Stocks/SNDA

SNDA

Sonida Senior Living, Inc.
Healthcare·Medical - Care Facilities
$35.35
$707M market cap
Revenue
$411.9M
Free Cash Flow
$-47.0M
Rev Growth
+33.4%
FCF Margin
-11.4%
P/FCF
--
EV/FCF
--
Fwd EV/EBITDA
--
Fair Value
--
Upside
--

Sonida Senior Living, Inc. develops, owns, operates, and manages senior housing communities in the United States. The company provides independent living services, which include daily meals, transportation, social and recreational activities, laundry, housekeeping, and 24-hour staffing; and access to health screenings, periodic special services, and dietary and similar programs, as well as exercise and fitness classes. It also offers assisted living services consist of personal care services, su

2-Year Price History

$37.01+33.9%
$22$24$26$28$30$32$34$36$38volMay 24Sep 24Jan 25May 25Sep 25Jan 26May 26

Quarterly Financials & Projections

Quarterly Waterfall ($ M)
PeriodRevEBITDAOpInNIOCFFCFCapExCashDebtSharesROICIntCovEV/EBITDA
Act2026-Q1122.6-8.1-28.6-41.2-35.9-42.7-6.884.31,62218.1-4.5%-0.6x424.1x
Act2025-Q497.7-5.3-49.6-29.8-0.4-9.3-8.911.0689.718.1-25.0%-0.5x50.7x
Act2025-Q398.0-2.7-4.6-26.912.03.0-9.017.0684.418.1-2.2%-0.3x24.4x
Act2025-Q293.521.0-1.8-1.68.91.9-7.014.1677.918.1-0.9%--18.2x
Act2025-Q191.910.2-2.3-12.53.8-4.5-8.314.0650.918.1-1.1%1.1x22.5x
Act2024-Q491.916.7-6.4-5.5-3.1-10.4-7.217.0651.418.1-3.1%1.7x12.8x
Act2024-Q374.86.4-4.9-13.83.0-5.1-8.024.9604.115.5-2.5%0.7x15.4x
Act2024-Q270.29.3-0.9-9.82.5-1.7-4.19.5583.813.0-0.6%1.0x15.7x
Act2024-Q167.445.6-1.727.0-4.1-9.9-5.824.2578.110.6-1.1%5.3x11.1x
Act2023-Q465.75.2-4.5-14.60.0-3.7-3.84.1629.47.3-2.9%0.5x37.7x
Act2023-Q364.70.60.0-18.45.10.6-4.53.6629.57.10.0%0.1x43.9x
Act2023-Q257.56.36.3-12.22.3-2.0-4.37.2636.06.43.8%0.7x35.3x
Act2023-Q157.16.26.224.13.3-2.2-5.413.0635.97.23.7%0.7x49.1x
Act2022-Q453.92.52.5-16.6-5.5-11.7-6.316.9671.06.41.4%0.3x79.3x
Act2022-Q353.14.14.1-13.75.0-1.2-6.227.1665.96.42.5%0.5x--
Act2022-Q252.61.71.7-7.4-1.4-8.0-6.632.7669.56.41.0%0.2x--
Act2022-Q151.51.31.3-16.7-0.7-6.3-5.648.6671.26.30.6%0.2x--
Historical Valuation

Multiples vs the company's own history — cheap or rich relative to itself? Historical fiscal years, then TTM, then forward projections (E). Forward rows hold today's price against projected earnings, so the multiple compresses if the company grows into it.

YearPriceRev GrEBITDA %EBITDAEV/EBITDAEV/FCFP/EP/S
202212.504.5%1079.3×n/mn/m0.5×
20239.66+16.1%7.5%1837.7×n/mn/m0.3×
202423.08+24.2%25.6%7812.8×n/mn/m1.2×
202532.61+25.2%6.1%2350.7×n/mn/m1.3×
TTM35.35+25.3%1.2%50.0×0.0×0.0×0.0×

EBITDA in reporting-currency $M. Historical multiples use year-end market cap (split-adjusted price history); TTM & forward years use today's.

Valuation & Metrics

Market Stats

Price$35.35
Market Cap$707M
Enterprise Value$2.2B
P/S Ratio1.7x
P/FCF--
EV/FCF--
FCF Margin (TTM)-11.4%
FCF Yield-6.7%
Dividend Yield (TTM)--
Annual Dilution0.3%
CurrencyUSD

TTM Financial Snapshot

Revenue$411.9M
Net Income$-99.5M
Free Cash Flow$-47.0M

Revenue Growth (YoY)+33.4%
EBITDA Margin1.2%
Net Margin-24.2%
FCF Margin-11.4%
CapEx % of Revenue7.7%
SBC % of Revenue1.6%
ROIC-8.1%
WC Change % Rev0.6%
Interest Coverage0.1x

Forward Outlook & Risk

Short Interest

Short % of Float5.0%
Short Shares1.0M
Days to Cover1.7
Change (vs Prior)+24.1%
Short % Float History
5.00%+2.80pp
1.0%2.0%3.0%4.0%5.0%04-3007-1509-1511-1401-1504-30

Options

Call IV (ATM)53%
Put IV (ATM)51%
ATM Spread9.1%
Call $OI (near money)$19K
Put $OI (near money)$585
ATM ExpiryJuly 17, 2026 (56D)
ATM Strike$35.0
Major Expirations3
Near-money chain · July 17, 2026
StrikeCall Bid/AskCall OIPut Bid/AskPut OI
$20.00$15.40/$19.100--/$1.150
$22.50$13.10/$16.000--/$1.150
$25.00$10.60/$13.500--/$2.150
$30.00$6.00/$8.900--/$2.251
$35.00$2.55/$5.902$0.40/$3.300
$40.00$0.10/$3.4040$2.30/$5.600
$45.00--/$2.600$6.90/$9.600
$50.00--/$2.200$11.10/$14.600
Snapshot: 2026-05-22

Employees

Headcount3,415
Revenue / Employee$120,600
Gross Profit / Employee$-36,036
2022: 3,497 → 2023: 3,955 → 2024: 5,063 → 2025: 5,140 (14% CAGR)

Cash Runway

21.5months
WATCH

Institutional Ownership

Headline & net flow

NET BUYING

In Q1 2026 so far (quarter still filing), institutions are net buyers — bought 62.9% of float, sold 3.6%. 8 filers moved >1% of shares (7 buying, 1 selling).

Net flow · Q1 2026still filing
+59.2% of float (net)
Bought 62.9% · Sold 3.6%
227 filers reported (last quarter: 69)

Ownership composition

Active
103.7%(+63.6% YoY)
215 filers
hedge / family / endowment
Retail funds
Fidelity, Schwab, 401(k)
Passive
5.5%(+2.3% YoY)
9 filers
Vanguard, iShares, SPDR
Market makers
1.5%(+1.5% YoY)
6 filers
Citadel, Susquehanna
Insiders
34.1%
Form 4 — latest per insider
0%25%50%75%100%2022-062023-032023-122024-092025-062026-03
ActiveRetail fundsPassiveMarket makersRetail direct

Top holders

Fund$ valueCost basisΔ QoQΔ YoYα lifeFund AUM
Conversant Capital LLC$471M$28.10+$172M+$172M-6.4%$725M
Capital International Investors$56.2M$32.25+$56.2M+$56.2M+0.4%$424.78B
Irenic Capital Management LP$39.3M$32.28+$35.9M+$39.3M-2.9%$1.05B
Hazelview Securities Inc.$21.6M$25.87−$3.5M−$11.9M-2.6%$537M
J. Goldman & Co LP$17.8M$32.36+$12.4M+$17.8M+0.5%$2.16B
Solas Capital Management, LLC$14.4M$23.61−$311K−$2.4M-2.0%$174M
BlackRock, Inc.Passive$13.7M$25.64−$631K+$957K-0.2%$5.69T
VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLCPassive$11.7M$32.25+$11.7M+$11.7M$4.04T
Clayton Partners LLC$10.0M$25.03+$1.0M+$2.6M+0.5%$138M
JANE STREET GROUP, LLCMM$8.8M$32.12+$8.4M+$8.8M-0.1%$92.10B
Obion Capital Management LP$8.7M$32.51+$2.4M+$8.7M+3.5%$101M
LuminArx Capital Management LP$8.3M$32.25+$8.3M+$8.3M+5.0%$101M
Emmett Investment Management, LP$7.5M$24.83+$774K+$2.5M+1.9%$131M
Colony Capital, Inc.$7.3M$32.25+$7.3M+$7.3M+0.4%$1.58B
RUSH ISLAND MANAGEMENT, LP$7.0M$32.25+$7.0M+$7.0M-2.2%$1.49B
GARNET EQUITY CAPITAL HOLDINGS, INC.$6.2M$32.25+$6.2M+$6.2M+0.9%$176M
MAKENA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC$6.0M$26.74+$0+$0-1.1%$866M
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLCPassive$5.2M$25.34+$166K−$26K+2.3%$1.61T
Arbiter Partners Capital Management LLC$4.9M$19.93−$987K−$5.4M+1.2%$147M
MORGAN STANLEY$4.6M$31.05+$4.1M+$4.2M-0.3%$1.65T
Cost basis is a volume-weighted estimate from accumulation periods within our 13F history; holders who built their position before our window started will show a stale basis. % above the cost basis is the unrealized gain at the current price.

Trading behavior

Smart-money alpha (lifetime, %/qtr)BEARISH
Holders
-2.99%
avg per quarter
Holders (ex-self)
-4.00%
excl. this stock
Buyers (this Q)
-2.22%
201 buyers · $0.41B in
Sellers (this Q)
+0.23%
17 sellers · $0.02B out
alpha coverage: 98% of $ has a lifetime-alpha record
Holder behavior on this stocksource: stock
On big dips (−10%+)
-4.3%
how holders react when this stock falls
On quiet Qs
+7.6%
−10% to +10% baseline
On rallies (+10%+)
+10.3%
how they react when this stock rises
Holders' portfolio flow this Q
+24.0%
inflows — adds are organic
Sellers' portfolio flow this Q
+12.0%
Sellers grew AUM elsewhere — opinionated cut of this stock.
▸ Compare to holder-profile behavior (across all their stocks)
Holder dip (any stock)
-2.2%
Holder mid (any stock)
+1.5%
Holder rally (any stock)
-6.8%

Top Holders Over Time

5-year share-count history (top 10 holders by peak, incl. exited) + price

04.9M9.7M14.6M19.4M$6.79$13$20$27$332021-062022-062023-062024-062025-062026-03
hover the chart for per-quarter detailprice (right axis)
Conversant Capital LLC14.6MCapital International Investors1.7MIrenic Capital Management LP1.2MHazelview Securities Inc.669KArbiter Partners Capital Management LLC152KTyro Capital Management LLC36KJ. Goldman & Co LP551KSolas Capital Management, LLC446KAlyeska Investment Group, L.P.Gotham Asset Management, LLC

Analyst Coverage

Analyst Coverage
Price Targets
Last Quarter (4 analysts)$40.751530.0%
Last Year (6 analysts)$37.67660.0%
Current Price$35.35
Analyst Ratings
1
2
1
Buy: 1Hold: 2Sell: 1Consensus: Hold
Consensus Estimates
QuarterRevenueEBITDANet IncEPSEPS Range# Analysts
2026 Q3162M47M-12M$-0.65$-0.65 – $-0.652
2026 Q4163M48M-11M$-0.61$-0.61 – $-0.611
2027 Q194M28M-7M$-0.37$-0.37 – $-0.371
2027 Q296M28M-2M$-0.13$-0.13 – $-0.131
2027 Q397M28M-2M$-0.13$-0.13 – $-0.131
2027 Q499M29M-2M$-0.13$-0.13 – $-0.131
2028 Q1157M46M1M$0.07$0.07 – $0.071
2028 Q2162M47M3M$0.15$0.15 – $0.151
2028 Q3167M49M2M$0.12$0.12 – $0.121
2028 Q4173M51M2M$0.12$0.12 – $0.121

Corporate

Executive Compensation (2023-2025)

Direct Pay$12.0M
Incentive & Other$2.4M
Total Compensation$14.4M
% of Revenue1.4%

Insider Trading (last 12mo)

Open-market only (Form 4 P-Purchase + S-Sale). Excludes grants, option exercises, tax withholding, gifts.
Major holders (≥10% beneficial owners)
Buys ($, 12mo)
$100.00M
1 txn · 1 insider · 3,739,716 sh
Sells ($, 12mo)
$0
0 txns · 0 insiders · 0 sh
Recent transactions
DateSideInsiderTitleSharesPriceDollarsOwned $
2026-03-11BUYSimanovsky Michaeldirector, 10 percent owner: 3,739,716$26.74$100.00M$143.16M

Order Flow (FINRA, ~3w lag)

21.5%retail+3.1pp
32.3%dark-1.8pp
week of 2026-04-13
10%20%30%40%50%24-1125-0225-0525-0825-1126-0226-04retail (non-ATS)dark (ATS)
Off-exchange volume from FINRA. Retail = non-ATS (wholesaler PFOF + broker internalization). Dark = ATS (dark-pool crossing networks, institutional). Lit-exchange = remainder.

Revenue Breakdown

Revenue Segments

By Product (2026-Q1)
Health Care, Resident Service$108.4M+37%
Housing And Support Services$106.3M+36%
Community Reimbursement Revenue$11.4M-2%
Rental Income$1.7MNEW
Ancillary Services$1.2M+276%
Management Service$1.1M+8%
Community Fees$1.0M+84%