Stocks/TMQ

TMQ

Trilogy Metals Inc.
Basic Materials·Industrial Materials
$4.63
$799M market cap
Revenue
$0.0M
Free Cash Flow
$-3.3M
Rev Growth
+0.0%
FCF Margin
0.0%
P/FCF
--
EV/FCF
--
Fwd EV/EBITDA
--
Fair Value
--
Upside
--

Trilogy Metals Inc., a base metals exploration company, explores for and develops mineral properties in the United States. It principally holds interests in the Upper Kobuk mineral projects that include the Arctic, which contains polymetallic volcanogenic massive sulfide deposits; and Bornite that contains carbonate-hosted copper - cobalt deposits covering an area of approximately 426,690 acres located in the Ambler mining district in Northwest Alaska. The company was formerly known as NovaCoppe

2-Year Price History

$4.07+730.6%
$1.0$2.0$3.0$4.0$5.0$6.0volJun 24Oct 24Jan 25May 25Sep 25Jan 26May 26

Quarterly Financials & Projections

Quarterly Waterfall ($ M)
PeriodRevEBITDAOpInNIOCFFCFCapExCashDebtSharesROICIntCovEV/EBITDA
Act2026-Q10.0-4.7-4.7-7.1-2.7-2.7-0.047.80.1171.9-50.4%----
Act2025-Q40.0-3.4-3.4-34.7-0.6-0.6-0.051.60.1165.1-33.3%----

Valuation & Metrics

Market Stats

Price$4.63
Market Cap$799M
Enterprise Value$751M
P/S Ratio0.0x
P/FCF--
EV/FCF--
FCF Margin (TTM)0.0%
FCF Yield-0.4%
Dividend Yield (TTM)--
Annual Dilution0.0%
CurrencyUSD

TTM Financial Snapshot

Revenue$0.0M
Net Income$-41.8M
Free Cash Flow$-3.3M

Revenue Growth (YoY)+0.0%
EBITDA Margin0.0%
Net Margin0.0%
FCF Margin0.0%
CapEx % of Revenue0.0%
SBC % of Revenue0.0%
ROIC-41.8%
WC Change % Rev0.0%
Interest Coverage--

Forward Outlook & Risk

Short Interest

Short % of Float--
Short Shares7.3M
Days to Cover2.8
Change (vs Prior)-18.1%
Need at least 2 settlement dates for chart

Employees

Headcount5
Revenue / Employee$0
Gross Profit / Employee$0

Institutional Ownership

Headline & net flow

NEUTRAL
Net flow · still filing
No float data — flow unavailable.

Ownership composition

Active
35.0%(+23.6% YoY)
135 filers
hedge / family / endowment
Retail funds
Fidelity, Schwab, 401(k)
Passive
0.4%(+0.4% YoY)
6 filers
Vanguard, iShares, SPDR
Market makers
0.7%(+0.7% YoY)
4 filers
Citadel, Susquehanna
Insiders
Form 4 — latest per insider
0%25%50%75%100%2022-062023-032023-122024-092025-062026-03
ActiveRetail fundsPassiveMarket makersRetail direct

Top holders

Fund$ valueCost basisΔ QoQΔ YoYα lifeFund AUM
Electrum Group LLC$113M$4.31+$0+$113M+2.6%$1.08B
Tidal Investments LLC$35.7M$3.45−$31.7M+$15.9M-0.2%$32.04B
TSP Capital Management Group, LLC$24.2M$0.94+$84K+$5.5M+0.8%$410M
Old West Investment Management, LLC$16.9M$0.99+$81K−$28.4M+0.6%$917M
ALPS ADVISORS INC$6.7M$3.07+$4.3M+$5.6M+0.2%$21.23B
Goehring & Rozencwajg Associates, LLC$6.2M$1.17+$1.1M+$1.2M+2.2%$1.86B
MARSHALL WACE, LLP$5.8M$3.54+$5.6M+$5.8M+0.6%$92.71B
JANE STREET GROUP, LLCMM$3.5M$2.07+$144K+$3.5M-0.1%$92.10B
ENVESTNET ASSET MANAGEMENT INC$3.5M$1.82+$173K+$2.6M-0.2%$367.84B
Walleye Capital LLC$3.4M$3.65+$2.5M+$3.4M-14.9%$15.09B
TWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP$2.0M$2.09+$790K+$1.2M-0.9%$117.03B
GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC$1.6M$3.43+$1.1M+$1.6M-0.2%$760.93B
MORGAN STANLEY$1.6M$3.50+$936K+$1.5M-0.3%$1.65T
BlackRock, Inc.Passive$1.5M$4.09+$448K+$1.5M-0.2%$5.69T
TORONTO DOMINION BANK$1.4M$3.53+$1.4M+$1.4M-0.3%$51.72B
BANK OF AMERICA CORP /DE/$1.4M$2.84+$98K+$1.0M-0.1%$1.36T
SUSQUEHANNA INTERNATIONAL GROUP, LLPMM$1.2M$3.45−$1.1M+$1.2M-0.6%$77.14B
Point72 Asset Management, L.P.$1.2M$3.89+$722K+$1.2M+0.9%$54.88B
CITADEL ADVISORS LLC$1.1M$1.86+$1.1M+$510K-0.4%$138.22B
BANK OF MONTREAL /CAN/$1.0M$3.59+$902K+$1.0M$234.58B
Cost basis is a volume-weighted estimate from accumulation periods within our 13F history; holders who built their position before our window started will show a stale basis. % above the cost basis is the unrealized gain at the current price.

Trading behavior

Smart-money alpha (lifetime, %/qtr)BEARISH
Holders
+0.32%
avg per quarter
Holders (ex-self)
+1.17%
excl. this stock
Buyers (this Q)
-1.28%
71 buyers · $0.02B in
Sellers (this Q)
-0.18%
22 sellers · $0.05B out
alpha coverage: 100% of $ has a lifetime-alpha record
Holder behavior on this stocksource: stock
On big dips (−10%+)
-5.5%
how holders react when this stock falls
On quiet Qs
-2.6%
−10% to +10% baseline
On rallies (+10%+)
-3.7%
how they react when this stock rises
Holders' portfolio flow this Q
+9.8%
inflows — adds are organic
Sellers' portfolio flow this Q
+33.1%
Sellers grew AUM elsewhere — opinionated cut of this stock.
▸ Compare to holder-profile behavior (across all their stocks)
Holder dip (any stock)
-1.2%
Holder mid (any stock)
-1.8%
Holder rally (any stock)
+2.5%

Top Holders Over Time

5-year share-count history (top 10 holders by peak, incl. exited) + price

016.0M32.0M47.9M63.9M$0.43$1.40$2.37$3.34$4.312021-062022-062023-062024-062025-062026-03
hover the chart for per-quarter detailprice (right axis)
Electrum Group LLC31.6MTidal Investments LLC9.9MPAULSON & CO. INC.BAUPOST GROUP LLC/MATSP Capital Management Group, LLC6.8MOld West Investment Management, LLC4.7MWEXFORD CAPITAL LPALPS ADVISORS INC1.9MGoehring & Rozencwajg Associates, LLC1.7MMARSHALL WACE, LLP1.6M

Analyst Coverage

Analyst Coverage
Price Targets
Last Year (2 analysts)$7.756740.0%
Current Price$4.63
Analyst Ratings
1
1
Buy: 1Hold: 1Consensus: Buy

Corporate

Insider Trading (last 12mo)

Open-market only (Form 4 P-Purchase + S-Sale). Excludes grants, option exercises, tax withholding, gifts.
Officers & directors
Buys ($, 12mo)
$0
0 txns · 0 insiders · 0 sh
Sells ($, 12mo)
$9.16M
12 txns · 7 insiders · 1,428,794 sh
Recent transactions
DateSideInsiderTitleSharesPriceDollarsOwned $
2026-05-08SELLHensley William L. Iggiagrukdirector50,000$4.44$222K$82K
2026-02-26SELLHensley William L. Iggiagrukdirector25,107$4.40$110K$82K
2025-12-05SELLLang Gregory A.director70,000$4.76$333K$381K
2025-10-16SELLGowans Jamesdirector100,000$7.50$750K$1.76M
2025-10-09SELLHayden William Beckwithdirector200,000$6.61$1.32M$2.53M
2025-10-09SELLLang Gregory A.director169,181$6.68$1.13M$668K
2025-10-09SELLStairs Janicedirector50,613$6.56$332K$3.34M
2025-10-08SELLHayden William Beckwithdirector64,294$7.06$454K$4.12M
2025-10-08SELLHensley William L. Iggiagrukdirector100,000$6.39$639K$279K
2025-10-08SELLSanders Elaineofficer: VP & CFO449,599$6.84$3.08M$21.56M
2025-10-08SELLWALTERS DIANA Jdirector100,000$7.03$703K$361K
2025-07-30SELLHensley William L. Iggiagrukdirector50,000$1.74$87K$250K

Order Flow (FINRA, ~3w lag)

30.6%retail-0.0pp
14.7%dark-0.1pp
week of 2026-04-13
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%24-1125-0225-0525-0825-1126-0226-04retail (non-ATS)dark (ATS)
Off-exchange volume from FINRA. Retail = non-ATS (wholesaler PFOF + broker internalization). Dark = ATS (dark-pool crossing networks, institutional). Lit-exchange = remainder.

Filing Risk Analysis

Filing Risk Scores

Trilogy Metals Inc: Toxic Warrants and Derivative Volatility Obscuring a JV Liquidity Trap

Overall Risk
8/10
Fraud
3/10
Dilution
10/10
Insolvency
4/10
Earnings Overstated
2/10
Hidden Liabilities
9/10
Legal
6/10
Audit Warnings
5/10
Hidden Upside
4/10
Contextually Acceptable
3/10