Stocks/UGP

UGP

Ultrapar Participações S.A.
Energy·Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
$5.18
$5.6B market cap
Claude Rating
4/10UNDERWEIGHT
Revenue
$144.4B
Free Cash Flow
$-1.3B
Rev Growth
+6.2%
FCF Margin
-0.9%
P/FCF
--
EV/FCF
--
Fwd EV/EBITDA
4.0x
Fair Value
$5.20
Upside
+0.4%

Ultrapar Participações S.A. engages in the gas distribution, fuel distribution, and storage businesses primarily in Brazil, Mexico, Uruguay, Venezuela, other Latin American countries, the United States, Canada, the Far East, Europe, and internationally. Its Gas Distribution segment distributes liquefied petroleum gas to residential, commercial, and industrial consumers primarily in the South, Southeast, and Northeast regions of Brazil. The company's Fuel Distribution segment distributes and ma

2-Year Price History

$5.69+47.4%
$3.0$4.0$5.0$6.0volJun 24Oct 24Jan 25May 25Sep 25Jan 26May 26

Quarterly Financials & Projections

Quarterly Waterfall (BRL M)
PeriodRevEBITDAOpInNIOCFFCFCapExCashDebtSharesROICIntCovEV/EBITDA
Est2027-Q442,5002,253--595.0--1,190-722.55,518----------
Est2027-Q341,0002,378--697.0--615.0-615.04,328----------
Est2027-Q239,5002,173--711.0--711.0-592.53,713----------
Est2027-Q138,0001,710--380.0---190.0-532.03,002----------
Est2026-Q440,5002,025--486.0--1,013-729.03,192----------
Est2026-Q339,0002,145--585.0--468.0-585.02,179----------
Est2026-Q237,5002,175--675.0--562.5-600.01,711----------
Est2026-Q136,0001,512--288.0---288.0-540.01,149----------
Act2026-Q135,4072,2071,786843.5525.5-694.9-354.61,4374,2391,093123.3%2.8x4.0x
Act2025-Q437,9511,7251,131323.51,739342.5-675.57,02321,8221,08710.8%2.7x4.6x
Act2025-Q337,0342,2591,428709.2328.0-608.3-88.24,02418,4931,10814.7%2.9x4.4x
Act2025-Q234,0552,5961,4101,088917.9-304.2-478.73,98618,9381,10913.1%3.8x4.7x
Act2025-Q133,3291,287982.8332.93.0-816.6-381.92,73715,0421,11110.6%3.5x4.7x
Act2024-Q435,4011,2922,113841.82,2311,439-687.94,62515,7911,10819.3%3.8x5.8x
Act2024-Q335,3581,6361,079651.6780.5-34.8-415.94,23315,3411,12011.1%5.0x4.9x
Act2024-Q232,3441,494950.5437.9221.8-400.0-71.24,13215,1331,11911.1%3.1x5.8x
Act2024-Q130,3961,239820.5431.5-579.9-1,026-326.24,05714,4331,1129.3%20.8x6.1x
Act2023-Q433,4212,4001,8471,0991,7611,061-544.61,2802,7361,099144.4%26.9x3.3x
Act2023-Q332,4842,1561,567864.91,901933.3-306.81,2482,7791,104135.7%3.6x4.0x
Act2023-Q229,593850.0513.0213.995.7-415.0-48.51,1852,9481,10450.0%2.1x3.7x
Act2023-Q130,552942.9667.4262.1-711.3-1,102-259.2911.22,6401,10572.6%13.3x2.9x
Act2022-Q435,9571,8881,600822.61,519994.8-368.06,22413,4501,10021.2%22.4x4.5x
Act2022-Q339,295867.0679.0180.31,293341.9-371.65,89113,7681,09710.9%1.7x--
Act2022-Q236,8791,058815.8452.9-75.3-913.0-56.11,1632,7781,09797.6%1.5x--
Act2022-Q131,503792.6551.4452.3-219.6-382.8-39.0671.13,6061,09748.8%12.9x--
Historical Valuation

Multiples vs the company's own history — cheap or rich relative to itself? Historical fiscal years, then TTM, then forward projections (E). Forward rows hold today's price against projected earnings, so the multiple compresses if the company grows into it.

YearPriceRev GrEBITDA %EBITDAEV/EBITDAEV/FCFP/EP/S
20222.143.2%4,6062.1×242.8×1.4×0.0×
20234.89-12.2%5.0%6,3490.8×11.3×1.6×0.0×
20242.43+5.9%4.2%5,6612.7×n/m1.8×0.0×
20253.77+6.6%5.5%7,8662.4×n/m1.8×0.0×
TTM5.18+5.9%6.1%8,7860.0×0.0×0.0×0.0×
2026E5.18+5.9%0.1%790.0×0.0×0.0×0.0×
2027E5.18+5.2%0.1%850.0×0.0×0.0×0.0×

EBITDA in reporting-currency $M. Historical multiples use year-end market cap (split-adjusted price history); TTM & forward years use today's.

AI Analysis

LLM Evaluations

Claude4/10UNDERWEIGHTFV: $5.20

Ultrapar is a diversified Brazilian energy distribution and logistics conglomerate that has successfully streamlined its portfolio and deleveraged from its peak. However, the stock trades at a full valuation (24x P/FCF) for what is fundamentally a low-margin, capital-intensive fuel distribution business in a high-interest-rate environment. Structural FCF margins around 1-3% and a 103% debt-to-equity ratio limit shareholder returns. While regulatory enforcement against fuel fraud provides a tailwind for Ipiranga and the Hidrovias acquisition adds a growth vector, earnings quality is noisy (large tax credit recognitions, recurring vs. reported income gaps), and the HSBC downgrade plus Squadra's stake reduction suggest institutional skepticism. The ~5% dividend yield provides some downside support, but better risk-adjusted opportunities exist elsewhere in the energy distribution space. This is a hold/avoid at current levels.

Catalyst Full realization of anti-fraud enforcement benefits driving Ipiranga market share and margin recovery; successful Ultracargo capacity ramp generating incremental EBITDA; potential Ipiranga divestiture at an attractive multiple (management declined to comment on rumors).
Risk Brazil's high interest rate environment (Selic ~14.25%) directly compresses net margins given the 103% debt-to-equity ratio, and any sustained period of elevated rates could erode FCF and strain the balance sheet, particularly with BRL 2.6B in planned 2026 capex.
Trend
STABLE
Mgmt
6/10
Quarter
6/10
Exp. Move
-3.0%

Latest Earnings Call

Transcript Summary

Ultrapar delivered record-breaking financial performance in 2025, ending the year with a record operational cash flow of BRL 5.5 billion and its highest recurring adjusted EBITDA for a fourth quarter. The company’s fuel distribution business, Ipiranga, showed significant recovery with a 26% increase in recurring EBITDA, supported by improved margins and a cleaner regulatory environment. Ultragaz maintained stability through price discipline despite lower industrial volumes, while Ultracargo focused on capacity expansion. The integration of Hidrovias further bolstered the group's results. Ultrapar maintained a healthy leverage of 1.7x, even after distributing BRL 1.4 billion in dividends (7% yield). For 2026, the company has earmarked BRL 2.6 billion for investments, split between maintenance and strategic expansion. Management highlighted that the closing of the import arbitrage window and recent regulatory wins against tax evasion provide a tailwind for official players. While macro volatility remains a concern, particularly in the Middle East, the company’s strong liquidity and refined logistical platform position it to capture value. The company remains committed to its 3-pillar investment strategy: industrial growth, synergy-led management, and opportunistic acquisitions at attractive valuations.

Valuation & Metrics

Market Stats

Price$5.18
Market Cap$5.6B
Enterprise Value$31.0B
P/S Ratio0.2x
P/FCF--
EV/FCF--
FCF Margin (TTM)-0.9%
FCF Yield-4.5%
Dividend Yield (TTM)6.1%
Annual Dilution-1.6%
CurrencyUSD

TTM Financial Snapshot

Revenue$144.4B
Net Income$3.0B
Free Cash Flow$-1.3B

Revenue Growth (YoY)+6.2%
EBITDA Margin6.1%
Net Margin2.1%
FCF Margin-0.9%
CapEx % of Revenue1.1%
SBC % of Revenue0.0%
ROIC40.5%
WC Change % Rev4.2%
Interest Coverage3.0x

DCF Fair Value Estimate

$3.59
-30.6% upside
Fair Enterprise Value$22.6B
− Net Debt$2.8B
= Fair Equity$19.8B
Revenue Growth5.2% → 4.0%
FCF Margin-0.9% → 3.0%
Discount Rate14.0%
Terminal EV/FCF10.0x

Forward Outlook & Risk

Short Interest

Short % of Float0.2%
Short Shares2.0M
Days to Cover1.0
Change (vs Prior)-3.3%
Short % Float History
0.20%-0.30pp
0.1%0.2%0.3%0.4%0.5%0.6%04-3007-1509-1511-1401-1504-30

Options

Call IV (ATM)76%
Put IV (ATM)--
ATM Spread35.2%
Call $OI (near money)$41K
Put $OI (near money)$430
ATM ExpiryJuly 17, 2026 (56D)
ATM Strike$5.0
Major Expirations3
Near-money chain · July 17, 2026
StrikeCall Bid/AskCall OIPut Bid/AskPut OI
$2.50$2.00/$4.600--/$1.252
$5.00$0.05/$2.050--/$0.950
$7.50--/$1.250$0.55/$3.000
$10.00--/$0.950$2.95/$5.500
Snapshot: 2026-05-22

Forward Projections & Estimates

NTM Revenue Growth+5.9%
Forward FCF Margin1.1%
Forward EBITDA Margin5.1%
Forward P/FCF16.1x
Forward EV/FCF17.7x
Forward Int. Coverage2.7x
Model Risk Score6/10
Bankruptcy Odds3%
Est. Borrow Rate12.5%
Terminal EV/FCF10.0x
LT Growth4.0%
LT FCF Margin3.0%

Employees

Headcount9,999
Revenue / Employee$14,446,155
Gross Profit / Employee$1,027,604
2022: 9,778 → 2023: 9,729 → 2024: 9,558 → 2025: 457,000 (260% CAGR)

Cash Runway

13.6months
WATCH

Institutional Ownership

Headline & net flow

BALANCED

In Q1 2026 so far (quarter still filing), institutions are roughly balanced — bought 0.9% of float, sold 0.6%.

Net flow · Q1 2026still filing
+0.3% of float (net)
Bought 0.9% · Sold 0.6%
155 filers reported (last quarter: 143)

Ownership composition

Active
4.7%(+2.1% YoY)
144 filers
hedge / family / endowment
Retail funds
Fidelity, Schwab, 401(k)
Passive
0.5%(+0.1% YoY)
5 filers
Vanguard, iShares, SPDR
Market makers
0.2%(+0.2% YoY)
6 filers
Citadel, Susquehanna
Insiders
0.6%
Form 4 — latest per insider
0%25%50%75%100%2022-062023-032023-122024-092025-062026-03
ActiveRetail fundsPassiveMarket makersRetail direct

Top holders

Fund$ valueCost basisΔ QoQΔ YoYα lifeFund AUM
Naman Capital Ltda$63.7M$2.63−$5.3M−$6.8M+0.2%$360M
GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC$30.4M$3.62+$7.2M+$19.2M-0.2%$760.93B
MORGAN STANLEY$26.8M$3.06−$439K+$2.0M-0.3%$1.65T
BlackRock, Inc.Passive$21.7M$3.34+$2.0M−$14.0M-0.2%$5.69T
RENAISSANCE TECHNOLOGIES LLC$20.6M$3.38+$2.0M+$8.8M+1.2%$63.91B
AMERICAN CENTURY COMPANIES INC$20.5M$3.51+$3.7M+$10.0M+0.7%$193.48B
Qube Research & Technologies Ltd$13.5M$4.21+$7.6M+$4.6M+0.3%$70.36B
UBS Group AG$10.7M$3.54+$404K+$7.5M-0.3%$562.11B
MARSHALL WACE, LLP$9.7M$3.48+$5.0M−$4.7M+0.6%$92.71B
BANK OF AMERICA CORP /DE/$8.7M$3.22−$1.4M+$2.8M-0.1%$1.36T
MILLENNIUM MANAGEMENT LLC$7.9M$3.27−$988K+$2.9M-0.5%$127.40B
JANE STREET GROUP, LLCMM$7.3M$3.42+$910K+$7.3M-0.1%$92.10B
DEUTSCHE BANK AG\$6.3M$3.74−$5.6M+$6.3M-0.3%$302.17B
TWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP$5.2M$3.41+$2.7M−$2.2M-0.9%$117.03B
DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LPPassive$5.2M$4.30+$1.6M+$3.3M-0.4%$480.92B
JPMORGAN CHASE & CO$5.2M$3.34−$9.8M−$552K-0.2%$1.47T
ARROWSTREET CAPITAL, LIMITED PARTNERSHIP$5.1M$3.27+$3.6M+$476K+0.1%$184.72B
CITADEL ADVISORS LLC$5.1M$3.69+$4.8M+$2.3M-0.4%$138.22B
Kapitalo Investimentos Ltda$5.0M$3.88+$224K+$5.0M+0.2%$531M
LONGFELLOW INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT CO LLC$2.9M$2.80+$0+$512K+1.5%$480M
Cost basis is a volume-weighted estimate from accumulation periods within our 13F history; holders who built their position before our window started will show a stale basis. % above the cost basis is the unrealized gain at the current price.

Trading behavior

Smart-money alpha (lifetime, %/qtr)BEARISH
Holders
+0.44%
avg per quarter
Holders (ex-self)
+0.11%
excl. this stock
Buyers (this Q)
+0.02%
88 buyers · $0.10B in
Sellers (this Q)
+2.11%
47 sellers · $-0.01B out
alpha coverage: 100% of $ has a lifetime-alpha record
Holder behavior on this stocksource: stock
On big dips (−10%+)
+6.8%
how holders react when this stock falls
On quiet Qs
+3.2%
−10% to +10% baseline
On rallies (+10%+)
-25.1%
how they react when this stock rises
Holders' portfolio flow this Q
+2.5%
inflows — adds are organic
Sellers' portfolio flow this Q
-5.9%
Sellers shed AUM broadly — partly forced.
▸ Compare to holder-profile behavior (across all their stocks)
Holder dip (any stock)
-3.6%
Holder mid (any stock)
-5.3%
Holder rally (any stock)
-5.6%

Top Holders Over Time

5-year share-count history (top 10 holders by peak, incl. exited) + price

09.8M19.7M29.5M39.4M$1.94$2.83$3.72$4.62$5.512021-062022-062023-062024-062025-062026-03
hover the chart for per-quarter detailprice (right axis)
Naman Capital Ltda12.7MPolunin Capital Partners LtdGOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC5.5MMORGAN STANLEY4.9MARROWSTREET CAPITAL, LIMITED PARTNERSHIP927KRENAISSANCE TECHNOLOGIES LLC3.7MAMERICAN CENTURY COMPANIES INC3.7MACADIAN ASSET MANAGEMENT LLCJPMORGAN CHASE & CO969KCIBC Bancorp USA Inc.

Analyst Coverage

Analyst Coverage
Price Targets
Last Quarter (1 analysts)$7.304090.0%
Last Year (3 analysts)$5.57750.0%
Current Price$5.18
Analyst Ratings
5
4
1
Buy: 5Hold: 4Sell: 1Consensus: Buy
Consensus Estimates
QuarterRevenueEBITDANet IncEPSEPS Range# Analysts
2026 Q448.5B1.9B862M$0.79$0.74 – $0.851
2027 Q145.6B1.8B786M$0.72$0.68 – $0.781
2027 Q241.4B1.7B723M$0.66$0.62 – $0.711
2027 Q342.8B1.7B942M$0.86$0.81 – $0.931
2027 Q445.4B1.8B997M$0.91$0.86 – $0.981
2028 Q144.6B1.8B928M$0.85$0.80 – $0.921
2028 Q239.5B1.6B956M$0.88$0.82 – $0.941
2028 Q341.5B1.7B1.0B$0.95$0.90 – $1.031
2028 Q444.4B1.8B1.3B$1.15$1.08 – $1.241
2029 Q144.2B1.8B1.2B$1.05$0.99 – $1.141

Corporate

Order Flow (FINRA, ~3w lag)

15.6%retail+1.4pp
13.4%dark-0.4pp
week of 2026-04-13
10%20%30%40%50%60%24-1125-0225-0525-0825-1126-0226-04retail (non-ATS)dark (ATS)
Off-exchange volume from FINRA. Retail = non-ATS (wholesaler PFOF + broker internalization). Dark = ATS (dark-pool crossing networks, institutional). Lit-exchange = remainder.

Filing Risk Analysis

Filing Risk Scores

Ultrapar Holdings Inc: De-leveraging Success Offset by Aggressive Tax Credit Recognition and Reverse Factoring

Overall Risk
4/10
Fraud
2/10
Dilution
2/10
Insolvency
3/10
Earnings Overstated
6/10
Hidden Liabilities
5/10
Legal
6/10
Audit Warnings
2/10
Hidden Upside
4/10
Contextually Acceptable
7/10

Counter-Thesis

Counter-Thesis & Recent News

📰 Recent News

Ultrapar reported a sharp 71% year-over-year decline in Q4 2025 net income to BRL 256 million, primarily dragged down by significant non-recurring expenses and higher financial costs (Investing.com, March 2026). On April 8, 2026, HSBC downgraded the stock from Buy to Hold, citing concerns over the company's 'use-of-cash risks' and limited valuation upside at current levels (HSBC/StreetInsider). Additionally, major shareholder Squadra Investimentos reduced its aggregate stake in the company to below 5% in late January 2026, signaling a retreat by a key institutional investor (Insider Monkey, Feb 2026).

🐻 Bear Case

The bear case centers on structural volume weakness across core segments. LPG (Ultragaz) volumes fell 2% in 2025, with bulk sales down 4% due to sluggish industrial demand. More concerningly, the logistics arm (Ultracargo) saw a 9% annual decline in cubic meters sold as demand for fuel import tanking services dried up (Seeking Alpha, March 2026). Skeptics argue that Ultrapar's earnings are increasingly 'noisy,' relying on recurring adjustments to mask a 34% drop in reported Q4 EBITDA. With navigability restrictions in Southern Brazil expected to hamper the newly consolidated Hidrovias segment in Q1 2026, operational headwinds are likely to persist.

🚩 Red Flags

Financial stability is a primary concern; the company's debt-to-equity ratio sits at a high 103%, leaving it vulnerable to interest rate volatility in Brazil (TradingView, Oct 2025). Analysts have specifically flagged 'use-of-cash' risks, suggesting skepticism toward recent capital allocation decisions. Furthermore, the massive gap between recurring and reported net income (R$439M vs R$256M in Q4) suggests a reliance on complex accounting treatments that can obscure the true health of the business (Intellectia AI, March 2026).

⚔️ Competitive Threats

Ipiranga continues to face 'fierce' price competition in the Brazilian retail fuel market from major rivals like Vibra Energia and Raízen, which continues to compress gross margins and ROIC (Porter's Five Forces, March 2026). In the LPG sector, potential regulatory shifts regarding price pass-throughs and regulated returns pose a constant threat to Ultragaz's profitability. The company is also highly susceptible to Brazilian government policy shifts, such as the recently implemented 12% crude oil export tax and fluctuating diesel subsidies (Jefferies, March 2026).

💬 Customer Sentiment

Sentiment among industrial and commercial clients appears to be cooling. Ultragaz reported a 5% decrease in the bulk segment during Q4, specifically attributed to lower industrial demand (Mziq, March 2026). Similarly, Ultracargo's results reflect a significant drop in customer demand for tanking services as fuel import arbitrage windows closed, suggesting that Ultrapar's logistics moat is highly sensitive to external market cycles rather than sticky customer loyalty.

Full Earnings Call Transcript

Full Earnings Call Transcript — Q4 • 2026-03-05

Operator: Good morning. Thank you for holding. Welcome to the earnings release call of Ultrapar to discuss the results referring to the fourth quarter 2025. The presentation will be conducted by Mr. Rodrigo Pizzinatto, CEO of Ultrapar; and by Mr. Alexandre Palhares, CFO of Ultrapar. Our question-and-answer session will follow, and we will have with us Mr. Leonardo Linden, CEO of Ipiranga; Mr. Tabajara Bertelli, CEO of Ultragaz; and Mr. Fulvius Tomelin, CEO of Ultracargo. This call is being recorded and will be accessed later through the website, ri.ultra.com.br. After the initial presentation, we are going to start the Q&A session where further instructions will be provided. [Operator Instructions] Presentation will be provided in Portuguese, and you have the option in English to be downloaded later. Before moving on, we would like to clarify that forward-looking statements that may be made during this conference call with respect to business prospects, forecasts and operation and financial goals of the company are all based on beliefs and assumptions of the Executive Board of Ultra, as well as currently available information. These beliefs and assumptions involve risks and uncertainties since they relate to future events and therefore, depend on circumstances, which may or may not occur. Investors should understand that general economic conditions, market and other operational factors may affect the future performance of the company and lead to results, which may differ materially from those expressed in forward-looking statements. I would like now to hand it over to Mr. Rodrigo Pizzinatto, who will start the presentation. Mr. Pizzinatto, you have the floor.
Rodrigo de Almeida Pizzinatto: Good morning, everyone. It is a pleasure to be here once again to share Ultrapar's results. 2025 was another year marked by significant growth at Ultrapar. Clear strategy and disciplined execution are the base for the continuation of good operating results. We ended the year with the highest recurring adjusted EBITDA ever recorded in the fourth quarter. This improvement was directly reflected in cash. Ultrapar had a record operational cash flow generation of BRL 5.500 billion. This allowed us to end the year with a leverage of 1.7x, even after the anticipated payment of BRL 1.1 billion in dividends in December. Without this effect, leverage would have been of 1.5x, a very comfortable level. Considering the anticipated payment and the regular dividends, we paid BRL 1.4 billion in dividends in 2025, equivalent to BRL 1.30 per share and a dividend yield of 7%. I also highlight important progress on the institutional agenda, such as the approval of the persistent debtor and the single-phase taxation for naphtha, which strengthened fair competition and regulatory certainty and the Gás do Povo Provisional Act, which reinforced safety and regulatory framework of the LPG sector. We continue to advance our growth, productivity and value creation agenda with the completion of expansion of the Rondonópolis base of Ultracargo and the acquisition of a 37.5% stake in Virtu GNL, both in January. In February, we completed the migration of Ultracargo's SAP system to the SAP 4HANA platform, a significant step towards increasing our operational efficiency. We also announced our investment plan for 2026, which can reach BRL 2.6 billion intended for the expansion, maintenance, safety and efficiency of our business. And we continue to strengthen our capital structure with raising about BRL 260 million in incentivized credit lines for expansion projects at a weighted average cost equivalent to 87% CDI. We entered 2026 with a global scenario marked by geopolitical tensions and economic volatility. We are prepared to face this context and seize opportunities with an engaged team, strengthened business and a constant focus on operational efficiency, financial discipline, innovation and sustainable growth. Thus, we continue our journey of value creation. Thank you for your attention. I will now hand over to Palhares, who will detail the results for the quarter and the year 2025.
Alexandre Palhares: Thank you. Good morning, everyone. I would like to remind you of the reporting criteria and standards used in this presentation, which can be seen on this Slide 3. Now let's move on to the results for the fourth quarter and the year 2025, starting with Ultrapar's consolidated results on Slide 4. Adjusted EBITDA amounted to BRL 1.6 billion in the quarter, a 34% decrease compared to the same period of last year due to the nonrecurring effects highlighted on Page 2 of the release that we disclosed yesterday. For the year, adjusted EBITDA reached BRL 6.8 billion, a 2% increase compared to 2024. Recurring EBITDA was BRL 1.7 billion in the quarter, a 36% increase compared to the fourth quarter of 2024, mainly reflecting the better performance of Ipiranga and Ultragaz in addition to the effect of the consolidation of Hidrovias. For the year, recurring EBITDA totaled BRL 6.2 billion, 15% above 2024, reflecting the results of Ipiranga, Ultragaz and Hidrovias, whose consolidation began in May. Net income for the fourth quarter was BRL 256 million, a 71% decrease compared to the same period of 2024, also impacted by the nonrecurring effects that I mentioned. Without these effects, net income would have been BRL 439 million, a 49% increase in the quarter. In 2025, net income was stable at BRL 2.5 billion, reflecting the record operating result, partially offset by the increase in depreciation and amortization and higher financial expenses resulting from the consolidation of Hidrovias. This result level allowed the distribution of BRL 1.4 billion in dividends in the year, considering the anticipated payment of BRL 1.1 billion made in December. Moving on to the next slide. Let's talk about the cash generation for the year. On the left, operating cash generation reached BRL 5.5 billion, Ultrapar's historical record. This result was mainly due to 3 factors: higher operating result; consolidation of Hidrovias, which contributed BRL 855 million; and lower working capital needs, especially at Ipiranga, partially offset by the effect of settlement of draft discount for suppliers in the amount of BRL 1 billion. Regarding CapEx, we reached BRL 2.5 billion, a 15% increase compared to 2024. This is explained by higher investments of Ipiranga in addition to the effects of the consolidation of Hidrovias of BRL 235 million, which was not included in the initial plan. And at the same time, we had lower investments at Ultracargo. Looking more closely at the capital allocation, we completed some transactions, mainly the capital increase and the increase of our stake in Hidrovias, which totaled BRL 693 million, acquisition of TRRs in the total amount of BRL 103 million, and Virtu's transaction in the amount of BRL 36 million in the year. Throughout the year, the sale of the coastal navigation operation by Hidrovias in the total amount of BRL 715 million was also completed. In addition, we completed Ultrapar's buyback share program and made a relevant distribution of dividends. Moving to the next slide, and talking about debt and leverage. We ended 2025 with net debt of BRL 12.1 billion, an increase compared to September, but still keeping leverage steady at 1.7x, exactly the same level as the previous quarter. This possible stability is explained by the record operating cash generation, which offset the anticipated payment of dividends in December. Excluding the effect of the anticipated payment of dividends, leverage would have ended the year at 1.5x. The increase in net debt when comparing year-end 2025 to year-end 2024 mainly reflects the consolidation of Hidrovias, with an impact of BRL 2.2 billion. It is also worth highlighting the additional effect resulting from the reduction of BRL 1 billion in draft discount over the period, as shown at the bottom of the table. Now let's move to the results of Ipiranga on Slide 7. In the quarter, Ipiranga's volume grew 7% compared to 2024 with an increase of 8% in the Otto cycle and of 6% in diesel with a higher share in the spot market. This is due to the beginning of the market recovery after intensification of measures to combat irregularities in the sector. For the year, sales volume grew 1% with an increase of 2% in the Otto cycle and of 1% in diesel. We ended 2025 with a network of 5,805 service stations, resulting from 271 stations opened and 326 closed. Ipiranga's adjusted EBITDA totaled BRL 1.2 billion in the fourth quarter, 37% lower when compared to last year due to the recognition of nearly BRL 1 billion in extraordinary credits in the fourth quarter of 2024. Recurring adjusted EBITDA reached BRL 1.1 billion in the quarter, a 26% increase compared to 2024. This performance mainly reflects higher sales volume and better margins, partially offset by higher expenses. For the year, adjusted EBITDA totaled BRL 4.3 billion and recurring EBITDA totaled BRL 3.5 billion, a 4% increase compared to 2024. Operating cash generation was once again a highlight and reached BRL 4.3 billion, an increase of 41% in the annual comparison. This result reflects efficient working capital management and operational discipline. The first quarter began with the import arbitrage window open, which led to greater product availability. That window closes at the end of February and with the Middle East conflict, import parity turned much less favorable. In this context, we expect continued growth in volumes and margins. Moving to Ultragaz' results on the next slide. The volume of LPG sold in the fourth quarter was 2% lower than the same period of 2024 with a 5% decrease in the bulk segment, mainly due to the lower demand in the industry segment and with stability in the bottled segment. In 2025, the volume sold was also 2% lower than in 2024, with a decrease of 4% in the bulk segment and of 1% in the bottled segment. This performance is explained by the competitive dynamics of the market, impacted by the pace of pass-through of increased costs of Petrobras auctions throughout the year, in addition to lower business demand mainly in the industry segment. Recurring EBITDA reached BRL 474 million in the quarter, a 7% increase compared to the previous year. The result reflects the pass-through of cost inflation and a favorable sales mix, and on the other hand, the lower volume of LPG sold. For the year, adjusted EBITDA totaled BRL 1.8 billion, 5% increase compared to 2024. This performance reflects the effects of the pass-through of cost inflation, a more favorable sales mix and the contribution from new energies, which offset a lower LPG volume and higher costs and expenses. For first quarter '26, we see continuity of good results and an EBITDA similar to that observed in first quarter '25. On the next slide, we move to Ultracargo's results. The average installed capacity reached 1,131,000 cubic meters in the quarter, a 6% increase compared to the fourth quarter of 2024, resulting from the additions of capacity in Palmeirante, Rondonópolis and Santos. For the year, the average installed capacity was 1,090,000 cubic meters. The cubic meters sold was 5% lower in the quarter and 9% lower in the year compared to 2024. This decrease is mainly due to the lower demand from our customers for tanking services related to fuel imports, an effect partially offset by the increase in handling in Opla. Net revenue totaled BRL 261 million in the quarter, an 8% decrease compared to the previous year, reflecting the cubic meters sold and less favorable sales mix. For the year, net revenue amounted to BRL 1.021 billion, a 5% decrease explained by the lower cubic meters sold, partially offset by higher tariffs in the period. Adjusted EBITDA was BRL 144 million in the quarter, a 15% decrease compared to the fourth quarter of 2024. This performance mainly reflected lower cubic meters sold and higher costs with operations still in the ramp-up phase, partially offset by lower expenses. In 2025, adjusted EBITDA was BRL 585 million, a 12% drop compared to 2024. This result reflects lower cubic meter volume and higher costs associated with new operations, which are still in their ramp-up phase, partly offset by higher tariffs and lower expenses. We continue to see a gradual recovery in demand from customers of terminals at the beginning of the year, challenged by the closed import arbitrage window since mid-February. I also remind you of the negative initial effects of the ramp-up of some expansions. In this context, we expect first quarter volume and recurring EBITDA to be higher than in the last quarter of 2025. Now let's move to Hidrovias results. The total volume handled increased by 65% in the quarter compared to 2024, reflecting better navigation conditions in the North and South in addition to operational improvements. For the year, the volume handled increased by 22%, reflecting the same, more favorable navigation conditions, operational improvements throughout the year and higher volume in Santos, with the beginning and consolidation of the salt operation. Recurring EBITDA amounted to BRL 160 million in the quarter, reverting the negative result recorded in the same period last year, highlighting the positive effects of better navigation conditions and operational improvements. For the year, recurring EBITDA totaled BRL 1.1 billion, a 95% increase compared to 2024. This advance mainly reflects better navigability in the regions served, operational improvements and better average tariffs. I remind you that in November, we completed the sale of the cabotage operation, which contributed to the results of 1Q '25. Looking now at the first quarter, we have seen greater challenges in receiving cargo from the North operation, navigability conditions closer to normal levels in the South, although with some restrictions on iron ore loading. As a result, we expect results to be lower than those of the first quarter of last year. Finally, to conclude the presentation, we will look at the composition of investments made in 2025. We invested BRL 2.5 billion in the year, about half allocated to business expansion and the other half to maintenance and other investments. The total was in line with the announced plan, even considering BRL 235 million in investments at Hidrovias, which were not included in the original plan. Excluding this effect, investments would be 9% below the plan. We announced in the 2026 investment plan of up to BRL 2.6 billion. Of this total, approximately 42% will be allocated to expansion and the remaining to maintenance and business efficiency and safety initiatives. The highlights are in this presentation and in the market announcement. Well, with that, I conclude my part. Thank you all for the participation. Let's move to the Q&A session. To ensure better dynamics of this moment, I would like to reinforce that questions related to Hidrovias will be answered from the perspective of Ultrapar as the controlling shareholder. For specific operational details, the appropriate channel is Hidrovias' IR team. Thank you.
Operator: [Operator Instructions] The first question comes from Monique Greco with Itaú BBA.
Monique Greco: Great results. I would like to explore further the margins for Ipiranga. You've had very strong margins in the fourth quarter, especially because of strong December. What were the main reasons for these stronger margins obtained in the month of December? I'd also like to understand whether there is some relevance, the fact that you have favorable arbitration for import or some other factors along these lines. And I would also like to ask about the share because in January, you've been subject to some more pressure in terms of market share because of an oversupply in the chain. What can you tell us about that? Do you think that January was just one-off effect? I know it's too early to talk about that, but especially with the perspective of a very short window for import. What can we expect in terms of market share from now on?
Leonardo Linden: Linden speaking. Monique, thank you for the question. You are right. The fourth quarter showed this journey of progression. December was stronger, similar to November, October was somewhat weaker. I think this is very much aligned with improved landscape. We've all been seeing what's going on in Brazil in terms of regulatory affairs, fighting the legal market. So throughout the quarter, we've noticed a positive trend. When you talked about market share, January indeed showed an inverted position of the share. It's probably due to the fact that inventory levels went up in the last quarter when inventories go up with open arbitration, there is a lot of speculation, and it applies some additional pressure to the system. In my opinion, it was a one-off effect with a better commercial scenario, Ipiranga might recover the share that it had lost throughout the years. And finally, about what's going on in the Middle East, you are right. It's still too early to talk about that or draw conclusions. But we know that arbitration will be more limited. And if it's significantly closed, it means less speculative supplies, which favors companies which have a substantial supply in Brazil, such as Ipiranga. The whole infrastructure and our capacity would generate positive aspects to our own businesses.
Rodrigo de Almeida Pizzinatto: Let me pick back on that and talk about this topic a bit more. Rodrigo speaking here. That window of import affects the whole market, up to February, there was an open window of imports. So levels of inventory of industry have reached very high levels. But as of mid-February, the windows closed. And now they are even more closed because of the Gulf tension. This is going to affect negatively the market and positively depending on being closer or open and favoring companies, which can really supply the market in Brazil.
Operator: The next question comes from Rodrigo Almeida with BTG Pactual.
Rodrigo Reis de Almeida: My question is more focused on Ultragaz to start. You've talked about the perspective for the first quarter, but I would like to hear about the trend for the year. 2025, there was an increase in volume. But how do you anticipate that, especially for bulk, which had worse performance than we expected last year. Can you see any possibility of gains of volume, new clients or new initiatives? Can you also see an effect of the program of the Brazilian government [Foreign Language]? Is it also impacting the bottled market? And my second question concerns your strategy and the possibilities of growth. What are the main characteristics that you consider when you are trying to lever your businesses or drive further your business? Do you just intend to operate your own assets or maybe go into additional investments? It would be great if you could tell us and share with us the investment strategy you currently have.
Tabajara Bertelli: Tabajara speaking, Rodrigo, thank you for the question. I'm going to start with the point concerning Ultragaz. You've asked about volume trends. We don't expect any major changes to our plan. We are still focusing on operational excellence, operation-based initiatives. We have performed quite well last year, and this is what we anticipate for 2026. There were some variations, especially in industrial segment because of characteristics of the segments themselves. And these are fluctuations that we've seen happening before. Our perspective is that everything will go into normal operations as months go by. We focused on segments that we believe are the best and strongest, and we have been delivering all results in them. [Foreign Language], this government program. It has been fully approved, and it's already in its initial implementation stages. It's a very smart program because it direct subsidies to the needy population. It's at the implementation stage. I've been -- we've been really involved in it. And it's something that will come in full operation within the next quarters. But now it's fully approved with a clear definition of pillars really -- which is good for the official players and something really important for all of us as a society.
Rodrigo de Almeida Pizzinatto: Pizzinatto speaking. Asking about strategy, we have 3 main pillars that we considered when we are considering any transaction: first of all, industry where the company works, perspective of growth and consolidation; second pillar, is how close is it of what we already do and our management model, really getting synergy and generating value; and thirdly, someone who is willing to sell at interesting price range that would really prove to be good on return on investment. This is what we came across in Hidrovias. And this is the kind of analysis that we take into consideration whenever considering new investments.
Operator: The next question comes from Gabriel Barra with Citi.
Gabriel Coelho Barra: I have two points to make. The first one about Ipiranga CapEx. It was below what you had planned. The actual number was lower than what had initially planned for 2025. I would like to hear from you the reason behind it. We've seen a very favorable market because of the discussion of fighting illegal practices. So official brands are getting favored. But a lower CapEx at Ipiranga is something that attracted our attention. And I would like to try to understand why did you want to have less investments upfront in your branding -- in branding new stations? Or are you operating in a more competitive market and decided to take a step back and just wait for more aggressive players to set their game. So what were the reasons? If you could shed some light into that, that would be really helpful. So why have you invested less than was initially planned? Secondly, it's about Ipiranga and capital allocation as well, building up on what was asked before. I know we cannot talk about market rumors. But last week, someone talked about -- started hearing the news about the divestment of Ipiranga, sales of Ipiranga. So I'd like to hear from you, not only in terms of acquisition, but also looking inside and considering adjustments. You've been talking about having a more active understanding of the company, revisiting its own thesis and also looking outside because you've been generating a lot of cash. And in our perspective, you are going to have even better cash levels this year and in a very comfortable leverage level. So what is the equation now? Should -- are you going to sell it now? Are you going to sell it later? So if you could please tell us more. So these inside, right? So these are my two points.
Rodrigo de Almeida Pizzinatto: Rodrigo speaking. Let me answer those two questions. About CapEx and the other issues. Let me remind you, and we've said that a number of times before that Ipiranga has been through a cycle of CapEx before -- greater than expansion. And there are two points of fluctuation. So investments in infrastructure and technology. And for '26, '27, we are going to replace our technology platform at Ipiranga, very relevant investments. We've talked about that during the Ultra Day. Infrastructure is also closing some terminals and some expansions that we have put in place. These are why there are oscillations between the years. Some postponement of investments were made, especially because of the technology platform. As projects are completed, we are going to return Ipiranga's CapEx to the level of maintenance unless we see new opportunities of branding stations, but then we are going to revisit the plan. But this is what we anticipate for '26. Now concerning the news, the rumors in the market, we have nothing to talk about it. Whenever there is anything relevant, we have a formal communication of the market as the law expects. Cash generation has 2 main purposes, either we're going to find good projects to keep on expanding our company or share dividends. And this is an agnostic economic decision. We are going to keep on doing as is.
Operator: The next question comes from Bruno Montanari with Morgan Stanley.
Bruno Montanari: Well, let me go back to the topic of import window, especially for diesel, a closed window benefits the well-established players. We know that. I know it's too early. But with the price of diesel in the international market, do you think you can have an average price and really execute it in the Brazilian market? We'd also like to hear from you what are the next steps in the regulatory agenda to fight further against the regular market? What is the time line that you expect it to progress further? And could you please tell us more about the strategy of funding debt versus working capital and also your draft discount, that would be very helpful.
Rodrigo de Almeida Pizzinatto: Well, Bruno, concerning the import window, Brazil has a structure dependence on diesel imports. We have a commitment with our clients, and we are going to import and guarantee supply. And the cost in our profile of supply will be just build to customers. Concerning the next steps of the market regulation, we really have to make sure that everything that we've seen in the new legislation is really enforced. For example, persistent debtor and other initiatives have to be enforced, and we have to see the practical result of these changes that were really an important achievement for all of us. Yes, there are a number of things to be done. For example, single-phase taxation for ethanol. Part of the regular market lies in the hands of ethanol. Biodiesel, also a challenge. Not now, of course, because there was a change in the cost of byproducts, but biodiesel tends to cost more, and there are problems of non-mixture. Still a lot to be done in our agenda. It's not something fully resolved, and we really need to focus on improving competitiveness scenario as a whole. The government is very much willing to support these changes. The government of São Paulo increased the taxes because they've been fighting legal practice and now they have more legal players. So especially now when we deal with critical budgeting, all the governments are more than interested in having that in place. Now concerning the strategy of funding, we have access to a marginal cost of debt, which is highly competitive. Throughout last quarter, we've noticed there was an opportunity of anticipating the refunding of the company for the upcoming year. The marginal cost, even carrying over into the cash, it will have a positive carryover, and it's very much comfortable with our position of liquidity to really pay all our needs this year. As we've been emphasizing, funding is an alternative of investment, which is highly competitive in some specific situations, and we are very comfortable in using it more or less depending on the needs and mismatch with our cash levels. It's been so in recent quarters, and we do not expect to have any differences in upcoming quarters, but always considering the cost attractiveness in our analysis.
Operator: Next question comes from Tasso Vasconcellos with UBS.
Tasso Vasconcellos: I have two questions. First, Ipiranga. Linden, I recall at the end of last year in the Investors Day, you said that you were going to discuss the micro perspective and not the macro perspective. I would like to go back to Ipiranga's expansion plan and try to understand, based on the changes that you started implementing your business in 2022, what is still pending? What do you still see at the operational level, really putting aside all the improvement of the legal framework, but where can you still see value extraction this year and upcoming years in-house? Second question to Palhares or Pizzinatto. Going back to what Rodrigo has talked about in terms of capital allocation. You've had a very strong cash generation in the quarter. But looking at your balance sheet, despite this cash generation, there was still an increase in gross indebtedness, which was compensated by your financial assets, about BRL 2 million, BRL 2.5 million. I would like to hear a bit more about the reconciliation of resources and how all these initiatives are part of your capital allocation strategy at the level of the holding.
Leonardo Linden: Well, Tasso, what I said Ultra Day is that I would rather discuss ways of improving Ipiranga and make us sell more rather than discussing irregular market, of course. The agenda of the regular market is always with us. But by having that, we can look closely into our sales, improving our own operations, focusing on things that we really have to fine-tune. We have an expansion plan for 2026. You've seen the CapEx for expansion. We are talking about 300 branding stations, working on our infrastructure plan, technology, which is extremely important. The plan has been maintained. In addition to qualitative issues that we've been working throughout the years, and I'm sure you're all familiarized with them. Considering what's still pending and all the different drivers that I'll be able to list, there are two of them. Logistics, something that we've talked about a lot, the logistic plan. We still need 2 years to complete the journey, and it will mean a lot in terms of value capture. And the migration of ERP, the benefit is not a new operating system, but something that really changes the way we've been operating all our processes and internal elements, which will generate more efficiency. In terms of the main effort lines for 2026, these are the two. Pizzinatto speaking, Tasso. Concerning financial investments, let me make 3 points here: first, we always follow the principle of discipline and prudence; our average cost of debt, excluding bonus, is below 100% CDI. We have no cost of carryover of debt; and thirdly, 1 day of operation in Ipiranga is BRL 300 million, BRL 400 million. We are dealing in a moment of great volatility, and we have BRL 4.5 billion of debt to be paid this year. So what did we do last year? We anticipated somewhat the funding of debt that would mature, so that we wouldn't have to go to the market considering the conditions that we have. And this is why we have an increase in our investment line.
Operator: The next question comes from Vicente Falanga with Bradesco BBI.
Tasso Vasconcellos: I also have two questions. First, in addition to that open window, Petrobras auctions for fuel, which impacts some of the competitive landscape and the share, do you still see an opportunity to improve profitability in the fourth quarter? And what is the feedback that you get from resellers in relation to your competitors? Secondly, Palhares said that it's going to be an increase in volume and margins as is. Is it year-over-year, quarter-over-quarter? What is your expectation there?
Rodrigo de Almeida Pizzinatto: Vicente, having a better commercial landscape is not something just for Ipiranga, it's for our whole industry, of course. So we can see healthier margins in reseller, healthier margins in distribution and the government collecting more taxes. When the whole industry is benefiting, we can see opportunities of improving our own profitability, of course. It's not trying to be more profitable. It's being part of an industry which has been evolving positively. And the margin is still not paying back the invested capital. There is still room for improvement. In terms of volume and margin, we are comparing against the fourth quarter last year. This is our reference when we say we're going to increase it.
Operator: Well, our Q&A session is completed now. We would like to hand it over to Alexandre Palhares for his closing remarks.
Alexandre Palhares: Well, thank you all very much for your time, for your interest and participation. Our team is here at your disposal for any follow-up or additional questions. Thank you all very much.
Operator: The earnings release call of Ultrapar is closed now. Thank you all for your participation. Have a great day. [Statements in English on this transcript were spoken by an interpreter present on the live call.]