Stocks/ZEO

ZEO

Zeo Energy Corp.
Energy·Solar
$0.85
$47M market cap
Revenue
$31.8M
Free Cash Flow
$1.2M
Rev Growth
+0.0%
FCF Margin
3.8%
P/FCF
38.7x
EV/FCF
38.5x
Fwd EV/EBITDA
--
Fair Value
--
Upside
--

Zeo Energy Corp. is a vertically integrated provider of residential solar energy systems, other energy efficient equipment, and related services. The company is headquartered in New Port Richey, FL.

2-Year Price History

$0.85-81.2%
$1.0$2.0$3.0$4.0volJun 24Oct 24Jan 25May 25Sep 25Jan 26May 26

Quarterly Financials & Projections

Quarterly Waterfall ($ M)
PeriodRevEBITDAOpInNIOCFFCFCapExCashDebtSharesROICIntCovEV/EBITDA
Act2026-Q113.2-3.7-4.8-3.5-0.9-1.1-0.21.71.524.9-161.9%-339.4x--
Act2025-Q418.6-1.6-2.2-2.02.42.3-0.26.11.424.9-262.1%-63.0x--

Valuation & Metrics

Market Stats

Price$0.85
Market Cap$47M
Enterprise Value$47M
P/S Ratio1.5x
P/FCF38.7x
EV/FCF38.5x
FCF Margin (TTM)3.8%
FCF Yield2.6%
Dividend Yield (TTM)--
Annual Dilution0.0%
CurrencyUSD

TTM Financial Snapshot

Revenue$31.8M
Net Income$-5.5M
Free Cash Flow$1.2M

Revenue Growth (YoY)+0.0%
EBITDA Margin-16.7%
Net Margin-17.4%
FCF Margin3.8%
CapEx % of Revenue1.2%
SBC % of Revenue7104.9%
ROIC-212.0%
WC Change % Rev-2.6%
Interest Coverage-145.6x

Forward Outlook & Risk

Short Interest

Short % of Float--
Short Shares0.3M
Days to Cover1.0
Change (vs Prior)-23.5%
Need at least 2 settlement dates for chart

Employees

Headcount200
Revenue / Employee$158,764
Gross Profit / Employee$70,763

Institutional Ownership

Headline & net flow

NEUTRAL
Net flow · still filing
No float data — flow unavailable.

Ownership composition

Active
1.5%(+1.5% YoY)
23 filers
hedge / family / endowment
Retail funds
Fidelity, Schwab, 401(k)
Passive
0.7%(-0.1% YoY)
5 filers
Vanguard, iShares, SPDR
Market makers
0.0%(+0.0% YoY)
4 filers
Citadel, Susquehanna
Insiders
Form 4 — latest per insider
0%25%50%75%100%2024-032024-092025-032025-092026-03
ActiveRetail fundsPassiveMarket makersRetail direct

Top holders

Fund$ valueCost basisΔ QoQΔ YoYα lifeFund AUM
CITIZENS FINANCIAL GROUP INC/RI$311K$1.05+$100K+$311K-0.0%$7.18B
PIPER JAFFRAY & CO.$291K$1.67−$98K+$291K+0.0%$545K
VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLCPassive$211K$0.57+$211K+$211K$4.04T
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLCPassive$74K$2.70+$21K+$24K+2.3%$1.61T
PNC FINANCIAL SERVICES GROUP, INC.$43K$0.57+$43K+$43K+0.3%$173.16B
Texas Capital Bank Wealth Management Services Inc$41K$1.09+$0+$41K-0.1%$1.68B
XTX Topco Ltd$26K$1.64+$8K+$26K-1.9%$5.74B
Groupe la Francaise$25K$1.35+$0+$25K+0.1%$7.14B
BlackRock, Inc.Passive$25K$1.51+$2K+$25K-0.2%$5.69T
STATE STREET CORPPassive$22K$2.04+$0+$9K-0.2%$2.89T
SHANDA ASSET MANAGEMENT HOLDINGS Ltd$21K$1.35+$0+$21K+4.5%$1.84B
JANE STREET GROUP, LLCMM$14K$0.79+$8K+$14K-0.1%$92.10B
Creative Planning$10K$1.35+$0+$10K-0.7%$144.46B
TWO SIGMA SECURITIES, LLCMM$9K$1.09+$0+$9K-3.0%$858M
CREDIT INDUSTRIEL ET COMMERCIAL$6K$1.35+$0+$6K+0.8%$568M
VANGUARD FIDUCIARY TRUST COPassive$6K$0.57+$6K+$6K$395.83B
MORGAN STANLEY$2K$1.35+$0+$2K-0.3%$1.65T
Tower Research Capital LLC (TRC)MM$1K$1.71−$0+$1K-0.6%$3.84B
CKW FINANCIAL GROUP$1K$1.35+$0+$1K-0.4%$917M
JPMORGAN CHASE & CO$0$1.36+$0+$0-0.2%$1.47T
Cost basis is a volume-weighted estimate from accumulation periods within our 13F history; holders who built their position before our window started will show a stale basis. % above the cost basis is the unrealized gain at the current price.

Trading behavior

Smart-money alpha (lifetime, %/qtr)BULLISH
Holders
-3.83%
avg per quarter
Holders (ex-self)
+0.05%
excl. this stock
Buyers (this Q)
+0.31%
4 buyers · $0.00B in
Sellers (this Q)
-10.34%
4 sellers · $0.00B out
alpha coverage: 81% of $ has a lifetime-alpha record
Holder behavior on this stocksource: stock
On big dips (−10%+)
-4.0%
how holders react when this stock falls
On quiet Qs
-0.9%
−10% to +10% baseline
On rallies (+10%+)
+54.7%
how they react when this stock rises
Holders' portfolio flow this Q
-0.9%
outflows — trims may be forced
Sellers' portfolio flow this Q
-10.9%
Sellers shed AUM broadly — partly forced.
▸ Compare to holder-profile behavior (across all their stocks)
Holder dip (any stock)
+0.5%
Holder mid (any stock)
-0.9%
Holder rally (any stock)
-5.3%

Top Holders Over Time

5-year share-count history (top 10 holders by peak, incl. exited) + price

0319K638K957K1.3M$0.57$1.86$3.14$4.42$5.702024-032024-092025-092026-03
hover the chart for per-quarter detailprice (right axis)
K2 PRINCIPAL FUND, L.P.PIPER JAFFRAY & CO.508KCITIZENS FINANCIAL GROUP INC/RI541KDIVERSIFY WEALTH MANAGEMENT, LLCHighTower Advisors, LLCTOWNSQUARE CAPITAL LLCTexas Capital Bank Wealth Management Services Inc71KGroupe la Francaise44KSHANDA ASSET MANAGEMENT HOLDINGS Ltd37KPNC FINANCIAL SERVICES GROUP, INC.75K

Corporate

Insider Trading (last 12mo)

Open-market only (Form 4 P-Purchase + S-Sale). Excludes grants, option exercises, tax withholding, gifts.
Officers & directors
Buys ($, 12mo)
$0
0 txns · 0 insiders · 0 sh
Sells ($, 12mo)
$431K
12 txns · 2 insiders · 293,825 sh
Recent transactions
DateSideInsiderTitleSharesPriceDollarsOwned $
2025-12-11SELLBridgewater Brandonofficer: CSO65,338$1.16$76K$3.28M
2025-12-10SELLBridgewater Brandonofficer: CSO9,080$1.15$10K$3.29M
2025-12-09SELLBridgewater Brandonofficer: CSO18,191$1.16$21K$3.39M
2025-12-08SELLBridgewater Brandonofficer: CSO24,490$1.20$29K$3.52M
2025-09-03SELLBridgewater Brandonofficer: CSO26,636$1.61$43K$4.76M
2025-09-03SELLLarsen Kalenofficer: COO26,636$1.61$43K$3.89M
2025-08-29SELLBridgewater Brandonofficer: CSO440$1.60$704$4.77M
2025-08-29SELLLarsen Kalenofficer: COO440$1.60$704$3.90M
2025-08-28SELLBridgewater Brandonofficer: CSO28,875$1.62$47K$4.76M
2025-08-28SELLLarsen Kalenofficer: COO28,875$1.62$47K$3.95M
2025-08-27SELLBridgewater Brandonofficer: CSO32,412$1.75$57K$5.19M
2025-08-27SELLLarsen Kalenofficer: COO32,412$1.75$57K$4.31M

Order Flow (FINRA, ~3w lag)

47.7%retail+1.7pp
4.4%dark-2.9pp
week of 2026-04-13
0%20%40%60%80%24-1125-0225-0525-0825-1126-0226-04retail (non-ATS)dark (ATS)
Off-exchange volume from FINRA. Retail = non-ATS (wholesaler PFOF + broker internalization). Dark = ATS (dark-pool crossing networks, institutional). Lit-exchange = remainder.

Filing Risk Analysis

Filing Risk Scores

ZEO ENERGY CORP: A Masterclass in Circular Related-Party Flows and Dilutive Desperation

Overall Risk
9/10
Fraud
8/10
Dilution
10/10
Insolvency
8/10
Earnings Overstated
7/10
Hidden Liabilities
7/10
Legal
5/10
Audit Warnings
9/10
Hidden Upside
2/10
Contextually Acceptable
2/10