Stocks/TBN

TBN

Tamboran Resources Corp
Energy·Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
$33.61
$952M market cap
Revenue
$0.0M
Free Cash Flow
$-73.9M
Rev Growth
+0.0%
FCF Margin
0.0%
P/FCF
--
EV/FCF
--
Fwd EV/EBITDA
--
Fair Value
--
Upside
--

Tamboran Resources Corporation, a natural gas company, focuses on developing unconventional gas resources in the northern territory of Australia. Its assets include a 25% non-operated working interest in EP 161; a 38.75% working interest in EPs 76, 98, and 117; and a 100% working interest in EPs 136 and 143, as well as EP (A) 197, located in the Betaloo Basin. Tamboran Resources Corporation was founded in 2009 and is headquartered in Sydney, Australia.

2-Year Price History

$35.01+55.6%
$20$25$30$35$40volJun 24Oct 24Feb 25May 25Sep 25Jan 26May 26

Quarterly Financials & Projections

Quarterly Waterfall ($ M)
PeriodRevEBITDAOpInNIOCFFCFCapExCashDebtSharesROICIntCovEV/EBITDA
Act2026-Q30.0-8.0-8.4-9.4-17.5-28.7-11.2101.970.822.4-12.6%----
Act2026-Q20.0-7.5-7.8-6.6-0.726.8-27.583.460.120.0-14.1%----
Act2026-Q10.0-8.8-8.2-8.2-13.8-41.3-27.539.625.617.5-26.2%-28.7x--
Act2025-Q40.0-8.5-8.5-10.2-6.4-30.7-24.345.226.415.6-28.4%----
Historical Valuation

Multiples vs the company's own history — cheap or rich relative to itself? Historical fiscal years, then TTM, then forward projections (E). Forward rows hold today's price against projected earnings, so the multiple compresses if the company grows into it.

YearPriceRev GrEBITDA %EBITDAEV/EBITDAEV/FCFP/EP/S
TTM33.61-330.0×0.0×0.0×

EBITDA in reporting-currency $M. Historical multiples use year-end market cap (split-adjusted price history); TTM & forward years use today's.

Valuation & Metrics

Market Stats

Price$33.61
Market Cap$952M
Enterprise Value$921M
P/S Ratio0.0x
P/FCF--
EV/FCF--
FCF Margin (TTM)0.0%
FCF Yield-7.8%
Dividend Yield (TTM)--
Annual Dilution0.0%
CurrencyUSD

TTM Financial Snapshot

Revenue$0.0M
Net Income$-34.4M
Free Cash Flow$-73.9M

Revenue Growth (YoY)+0.0%
EBITDA Margin0.0%
Net Margin0.0%
FCF Margin0.0%
CapEx % of Revenue0.0%
SBC % of Revenue0.0%
ROIC-20.3%
WC Change % Rev0.0%
Interest Coverage-107.6x

Forward Outlook & Risk

Short Interest

Short % of Float--
Short Shares0.9M
Days to Cover5.7
Change (vs Prior)+5.8%
Need at least 2 settlement dates for chart

Employees

Headcount39
Revenue / Employee$0
Gross Profit / Employee$-8,572

Cash Runway

16.5months
WATCH

Institutional Ownership

Headline & net flow

NEUTRAL
Net flow · still filing
No float data — flow unavailable.

Ownership composition

Active
43.5%(+36.6% YoY)
57 filers
hedge / family / endowment
Retail funds
Fidelity, Schwab, 401(k)
Passive
0.0%(+0.0% YoY)
1 filers
Vanguard, iShares, SPDR
Market makers
0.0%(+0.0% YoY)
0 filers
Citadel, Susquehanna
Insiders
Form 4 — latest per insider
0%25%50%75%100%2024-062024-122025-062025-122026-03
ActiveRetail fundsPassiveMarket makersRetail direct

Top holders

Fund$ valueCost basisΔ QoQΔ YoYα lifeFund AUM
HITE Hedge Asset Management LLC$104M$24.73+$2.0M+$63.3M-1.0%$1.77B
Alberta Investment Management Corp$42.9M$22.49+$0+$25.4M-0.4%$14.74B
GILDER GAGNON HOWE & CO LLC$42.0M$28.54+$2.3M+$42.0M-1.8%$8.34B
Encompass Capital Advisors LLC$35.7M$25.92+$0+$35.7M+0.6%$2.45B
Yaupon Capital Management LP$26.8M$24.78+$981K+$11.0M+1.6%$2.03B
UBS Group AG$23.4M$26.93+$1.7M+$14.4M-0.3%$562.11B
Ancient Art, L.P.$21.9M$20.32+$0+$0-0.2%$459M
INGALLS & SNYDER LLC$17.0M$33.80+$7.4M+$12.7M+0.0%$2.82B
MANUFACTURERS LIFE INSURANCE COMPANY, THE$11.9M$35.07+$6.3M+$7.1M-0.2%$113.45B
SCS Capital Management LLC$10.0M$39.41+$5.3M+$10.0M+0.4%$9.44B
REAVES W H & CO INC$8.5M$36.60+$3.5M+$8.5M-0.0%$6.03B
TWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP$7.6M$41.29+$4.8M+$7.6M-0.9%$117.03B
Aventail Capital Group, LP$7.5M$23.91−$34K+$7.5M+2.3%$2.07B
CITADEL ADVISORS LLC$7.3M$26.89−$16.4M+$7.3M-0.4%$138.22B
COHEN & STEERS INC$6.9M$28.40+$344K+$6.9M-0.8%$57.57B
MACQUARIE GROUP LTD$6.8M$28.51+$1.0M+$6.8M-0.4%$16.77B
MARSHALL WACE, LLP$5.7M$49.99+$5.7M+$5.7M+0.6%$92.71B
FRANKLIN RESOURCES INC$5.3M$34.03+$1.6M+$5.3M-0.2%$403.03B
Cinctive Capital Management LP$5.1M$46.29+$4.3M+$5.1M+2.0%$1.51B
Zimmer Partners, LP$4.6M$27.23−$2.6M+$4.6M+0.4%$3.95B
Cost basis is a volume-weighted estimate from accumulation periods within our 13F history; holders who built their position before our window started will show a stale basis. % above the cost basis is the unrealized gain at the current price.

Trading behavior

Smart-money alpha (lifetime, %/qtr)BEARISH
Holders
-0.24%
avg per quarter
Holders (ex-self)
-0.28%
excl. this stock
Buyers (this Q)
-0.35%
38 buyers · $0.17B in
Sellers (this Q)
+18.35%
11 sellers · $-0.00B out
alpha coverage: 100% of $ has a lifetime-alpha record
Holder behavior on this stocksource: stock
On big dips (−10%+)
+13.9%
how holders react when this stock falls
On quiet Qs
-20.9%
−10% to +10% baseline
On rallies (+10%+)
+24.8%
how they react when this stock rises
Holders' portfolio flow this Q
-0.8%
outflows — trims may be forced
Sellers' portfolio flow this Q
-20.1%
Sellers shed AUM broadly — partly forced.
▸ Compare to holder-profile behavior (across all their stocks)
Holder dip (any stock)
-3.2%
Holder mid (any stock)
-7.1%
Holder rally (any stock)
-12.2%

Top Holders Over Time

5-year share-count history (top 10 holders by peak, incl. exited) + price

01.7M3.4M5.0M6.7M$20$28$35$43$502024-062024-122025-062025-122026-03
hover the chart for per-quarter detailprice (right axis)
HITE Hedge Asset Management LLC2.1MAlberta Investment Management Corp859KGILDER GAGNON HOWE & CO LLC841KEncompass Capital Advisors LLC714KYaupon Capital Management LP535KUBS Group AG468KAncient Art, L.P.437KINGALLS & SNYDER LLC340KBAUPOST GROUP LLC/MACITADEL ADVISORS LLC147K

Analyst Coverage

Analyst Coverage
Price Targets
Last Quarter (2 analysts)$51.005170.0%
Last Year (5 analysts)$42.202560.0%
Current Price$33.61
Analyst Ratings
3
Buy: 3Consensus: Buy

Corporate

Insider Trading (last 12mo)

Open-market only (Form 4 P-Purchase + S-Sale). Excludes grants, option exercises, tax withholding, gifts.
Officers & directors
Buys ($, 12mo)
$669K
3 txns · 2 insiders · 18,990 sh
Sells ($, 12mo)
$0
0 txns · 0 insiders · 0 sh
Major holders (≥10% beneficial owners)
Buys ($, 12mo)
$10.00M
1 txn · 1 insider · 563,697 sh
Sells ($, 12mo)
$0
0 txns · 0 insiders · 0 sh
Recent transactions
DateSideInsiderTitleSharesPriceDollarsOwned $
2026-04-13BUYPACE PHILLIP Zdirector10,000$36.99$370K$1.32M
2026-04-08BUYSHEFFIELD SCOTT Ddirector6,990$36.02$252K$10.53M
2025-11-21BUYPACE PHILLIP Zdirector2,000$23.50$47K$47K
2025-07-22BUYSheffield Bryan10 percent owner563,697$17.74$10.00M$55.41M

Order Flow (FINRA, ~3w lag)

14.6%retail-3.1pp
26.0%dark+1.8pp
week of 2026-04-13
0%20%40%60%80%24-1125-0225-0525-0825-1126-0226-04retail (non-ATS)dark (ATS)
Off-exchange volume from FINRA. Retail = non-ATS (wholesaler PFOF + broker internalization). Dark = ATS (dark-pool crossing networks, institutional). Lit-exchange = remainder.

Filing Risk Analysis

Filing Risk Scores

Tamboran Resources: Pre-Revenue Beetaloo Bet Fueled by Dilutive Equity and Toxic Debt

Overall Risk
8/10
Fraud
3/10
Dilution
9/10
Insolvency
8/10
Earnings Overstated
2/10
Hidden Liabilities
6/10
Legal
4/10
Audit Warnings
10/10
Hidden Upside
7/10
Contextually Acceptable
5/10