Stocks/TSBK

TSBK

Timberland Bancorp, Inc.
Financial Services·Banks - Regional
$40.58
$318M market cap
Revenue
$88.3M
Free Cash Flow
$21.5M
Rev Growth
+0.0%
FCF Margin
24.3%
P/FCF
14.8x
EV/FCF
14.7x
Fwd EV/EBITDA
--
Fair Value
--
Upside
--

Timberland Bancorp, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Timberland Bank that provides various community banking services in Washington. It offers various deposit products, including money market deposit, checking, and regular savings accounts, as well as certificates of deposit. The company also provides one-to four-family residential, multi-family, commercial real estate, construction, custom and owner/builder construction, speculative one- to four-family construction, commercial cons

2-Year Price History

$40.16+72.9%
$25$30$35$40volMay 24Sep 24Jan 25May 25Sep 25Jan 26May 26

Quarterly Financials & Projections

Quarterly Waterfall ($ M)
PeriodRevEBITDAOpInNIOCFFCFCapExCashDebtSharesROICIntCovEV/EBITDA
Act2026-Q228.88.98.97.14.43.9-0.524.222.97.925.0%1.1x--
Act2026-Q130.010.310.38.28.68.1-0.5156.426.07.928.4%1.3x--
Act2025-Q429.611.010.38.510.19.5-0.6281.923.17.931.2%1.3x--

Valuation & Metrics

Market Stats

Price$40.58
Market Cap$318M
Enterprise Value$316M
P/S Ratio3.6x
P/FCF14.8x
EV/FCF14.7x
FCF Margin (TTM)24.3%
FCF Yield6.8%
Dividend Yield (TTM)3.4%
Annual Dilution0.0%
CurrencyUSD

TTM Financial Snapshot

Revenue$88.3M
Net Income$23.8M
Free Cash Flow$21.5M

Revenue Growth (YoY)+0.0%
EBITDA Margin34.1%
Net Margin26.9%
FCF Margin24.3%
CapEx % of Revenue1.8%
SBC % of Revenue0.2%
ROIC28.2%
WC Change % Rev-9.0%
Interest Coverage1.3x

Forward Outlook & Risk

Short Interest

Short % of Float--
Short Shares0.1M
Days to Cover1.9
Change (vs Prior)+3.0%
Need at least 2 settlement dates for chart

Employees

Headcount274
Revenue / Employee$322,434
Gross Profit / Employee$231,588

Institutional Ownership

Headline & net flow

NEUTRAL
Net flow · still filing
No float data — flow unavailable.

Ownership composition

Active
39.2%(+10.0% YoY)
96 filers
hedge / family / endowment
Retail funds
Fidelity, Schwab, 401(k)
Passive
24.9%(+6.3% YoY)
9 filers
Vanguard, iShares, SPDR
Market makers
0.1%(-0.1% YoY)
3 filers
Citadel, Susquehanna
Insiders
Form 4 — latest per insider
0%25%50%75%100%2022-062023-032023-122024-092025-062026-03
ActiveRetail fundsPassiveMarket makersRetail direct

Top holders

Fund$ valueCost basisΔ QoQΔ YoYα lifeFund AUM
BlackRock, Inc.Passive$26.2M$29.27−$1.1M+$2.2M-0.2%$5.69T
DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LPPassive$22.0M$26.25−$106K−$604K-0.4%$480.92B
VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLCPassive$12.9M$39.15+$12.8M+$12.9M$4.04T
Cutler Capital Management, LLC$11.5M$24.23−$23K−$300K-0.7%$310M
MANUFACTURERS LIFE INSURANCE COMPANY, THE$11.3M$24.13−$120K−$559K-0.2%$113.45B
ROYCE & ASSOCIATES LP$10.4M$29.24−$7K−$512K-0.9%$10.09B
Siena Capital Partners GP, LLC$9.1M$21.89+$0+$0-0.4%$385M
Fourthstone LLC$9.1M$30.24+$4.7M+$9.1M-1.8%$590M
RENAISSANCE TECHNOLOGIES LLC$8.6M$29.31−$20K−$43K+1.2%$63.91B
Davis Asset Management, L.P.$6.9M$24.43+$0+$0-0.7%$3.46B
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLCPassive$6.8M$24.29−$37K−$51K+2.3%$1.61T
STATE STREET CORPPassive$5.2M$26.02+$240K+$794K-0.2%$2.89T
GABELLI FUNDS LLC$4.9M$30.25+$0+$4.9M-0.2%$14.68B
BRIDGEWAY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC$4.8M$23.18−$352K−$378K-2.3%$4.93B
KILEY JUERGENS WEALTH MANAGEMENT, LLC$4.7M$30.43−$5K−$29K+0.5%$562M
ALLIANCEBERNSTEIN L.P.$4.1M$25.21−$576K−$704K-0.3%$307.70B
ARROWSTREET CAPITAL, LIMITED PARTNERSHIP$3.4M$23.62+$0+$29K+0.1%$184.72B
WESTPORT ASSET MANAGEMENT INC$3.2M$21.89+$0+$0-1.1%$226M
GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC$2.9M$27.54+$366K+$1.1M-0.2%$760.93B
De Lisle Partners LLP$2.6M$27.30+$78K+$394K-0.7%$836M
Cost basis is a volume-weighted estimate from accumulation periods within our 13F history; holders who built their position before our window started will show a stale basis. % above the cost basis is the unrealized gain at the current price.

Trading behavior

Smart-money alpha (lifetime, %/qtr)BEARISH
Holders
-0.39%
avg per quarter
Holders (ex-self)
-0.41%
excl. this stock
Buyers (this Q)
-1.11%
45 buyers · $0.03B in
Sellers (this Q)
-0.17%
34 sellers · $-0.01B out
alpha coverage: 92% of $ has a lifetime-alpha record
Holder behavior on this stocksource: stock
On big dips (−10%+)
-20.0%
how holders react when this stock falls
On quiet Qs
-5.8%
−10% to +10% baseline
On rallies (+10%+)
-23.1%
how they react when this stock rises
Holders' portfolio flow this Q
+2.8%
inflows — adds are organic
Sellers' portfolio flow this Q
-0.6%
Sellers' overall flow ~ flat.
▸ Compare to holder-profile behavior (across all their stocks)
Holder dip (any stock)
-3.4%
Holder mid (any stock)
-3.2%
Holder rally (any stock)
-2.8%

Top Holders Over Time

5-year share-count history (top 10 holders by peak, incl. exited) + price

0662K1.3M2.0M2.6M$22$26$31$35$392021-062022-062023-062024-062025-062026-03
hover the chart for per-quarter detailprice (right axis)
ROYCE & ASSOCIATES LP263KFourthstone LLC230KMANUFACTURERS LIFE INSURANCE COMPANY, THE286KCutler Capital Management, LLC291KRENAISSANCE TECHNOLOGIES LLC218KSiena Capital Partners GP, LLC231KRhino Investment Partners, IncDavis Asset Management, L.P.174KM3F, Inc.DAVIS CAPITAL PARTNERS, LLC

Analyst Coverage

Analyst Coverage
Analyst Ratings
1
Buy: 1Consensus: Buy

Corporate

Insider Trading (last 12mo)

Open-market only (Form 4 P-Purchase + S-Sale). Excludes grants, option exercises, tax withholding, gifts.
Officers & directors
Buys ($, 12mo)
$0
0 txns · 0 insiders · 0 sh
Sells ($, 12mo)
$1.02M
12 txns · 7 insiders · 27,600 sh
Recent transactions
DateSideInsiderTitleSharesPriceDollarsOwned $
2026-02-06SELLAntich Breanne Dofficer: Chief Technology Officer/EVP800$40.05$32K$168K
2026-02-05SELLBASICH MARCI Aofficer: Chief Financial Officer/EVP477$39.50$19K$190K
2026-02-05SELLFischer Jonathan Arthurofficer: President/COO2,000$39.50$79K$259K
2026-02-03SELLBASICH MARCI Aofficer: Chief Financial Officer/EVP376$39.50$15K$190K
2026-02-02SELLBASICH MARCI Aofficer: Chief Financial Officer/EVP4,347$39.52$172K$190K
2026-02-02SELLDeBord Matthew Jofficer: Chief Lending Officer, EVP3,805$39.53$150K$225K
2026-01-30SELLCLINTON ANDREA Mdirector1,600$39.19$63K$349K
2025-12-15SELLDeBord Matthew Jofficer: Chief Lending Officer, EVP5,195$37.51$195K$214K
2025-12-11SELLSTONEY MICHAEL JOHNdirector1,000$36.99$37K$334K
2025-08-18SELLAntich Breanne Dofficer: Chief Technology Officer/EVP7,000$32.55$228K$76K
2025-08-13SELLSMITH DAVID ALANdirector164$33.50$5K$595K
2025-07-29SELLSMITH DAVID ALANdirector836$33.50$28K$595K

Order Flow (FINRA, ~3w lag)

10.0%retail+3.6pp
17.3%dark+5.2pp
week of 2026-04-13
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%24-1125-0225-0525-0825-1126-0226-04retail (non-ATS)dark (ATS)
Off-exchange volume from FINRA. Retail = non-ATS (wholesaler PFOF + broker internalization). Dark = ATS (dark-pool crossing networks, institutional). Lit-exchange = remainder.

Filing Risk Analysis

Filing Risk Scores

Timberland Bancorp: Recaptured Provisions Masking Core Deposit Erosion

Overall Risk
3/10
Fraud
2/10
Dilution
2/10
Insolvency
3/10
Earnings Overstated
4/10
Hidden Liabilities
2/10
Legal
2/10
Audit Warnings
2/10
Hidden Upside
4/10
Contextually Acceptable
8/10