+0.4% of float (net)
Bought 4.5% · Sold 4.1%
2,959 filers reported (last quarter: 2,733)

Ownership composition

Active
39.7%(+22.5% YoY)
2,864 filers
hedge / family / endowment
Retail funds
Fidelity, Schwab, 401(k)
Passive
15.1%(+5.4% YoY)
7 filers
Vanguard, iShares, SPDR
Market makers
0.2%(+0.1% YoY)
13 filers
Citadel, Susquehanna
Insiders
0.4%
Form 4 — latest per insider
0%25%50%75%100%2022-062023-032023-122024-092025-062026-03
ActiveRetail fundsPassiveMarket makersRetail direct

Top holders

Fund$ valueCost basisΔ QoQΔ YoYα lifeFund AUM
BlackRock, Inc.Passive$26.99B$205.49+$1.27B+$137M-0.2%$5.69T
STATE STREET CORPPassive$12.82B$168.40−$145M−$349M-0.2%$2.89T
Capital Research Global Investors$10.07B$217.99−$1.11B+$9.80B+0.3%$644.55B
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLCPassive$7.48B$229.14+$1.13B+$444M+2.3%$1.61T
MORGAN STANLEY$4.05B$134.31+$128M+$579M-0.3%$1.65T
UBS ASSET MANAGEMENT AMERICAS INC$3.42B$205.82−$236M+$3.00B-0.3%$480.58B
Invesco Ltd.$3.32B$232.41+$589M+$579M-0.2%$652.04B
AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL INC$3.06B$175.53−$462M+$370M-0.1%$430.96B
NORTHERN TRUST CORPPassive$3.00B$155.17−$71.6M−$334M-0.2%$755.34B
Bank of New York Mellon Corp$2.94B$198.24−$118M+$321M+0.5%$543.21B
GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC$2.69B$167.43+$399M+$762M-0.2%$760.93B
VAN ECK ASSOCIATES CORP$2.27B$168.96−$412M−$363M+0.8%$133.17B
Amundi$2.24B$139.30+$107M−$374M-0.2%$366.88B
DEUTSCHE BANK AG\$2.22B$136.07+$24.0M−$237M-0.3%$302.17B
Legal & General Group Plc$2.19B$170.21+$13.5M−$63.1M-0.1%$432.24B
FMR LLC$2.19B$231.97+$534M−$923M+0.3%$1.89T
Sanders Capital, LLC$2.11B$187.31−$909M+$2.11B+0.5%$83.88B
PRICE T ROWE ASSOCIATES INC /MD/$2.07B$153.31+$232M+$167M-0.2%$864.93B
Nuveen, LLC$2.05B$153.60−$572M−$506M-0.1%$368.63B
BANK OF AMERICA CORP /DE/$1.84B$201.22−$507M−$305M-0.1%$1.36T
Cost basis is a volume-weighted estimate from accumulation periods within our 13F history; holders who built their position before our window started will show a stale basis. % above the cost basis is the unrealized gain at the current price.

Trading behavior

Smart-money alpha (lifetime, %/qtr)NEUTRAL
Holders
+0.05%
avg per quarter
Holders (ex-self)
+0.02%
excl. this stock
Buyers (this Q)
+0.16%
1,278 buyers · $35.20B in
Sellers (this Q)
-0.27%
1,262 sellers · $-9.61B out
alpha coverage: 100% of $ has a lifetime-alpha record
Holder behavior on this stocksource: stock
On big dips (−10%+)
-17.9%
how holders react when this stock falls
On quiet Qs
+0.5%
−10% to +10% baseline
On rallies (+10%+)
-9.0%
how they react when this stock rises
Holders' portfolio flow this Q
+21.6%
inflows — adds are organic
Sellers' portfolio flow this Q
+12.2%
Sellers grew AUM elsewhere — opinionated cut of this stock.
▸ Compare to holder-profile behavior (across all their stocks)
Holder dip (any stock)
-4.2%
Holder mid (any stock)
-2.3%
Holder rally (any stock)
-2.3%

Top Holders Over Time

5-year share-count history (top 10 holders by peak, incl. exited) + price

037.6M75.2M112.8M150.4M$79$145$211$276$3422021-062022-062023-062024-062025-062026-03
hover the chart for per-quarter detailprice (right axis)
Capital Research Global Investors29.5MCapital International Investors2.3MCapital World Investors1.7MMORGAN STANLEY11.8MPRICE T ROWE ASSOCIATES INC /MD/6.1MFMR LLC6.4MUBS ASSET MANAGEMENT AMERICAS INC10.0MInvesco Ltd.9.7MAMERIPRISE FINANCIAL INC8.9MBank of New York Mellon Corp8.6M

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Analyst Coverage

Analyst Coverage
Price Targets
Last Quarter (21 analysts)$518.761530.0%
Last Year (74 analysts)$384.50-1460.0%
Current Price$450.06

Corporate

Executive Compensation (2023-2025)

Direct Pay$294.5M
Incentive & Other$35.4M
Total Compensation$329.9M
% of Revenue0.4%

Insider Trading (last 12mo)

Open-market only (Form 4 P-Purchase + S-Sale). Excludes grants, option exercises, tax withholding, gifts.
Officers & directors
Buys ($, 12mo)
$0
0 txns · 0 insiders · 0 sh
Sells ($, 12mo)
$6.63M
8 txns · 4 insiders · 21,174 sh
Recent transactions
DateSideInsiderTitleSharesPriceDollarsOwned $
2026-02-25SELLBRUNER JUDYdirector2,500$391.71$979K$10.22M
2026-02-24SELLSanders Adamofficer: Corp. Controller & CAO534$379.16$202K$1.75M
2026-02-23SELLBRUNER JUDYdirector3,969$377.02$1.50M$10.78M
2026-02-17SELLHill Briceofficer: SVP, CFO5,000$361.21$1.81M$50.05M
2025-12-01SELLSanders Adamofficer: Corp. Controller & CAO609$255.53$156K$1.13M
2025-11-25SELLLittle Teri A.officer: SVP, CLO4,000$238.24$953K$20.10M
2025-11-19SELLLittle Teri A.officer: SVP, CLO4,000$234.08$936K$20.68M
2025-06-24SELLSanders Adamofficer: Corp. Controller & CAO562$178.60$100K$947K

Order Flow (FINRA, ~3w lag)

17.9%retail+2.1pp
22.6%dark+3.2pp
week of 2026-04-27
10%15%20%25%30%24-1125-0225-0525-0825-1126-0226-04retail (non-ATS)dark (ATS)
Off-exchange volume from FINRA. Retail = non-ATS (wholesaler PFOF + broker internalization). Dark = ATS (dark-pool crossing networks, institutional). Lit-exchange = remainder.

Revenue Breakdown

Revenue Segments

By Product (2026-Q1)
Semiconductor Systems$5.1B-4%
Applied Global Services$1.6B-2%
Corporate And Reconciling Items$312.0M+846%
By Geography (2026-Q1)
CHINA$2.1B-7%
TAIWAN, PROVINCE OF CHINA$1.7B+46%
KOREA, REPUBLIC OF$1.5B-13%
UNITED STATES$656.0M-29%
JAPAN$525.0M-3%
Southeast Asia$335.0M+17%
Europe$221.0M-33%

Filing Risk Analysis

Filing Risk Scores

Applied Materials: Standard Administrative Filing Lacks Material Forensic Red Flags

Overall Risk
2/10
Fraud
1/10
Dilution
1/10
Insolvency
1/10
Earnings Overstated
1/10
Hidden Liabilities
1/10
Legal
1/10
Audit Warnings
1/10
Hidden Upside
1/10
Contextually Acceptable
10/10

Counter-Thesis

Counter-Thesis & Recent News

📰 Recent News

In February 2026, Applied Materials paid a $252.5 million penalty to the U.S. Commerce Department’s Bureau of Industry and Security (BIS) to settle allegations of illegal exports to China's SMIC. This was the second-largest civil penalty in BIS history. Furthermore, despite reporting record revenue and raising its Q3 2026 guidance on May 14, 2026, the stock dipped as much as 2% pre-market, suggesting the market has already priced in 'perfection' and AI-driven growth (Seeking Alpha, MarketBeat).

🐻 Bear Case

The bear case centers on the 'AI versus the Rest' divide. While AI infrastructure spending is surging, other core segments like NAND and ICAPS (chips for autos/industrials) remain soft. Investors are concerned that AI demand cannot fully offset the slower-than-expected recovery in mature-node equipment spending, which still represents a massive portion of AMAT's revenue base. Additionally, with the stock trading at a P/E ratio near 44x—significantly above historical averages—there is little margin for error if AI capex cools (Tikr, Nemo Money).

🚩 Red Flags

The BIS settlement revealed that AMAT utilized a 'dual-build' production route to bypass U.S. export controls, shipping partially assembled equipment to South Korea for final delivery to restricted Chinese entities. This history of regulatory evasion presents a significant 'Trade War 2.0' risk, as the U.S. government maintains strict scrutiny on semiconductor technology. Furthermore, China accounts for nearly one-third of 2025 revenue, making AMAT highly vulnerable to tightening export curbs and potential new tariffs (Manufacturing Dive, Arnold & Porter).

⚔️ Competitive Threats

AMAT face intense competition from Lam Research (LRCX) and ASML. Lam Research has shown faster revenue growth in the high-bandwidth memory (HBM) and etching segments, which are critical for AI. Meanwhile, ASML maintains a near-monopoly on EUV lithography, a step where AMAT has no direct play. Analysts have noted that AMAT's broader portfolio makes it more dependent on a full industry-wide recovery rather than a single high-growth technology segment (Seeking Alpha, Nemo Money).

💬 Customer Sentiment

Customer sentiment is bifurcated; while advanced logic and DRAM customers are offering visibility extending into 2027, broader sentiment remains cautious. Some customers have cut wafer-fab equipment orders in non-AI sectors due to uncertainty regarding the timing of a cyclical recovery in consumer devices and industrial markets. This 'demand scare' outside of AI infrastructure has kept institutional sentiment guarded (Invezz, Trefis).

Full Earnings Call Transcript

Full Earnings Call Transcript — Q2 • 2026-05-14

Operator: Welcome to the Applied Materials Second Quarter Fiscal 2026 Earnings Call. [Operator Instructions] I would now like to turn the call over to Mike Sullivan, Corporate Vice President of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.
Michael Sullivan: Good afternoon, everyone, and thank you for joining today's call. With me are Gary Dickerson, our President and CEO; and Brice Hill, our Chief Financial Officer. Before we begin, I'd like to remind you that today's call includes forward-looking statements which are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause our actual results to differ. Information concerning these risks and uncertainties is discussed in our most recent Form 10-Q and other filings with the SEC. Today's call also includes non-GAAP financial measures. Reconciliations to GAAP measures can be found in today's earnings press release and in our quarterly earnings materials, which are available on our website at ir.appliedmaterials.com. In addition, any comments regarding calendar 2026 refer to Q2 of this fiscal year through Q1 of fiscal 2027, which will be a 14-week quarter. Next, I'll share some calendar items. I'm pleased to announce the second event in our 2026 Master Class series. We'll cover DRAM and advanced packaging on a live webcast on Thursday, June 25, at 9:00 a.m. Pacific Time. Next, I'd like to remind you about our two special events during SEMICON West. On Monday afternoon, October 12, we invite you to the unveiling of the new EPIC Center in Sunnyvale, California. And on Tuesday morning, October 13, we hope you'll join Gary, Brice and our business unit leaders for our investor breakfast presentation at the Yerba Buena Center in San Francisco. You can join us in person or on a live webcast. And with that introduction, I'd now like to turn the call over to Gary Dickerson.
Gary Dickerson: Thank you, Mike. In our second fiscal quarter, Applied Materials delivered record revenue and earnings, along with our highest gross margin in more than 25 years. With rising demand and increasing long-term visibility from customers, we see an exceptionally strong foundation for sustained multiyear revenue and profit growth. The momentum in our business is being driven by three key factors: first, the rapid global build-out of AI computing infrastructure. Second, Applied's leadership positions in the most enabling and highest value areas of the market, particularly leading-edge foundry logic, DRAM and advanced packaging. And third, strong execution across our operations and supply chain. In my prepared remarks, I will provide an update on how our markets are evolving, explain how Applied is enabling the AI road map with our differentiated technology and exciting pipeline of new products and outline how we're transforming the way we work with customers, partners and across the company to drive higher velocity, increase operating leverage and scale more efficiently. Over the past several months, global AI adoption has continued to accelerate as improvements in the performance and cost of AI computing are translating into real-world applications that deliver compelling returns for users. If I look at our own company as an example, today, we have more than 35,000 AI users across our global workforce. We are deploying AI to drive new scientific breakthroughs, accelerate research and development programs, optimize factory and supply chain operations, increase innovation and productivity and services and automate workflows across our corporate functions. This enables us to redirect resources towards higher value work and grow the business significantly faster than our headcount. Similar dynamics are playing out across a broad range of industries and organizations. Publicly available data indicates that global token generation has increased more than threefold in just the past three months. Importantly, AI demand is not only growing rapidly, it's also diversifying. Since the beginning of the year, there has been a meaningful increase in agentic applications, which layer on top of continued growth in generative AI training and inference workloads. AI computing architectures are workload-specific and optimized for different generative, agentic or physical AI models. Agentic AI models do more than respond to queries, they plan, reason and execute tasks autonomously. They therefore require a computing architecture that is more CPU-intensive, while also increasing demand for DRAM and NAND. As agentic AI applications grow, they provide an additional tailwind for wafer fab equipment. Last quarter, we said the availability of clean room space was a key factor pacing the rate of industry investment. As customers find new ways to reallocate or create space, we are seeing incremental requests for equipment deliveries in 2026, and we now expect our semiconductor equipment business will grow more than 30% this calendar year. Given the unprecedented demand environment, we are working closely with our customers on longer-range planning. Our largest customers are providing rolling 8-quarter forecasts, so we can prepare the required manufacturing capacity and service resources for their ramps. With this improved visibility, we see continued growth across this extended planning horizon into 2027 and beyond. And we are investing to support our customers' expansion plans. For AI computing, leading-edge foundry logic, DRAM and advanced packaging have the greatest impact on overall system performance, power efficiency and costs. As a result, we expect these three areas to account for more than 80% of the year-on-year growth in total wafer fab equipment spending in 2026 and see a similar profile in 2027. These are also the areas where Applied has strong leadership positions and an innovative pipeline of next-generation technologies. In leading-edge foundry logic, Applied is the clear #1 process equipment provider with highly differentiated solutions in materials deposition, modification and treatments, conductor etch and e-beam technologies. Gate-all-around nodes grow our available market considerably while also providing a catalyst for multiple points of market share gains. This quarter, we announced two new products that further strengthen our gate-all-around portfolio. To meet the requirements of different AI workloads in the data center and at the edge, chip makers provide designers with a range of transistor options with some tuned for peak performance and others turned to use the lowest amount of power. This tuning is achieved through precise optimization of the materials in the metal gate stack. Our new Trillium ALD integrated material solution precisely deposits metals in the most complex gate-all-around transistor gate stacks. By integrating multiple metal deposition steps in a single platform, Trillium ALD provides angstrom-level thickness control of metal gate stack layers giving chip makers maximum flexibility to tune threshold voltages across different transistors. In advanced foundry logic, shallow trench isolation or STI, is used to electrically separate neighboring transistors. These narrow isolation trenches are some of the smallest structures in a gate-all-around device. Our new precision PECVD system uses an industry-first selective bottom-up deposition process to place material exactly where it's needed and protect the STI structure from damage during subsequent processing steps. By preserving the original shape and height of the isolation trench, our new PECVD solution reduces parasitic capacitance and lowers leakage to boost device performance. In advanced packaging, Applied is also the overall leader with strong positions in high-bandwidth memory and 3D chiplet stacking. We expect to grow our packaging revenues more than 50% in calendar 2026 and are very well positioned at upcoming packaging inflections. We recently announced our intent to acquire NEXX to further strengthen Applied's portfolio of panel-level technologies, which are designed to enable larger body packages for AI accelerators. In DRAM, AI computing is driving incredibly strong demand and customers are aggressively adding capacity at 6F squared nodes, while accelerating their development of next-generation device architectures. Applied is the #1 process equipment provider in memory today thanks to our very strong position in DRAM wiring, patterning and peripheral logic steps. We expect to gain additional DRAM market share at upcoming transistor and device architecture inflections. We will provide more details at our next master class in June, which will cover both our DRAM and advanced packaging technology road maps. To accelerate the industry's road map further, we are changing the way we work with our customers and partners by creating a new model for collaboration and innovation. Applied's global EPIC platform is designed to significantly reduce the time it takes to commercialize breakthrough technologies all the way from early-stage research to full-scale manufacturing. For chip makers, EPIC provides earlier access to Applied's R&D portfolio and faster cycles of learning through the co-location of key innovators from customers, partners and Applied. In addition, EPIC co-innovation programs will provide us with greater multi-node visibility to guide R&D investments and resource allocation, increase R&D productivity and value sharing and accelerate design wins for applied equipment and services. The centerpiece of the platform is the new EPIC Center in Silicon Valley which remains on track to begin operations in the fall. Earlier this week, we announced our EPIC co-development engagement with TSMC, who joined as a founding partner together with Micron, Samsung and SK Hynix. We're also excited to announce our first 3 EPIC university partnerships with ASU, RPI and Stanford as well as the development partner agreement with Advantest. We are finalizing additional EPIC agreements that we will publicly announce in the coming months. To accelerate the transfer of new technologies from Applied's labs to customers' fabs, we are also driving new innovations in service. Service is another important growth driver for Applied as we increase the revenue we generate per tool on top of a growing installed base. As a result, we expect Applied Global Services to deliver a sustainable annual growth rate in the mid-teens and potentially higher this year. Our advanced service solutions enable customers to accelerate production ramps and optimize output, yield and cost in their high-volume manufacturing environment. Today, we have more than 35,000 chambers connected to our proprietary AIx software capabilities that use AI-powered monitoring, diagnostics and analytics. Before I hand it over to Brice, let me briefly summarize. AI adoption is accelerating and diversifying, fueling broad and durable demand for semiconductors and semiconductor equipment. Leading-edge foundry logic, DRAM and advanced packaging are the most critical drivers of performance, power efficiency and cost for AI computing. As a result, we expect these three areas to account for more than 80% of the year-on-year growth in total wafer fab equipment spending in 2026 and see a similar profile in 2027. These are areas where Applied has strong market leadership today and a high-value pipeline of next-generation products, providing us with an exceptionally strong foundation for sustained multiyear revenue and profit growth. Finally, through EPIC, our advanced services portfolio and rapid AI adoption across our operations, we are transforming how we work with customers, partners and inside Applied Materials, driving higher velocity, improving value capture and efficiently scaling the company as the industry grows. Brice, over to you.
Brice Hill: Thanks, Gary. AI is driving wafer fab equipment spending to the areas where Applied has been investing the most and we see the positive mix continuing in the second half of the calendar year and well beyond. As the market shifted to our areas of strength in Q2, we delivered double-digit sequential and year-over-year growth across revenue, operating profit and earnings per share. I'd like to thank our teams and partners for making these results possible by meeting strong customer demand for our AI enabling materials engineering technologies and systems. On today's call, I'll provide an update on the demand environment, discuss several strategic priorities, summarize our Q2 results and provide our Q3 guidance. Since we spoke February, the demand outlook has strengthened across almost every leading indicator we track. Cloud service providers continue to increase capital investments. Most leading-edge logic and DRAM fabs are running at full capacity. Our customers have announced more fab projects and are giving up the clearest and longest visibility we've ever had. Customers have been using a variety of techniques to increase clean room capacity this year, which is growing the market and our revenue expectations. And based on our latest discussions with them, we expect 2027 will be another strong record year for the industry. Next, I'll summarize several of our strategic priorities. Our top priority is increasing output to serve our customers' growing demand. We've nearly doubled our manufacturing capacity to support them with expansions in the U.S. and Europe and an additional new manufacturing center in Singapore. We've increased our build plan, inventory positions and logistics capacity. We are systematically translating our 8-quarter customer demand forecast into a consolidated signal to our suppliers. Ensuring they have the visibility they need to make their own capacity and resource additions. Next, I'll share how this translates to profitability, funding our collaborative R&D process, helps us identify the highest value technology challenges and gives us line of sight to the most compelling solutions. As we bring newly developed tools to market, our portfolio becomes more valuable and our gross margins expand. In fact, our non-GAAP gross margin has increased 800 basis points since Gary became CEO in 2013. It is now crossing 50% at the company level and approaching 55% in Semiconductor Systems. In addition, we are focused on driving higher operating profit and leverage with productivity tools and plans being deployed across the company. While fully investing in the R&D that grows our business and gross margins, we also expect to increase spending more slowly than revenue and deliver increasing operating profit. Next, I'll summarize our Q2 results. We generated record revenue of $7.91 billion, which is up 13% sequentially and 11% year-over-year. Non-GAAP gross margin reached 50% in the quarter, increasing 80 basis points year-over-year driven by value-based pricing from our most differentiated products, coupled with ongoing manufacturing cost innovations. Non-GAAP operating margin expanded to 32.1%, up 140 basis points year-over-year. And we delivered record non-GAAP earnings per share of $2.86, which was up 20% year-over-year. Turning to the segments. Semiconductor Systems delivered record revenue of $5.97 billion, which was up 16% sequentially and up 10% year-over-year. The transition to gate all around nodes, along with capacity additions at leading-edge FinFET nodes drove record foundry revenue as well as record revenue across ALD, epitaxy and materials treatments. DRAM revenue of $1.7 billion grew 18% year-over-year. Advanced packaging revenue is accelerating this calendar year within both foundry logic and DRAM, and investments are shifting toward our leadership positions in 3D stacking. Segment gross margin and operating margin both increased year-over-year. Applied Global Services delivered record revenue of $1.67 billion, which is up 17% year-over-year, reflecting the benefit of higher fab utilizations. Services growth remained strong as our installed base expands and customers choose our most advanced services to boost output and yield. AGS also generated year-over-year increases in gross margin and operating margin. Other revenue of $280 million was in line with our expectations. China represented 24% of our semiconductor systems plus AGS revenue. We expect our business in China and our ICAPS business worldwide to be flat to slightly higher in the calendar year. Cash from operations was $845 million. Capital expenditures were $635 million, resulting in free cash flow of $210 million. We distributed $765 million to shareholders, including $365 million in dividends and $400 million in stock repurchases. In March, we announced a 15% increase to the quarterly cash dividend and achieved a goal we set several years ago to double the dividend per share. Now I'll share our guidance for Q3. We expect company revenue of $8.95 billion, plus or minus $500 million, which is up nearly 23% year-over-year. We expect non-GAAP EPS of $3.36 plus or minus $0.20, which is up nearly 36% year-over-year. Within this outlook, we expect Semiconductor Systems revenue of around $6.9 billion, AGS revenue of about $1.75 billion and other revenue of around $300 million. We expect non-GAAP gross margin to increase modestly to approximately 50.1%, and we expect non-GAAP operating expenses of around $1.485 billion. Finally, we're modeling a non-GAAP tax rate of around 11%. In summary, the growth in AI that we've been investing for is now in full force. As a result, the industry spending mix has shifted to leading-edge foundry logic, DRAM and advanced packaging where Applied has built the #1 process equipment market positions. We are investing with confidence to support the strong long-term growth our customers are giving us visibility into and ensuring our suppliers do the same. Finally, we are using the benefits of the AI technologies we enable to accelerate innovation and revenue generation and increase operating leverage and shareholder returns. Now Mike, please begin the Q&A session.
Michael Sullivan: Thanks, Brice. To help us reach as many people as we can on today's call, please ask just one question and no more than one brief follow-up.Operator, let's please begin.
Operator: And our first question for today comes from the line of C.J. Muse from Cantor Fitzgerald.
Christopher Muse: You talked about 8-quarter rolling visibility with customers. And I'm curious how that might be causing order patterns to change, perhaps upfront payments, a change in the pricing environment. I would love to hear how you're thinking about your relationship with customers, given how tight equipment is and will likely be for years to come.
Brice Hill: Hi, C.J., it's Brice. Thanks for the question. So yes, for the large customers, we're definitely working on 8-quarter rolling visibility with them. That helps us primarily plan the supply chain. Our supply chain needs that kind of lead time in order to make their investments and expansions across the large group of suppliers. We've said before, we have on the order of 2,000 direct suppliers and a large number of components for each tool. So that's the primary reason. From a payments perspective, as you know, some of our customers do -- we do require deposits, but that's not across the board. On the pricing side of things, our pricing generally works as long-term contracts with customers based on projects, so you can picture it as a 2- to 3-year pricing contract for a particular project. So pricing moves relatively slowly in the environment. What has been driving our pricing up over the past couple of years and helping us grow our gross margin over the past couple of years has been the gradual enriching of the portfolio. So every time we launch a new solution, it's typically a more important solution in terms of its value to customers, solving complex problems. That makes the portfolio stronger, and we price accordingly for that. And that's why you've seen our systems gross margins improve over the last 2 years. So I'll leave it at that. No -- at this point in time, no change in the overall model.
Gary Dickerson: Yes. C.J., this is Gary. I would say relative to pricing, really, we're in a great position in the industry in that the most critical innovations for AI computing are in the sweet spot for Applied in leading-edge foundry logic DRAM in advanced packaging and really applied innovations or enabling these architecture inflections that are providing tremendous improvements in computing. So that puts us in a good position with tailwinds to drive pricing in the near term. And then also, as we're creating more value for our customers, it creates an opportunity for us to capture more value from Applied Materials. So I have high confidence that the margin progress that we've seen over the last few years is going to continue as we go forward.
Christopher Muse: As a quick follow-up, just on the gross margin side, a great guide with, I'm assuming, depressed China. How should we think about gross margins beyond the July quarter, particularly, as it appears as silicon will continue to grow sequentially well into 2027 and beyond?
Brice Hill: Hi, C.J., thank you. So we guided 50.1% for the company-level gross margin. I'll just remind investors that we're now reporting our gross margin for each operating segment. So they'll be able to see that our Semi Systems gross margin is 54.8% in Q2, and that represents the improvements we're talking about. And on the systems, to your point, we expect to continue to make improvements, that's really driven by the gradual strength in portfolio as we launch new equipment. So the improvement will be slow, but we expect continued improvement in the gross margins. And that's really where you get that guide of 50.1%. So a slight increase for Q3 from Q2, and we would expect to be able to continue that process going forward as we launch new tools and solutions.
Operator: And our next question comes from the line of Stacy Rasgon from Bernstein Research.
Stacy Rasgon: For a 30% year-over-year equipment growth, so that looks like you're suggesting something like $14.5 billion, $15 billion in the second half of the calendar year for equipments? And I guess, I just want to verify that's true. And I guess what are your thoughts -- it was too early about calendar '27, but I mean given '26 is still a constrained year. I guess what are your thoughts on WFE growth versus your own growth in '26? And is there any reason to think that '27 couldn't be even better as cleaners become more available? I guess just how do we think about the trajectory of growth into '27 as the clean rooms like come online relative to what you're suggesting as we see into the back half of this year?
Brice Hill: Yes. Stacy, good to hear from you. So on the 30% year-over-year equipment growth, it does suggest a second half on the order that you described. We do think that the demand signal is very strong. Our customers increased orders in the last 90 days, as Gary described, as customers are finding new floor space and clean room solutions. And I think investors should think about when they think about the road map of capacity. We've said before, we're tracking over 100 factory projects globally. We added more than 10 just in the last quarter. So you should expect a pipeline of new clean room coming on board, so customers can continue to grow the wafer starts across the end markets that we're talking about. So we do expect growth in WFE. We do expect growth in wafer starts overall, and we think that's headlined by the AI demand function.
Gary Dickerson: Yes. Again, as Brice indicated, '27 still looks like a strong growth year for us. And I can tell you that I'm having constant conversations with customers, and they're looking at '27, and they're looking at '28. Again, because the compute demand is growing so quickly. Earlier on the call, we talked about agentic AI on top of what we've been seeing and that we're modeling incremental CPU demand, incremental DRAM and NAND demand, that's a meaningful increase on top of what we had been forecasting previously. And then you go beyond that with physical AI coming in the future, we think this demand environment is going to continue strong for a number of years. And certainly, as I'm having many conversations with customers, that is a major focus for them.
Stacy Rasgon: Got it. That's helpful. For my follow-up, I wanted to ask about your manufacturing capacity. So you see you doubled it. So is it all ready to go? Like how much revenue -- I guess how full -- maybe the question I'm asking is like if it was full, how much revenue capacity could you actually support, and is there actually more margin upside as that capacity that you brought online actually starts to fill up?
Brice Hill: Stacy, yes. So on the first part, from a floor space perspective, it's ready to go and available. We would have to fit that up and hire people as we ramp. So we have the capability of significantly expanding the output. Last quarter, I said we could double as we're growing, it eats into that a little bit, but that's a rough approximation. So we have significant capacity available. Our job is to work with the supply chain and have the supply chain work at the same speed we are.
Operator: And our next question comes from the line of Vivek Arya from Bank of America Securities.
Vivek Arya: If we look at WFE growth this year, it's very strong, but it is still the semiconductor industry growth, mainly because semis are being driven more by pricing rather than units. So Gary, I'm curious that as you look over the next 1 to 3 years, do you think that semi industry growth comes more from units, or it still continues to be reliant on pricing?
Gary Dickerson: Yes. Thanks for the question, Vivek. Again, when I'm talking to our customers or our customers' customers, I think everyone sees tremendous increase in computing demand going forward. And I talked about all these layers of demand that are increasing as we go forward. So I think that, and as I mentioned also with customers, the focus -- I was just with a customer 2 days ago, they were worried about the supply all the way into 2030. So again, the computing demand, I think, is increasing. I'm not going to speculate on pricing. What we do see, again, is broadening in terms of the customers that we're working with because everyone sees this increase in compute demand, and that is really great for Applied because all of the markets that are growing the fastest, the leading-edge foundry logic. We're seeing a broadening of demand, very strong demand for DRAM and high-bandwidth memory. The ecosystem working on new packaging architectures that drive major improvements in performance and power tokens per second per watt. So again, all of this is great for Applied. I'm not going to speculate on the units versus pricing. But what I would say is that the market environment for Applied has never been better and our positions in the market have never been better.
Vivek Arya: And for my follow-up, if your system sales are growing over 30%, and there's a lot of discussion that maybe growth accelerates next year. How should we think about growth in AGS given that level of growth? Is there some kind of correlation? Is there some kind of kind of lagging growth that we can start to see acceleration even in AGS at some point?
Brice Hill: Hi, Vivek, it's Brice. Yes, thanks for that question. So we had previously communicated low double-digits growth expectation for AGS, our services business. And to your point, as the systems business is running higher, and we've raised expectations for the systems business, that means the AGS installed base will grow. So the service opportunity for AGS grows and as well as the spare parts and as factory utilizations have improved. So we are going to raise our expectations for AGS to mid-teens for sort of the normal environment. And we think this year will end up being a little bit higher than that because we have so many -- so much utilization improvement across the industry and so many new factories that, that gives extra bump. So I would say mid-teens from a medium-term modeling perspective and higher than that this year.
Gary Dickerson: The other thing I would say on AGS, there's never been a time where output yield innovation is more valuable than today. And I mentioned earlier on the call that we have over 35,000 chambers connected to our AIx servers. So we're also driving service innovations with AI-enabled applications, predictive models to improve wafer fab output, yield and cost. So I think in addition to the growing equipment business that will help accelerate AGS growth. We're also driving higher value service innovations that will also support that growth.
Operator: And our next question comes from the line of Timothy Arcuri from UBS.
Timothy Arcuri: Brice, I wanted to go back to this up 30% -- at least 30% this year as well. So if I just do the math, I mean, it sort of implies that you barely grow off of the July levels, which doesn't seem possible given you're booked out for at least a year. So I would think you can probably grow at least the same number of dollars in Systems that you've been growing in the last 2 quarters. So that would put you like more above 40%. So I'm surprised you said above 30% and not above 40%. So are you just being conservative, or is there something like in the back half of the year where the sequentials can't grow as fast from an absolute Systems level. Can you just talk about that?
Brice Hill: Sure. Just to reiterate, we're saying 30% growth year-over-year in our Systems business. And Tim, I think we're not giving explicit linearity for the out quarters, but we'd be comfortable if you just assumed it was linear from Q3 to Q4 to our fiscal Q1.
Timothy Arcuri: Okay. So it's going to grow about the same on a dollar basis? Brice is that -- sorry, just to clarify.
Brice Hill: On a dollar basis, I would just draw a line and say it grows linearly from our Q3 guide through Q1.
Timothy Arcuri: Okay. Got it. And then, Gary, can I ask you about Huawei story, I mean, how do you think about -- I mean that letter in and of itself is not -- like it doesn't really hurt you at all. But how do you think about the risk of that broadening because there's a lot of examples of these fabs being co-mingled in these clusters, some of which you can ship to and some of which you can't. So is there a risk that this spreads and maybe it sort of then captures more in the net, where you can't ship to these fab complexes that have stuff that's allowed and stuff that's not allowed co-mingled in the same complex. Can you just talk about that?
Gary Dickerson: Yes. Thanks, Tim. Let me just clarify. Relative to our semi equipment business, we'll grow 30% or more in the year. And it's really supply chain. That's one thing that is, I think, an issue for everybody. As Brice mentioned earlier, our operations can scale significantly beyond where we're at right now. But it takes time for the supply chain to respond. And certainly, we're working that as rapidly as we can. And I really do believe we've made tremendous improvements in our supply chain and our operations over the last several years. So I feel really good about that. Relative to restrictions, I don't really want to comment on that. All of that has been factored into our guide for the quarter in our viewpoint on growth in the calendar year. And again, what I would say, if you look at the mix of business going forward, the AI compute innovations are really going to drive in '26, '27 and going forward, leading edge foundry logic, DRAM, high-bandwidth memory and advanced packaging. And those are the areas where Applied has tremendous strength, and we are absolutely positioned to gain share as these inflections happen in all of those different markets.
Operator: And our next question comes from the line of Harlan Sur from JPMorgan.
Harlan Sur: In addition to technology migration and greenfield capacity build-outs, your customers are looking at their existing capacity footprints. They're trying to figure out how they can squeeze more wafers out of their fabs, it's more good die per wafer. So focusing essentially on throughput and/or focusing on yield or both, right. Is the Applied team seeing this? And is this an incremental driver of growth, more tool sales to alleviate bottlenecks maybe upgrades to improve tool throughput or maybe advanced services and analytics adoption to improve productivity and yields. Is this driving some of the incremental growth?
Gary Dickerson: Yes. Thanks for the question, Harlan. Yes, absolutely. And I mentioned this a little bit earlier. Output and yield innovation is really a key focus for all of our customers. Again, it takes time for them to create more floor space to ramp their factories. So there is a huge focus and engagement, and this is really helping us to drive our service growth rate at a higher pace than we've seen in the past or even that we were anticipating in the past. And that's where I would also come back to how we're implementing AI inside Applied Materials. We have all of these connected chambers. Most of them are connected remotely, so we can have instantaneous experts connected into all of those different chambers. And again, this is elevating, increasing our expectations for our service growth rate going forward.
Harlan Sur: And then maybe for Brice, in addition to the strong growth in AGS, gross margins improved 30 basis points sequentially 120 basis points year-over-year. Operating margins grew 100 basis points sequentially to 29%, right? I think that's like the highest level in like the past 2 or 3 years. On the gross margin improvements, how much of this is just more attach of some of the higher value-added services like your AIx software suite, remote tool monitoring solutions, which I assume are all gross margin accretive. And then on the strong operating margins, I did notice that your OpEx for that segment was down about 8% sequentially. Was that just cost efficiency activities, or does that delta come back this quarter?
Brice Hill: Thanks for the question. So on the gross margins there, I think the mix to more transactional and more spare parts in the quarter have helped us. So that's one of the drivers. You're right, the new service products that we're providing also help from a margin perspective. So I think those are the major drivers. And I think on the expense side, we did some restructuring that helped us with expenses. So -- but I would expect that we're continuing to invest in that business. We're building a training center. We're adding to our customer engineers and essentially expanding for the ramp at this point. So no change in expectations from a spending perspective. I think the margins are at a healthy spot at this point.
Operator: And our next question comes from the line of Atif Milk from Citi.
Atif Malik: Gary, with your acquisition of NEXX in panel level packaging, can you help us understand how does that fit with your JV with Besi, what is the adoption time line for large panel packaging?
Gary Dickerson: Thanks for the question, Atif. So I would say that we are the leader in packaging. I mentioned earlier on the call, we're going to grow that business over 50% this year. And I would say that in the entire semiconductor industry, this is one of the most exciting areas driving compute architecture innovation. So how you connect computing components together in large body sizes is an enormous focus for everybody. So at Applied, we have been investing. You mentioned the hybrid bonding technology and the acquisition of NEXX, that's a leading supplier of large area packaging, electroplating. There are a number of different innovations that we're driving. And this fits into that overall strategy where we also have a full-flow packaging EPIC Center, that is the only one in the industry. We're engaged with all of our existing customers and then also there are a number of people working on new large body sized architectures again, to really drive tremendous improvements in performance and power the tokens per second per watt. So this is all part of that overall strategy that we've been investing in the last few years. You see, again, over 50% growth this year in our packaging business. Next year, we anticipate also a strong growth. And the timing for those architectures, I would say that there is a tremendous amount of focus to bring those architectures to market as fast as possible. I'd really rather not comment on specific timing. I would just say that Applied, we have deep connectivity across the entire ecosystem with all of those people that are driving those new architectures. We have the broadest packaging portfolio in the industry. And we are really at the foundation of the key innovations needed to enable those new architectures.
Atif Malik: Great. As my follow-up, Brice, I understand you guys do not comment on a particular project. But you said there are 10 new projects in the pipeline, and there's a lot of investor interest in Terafab. Will that be a project that will be in the pipeline, or is that more like next year?
Brice Hill: Well, just to correct the record, I said more than 10. And you're right, I can't name any -- I can't be specific about any of those, sorry.
Operator: And our next question comes from the line of Krish Sankar from TD Cowen.
Sreekrishnan Sankarnarayanan: Gary, the first one for you. Applied had an interesting slide at SPIE that showed DRAM 1 delta node to be more litho intensive compared to 1 gamma. And obviously, you have 4F squared coming after that, which is more depth and etch intensive. So I'm wondering, do you expect 1 delta to be a big node and if so, could that slow down the depth and etch intensity in DRAM on an interim basis?
Gary Dickerson: Yes. Thanks, Krish, for the question. So let me -- from an overall standpoint, DRAM, we are the #1 process equipment provider. And there's innovation happening at 6F squared, 4F squared and certainly going forward to 3D DRAM. So if I look at Applied in terms of near-term innovation, periphery CMOS logic being upgraded for higher performance and lower power transistors is a strong driver for our DRAM business, including very strong growth in epi. Of course, in DRAM, HBM packaging is a huge focus for everyone, stacking more chips vertically. And then for Applied Materials deposition with wiring and patterning, and we have very strong positions, leadership in conductor etch and e-beam technologies in DRAM. So what I would say is that there is a lot of innovation happening in 6F squared that really extends our process equipment leadership and is contributing to the growth that we're talking about on the call here today, and we're even better positioned for 4F squared and 3D DRAM. I think if you remember, over the last a little more than 10 years, we gained 10 points of overall share in WFE and DRAM. We've been really performing incredibly well over the last few years and then this year is another great year for our DRAM business. So I think for Applied, we're in a great position. And relative to litho intensity, I believe that going forward, for sure, materials intensity will increase, especially with 3D DRAM, and we're in a great position with 6F squared innovation, 4F squared and 3D DRAM.
Sreekrishnan Sankarnarayanan: Gary, just a quick follow-up either for you or Brice. I understand your customers are giving visibility into 2028. I understand for your capacity and personal planning purposes, but also some new greenfield and NAND scheduled for 2028. Is it fair to assume '28 could be another growth year for WFE after impressive '26 and '27, is it too early to make that call?
Brice Hill: We don't think it's too early, Krish. I think we think it's secular growth. AI is the headline workload that's driving the secular growth. So we think you'll see more and more capacity plans from customers. That's the expectation is right now, it is factory limited as we've said, but we expect customers to continue adding projects to grow the outlook.
Operator: And our next question comes from the line of Shane Brett from Morgan Stanley.
Shane Brett: My first question is, so the Gartner data showed that your conductor etch market share picked up about 300 basis points in 2025 despite weaknesses in other areas of your portfolio. Apologies if this is a bit of a trailing, backward-looking question. But how should we think about where those share gains came from? How should we think about your path towards being a market leader in this space where are those sort of incremental share gains going forward going to come from for your conductor etch business?
Gary Dickerson: Yes, Shane, thanks for the question. So etch, let me talk about going forward, and then I'll talk about the overall market environment. So this year, etch will be one of our fastest-growing businesses this calendar year. and Applied as #1 in conductor etch for leading edge foundry logic gate-all-around nodes and #1 in conductor etch for DRAM. And both of those areas I talked about earlier on the call are some of the fastest-growing certainly in '26 and going forward. So we've been building a stronger position in leading-edge foundry logic. We've always been very strong in DRAM. . And in our products, Sym3 is the fastest ramping product in Applied's history. We recently talked in one of our master classes about our new Sym3 Z platform. We've seen strong adoption there with more than 250 chambers, multi-hundreds of millions of dollars of growth in etch. So I think we're really, really in a great position. As I said, one of the fastest-growing businesses this calendar year. The other thing is really the opportunity for us to co-optimize across our whole portfolio. So when we're working with our customers on new architectures, whether it's gate all around or wiring or new DRAM architectures, really that opportunity to co-optimize helps us -- we have great technology, but also we have great integration capabilities that's helping us grow this business at a high rate.
Shane Brett: Great. And for my follow-up, this may be a little bit critical, but your process control market share continues to decline. Contrary to conductor etch where you are seeing share gains. My question is just how do you see the strategic importance of your process control business within your broader franchise?
Gary Dickerson: Well, I believe this is one of our best opportunities overall within Applied Materials. So last year, we grew this business at a high rate. This year, PDC is going to be one of our fastest-growing businesses. And I'm very, very positive on the growth in '26, and I'm even more positive about our growth going forward. We have clear leadership in eBeam with our Cold Field Emission technology that gives us the highest resolution and the fastest imaging. This year, our optical inspection business is also on track for strong growth. We have a great pipeline of new technologies that we're going to introduce over the next couple of years that will also drive significant growth in PDC. So one of our fastest-growing businesses this year positioned for strong growth in '27 and as we go forward. And the other thing I would add is there's great synergy with our eBeam leadership with the rest of Applied Materials in accelerating learning rate. So our process equipment teams, they're using this leadership in eBeam imaging to optimize processes at a faster pace. So that is helping us to drive growth in our process equipment business on top of PDC being a great growth business in and of itself. So again, I don't share your view on the perspective on the business. I think this is a great business, one of our fastest growing this year, and I'm very optimistic we're going to keep this growth going, going forward.
Operator: And our next question comes from the line of Joe Quatrochi from Wells Fargo.
Joseph Quatrochi: I was wondering if you could talk about your supplies position for greenfield versus upgrades. I would assume given that the portfolio depth and just the number of new greenfield fab projects expanding into next year. How do we think about just the accelerating growth opportunity for Applied relative to peers?
Brice Hill: Joe, it's Brice. Yes, I think most of the projects we track are greenfield projects, especially on the logic side. We do very well on greenfield. That's probably the best intensity from Applied perspective. We also do well in upgrades. The one place that that's different is NAND. We don't participate as much in upgrades. But I think what you're seeing in the environment is just a continued search for more and more floor space and more equipment being put in place. You see that in DRAM, you see that in leading logic. And of course, that's been the case in ICAPS as new -- significant new capacity has been added over the last several years. So I think a lot of that investment is greenfield.
Joseph Quatrochi: And then as a follow-up, increasing the AGS long-term growth expectation. Can you help us just kind of bridge the gap? I think the prior target had included the 200-millimeter business that's now moved into Systems. So I guess like how do we think about the impact of that to the increase in the growth expectation?
Brice Hill: Yes. Joe, so that should be a clean look at this point. So we've moved the 200-millimeter equipment business and restated our financials or recast our financials. So that's all in our Systems business at this point. So when we look forward on AGS, we're only talking about the services business. And you may have heard, I just updated our outlook for that and said, mid-teens for the AGS business is sort of a good multiyear growth rate assumption. And then we expect to be higher this year because we have a increase in utilization across the ecosystem and an increase in the number of new fabs ramping relative. So there's a step up this year that helps that business be higher than the mid-teens. And operator, we have time for two more questions today, please.
Operator: And our next question comes from the line of Jim Schneider from Goldman Sachs.
James Schneider: Your mix of business this quarter pivoted quite strongly again to foundry logic. I'm curious, as you look into the back half of this year or whether you see more of a return to spending in greater concentration to DRAM? And then on a preliminary basis as you looking into 2027, which do you expect to be the fastest growing technology area?
Brice Hill: Thanks, Jim. Yes, in the second half, it goes back to the theme that we've been describing. You're going to see strong growth in leading-edge logic, in DRAM, in advanced packaging and actually NAND also. So you're seeing a pull really from the headliner AI across the entire end market grouping with the exception of ICAPS. So ICAPS goes back to -- there'll be some digestion with all the capacity that's been put in place the past couple of years. So -- and we didn't call a fast grower between DRAM and leading logic. I think both of those will be accelerating in the second half.
James Schneider: And then as you look at your customers' longer-term plans, can you share where they're seeing the greatest upside to the longer-term forecast across those same areas?
Brice Hill: That's a good question. I think we haven't answered which one between DRAM and leading logic will be the most growth across the multiyear horizon. We think both of those will be very strong and actually advanced packaging goes right with it. On the NAND, we see -- we did raise our bit growth forecast for NAND. So probably a few percentage points and at least our view is, it will still be satisfied by upgrades. So we don't expect a lot of new wafer starts on the NAND side, but we do think the demand forecast for bits has gone up on NAND.
Gary Dickerson: Yes. Jim, just also part of the question you asked earlier, we see a similar profile in '27 to what we're seeing in '26. And really, that's being driven by AI computing. The markets that are growing the fastest in '26. We think they continue to grow at that same rate as a percentage of the mix in '27 and going forward.
Operator: And our final question for today then comes from the line of Melissa Weathers from Deutsche Bank.
Melissa Weathers: I just wanted to touch really quickly on the ICAPS side that, Brice, you kind of just talked about, but I think if we look at a lot of the analog reports, this earnings season, it does seem like inventories are starting to lean out and maybe utilization of those fabs are starting to get better. So I realize it's not the fastest-growing part of your business. But any updated outlook you guys have on maybe when we could see some more material spending on that core ICAPS business going forward?
Brice Hill: Melissa, good question. And that's a great point. There are some strong areas in ICAPS. I think analog and photonics, power chips are all areas that we're seeing that are very strong. So that makes sense to us. I would just encourage investors to think ICAPS is still a very strong market. It's one of our largest markets. I think this is the first year in a few years where leading logic is actually ahead of ICAPS, but ICAPS is still plugging along, still adding capacity at a significant rate. It will just be -- it just won't grow a lot year-over-year until we digest the capacity. The utilizations have improved in ICAPS. So to your point, I think 300-millimeter utilizations are in a very healthy range at this point. So when we look forward, we expect ICAPS from an equipment perspective, to eventually start growing at the same rate the devices are, which is mid- to high single digits. We just have to get past this period where utilizations catch up with the installed capacity.
Melissa Weathers: Got it. If I can squeeze one last one in, in the end of the call. Just the EPIC Center, I know you guys are a couple of months away from unveiling that. So just any last couple statements you can make on what that could do to drive innovation. And I don't know if it would be share gains or competitive advantage, but anything on EPIC Center we should look forward to?
Gary Dickerson: Yes. Melissa. I'm really excited about the EPIC Center. I mean, again, all of our customers and the entire ecosystem earlier is in a race for leadership or AI computing. That is really driving our businesses in leading-edge foundry logic, DRAM, high-bandwidth memory and advanced packaging. And really, when you think about architecture innovation, Applied's material innovations are really at the foundation of all of those architecture innovations across all of those fast-growing segments. So having our customers and partners co-located with these technologies that are enabling the architecture innovations here in our EPIC Center and co-located with our innovators is going to be an acceleration for Applied and for the entire industry. We've announced 8 partners that we talked about earlier, TSMC, Samsung, Hynix, Micron, Advantest, ASU, RPI, Stanford, and we will be adding more soon. For Applied, it gives us better multi-node visibility because, again, we're working many generations out in the future with all of these different companies and really co-innovating. We are working with them to create these new architectures in the EPIC Center. And it also enables us to be designed in with our equipment and our advanced services for those new architectures. So I'm really excited about the EPIC Center. I think this is the right strategy at the right time, and it's going to be an accelerator for our customers and for Applied Materials.
Michael Sullivan: Well, thank you, Melissa, for your questions. And now, Brice, would you like to give us your closing thoughts?
Brice Hill: Excellent. Thanks, Mike. We're really pleased with the investments we've made, puts us in a great position as AI drives incremental demand across the industry. We're in a strong position to grow revenue, expand margins and increased operating leverage. We have a number of upcoming events to call to your attention next week. Tim Dean from our services business will be at the JPMorgan conference in Boston. The following week, Gary will be at the Bernstein conference in New York. And a week after that, I'll be at the BofA conference in San Francisco. We hope to see many of you at those events. Mike, please go ahead and close the call.
Michael Sullivan: All right. Great. Thank you, Brice. And we'd like to thank everybody for joining us today. A replay of the call is going to be available on the IR page of our website by 5:00 Pacific Time, and we would now like to thank you for your continued interest in Applied Materials.
Operator: Thank you, ladies and gentlemen, for your participation in today's conference. This does conclude the program. You may now disconnect. Good day.