Stocks/WILC

WILC

G. Willi-Food International Ltd.
Consumer Defensive·Food Distribution
--
$0M market cap
Claude Rating
4/10UNDERWEIGHT
Revenue
$606.8M
Free Cash Flow
$24.0M
Rev Growth
+5.9%
FCF Margin
4.0%
P/FCF
--
EV/FCF
-10.1x
Fwd EV/EBITDA
-3.0x
Fair Value
$21.00
Upside
--

G. Willi-Food International Ltd. develops, imports, exports, markets, and distributes food products worldwide. It offers mushrooms, artichoke, beans, asparagus, capers, corn kernels, baby corn, palm hearts, vine leaves, sour pickles, mixed pickled vegetables, pickled peppers, olives, garlic, roasted eggplant sun, and dried tomatoes; and canned fish comprising tuna, sardine, anchovies, smoked and pressed cod liver, herring, fish paste, and salmon products. The company also provides pineapples, pe

2-Year Price History

$36.20+306.7%
$10$15$20$25$30$35volJun 24Oct 24Jan 25May 25Sep 25Jan 26May 26

Quarterly Financials & Projections

Quarterly Waterfall (ILS M)
PeriodRevEBITDAOpInNIOCFFCFCapExCashDebtSharesROICIntCovEV/EBITDA
Est2027-Q3170.030.6--22.1--25.5-7.7307.3----------
Est2027-Q2172.029.2--20.6--0.0-8.6281.8----------
Est2027-Q1160.028.8--20.0---4.8-8.0281.8----------
Est2026-Q4150.03.0--15.0--12.0-7.5286.6----------
Est2026-Q3162.027.5--20.3--22.7-8.1274.6----------
Est2026-Q2165.026.4--18.2---3.3-9.9252.0----------
Est2026-Q1155.027.1--18.6---7.8-10.1255.3----------
Est2025-Q4155.00.8--18.6--15.5-12.4263.0----------
Act2025-Q4148.617.315.219.420.815.2-5.4247.54.913.97.9%37.0x4.4x
Act2025-Q3152.927.318.319.236.226.6-9.568.21.613.9146.9%126.3x7.4x
Act2025-Q2160.544.020.631.92.2-6.7-8.7213.94.314.311.0%30.0x4.1x
Act2025-Q1144.827.320.019.50.3-11.2-11.3234.04.714.012.4%85.3x6.3x
Act2024-Q4140.3-6.816.024.226.911.6-15.1246.14.713.98.7%-9.1x2.9x
Act2024-Q3152.829.917.620.831.119.0-11.9225.74.813.910.1%95.3x2.0x
Act2024-Q2146.714.69.66.9-18.7-33.9-15.0199.63.213.95.6%9.4x4.7x
Act2024-Q1136.025.811.618.63.8-3.1-6.766.70.913.999.7%31.4x9.1x
Act2023-Q4138.7-4.45.911.025.318.2-7.066.60.613.949.5%-1.0x10.5x
Act2023-Q3123.98.10.54.924.717.0-7.658.10.813.96.5%44.7x9.0x
Act2023-Q2129.28.41.04.94.72.4-2.257.11.013.99.9%23.3x9.3x
Act2023-Q1151.419.313.010.9-21.0-28.0-6.865.81.013.9142.4%4.7x7.4x
Act2022-Q4133.211.011.613.14.6-4.1-8.575.81.013.979.7%5.9x6.8x
Act2022-Q3123.913.89.57.612.911.3-1.582.21.113.980.9%5.3x--
Act2022-Q2123.220.814.57.2-5.7-6.9-1.187.21.113.9110.8%2.1x--
Act2022-Q1118.117.39.513.62.3-0.2-2.3108.51.213.953.1%95.3x--
Historical Valuation

Multiples vs the company's own history — cheap or rich relative to itself? Historical fiscal years, then TTM, then forward projections (E). Forward rows hold today's price against projected earnings, so the multiple compresses if the company grows into it.

YearPriceRev GrEBITDA %EBITDAEV/EBITDAEV/FCFP/EP/S
202211.4912.6%631.6×787.2×4.3×0.4×
20239.49+9.0%5.8%312.4×7.9×4.5×0.3×
202415.43+6.0%11.0%642.1×0.3×
202528.78+5.4%19.1%1160.2×1.1×3.0×0.4×
TTM+5.4%19.1%116
2026E+4.2%0.1%1

EBITDA in reporting-currency $M. Historical multiples use year-end market cap (split-adjusted price history); TTM & forward years use today's.

AI Analysis

LLM Evaluations

Claude4/10UNDERWEIGHTFV: $21.00

G. Willi-Food is a well-run Israeli food importer/distributor with a fortress balance sheet, strong kosher niche positioning, and improving operational performance. However, the stock appears overvalued at current levels (~56x P/FCF), with a significant portion of reported earnings driven by volatile financial asset revaluations rather than core food operations. Heavy insider selling by the Chairman and CEO totaling $40M+ in January 2026 is a major red flag that insiders view the stock as fully valued. Legal risks from class actions (NIS 478M claimed) and competition authority sanctions add meaningful tail risk. The new logistics center provides a genuine growth catalyst, but the stock price already reflects a best-case scenario. Core operating FCF margins of ~6-8% on a food distribution business don't justify the current premium multiple, even accounting for the substantial cash hoard.

Catalyst New refrigerated logistics center opening in Q1 2026 could accelerate revenue growth into chilled/frozen categories and improve operating margins; resolution of class action lawsuits could remove legal overhang; potential for special dividend or buyback given excess cash position.
Risk Heavy insider selling ($40M+ in Jan 2026) signals the controlling family views the stock as fully valued or overvalued; class action liabilities of up to NIS 478M could materially impair book value if judgments go against the company.
Trend
IMPROVING
Mgmt
5/10
Quarter
7/10
Exp. Move
+3.0%

Valuation & Metrics

Market Stats

Price--
Market Cap$0M
Enterprise Value$-243M
P/S Ratio0.0x
P/FCF--
EV/FCF-10.1x
FCF Margin (TTM)4.0%
FCF Yield0.0%
Dividend Yield (TTM)0.0%
Annual Dilution0.3%
CurrencyUSD

TTM Financial Snapshot

Revenue$606.8M
Net Income$89.9M
Free Cash Flow$24.0M

Revenue Growth (YoY)+5.9%
EBITDA Margin19.1%
Net Margin14.8%
FCF Margin4.0%
CapEx % of Revenue5.7%
SBC % of Revenue0.1%
ROIC44.6%
WC Change % Rev-1.9%
Interest Coverage46.9x

Forward Outlook & Risk

Short Interest

Short % of Float0.0%
Short Shares0.0M
Days to Cover1.0
Change (vs Prior)-46.5%
Short % Float History
0.00%+0.00pp
0.0%0.1%0.1%0.2%0.2%0.3%0.3%04-3007-1509-1511-1401-1504-30

Forward Projections & Estimates

NTM Revenue Growth+5.0%
Forward FCF Margin4.3%
Forward EBITDA Margin12.8%
Forward P/FCF0.0x
Forward EV/FCF-8.9x
Forward Int. Coverage57.3x
Model Risk Score6/10
Bankruptcy Odds0%
Est. Borrow Rate5.5%
Terminal EV/FCF12.0x
LT Growth3.5%
LT FCF Margin8.0%

Employees

Headcount204
Revenue / Employee$2,974,563
Gross Profit / Employee$851,724
2022: 185 → 2023: 207 → 2024: 204 → 2025: 5 (-70% CAGR)

Institutional Ownership

Headline & net flow

NET BUYING

In Q1 2026 so far (quarter still filing), institutions are net buyers — bought 2.5% of float, sold 1.4%.

Net flow · Q1 2026still filing
+1.1% of float (net)
Bought 2.5% · Sold 1.4%
16 filers reported (last quarter: 17)

Ownership composition

Active
2.7%(+1.3% YoY)
15 filers
hedge / family / endowment
Retail funds
Fidelity, Schwab, 401(k)
Passive
0.1%(+0.0% YoY)
1 filers
Vanguard, iShares, SPDR
Market makers
0.0%(+0.0% YoY)
0 filers
Citadel, Susquehanna
Insiders
Form 4 — latest per insider
0%25%50%75%100%2022-062023-032023-122024-092025-062026-03
ActiveRetail fundsPassiveMarket makersRetail direct

Top holders

Fund$ valueCost basisΔ QoQΔ YoYα lifeFund AUM
RENAISSANCE TECHNOLOGIES LLC$10.3M$15.26−$255K−$1.0M+1.2%$63.91B
Y.D. More Investments Ltd$1.8M$24.19+$1.7M+$1.7M+2.9%$2.52B
NORTHERN TRUST CORPPassive$557K$15.46−$7K−$197K-0.2%$755.34B
Tidal Investments LLC$344K$27.19+$152K+$344K-0.2%$32.04B
JPMORGAN CHASE & CO$318K$21.57−$15K+$312K-0.2%$1.47T
BANK OF MONTREAL /CAN/$253K$11.53+$0+$0-0.1%$234.58B
CITADEL ADVISORS LLC$239K$25.20+$22K+$239K-0.4%$138.22B
Noked Israel Ltd$198K$28.78+$0+$198K+2.2%$677M
IFP Advisors, Inc$86K$15.43+$0+$0-0.0%$4.82B
ACADIAN ASSET MANAGEMENT LLC$48K$14.33+$0−$38K-0.5%$70.48B
ADVISOR GROUP HOLDINGS, INC.$30K$14.79−$5K−$13K-0.3%$67.63B
Bernard Wealth Management Corp.$25K$15.43+$0+$0+0.4%$234M
UBS Group AG$5K$24.03−$576K−$41K-0.3%$562.11B
Annis Gardner Whiting Capital Advisors, LLC$5K$25.20+$5K+$5K-0.7%$624M
SBI Securities Co., Ltd.$0$15.43+$0−$0+0.9%$3.62B
WELLS FARGO & COMPANY/MN$0$12.88−$12K+$0-0.2%$497.71B
Cost basis is a volume-weighted estimate from accumulation periods within our 13F history; holders who built their position before our window started will show a stale basis. % above the cost basis is the unrealized gain at the current price.

Trading behavior

Smart-money alpha (lifetime, %/qtr)BULLISH
Holders
+1.30%
avg per quarter
Holders (ex-self)
+1.30%
excl. this stock
Buyers (this Q)
+2.66%
3 buyers · $0.00B in
Sellers (this Q)
+0.78%
6 sellers · $0.00B out
alpha coverage: 100% of $ has a lifetime-alpha record
Holder behavior on this stocksource: stock
On big dips (−10%+)
+1.1%
how holders react when this stock falls
On quiet Qs
+14.8%
−10% to +10% baseline
On rallies (+10%+)
-16.1%
how they react when this stock rises
Holders' portfolio flow this Q
+1.1%
inflows — adds are organic
Sellers' portfolio flow this Q
+3.3%
Sellers grew AUM elsewhere — opinionated cut of this stock.
▸ Compare to holder-profile behavior (across all their stocks)
Holder dip (any stock)
-8.5%
Holder mid (any stock)
-17.5%
Holder rally (any stock)
-8.8%

Top Holders Over Time

5-year share-count history (top 10 holders by peak, incl. exited) + price

0416K831K1.2M1.7M$8.74$14$19$24$292021-062022-062023-062024-062025-062026-03
hover the chart for per-quarter detailprice (right axis)
Springhouse Capital Management, LPRENAISSANCE TECHNOLOGIES LLC409KPhoenix Holdings Ltd.MEITAV INVESTMENT HOUSE LTDY.D. More Investments Ltd69KUBS Group AG204GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INCJPMORGAN CHASE & CO12KTidal Investments LLC14KParadiem, LLC

Analyst Coverage

Analyst Coverage
Consensus Estimates
QuarterRevenueEBITDANet IncEPSEPS Range# Analysts
2007 Q31.4B7M4M$0.40$0.32 – $0.487
2008 Q180M8M77M$0.47$0.36 – $0.5420
2008 Q2559M-5M-14M$0.95$0.75 – $1.1419
2010 Q3324M45M29M$0.69$0.55 – $0.8415
2011 Q1376M43M28M$0.94$0.76 – $1.1119
2013 Q3231M35M24M$0.32$0.28 – $0.398
2014 Q1454M48M31M$0.97$0.76 – $1.1817
2014 Q2352M30M18M$0.55$0.44 – $0.6514
2014 Q3302M46M31M$0.44$0.37 – $0.5115
2025 Q3153M16M0M$0.00$0.00 – $0.000

Corporate

Order Flow (FINRA, ~3w lag)

47.9%retail-7.5pp
0.2%dark-1.9pp
week of 2026-04-13
0%20%40%60%80%24-1125-0225-0525-0825-1126-0226-04retail (non-ATS)dark (ATS)
Off-exchange volume from FINRA. Retail = non-ATS (wholesaler PFOF + broker internalization). Dark = ATS (dark-pool crossing networks, institutional). Lit-exchange = remainder.

Filing Risk Analysis

Filing Risk Scores

G WILLI-FOOD: A Market-Driven Investment Fund Disguised as a Food Distributor

Overall Risk
4/10
Fraud
3/10
Dilution
2/10
Insolvency
1/10
Earnings Overstated
6/10
Hidden Liabilities
3/10
Legal
3/10
Audit Warnings
5/10
Hidden Upside
7/10
Contextually Acceptable
8/10

Counter-Thesis

Counter-Thesis & Recent News

📰 Recent News

G. Willi-Food reported record high annual sales and net profit for FY 2024, with net profit surging 121.8% year-over-year. This momentum continued into 2025; for the first nine months ending September 30, 2025, net profit increased by 52.9% to NIS 70.6 million (US$ 21.3 million). Despite regional instability, management highlighted improved product availability and a shift toward a more profitable product mix as key drivers of margin expansion (gross profit reached 28.7% in 2025).

🐻 Bear Case

The bear thesis centers on significant insider selling and geopolitical risk. In January 2026, both the Chairman (Zwi Williger) and CEO (Joseph Williger) executed large share sales totaling over $40 million, which bears interpret as a signal that the stock has peaked. Additionally, the company's reliance on the Israeli market exposes it to currency fluctuations and supply chain disruptions, such as the Suez Canal shipping restrictions noted in 2024/2025.

🚩 Red Flags

Heavy insider liquidation in Q1 2026 is the primary red flag, with Chairman Zwi Williger selling over 1 million shares in a single day. Some analysts also point to the fact that the dividend (approx. 3.03% - 3.64% yield) has not always been consistently covered by free cash flow, and the stock is currently trading near its 200-day moving average ($24.70), suggesting potential technical resistance.

⚔️ Competitive Threats

Willi-Food faces intense competition from large Israeli retail chains that are aggressively expanding their own private-label offerings. Furthermore, global food giants and other local importers (like Diplomat or Leiman Schlussel) compete for limited shelf space. The 'Iron Sword' war also created temporary supply gaps that competitors could exploit if Willi-Food’s logistics center development faced further delays.

💬 Customer Sentiment

Sentiment remains positive among retail partners, evidenced by a 6.5% increase in Q1 2025 sales attributed to better product availability and high demand for their kosher portfolio. The company serves over 1,500 customers, including major supermarket chains. The upcoming opening of a new refrigerated logistics center in late Q1 2026 is expected to boost sentiment further by allowing expansion into high-demand chilled and frozen food categories.