SIF
SIFCO Industries, Inc.Industrials·Aerospace & Defense
$20.27
$127M market cap
Revenue
$73.2M
Free Cash Flow
$5.4M
Rev Growth
+0.0%
FCF Margin
7.4%
P/FCF
23.5x
EV/FCF
26.6x
Fwd EV/EBITDA
--
Fair Value
--
Upside
--
SIFCO Industries, Inc. produces and sells forgings and machined components primarily for the aerospace and energy markets in North America and Europe. The company's processes and services include forging, heat-treating, and machining. It offers original equipment manufacturer and aftermarket components for aircraft and industrial gas turbine engines; steam turbine blades; structural airframe components; aircraft landing gear components; aircraft wheels and brakes; rotating components for helicop
2-Year Price History
$19.75+517.2%
Quarterly Financials & Projections
Quarterly Waterfall ($ M)
| Period | Rev | EBITDA | OpIn | NI | OCF | FCF | CapEx | Cash | Debt | Shares | ROIC | IntCov | EV/EBITDA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Act | 2026-Q2 | 26.4 | 3.7 | 2.7 | 2.7 | -2.9 | -3.0 | -0.1 | 1.4 | 17.8 | 6.2 | 31.5% | 12.2x | -- |
| Act | 2026-Q1 | 24.0 | 3.6 | 2.5 | 1.8 | 8.1 | 8.0 | -0.1 | 1.1 | 15.8 | 6.2 | 29.0% | 10.3x | -- |
| Act | 2025-Q4 | 22.8 | 1.1 | -0.4 | -0.4 | 0.6 | 0.4 | -0.2 | 0.5 | 23.8 | 6.2 | -4.2% | 2.7x | -- |
Valuation & Metrics
Market Stats
Price$20.27
Market Cap$127M
Enterprise Value$143M
P/S Ratio1.7x
P/FCF23.5x
EV/FCF26.6x
FCF Margin (TTM)7.4%
FCF Yield4.3%
Dividend Yield (TTM)2.0%
Annual Dilution0.0%
CurrencyUSD
TTM Financial Snapshot
Revenue$73.2M
Net Income$4.0M
Free Cash Flow$5.4M
Revenue Growth (YoY)+0.0%
EBITDA Margin11.5%
Net Margin5.5%
FCF Margin7.4%
CapEx % of Revenue0.5%
SBC % of Revenue0.0%
ROIC18.8%
WC Change % Rev-7.9%
Interest Coverage8.0x
Forward Outlook & Risk
Short Interest
Short % of Float--
Short Shares0.0M
Days to Cover1.0
Change (vs Prior)+29.8%
Need at least 2 settlement dates for chart
Employees
Headcount244
Revenue / Employee$300,111
Gross Profit / Employee$53,451
Institutional Ownership
Headline & net flow
NEUTRAL
Net flow · —still filing
No float data — flow unavailable.
Ownership composition
Active
10.0%(+8.1% YoY)
12 filers
hedge / family / endowment
Retail funds
—
Fidelity, Schwab, 401(k)
Passive
3.7%(+3.0% YoY)
6 filers
Vanguard, iShares, SPDR
Market makers
0.0%(+0.0% YoY)
1 filers
Citadel, Susquehanna
Insiders
—
Form 4 — latest per insider
ActiveRetail fundsPassiveMarket makersRetail direct
Top holders
| Fund | $ value | Cost basis | Δ QoQ | Δ YoY | α life | Fund AUM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minerva Advisors LLC | $6.4M | $4.41 | −$111K | +$185K | -2.0% | $155M |
| RBF Capital, LLC | $2.1M | $3.10 | −$95K | −$221K | +0.1% | $2.03B |
| DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LPPassive | $2.1M | $2.16 | −$110K | −$493K | -0.4% | $480.92B |
| VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLCPassive | $1.5M | $13.31 | +$1.5M | +$1.5M | — | $4.04T |
| Wealthspire Advisors, LLC | $1.3M | $8.58 | +$506K | +$1.3M | -0.3% | $12.72B |
| RENAISSANCE TECHNOLOGIES LLC | $743K | $5.18 | −$15K | +$122K | +1.2% | $63.91B |
| MARSHALL WACE, LLP | $599K | $13.31 | +$599K | +$599K | +0.6% | $92.71B |
| GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLCPassive | $545K | $6.01 | +$25K | +$107K | +2.3% | $1.61T |
| VANGUARD FIDUCIARY TRUST COPassive | $293K | $13.31 | +$293K | +$293K | — | $395.83B |
| BRIDGEWAY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | $222K | $3.76 | +$0 | +$0 | -2.3% | $4.93B |
| CORSAIR CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P. | $209K | $13.31 | +$209K | +$209K | +0.6% | $673M |
| CITADEL ADVISORS LLC | $192K | $7.04 | −$79K | +$192K | -0.4% | $138.22B |
| MORGAN STANLEY | $175K | $7.93 | +$53K | +$175K | -0.3% | $1.65T |
| Tower Research Capital LLC (TRC)MM | $6K | $3.86 | +$0 | −$3K | -0.6% | $3.84B |
| Vanguard Global Advisers, LLCPassive | $5K | $13.31 | +$5K | +$5K | — | $186.48B |
| UBS Group AG | $3K | $2.58 | −$1K | +$3K | -0.3% | $562.11B |
| BlackRock, Inc.Passive | $3K | $13.31 | +$3K | +$3K | -0.2% | $5.69T |
| Caitong International Asset Management Co., Ltd | $0 | $13.31 | +$0 | +$0 | +1.3% | $540M |
| SBI Securities Co., Ltd. | $0 | $3.55 | +$0 | +$0 | +0.9% | $3.62B |
Cost basis is a volume-weighted estimate from accumulation periods within our 13F history; holders who built their position before our window started will show a stale basis. % above the cost basis is the unrealized gain at the current price.
Trading behavior
Smart-money alpha (lifetime, %/qtr)BULLISH
Holders
-0.90%
avg per quarter
Holders (ex-self)
-0.99%
excl. this stock
Buyers (this Q)
+0.10%
11 buyers · $0.00B in
Sellers (this Q)
-1.10%
6 sellers · $-0.01B out
alpha coverage: 89% of $ has a lifetime-alpha record
Holder behavior on this stocksource: stock
On big dips (−10%+)
-0.0%
how holders react when this stock falls
On quiet Qs
-1.5%
−10% to +10% baseline
On rallies (+10%+)
+10.2%
how they react when this stock rises
Holders' portfolio flow this Q
-2.0%
outflows — trims may be forced
Sellers' portfolio flow this Q
-3.3%
Sellers shed AUM broadly — partly forced.
▸ Compare to holder-profile behavior (across all their stocks)
Holder dip (any stock)
-0.0%
Holder mid (any stock)
-1.5%
Holder rally (any stock)
-4.0%
Biggest decreases this quarter
New buyers this quarter
Top-5 holders · 81.7%
Minerva Advisors LLC--
RBF Capital, LLC--
DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP--
VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC--
Wealthspire Advisors, LLC--
Top Holders Over Time
5-year share-count history (top 10 holders by peak, incl. exited) + price
hover the chart for per-quarter detailprice (right axis)
Minerva Advisors LLC481KRBF Capital, LLC159KWealthspire Advisors, LLC98KRENAISSANCE TECHNOLOGIES LLC56KMARSHALL WACE, LLP45KFMR LLC—ROYCE & ASSOCIATES LP—BRIDGEWAY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC17KPNC FINANCIAL SERVICES GROUP, INC.—HUNTER ASSOCIATES INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT LLC—
Corporate
Order Flow (FINRA, ~3w lag)
26.1%retail-2.5pp
19.0%dark+2.6pp
week of 2026-04-13
Off-exchange volume from FINRA. Retail = non-ATS (wholesaler PFOF + broker internalization). Dark = ATS (dark-pool crossing networks, institutional). Lit-exchange = remainder.
Filing Risk Analysis
Filing Risk Scores
SIFCO Industries: Forging Profits Through Over-Time Estimates While Lenders Go Missing
Overall Risk
6/10
Fraud
3/10
Dilution
2/10
Insolvency
5/10
Earnings Overstated
7/10
Hidden Liabilities
4/10
Legal
5/10
Audit Warnings
4/10
Hidden Upside
4/10
Contextually Acceptable
6/10