Stocks/SMA

SMA

Smartstop Self Storage REIT Inc
Real Estate·REIT - Specialty
$31.25
$1.2B market cap
Claude Rating
4/10UNDERWEIGHT
Revenue
$225.1M
Free Cash Flow
$8.1M
Rev Growth
+19.7%
FCF Margin
3.6%
P/FCF
153.0x
EV/FCF
281.9x
Fwd EV/EBITDA
16.1x
Fair Value
$24.00
Upside
-23.2%

SmartStop is a technology-driven, self-managed REIT with a fully integrated operations team of approximately 570 self-storage professionals. It is one of the largest self-storage companies in North America, with a growing portfolio in Canada and high-growth markets in the U.S.

2-Year Price History

$30.87-2.1%
$30$32$34$36$38volApr 25Jun 25Aug 25Oct 25Jan 26Mar 26

Quarterly Financials & Projections

Quarterly Waterfall ($ M)
PeriodRevEBITDAOpInNIOCFFCFCapExCashDebtSharesROICIntCovEV/EBITDA
Est2028-Q182.035.7--1.2--12.3-0.4150.6----------
Est2027-Q483.537.2--1.7--13.4-0.4138.3----------
Est2027-Q385.039.1--3.0--16.2-0.4125.0----------
Est2027-Q283.037.4--2.1--14.1-0.4108.8----------
Est2027-Q179.034.0--0.8--11.1-0.494.7----------
Est2026-Q481.035.6--1.2--12.2-0.483.7----------
Est2026-Q382.037.3--2.5--14.8-0.471.5----------
Est2026-Q280.535.4--1.6--12.9-0.456.7----------
Act2026-Q178.343.715.69.624.28.2-0.043.91,09355.33.5%3.3x19.8x
Act2025-Q478.536.718.82.814.4-25.7-0.059.41,09855.44.2%2.8x24.5x
Act2025-Q31.532.213.05.252.252.2-0.054.21,04255.42.8%2.6x36.5x
Act2025-Q266.824.910.3-4.68.0-26.6-0.037.7951.554.42.4%2.1x33.1x
Act2025-Q165.533.917.2-5.010.6-22.8-0.035.21,22996.65.1%1.5x--
Act2024-Q460.634.217.8-0.310.6-18.6-0.023.11,31796.25.0%1.8x--
Act2024-Q360.230.217.7-3.121.8-6.4-0.036.71,18196.55.4%1.6x--
Act2024-Q259.230.817.7-0.717.36.0-0.034.71,10896.85.5%1.8x--
Act2024-Q157.028.916.0-1.514.414.4-0.039.21,09696.85.0%1.8x--
Act2023-Q457.631.617.02.04.5-3.0-0.045.11,40996.84.3%1.9x--
Act2023-Q358.732.618.12.523.410.0-0.034.21,05596.85.7%2.0x--
Act2023-Q259.633.118.63.529.429.4-0.034.11,04197.35.9%2.2x--
Historical Valuation

Multiples vs the company's own history — cheap or rich relative to itself? Historical fiscal years, then TTM, then forward projections (E). Forward rows hold today's price against projected earnings, so the multiple compresses if the company grows into it.

YearPriceRev GrEBITDA %EBITDAEV/EBITDAEV/FCFP/EP/S
202452.3%124
202530.69-10.4%60.1%12824.5×n/mn/m9.8×
TTM31.25-8.3%61.0%1370.0×0.0×0.0×0.0×
2027E31.25+46.8%0.5%10.0×0.0×0.0×0.0×

EBITDA in reporting-currency $M. Historical multiples use year-end market cap (split-adjusted price history); TTM & forward years use today's.

AI Analysis

LLM Evaluations

Claude4/10UNDERWEIGHTFV: $24.00

SmartStop is a mid-tier self-storage REIT transitioning from a non-traded structure with significant legacy baggage. While the IPO deleveraged the balance sheet and the Argus acquisition adds platform scale, organic growth is decelerating rapidly into potentially negative territory as the sector faces oversupply in key Sunbelt markets and aggressive pricing from larger competitors (Extra Space, Public Storage). The company's complex related-party structure—subsidizing affiliated non-traded REITs via the Sponsor Funding Agreement, paying distributions that massively exceed net income ($81M distributions vs. negative net income), and inflating revenue with reimbursable pass-throughs—erodes value for common shareholders. With 10.7% short interest, analyst downgrades from Wells Fargo and JPMorgan, securities litigation risk from the non-traded phase, and negative customer sentiment, the risk/reward skews unfavorably at current valuations (~28x EV/FCF). The 4.77% dividend yield provides some support but is not well-covered by earnings.

Catalyst A meaningful housing market recovery driving move-in activity and allowing street rate increases; successful integration of Argus yielding margin synergies; or accretive acquisitions from distressed sellers at attractive cap rates could unlock upside. Conversely, continued same-store revenue deceleration, securities litigation outcomes, or a forced dividend cut could expose the short thesis.
Risk Same-store revenue growth turns meaningfully negative as Sunbelt oversupply and competitive pricing pressure from larger REITs intensifies, forcing the company to choose between occupancy and rates, while the elevated distribution payout (funded by capital rather than earnings) becomes unsustainable.
Trend
DETERIORATING
Mgmt
6/10
Quarter
5/10
Exp. Move
-5.0%

Latest Earnings Call

Transcript Summary

Smartstop Self Storage REIT Inc delivered a strong Q1 2026, with same-store revenue up 1.5% and Adjusted FFO per share growing 19.3% to $0.49. Management successfully navigated a brief March demand dip to end April with 92.6% occupancy and record web reservations. Guidance was narrowed, reflecting improved outlooks for operating expenses and NOI. The Asheville portfolio demonstrated a significant recovery, nearly closing its occupancy gap following prior-year natural disasters. Strategic expansion continued through the integration of the Argus platform and a new bridge-lending joint venture with Axxess Capital, which targets yields of 10-14%. The company's Canadian assets also showed resilience, with management projecting them to lead full-year performance. CEO H. Schwartz highlighted a prime acquisition landscape, citing opportunities to acquire high-quality assets at attractive cap rates from distressed owners. With 94% of debt fixed and a newly recast $500 million credit facility, the company maintains a robust balance sheet. Overall, Smartstop is leveraging technology and platform scale to drive growth in a stabilizing storage market, supported by strong rental season indicators and expanding third-party management revenues.

Valuation & Metrics

Market Stats

Price$31.25
Market Cap$1.2B
Enterprise Value$2.3B
P/S Ratio5.5x
P/FCF153.0x
EV/FCF281.9x
FCF Margin (TTM)3.6%
FCF Yield0.7%
Dividend Yield (TTM)5.6%
Annual Dilution-42.8%
CurrencyUSD

TTM Financial Snapshot

Revenue$225.1M
Net Income$13.0M
Free Cash Flow$8.1M

Revenue Growth (YoY)+19.7%
EBITDA Margin61.0%
Net Margin5.8%
FCF Margin3.6%
CapEx % of Revenue0.0%
SBC % of Revenue4.0%
ROIC3.2%
WC Change % Rev-18.5%
Interest Coverage2.7x

DCF Fair Value Estimate

$1.01
-96.8% upside
Fair Enterprise Value$557M
− Net Debt$1.0B
= Fair Equity$56M
Revenue Growth3.4% → 3.0%
FCF Margin3.6% → 18.0%
Discount Rate15.0%
Terminal EV/FCF14.0x

Forward Outlook & Risk

Short Interest

Short % of Float11.2%
Short Shares4.5M
Days to Cover7.2
Change (vs Prior)+4.8%
Short % Float History
11.20%+8.30pp
2.0%4.0%6.0%8.0%10.0%12.0%04-3007-1509-1511-1401-1504-30

Options

Call IV (ATM)31%
Put IV (ATM)--
ATM Spread10.0%
Call $OI (near money)$14K
Put $OI (near money)$2K
ATM ExpiryJuly 17, 2026 (56D)
ATM Strike$30.0
Major Expirations1
Near-money chain · July 17, 2026
StrikeCall Bid/AskCall OIPut Bid/AskPut OI
$17.50$12.00/$15.400--/$0.750
$20.00$9.30/$13.000--/$1.750
$22.50$6.80/$10.400--/$2.200
$25.00$4.40/$8.000--/$0.902
$30.00$0.60/$3.7022--/$1.7017
$35.00--/$0.70125$3.30/$6.000
$40.00--/$0.800$7.80/$10.900
$45.00--/$0.750$12.80/$15.400
Snapshot: 2026-05-22

Forward Projections & Estimates

NTM Revenue Growth+43.3%
Forward FCF Margin15.8%
Forward EBITDA Margin44.1%
Forward P/FCF24.5x
Forward EV/FCF45.1x
Forward Int. Coverage2.7x
Model Risk Score7/10
Bankruptcy Odds4%
Est. Borrow Rate6.0%
Terminal EV/FCF14.0x
LT Growth3.0%
LT FCF Margin18.0%

Employees

Headcount560
Revenue / Employee$401,980
Gross Profit / Employee$104,477
2022: 450 → 2023: 500 → 2024: 560 → 2025: 1,000 (31% CAGR)

Institutional Ownership

Headline & net flow

NET BUYING

In Q1 2026 so far (quarter still filing), institutions are net buyers — bought 31.2% of float, sold 12.2%. 11 filers moved >1% of shares (8 buying, 3 selling).

Net flow · Q1 2026still filing
+18.9% of float (net)
Bought 31.2% · Sold 12.2%
247 filers reported (last quarter: 239)

Ownership composition

Active
88.0%(-2.0% YoY)
241 filers
hedge / family / endowment
Retail funds
Fidelity, Schwab, 401(k)
Passive
36.2%(+15.5% YoY)
10 filers
Vanguard, iShares, SPDR
Market makers
0.2%(-1.3% YoY)
4 filers
Citadel, Susquehanna
Insiders
1.1%
Form 4 — latest per insider
0%25%50%75%100%2025-062025-092025-122026-03
ActiveRetail fundsPassiveMarket makersRetail direct

Top holders

Fund$ valueCost basisΔ QoQΔ YoYα lifeFund AUM
PRICE T ROWE ASSOCIATES INC /MD/$181M$34.72+$1.7M+$181M-0.2%$864.93B
BlackRock, Inc.Passive$156M$33.73+$50.6M+$156M-0.2%$5.69T
GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC$104M$31.19+$79.7M+$104M-0.2%$760.93B
VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLCPassive$84.4M$30.28+$84.4M+$84.4M$1.91T
PRINCIPAL FINANCIAL GROUP INC$78.6M$30.65+$16.0M+$78.6M-0.5%$186.29B
PRUDENTIAL FINANCIAL INC$71.2M$35.20−$18.1M+$71.2M-0.1%$81.20B
VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLCPassive$66.0M$30.28+$66.0M+$66.0M$4.04T
STATE STREET CORPPassive$65.8M$32.02+$30.8M+$65.8M-0.2%$2.89T
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLCPassive$43.5M$32.83+$13.0M+$43.5M+2.3%$1.61T
GOLDENTREE ASSET MANAGEMENT LP$40.2M$34.85+$5.0M+$40.2M+0.4%$1.68B
Nuveen, LLC$34.7M$31.29+$18.2M+$34.7M+0.0%$368.63B
MASSACHUSETTS FINANCIAL SERVICES CO /MA/$29.7M$34.34+$5.7M+$29.7M-0.5%$297.48B
Conversant Capital LLC$26.0M$35.13−$4.2M+$26.0M-4.7%$725M
CHARLES SCHWAB INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT INC$25.6M$33.07+$1.8M+$25.6M+0.7%$645.81B
DUFF & PHELPS INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT CO$25.2M$34.57−$8.1M+$25.2M-1.2%$9.63B
T. Rowe Price Investment Management, Inc.$24.3M$33.16+$10.8M+$24.3M-1.3%$145.22B
Aberdeen Group plc$22.5M$35.09−$6.8M+$22.5M-0.6%$61.88B
SILVERCREST ASSET MANAGEMENT GROUP LLC$22.2M$36.90−$1.6M+$22.2M-0.3%$13.84B
Long Pond Capital, LP$18.6M$30.28+$18.6M+$18.6M-2.6%$978M
Zimmer Partners, LP$18.2M$35.16−$954K+$18.2M+0.4%$3.95B
Cost basis is a volume-weighted estimate from accumulation periods within our 13F history; holders who built their position before our window started will show a stale basis. % above the cost basis is the unrealized gain at the current price.

Trading behavior

Smart-money alpha (lifetime, %/qtr)NEUTRAL
Holders
-0.35%
avg per quarter
Holders (ex-self)
-0.35%
excl. this stock
Buyers (this Q)
-0.45%
133 buyers · $0.50B in
Sellers (this Q)
-0.22%
80 sellers · $0.20B out
alpha coverage: 89% of $ has a lifetime-alpha record
Holder behavior on this stocksource: stock
On big dips (−10%+)
-5.1%
how holders react when this stock falls
On quiet Qs
-2.3%
−10% to +10% baseline
On rallies (+10%+)
-4.2%
how they react when this stock rises
Holders' portfolio flow this Q
+2.3%
inflows — adds are organic
Sellers' portfolio flow this Q
+3.6%
Sellers grew AUM elsewhere — opinionated cut of this stock.
▸ Compare to holder-profile behavior (across all their stocks)
Holder dip (any stock)
-3.2%
Holder mid (any stock)
-2.3%
Holder rally (any stock)
-4.2%

Top Holders Over Time

5-year share-count history (top 10 holders by peak, incl. exited) + price

04.4M8.7M13.1M17.4M$30$32$34$35$372025-062025-092025-122026-03
hover the chart for per-quarter detailprice (right axis)
PRICE T ROWE ASSOCIATES INC /MD/6.0MPRUDENTIAL FINANCIAL INC2.4MGOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC3.4MPRINCIPAL FINANCIAL GROUP INC2.6MDEUTSCHE BANK AG\57KWELLINGTON MANAGEMENT GROUP LLPGOLDENTREE ASSET MANAGEMENT LP1.3MCITADEL ADVISORS LLC27KDUFF & PHELPS INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT CO832KConversant Capital LLC858K

Analyst Coverage

Analyst Coverage
Price Targets
Last Quarter (2 analysts)$33.50720.0%
Last Year (7 analysts)$36.141560.0%
Current Price$31.25
Analyst Ratings
1
6
1
1
Strong Buy: 1Buy: 6Hold: 1Sell: 1Consensus: Buy
Consensus Estimates
QuarterRevenueEBITDANet IncEPSEPS Range# Analysts
2026 Q364M32M7M$0.12$0.12 – $0.122
2026 Q464M32M7M$0.13$0.11 – $0.131
2027 Q163M31M6M$0.11$0.10 – $0.121
2027 Q264M32M7M$0.13$0.12 – $0.141
2027 Q366M33M9M$0.16$0.15 – $0.171
2027 Q466M33M9M$0.17$0.15 – $0.181
2028 Q165M32M0M$0.00$0.00 – $0.001
2028 Q266M33M0M$0.00$0.00 – $0.001
2028 Q368M34M0M$0.00$0.00 – $0.001
2028 Q467M33M0M$0.00$0.00 – $0.001

Corporate

Insider Trading (last 12mo)

Open-market only (Form 4 P-Purchase + S-Sale). Excludes grants, option exercises, tax withholding, gifts.
Officers & directors
Buys ($, 12mo)
$218K
2 txns · 2 insiders · 6,850 sh
Sells ($, 12mo)
$55K
4 txns · 2 insiders · 1,733 sh
Recent transactions
DateSideInsiderTitleSharesPriceDollarsOwned $
2026-05-18SELLMueller David Jdirector425$29.67$13K$175K
2026-04-16SELLMueller David Jdirector425$31.78$14K$201K
2026-03-16SELLMueller David Jdirector425$32.81$14K$222K
2025-11-17BUYSchwartz H. Michaeldirector, officer: Chief Executive Officer6,250$31.71$198K$769K
2025-11-14SELLLook Nicholasofficer: General Counsel and Secretary458$32.85$15K$53K
2025-11-11BUYBarry James R.officer: CFO and Treasurer600$33.55$20K$113K

Order Flow (FINRA, ~3w lag)

22.9%retail+7.0pp
26.0%dark-4.2pp
week of 2026-04-13
10%20%30%40%25-0325-0625-0825-1026-0126-0326-04retail (non-ATS)dark (ATS)
Off-exchange volume from FINRA. Retail = non-ATS (wholesaler PFOF + broker internalization). Dark = ATS (dark-pool crossing networks, institutional). Lit-exchange = remainder.

Filing Risk Analysis

Filing Risk Scores

SmartStop Self Storage REIT: Routine Administrative Metadata devoid of actionable forensic red flags

Overall Risk
2/10
Fraud
1/10
Dilution
2/10
Insolvency
2/10
Earnings Overstated
1/10
Hidden Liabilities
1/10
Legal
1/10
Audit Warnings
1/10
Hidden Upside
2/10
Contextually Acceptable
10/10

Counter-Thesis

Counter-Thesis & Recent News

📰 Recent News

SmartStop (SMA) recently reported a significant Q4 earnings miss, posting EPS of $0.05 against a consensus estimate of $0.54 (MarketBeat, May 2026). In May 2026, management narrowed its 2026 same-store revenue guidance to a range of -0.25% to 1.75%, signaling a potential year-over-year decline. The company also disclosed a 'demand disruption' in March 2026 attributed to geopolitical uncertainty and consumer caution (Seeking Alpha, May 2026).

🐻 Bear Case

The bear case is built on stalling organic growth and significant analyst pessimism. Wells Fargo downgraded the stock to Equal Weight in February 2026, citing a notable slowdown in same-store revenue growth and guidance that is likely to remain below Street expectations. JPMorgan and Zacks also issued 'Underweight' and 'Strong Sell' ratings respectively in early 2026. Further, the transition from a non-traded REIT has left a legacy of illiquidity and 'valuation drops' from original purchase prices, which continues to weigh on the stock's reputation (The Securities Lawyers, Jan 2026).

🚩 Red Flags

Short interest stood at 6.41% of the public float as of March 2026, reflecting a growing pessimistic cohort (MarketBeat). A major red flag is the 'investigation' by securities law firms into claims that investors were misled about liquidity and fees during the company's non-traded phase. Additionally, the company recently executed a 1-for-4 reverse stock split in 2025, which critics argue masks a decline in fundamental value (The Securities Lawyers, Jan 2026).

⚔️ Competitive Threats

The industry is facing a 'price reset' as the post-pandemic boom fades. SMA is particularly vulnerable to aggressive discounting by larger REITs like Extra Space and Public Storage, who are using 7.5% lower advertised rents to protect occupancy (Yardi Breeze, March 2026). SMA also faces 'Sunbelt Saturation' in markets like Phoenix and Tampa, where massive pandemic-era development has led to an oversupply of units and steep pricing drops (Placer.ai, March 2026).

💬 Customer Sentiment

Recent customer sentiment is overwhelmingly negative. As of April 2026, BBB reviews show a pattern of 1-star ratings citing severe facility issues, including rat infestations and the smell of human waste at specific locations. Customers also frequently report 'predatory billing' practices, such as being charged for a full month's rent despite moving out before the due date and receiving poor support from district management (BBB, April 2026; Trustpilot).

Full Earnings Call Transcript

Full Earnings Call Transcript — Q1 • 2026-05-07

Operator: Greetings, and welcome to Smartstop Self Storage REIT Inc Q1 2026 Earnings Call. At this time, all participants are on a listen-only mode. A question and answer session will follow the formal presentation. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. If you would like to ask a question, please press star 1 on your telephone keypad. To withdraw your question, press star 1 again. I would now like to turn the conference over to David Corak, senior vice president of corporate finance and strategy. Thank you. You may now begin.
David Corak: Before we begin, I would like to remind everyone that certain statements made during today's call, including statements about our future plans, prospects, and expectations, may be considered forward-looking statements within the meaning of the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act. Forward-looking statements are subject to numerous risks and uncertainties as described in our filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, and these risks could cause our actual results to differ materially from those expressed in or implied by our comments. Forward-looking statements in our earnings release that we issued last night, along with the comments on this call, are made only as of today. The company assumes no obligation to update any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events, or otherwise. In addition, we will also refer to certain non-GAAP financial measures. Information regarding our use of these measures and a reconciliation of these measures to GAAP measures can be found in our earnings release and supplemental disclosure that we issued last night and are available for download on our website at investors.smartstopselfstorage.com. In addition to myself, today, we have H. Schwartz, founder, chairman, and CEO, as well as James Barry, our CFO. Now I will turn it over to Michael.
H. Schwartz: Thank you, David, and thank you for joining us today for our first quarter earnings call. We posted strong same-store revenue growth of 1.5%, NOI growth of 2%, and maintained average occupancy of 92.5% while facing our toughest quarterly comp of the year. Operationally, we posted very strong results despite recent geopolitical news. With that said, 10 of our top 15 markets posted positive same-store NOI growth and good expense control led to a 30 basis point growth in our same-store operating margins. Likewise, other areas of our business outperformed expectations. We reported FFO as adjusted per share of $0.49, up 19.3% year over year. In February, we completed the recast of our $500 million syndicated bank facility at an all-in cost of about 30 basis points below the previous facility. Additionally, we acquired a parcel of land in Canada that we intend to develop into Class A storage in our SmartCentres joint venture. Lastly, in March, we entered into a strategic joint venture with Axxess Capital focused on providing bridge capital to self-storage sponsors across the United States. In terms of guidance, we are now narrowing our same-store revenue growth from a range of negative 0.5% to 2% to a range of negative 0.25% to 1.75%. Additionally, we are reducing our overall OpEx growth range from 2% to 4% to 1.75% to 3.75%. The result is an increase of our NOI growth midpoint from negative 40 basis points to negative 25 basis points. Additionally, we are narrowing our FFO as adjusted per share from $1.93 to $2.05 to a range of $1.94 to $2.04. Turning to operations, January and February were strong months for us, slightly above our initial expectations. In March, we saw a pullback in demand that directly coincided with the geopolitical news. This played through from March until about April when things really started to turn for the better. Demand has returned, and it appears rental season is upon us. We are still very early in the year, and in the self-storage business, rental season can end up impacting annual results. That said, we are certainly encouraged going into the rental season. With that, I will turn it over to James to discuss the quarter.
James Barry: Starting with our operating performance, our same-store pool posted year-over-year revenue growth of 1.5%, with operating expense growth of 60 basis points, leading to an NOI increase of 2% with quarter-ending occupancy of 92.3%. While we did increase promotional utilization during the quarter, we were able to hold a solid average occupancy level of 92.5% with limited increases in marketing spend in the first quarter. Our achieved move-in rates per square foot were down 7% on average, while our move-in rates per unit were actually up 2% year over year during the quarter. As we moved into April, we grew our occupancy, ending April at 92.6%, only down 45 basis points year over year and notably up 30 basis points from March. We were pleased with our operating expenses as well, with year-over-year growth of only 60 basis points in the same-store pool. This expense control led to an increase in our same-store margins of 30 basis points, the first year-over-year margin increase since 2023. We experienced a tailwind from FX during the quarter for the first time in a long time. Our 13 Canadian same-store assets posted same-store revenue growth of 4.1% and negative 50 basis points on a constant currency basis. These results were in line with our expectations, as the GTA had a 7% constant currency revenue comp in 2025, far and away our toughest comp of the year. In terms of our Asheville portfolio, our occupancy gap has narrowed dramatically since December, averaging down 260 basis points year over year in the first quarter. And as of April, we are only down 130 basis points year over year at 92.2% occupancy. That is notably up 200 basis points from December 2025. On the external growth front, we acquired one parcel of land in Toronto within our Smart joint venture that we intend to develop into Class A storage. Turning to our third-party management platform, we ended the quarter with 227 properties under management, in line with our expectations. The result of all of this is that for 2026, we posted fully diluted FFO as adjusted per share and unit of $0.49. Lastly, turning to the balance sheet, during the quarter, we completed the recast of our $500 million syndicated bank facility, as H. Schwartz mentioned earlier. That facility matures in February 2030 and has a one-year extension option, and the credit agreement has built-in language that would allow for a further pricing step-down upon reaching an investment-grade rating from S&P and Moody's rating services. At quarter-end, our Canadian FX exposure is fully hedged naturally from a cash flow standpoint, and 94% of our outstanding debt was fixed as of quarter-end. Smartstop Self Storage REIT Inc's balance sheet is positioned to access a wide variety of attractive capital sources, both in terms of debt and equity, to execute on future growth opportunities. And with that, operator, we will open it up to questions.
Operator: Thank you. We will now begin the question and answer session. If you would like to ask a question, please press star 1 on your telephone keypad. To withdraw your question, press star 1 again. Please pick up your handset when asking a question. If you are muted locally, please remember to unmute your device. Please stand by while we compile the Q&A roster. Our first question comes from the line of Todd Thomas with KeyBanc Capital Markets. Your line is open. Please go ahead.
Todd Thomas: Alright. Hi. Thanks. Good afternoon. I appreciate some of the details on April. I was wondering if you could just provide a little bit more detail on the move-in rent trends that you saw in April and how the promotional activity trended.
David Corak: Hey, Todd. It is Corak. So as James mentioned, at April, our occupancy was at 92.6%, down 50 basis points year over year. Our move-in rates on a unit basis were up about 1% year over year in April, while the move-in rents on a per square foot basis were down about 6.5% on a year-over-year basis. April ended up being a pretty good month overall even with a sort of a slower start. We had a record number of web reservations, over 10,000 for April, up 25% over last year with a really nice low abandonment rate, something that we take a lot of pride in. The team has done a really good job of managing receivables, which is just a really good overall practice, but also creates more unit availability for rental season, which is a nice positive for us. So I think we are really encouraged as we are getting into rental season here. Do you want to talk a little bit about Canada?
H. Schwartz: Yeah. Absolutely. Thank you, David. From a Canadian perspective, on a constant currency basis, the same-store revenue was down about 50 basis points in Q1. The comp that we had for Q1 2025 was 7%. So we had a much tougher comp than in the United States. However, that is still 6.5% growth over a two-year period, and so I think in this environment, we think that is an excellent result. If you look at our joint venture properties that would meet our same-store definition, they actually did even better at around 10% year-over-year revenue growth on a constant currency basis. At April, our GTA same-store occupancy was 93.1%. That was flat year over year but slightly higher than the states, and meanwhile, our in-place rates were actually up 1.5% year over year in April. So our outlook for the full year in our GTA portfolio is that it will perform slightly better than our United States portfolio in 2026 even with the tougher comps.
Todd Thomas: Okay. And in the quarter, can you speak to the increase in vacate activity that you experienced? What was that attributable to? Was there anything notable that occurred on the move-out side during the period?
James Barry: Yeah, Todd. This is James. I will jump in and just say, first of all, there are a couple of things going on with the increase in vacates. First and foremost, we were coming off a tougher comp. 2025 was down year over year in vacates, and so there is a cycling of that comp. In addition, as we mentioned in our prepared remarks, we did see an uptick in vacates really starting in March, with some of the geopolitical uncertainty and some consumer decisions. That has abated since the first two weeks of March. But that is what is driving the first quarter increase in vacates.
Todd Thomas: Okay. Alright. Thank you.
David Corak: Thanks, Todd.
Operator: Your next question comes from the line of Viktor Fediv with Scotiabank. Your line is open. Please go ahead.
Viktor Fediv: Thank you. Good afternoon, everyone. I have a question on the Argus Professional Storage Management platform. You have a full quarter in Q1 now. How has the operational integration gone, and were you able to identify potential synergies for SMA as a whole? And what is the expected timing for those?
James Barry: I will jump in first. This is James. On the expense side and integration, clearly, it has been six months since the close, and we have been doing a lot of processes in terms of migrating employees over into the Smartstop Self Storage REIT Inc platform. In addition, as it relates to the first quarter results and our expenses there, there is a lot of seasonal effect. We had multiple conferences that all take place in the first quarter, including our owners conference, which we talked about on our last earnings call. That does not happen over the next couple of quarters. That is an annual event. And so we would expect the margins to increase from here. I think it is still going to take a handful of quarters and even into 2027 before we start to really see the operating margin synergies, although we are starting to see them in smaller pockets such as Denver where we have quadrupled our overall store count between Smartstop Self Storage REIT Inc managed, Smartstop Self Storage REIT Inc legacy, as well as the private label properties under the Argus platform.
H. Schwartz: I was going to jump in there and just say that I think the integration has been going well. There has been a significant amount of technology upgrade for our third-party owners, which has been incredibly positive. We actually have signed up our first Canadian property in the Greater Toronto Area, and we have a nice pipeline of existing private label owners who now see the power of Smartstop Self Storage REIT Inc with respect to the top of the funnel. Those properties that we ported over, those owners are incredibly successful. Some of them are generating more leads than they ever have on a private label basis. We think over the next 12 months we will start to see a strong migration from our private label platform to either the legacy or the full-blown Smartstop Self Storage REIT Inc platform. We are really pretty excited about the integration, the people, and the ability to keep growing this in the future.
Viktor Fediv: Thank you for the additional color. And I have a follow-up on move-out trends. I appreciate the details on move-in side in terms of the sizes of units that are involved there. Can you provide some additional details on move-outs in terms of what sizes were more heavily impacted in Q1?
James Barry: When we look at the move-outs in terms of the average size, it is really in line with our portfolio average. What is unique is that the move-ins are skewing more toward the larger units, but the move-outs are not matching that same disconnect on a year-over-year basis. It is pretty consistent on a year-over-year basis, Q1 2026 versus Q1 2025, in terms of the size of the units.
Viktor Fediv: Understood. Thank you.
Operator: Your next question comes from the line of Eric Luebchow with Wells Fargo. Your line is open. Please go ahead.
Eric Luebchow: Great. Thanks for taking the question. Maybe you could talk a little bit about the acquisition environment. I know you are a little more restricted in what you can do, wholly owned on balance sheet this year, but maybe update us on the discussions around an institutional JV partnership, and how those conversations are trending.
H. Schwartz: Let me just start by saying that I have been doing this a very long time, and from an acquisition perspective, I think this is one of the single greatest opportunities to transact in self-storage since the Great Recession on a risk-adjusted basis. You have a lot of markets that have readjusted from a rate perspective down 25% to 35%, and so we think that there is a really nice recovery of acquiring at really solid cap rates with either management upside and/or rate upside. There are a lot of groups out there that acquired at very aggressive cap rates in 2021, 2022, and probably half of 2023 at 4%. They had short-term debt, and some of them even had bridge loans, and they have had to extend those loans. Now you are facing an environment where lenders are no longer willing to extend and pretend, and this is creating a really nice wave of high-quality properties that are coming to sale because the owners are currently out of options. We are seeing a lot of attractive opportunities on the stabilized front now in the United States and also Canada. The deals that we have closed, I think, are great examples of this, and we are continually encouraged about the current pipeline and deal flow out there. There are some larger portfolios out there, but there are also enough onesies and twosies. I just want to emphasize that a lot to us may not be a lot to others. For every $300 million that we can acquire, it increases our market cap by approximately 10%. As you are probably well aware, we acquired about $370 million in February 2025, about $500 million since 2024, and that is meaningful growth for us, and it is enough for us to move the needle, and it obviously benefits our size. We are still seeing a healthy amount of aggregate opportunities, so from that perspective, we feel pretty good. As for the second part of your question, around institutional JV and how those discussions are coming along, those discussions are ongoing, and I think they are coming along nicely. Obviously, as you know, we have a very solid institutional joint venture with SmartCentres on the development of self-storage in Canada, and we are looking to expand that for existing, either lease-up or stabilized properties. We are out there trying to find the right partner, but as you can imagine, we currently have a lot that we are doing on a daily basis, and so we are going to take our time to find the right capital partner for the long term.
Eric Luebchow: Great. And just one follow-up on the shaping of same-store revenue growth this year. I know you have some tough comps in Asheville, although it sounds like you have gotten a lot of that occupancy back, some hurricane comps in markets like Tampa, and then the LA rent restrictions. Maybe putting it all together, could you talk about the shaping of same-store revenue growth the next couple quarters embedded in your guide and some of the callouts on those items?
David Corak: Thanks for the question, Eric. It is Corak. When you look at the comps last year, the first quarter was our toughest comp at 3.2%. The comps are significantly easier in the second and third quarter and then get a little bit harder in the fourth quarter. Just on that alone, one would think that second and third quarter will probably be our best quarters of revenue growth year over year, but obviously, that is not exactly what the guidance would imply at this point on the midpoint. The other two things that are impacting the cadence of same-store revenue growth are, as you pointed out, Asheville and the ECRI restrictions in LA. In Asheville, we were coming off of a really strong year, and we lapped that comp. As you get into the first quarter, we were still positive in terms of rates, negative in terms of occupancy. However, as you get into the second quarter, the rates will turn negative on a year-over-year basis and will continue to be negative through the second and third quarter, again on a year-over-year basis, and then the comp gets a lot easier in the fourth quarter. The other element is, of course, the LA restrictions. We are not assuming that the restrictions will be lifted for 2026. So there is a compounding effect that happens where the second quarter impact is worse than the first quarter, and then the third quarter, fourth quarter, and so on. Those are the other things impacting the shape of the curve overall. Asheville is in an interesting spot. Michael, do you want to talk a little bit about where Asheville stands today?
H. Schwartz: Yeah. Absolutely. In the fourth quarter, we talked about Asheville. As we position where we are at today, Asheville was our best-performing market in 2025. We had 6% same-store revenue growth year over year, and so we are obviously facing some tough occupancy comps in 2026, but the year-over-year occupancy gap has narrowed dramatically, and I think James discussed this a little bit. Since December, our average is down only 260 basis points year over year. In the first quarter, our occupancy was at 91.6%. At April, we were only down 130 basis points and we are settling at 92.2%. That is a great position to be in as we move into the busy season, notably up 200 basis points from December and generally in line with the rest of our United States portfolio, which is positioned nicely also. This is a fairly traditional cadence of occupancy for a natural disaster of this kind, and we are now at a post–natural disaster stabilized occupancy level. Overall, we still expect Asheville to be a relative underperformer in 2026, specifically through the end of the third quarter. That being said, the portfolio is performing slightly better than expected through April. That says a lot about our technology and our process. We were able to capture that upside with respect to occupancy and rate, and then as occupancy pulled back, we were able to refill that funnel, stabilize the physical occupancy, and get it prepared for the busy season.
Eric Luebchow: Alright. Thank you, guys.
Operator: Your next question comes from the line of Michael Mueller with JPMorgan. Your line is open. Please go ahead.
Michael Mueller: Yeah. Hi. So two questions. First, can you talk about the move-in rate expectations for the balance of the year compared to, I think, about 6.5% down, you said, in April? And then from a higher-level perspective, how should we be thinking about a bridge loan pref program, how it fits into the business, can it be a needle mover going forward, etcetera?
David Corak: Hey, Michael. I will give you the operating assumptions. We went over these slightly last quarter, but I will review them. They really have not changed. From a move-in rent standpoint, we have a handful of markets that have already turned positive this year and other supply markets still somewhat negative. Our assumption is that by the end of rental season—call it August or September—we will, on the whole, be largely back to a neutral kind of inflection point. If we do not get back there, it does not have a material impact on the rest of the year, but it will have some impact on the third and fourth quarter. From an occupancy standpoint, we are modeling fairly flat to slightly positive relative to 2025 with the exception of Asheville. For the rest of the portfolio, think fairly flat to maybe slightly positive. ECRIs we are modeling at or better levels than in 2025. Those are basically what we have been doing given the strength and the health of the existing customer, the exception being the California wildfire impacted properties, which we assume are going to be impacted for the full year. I will remind you, our length of stay is actually up year over year, which is a trend that we and some of our peers are seeing, which is really good from that perspective. On the supply front, we are assuming that the supply impact decreases throughout the year. In terms of your second question on Axxess and the bridge lending: Access is a portfolio company of Conversant Capital. For some background, they run an institutional commercial real estate finance platform. H. Schwartz and the principal of Axxess have a very long-standing relationship. This was well thought out for a long time. Axxess’s role in this relationship will be to help us source, structure, and service bridge loans and investments, and they will be a 5% participant in the JV’s investments. The partnership gives us the horsepower to grow our bridge lending business efficiently without burdening our G&A. We are really excited at the potential of the partnership and the synergistic relationship the program will have on third-party management and our overall external growth trajectory. The pipeline overall is very strong. We are actively looking at over $100 million of deals with average yields of 10% to 14%. Obviously, like an acquisitions pipeline, we are not going to close on all of those deals, but our pipeline is filled with really strong deals in markets that we like with sponsors that we generally like. We are typically looking at some sort of mezz or pref position on a deal that already has senior debt on it or is in market with senior debt. We would also do an A-note, B-note approach, but the pipeline is really dictating the former strategy. The pipeline is a mix of recaps, acquisition financing, and development deals, though I will note we are particularly selective on any new development deals. There is a ton of potential on this front, obviously working off of a very small denominator. We really like the risk-adjusted returns on a lot of these deals that we are going after, but are certainly sensitive to the quality of the property, the quality of the sponsor, the impact on our leverage, and the overall quality of our earnings.
H. Schwartz: I would just add that it is also opening up additional third-party property management assignments.
Michael Mueller: Got it. Okay. Thank you.
Operator: Your next question comes from the line of Mason Guel with Baird. Your line is open. Please go ahead.
Mason Guel: Hey. Thanks for taking my question. On the expense side, what drove some of the favorable expense growth, and then what is driving the higher expected growth for the remainder of the year compared to the first quarter?
James Barry: I will jump in there. In the first quarter, we had a good number on our property tax line item, which is obviously our single largest expense line item. That came in at a pretty nominal level. As we have talked about, on the insurance front we have not only realized the benefits of a strong general liability renewal that took place in November 2025 and is carrying forward for a full year, in addition, we also had a very strong property renewal that took place in April. It is not in our Q1 numbers, but it is part of the outlook and is the main reason behind our OpEx guide down—those savings on the property and insurance renewal. Part of the offset and part of the reason we were still positive is we had some weather-related expenses both in utilities and R&M, and our payroll is at a nominal level, call it in the low- to mid-single digits. I will also note that advertising was up about 1.9% for the quarter on a year-over-year basis, but that is a lever that we want to potentially be strategic with in terms of the trade-off in getting new rentals between concessions, pricing, and marketing. That is something we want to keep flexibility on. That is the overall shape of OpEx, but we felt really good about the property insurance renewal, and that allowed us to reduce the OpEx guide.
Mason Guel: Great. And then can you talk about what drove the higher managed REIT EBITDA guide and how that segment has been performing?
James Barry: Overall, the recurring revenues from that portfolio in the managed REIT platform—as a reminder, those assets are largely unstabilized—grew at an outsized pace relative to, for example, our same-store portfolio growth rate. Those revenues came in higher than our expectations. Cumulatively, we are talking about an annualized run-rate in the first quarter on revenues in the managed REIT platform of just over $16 million on an annualized basis. That is a really powerful base of recurring revenues for Smartstop Self Storage REIT Inc.
Mason Guel: Got it. Thank you.
Operator: There are no further questions at this time. I would now like to pass the call over to H. Schwartz, chairman and CEO, for closing remarks. Please go ahead.
H. Schwartz: Thank you. It has been a solid first quarter for us. I want to thank you for your time and interest in Smartstop Self Storage REIT Inc, the smarter way to store. Have a great day.
Operator: This concludes today's call. Thank you for attending. You may now disconnect.