Stocks/RVSB

RVSB

Riverview Bancorp, Inc.
Financial Services·Banks - Regional
$5.61
$116M market cap
Claude Rating
4/10UNDERWEIGHT
Revenue
$75.7M
Free Cash Flow
$14.6M
Rev Growth
+5.4%
FCF Margin
19.3%
P/FCF
8.0x
EV/FCF
11.2x
Fwd EV/EBITDA
17.9x
Fair Value
$4.75
Upside
-15.3%

Riverview Bancorp, Inc., a bank holding company for Riverview Community Bank that provides commercial banking services to small and medium size businesses, professionals, and wealth building individuals. It offers a range of deposit products, including demand deposits, negotiable order of withdrawal accounts, money market accounts, savings accounts, certificates of deposit, and retirement savings plans. The company also provides commercial business, commercial and residential real estate, multi-

2-Year Price History

$5.59+48.7%
$4.0$4.5$5.0$5.5$6.0volJun 24Oct 24Jan 25May 25Sep 25Jan 26May 26

Quarterly Financials & Projections

Quarterly Waterfall ($ M)
PeriodRevEBITDAOpInNIOCFFCFCapExCashDebtSharesROICIntCovEV/EBITDA
Est2028-Q321.03.0--1.9--1.6-0.352.7----------
Est2028-Q220.82.9--1.9--1.9-0.351.2----------
Est2028-Q120.22.7--1.7--1.1-0.249.3----------
Est2027-Q420.52.7--1.7--1.4-0.248.2----------
Est2027-Q320.32.5--1.6--1.2-0.246.7----------
Est2027-Q220.02.4--1.6--1.6-0.345.5----------
Est2027-Q119.52.2--1.4--0.8-0.243.9----------
Est2026-Q419.82.1--1.5--1.0-0.243.2----------
Act2026-Q319.51.71.71.4-0.5-0.7-0.242.289.720.84.1%0.3x18.2x
Act2026-Q219.22.21.41.116.816.4-0.443.881.521.03.5%0.4x16.6x
Act2026-Q118.82.41.61.2-0.7-0.8-0.146.5131.721.02.8%0.4x20.9x
Act2025-Q418.22.41.51.2-0.1-0.2-0.143.5105.621.03.1%0.4x19.2x
Act2025-Q318.52.41.61.22.21.9-0.346.6113.721.03.1%0.4x41.8x
Act2025-Q218.82.82.01.60.8-1.4-2.2163.9131.521.13.5%0.5x13.1x
Act2025-Q117.82.01.21.05.45.3-0.1165.2142.721.12.1%0.4x15.1x
Act2024-Q414.8-3.2-4.1-3.0-7.9-9.7-1.8166.8117.521.1-7.5%-0.6x11.7x
Act2024-Q317.32.51.81.510.19.7-0.3234.0186.221.12.5%0.5x4.5x
Act2024-Q217.43.83.22.51.50.1-1.4224.8172.321.24.7%0.9x2.8x
Act2024-Q117.24.33.72.89.17.0-2.1234.3165.221.15.5%1.2x1.8x
Act2023-Q416.94.74.13.0-1.4-1.9-0.5233.8152.921.46.0%2.2x2.9x
Act2023-Q317.47.46.85.26.22.9-3.3236.361.421.520.4%10.0x--
Act2023-Q217.27.46.85.25.04.1-0.9328.129.121.631.3%11.3x--
Act2023-Q116.36.86.04.73.83.5-0.3323.829.122.025.0%12.8x--
Act2022-Q415.46.35.44.16.56.2-0.2407.529.122.221.2%13.0x--
Act2022-Q315.78.17.25.51.80.1-1.6422.429.122.226.0%16.4x--
Act2022-Q216.09.38.46.47.16.1-0.9646.629.122.231.3%15.8x--
Act2022-Q115.58.27.35.81.20.7-0.5603.829.122.428.7%12.9x--
Historical Valuation

Multiples vs the company's own history — cheap or rich relative to itself? Historical fiscal years, then TTM, then forward projections (E). Forward rows hold today's price against projected earnings, so the multiple compresses if the company grows into it.

YearPriceRev GrEBITDA %EBITDAEV/EBITDAEV/FCFP/EP/S
20227.0150.8%326.4×2.2×
20236.09+8.5%38.9%261.4×4.2×6.5×1.7×
20245.64-1.6%11.0%76.8×7.0×26.2×1.5×
20255.00+9.6%13.1%1018.2×31.3×22.8×1.5×
TTM5.61+8.4%11.5%90.0×0.0×0.0×0.0×
2027E5.61+6.1%0.1%00.0×0.0×0.0×0.0×

EBITDA in reporting-currency $M. Historical multiples use year-end market cap (split-adjusted price history); TTM & forward years use today's.

AI Analysis

LLM Evaluations

Claude4/10UNDERWEIGHTFV: $4.75

Riverview Bancorp is a small Pacific Northwest community bank with a loyal customer base and a valuable trust business, but it is fundamentally hampered by a bloated cost structure (87% efficiency ratio), razor-thin interest coverage (0.3-0.4x), heavy CRE concentration, and $22M in hidden HTM losses that erode economic book value. Trading at ~22x earnings vs. an 11.8x industry average, the stock is priced for a turnaround that the cost structure and competitive dynamics make unlikely to deliver. The recent earnings beat was encouraging, but at $108M market cap the valuation already reflects significant optimism relative to the bank's sub-4% ROIC and structural margin challenges. Better risk-adjusted opportunities exist elsewhere in the regional bank space.

Catalyst Meaningful Fed rate cuts would lower deposit repricing pressure and reduce the cost of the variable-rate junior subordinated debentures, potentially expanding NIM by 30-50bps and driving a significant earnings inflection. Alternatively, the bank could become an acquisition target given its strong local franchise.
Risk A CRE downturn in the Portland-Vancouver metro area would force recognition of credit losses on the $606M CRE portfolio, with $49M already in criticized categories, potentially wiping out a significant portion of the bank's $164M equity base and triggering a capital raise or forced sale.
Trend
IMPROVING
Mgmt
4/10
Quarter
7/10
Exp. Move
+4.0%

Valuation & Metrics

Market Stats

Price$5.61
Market Cap$116M
Enterprise Value$164M
P/S Ratio1.5x
P/FCF8.0x
EV/FCF11.2x
FCF Margin (TTM)19.3%
FCF Yield12.6%
Dividend Yield (TTM)1.8%
Annual Dilution-1.3%
CurrencyUSD

TTM Financial Snapshot

Revenue$75.7M
Net Income$4.8M
Free Cash Flow$14.6M

Revenue Growth (YoY)+5.4%
EBITDA Margin11.5%
Net Margin6.4%
FCF Margin19.3%
CapEx % of Revenue1.0%
SBC % of Revenue0.5%
ROIC3.3%
WC Change % Rev-1413.8%
Interest Coverage0.4x

DCF Fair Value Estimate

$0.22
-96.0% upside
Fair Enterprise Value$46M
− Net Debt$48M
= Fair Equity$5M
Revenue Growth3.6% → 2.0%
FCF Margin19.3% → 10.0%
Discount Rate15.0%
Terminal EV/FCF8.0x

Forward Outlook & Risk

Short Interest

Short % of Float3.4%
Short Shares0.6M
Days to Cover15.6
Change (vs Prior)-6.9%
Short % Float History
3.40%+3.10pp
0.0%1.0%2.0%3.0%04-3007-1509-1511-1401-1504-30

Options

Call IV (ATM)--
Put IV (ATM)--
ATM Spread--
Call $OI (near money)$2K
Put $OI (near money)$140
ATM ExpiryJuly 17, 2026 (56D)
ATM Strike$6.0
Major Expirations2
Near-money chain · July 17, 2026
StrikeCall Bid/AskCall OIPut Bid/AskPut OI
$2.00$2.40/$4.800--/$0.353
$3.00$1.45/$3.800--/$0.350
$4.00$0.45/$2.800--/$1.200
$5.00$0.25/$1.000--/$1.300
$6.00--/$1.850--/$1.700
$7.00--/$1.750$0.20/$2.600
$8.00--/$1.750$2.00/$3.200
$9.00--/$1.750$2.80/$4.000
Snapshot: 2026-05-22

Forward Projections & Estimates

NTM Revenue Growth+5.2%
Forward FCF Margin5.8%
Forward EBITDA Margin11.5%
Forward P/FCF25.3x
Forward EV/FCF35.7x
Forward Int. Coverage0.4x
Model Risk Score7/10
Bankruptcy Odds8%
Est. Borrow Rate7.5%
Terminal EV/FCF8.0x
LT Growth2.0%
LT FCF Margin10.0%

Employees

Headcount226
Revenue / Employee$334,894
Gross Profit / Employee$237,774
2022: 224 → 2023: 229 → 2024: 226 → 2025: 238 (2% CAGR)

Institutional Ownership

Headline & net flow

BALANCED

In Q1 2026 so far (quarter still filing), institutions are roughly balanced — bought 2.9% of float, sold 3.1%.

Net flow · Q1 2026still filing
-0.2% of float (net)
Bought 2.9% · Sold 3.1%
84 filers reported (last quarter: 88)

Ownership composition

Active
40.3%(-8.0% YoY)
74 filers
hedge / family / endowment
Retail funds
Fidelity, Schwab, 401(k)
Passive
27.3%(+7.0% YoY)
9 filers
Vanguard, iShares, SPDR
Market makers
0.0%(-0.2% YoY)
1 filers
Citadel, Susquehanna
Insiders
5.1%
Form 4 — latest per insider
0%25%50%75%100%2022-062023-032023-122024-092025-062026-03
ActiveRetail fundsPassiveMarket makersRetail direct

Top holders

Fund$ valueCost basisΔ QoQΔ YoYα lifeFund AUM
BlackRock, Inc.Passive$13.1M$4.89+$169K+$4.7M-0.2%$5.69T
Nierenberg Investment Management Company, Inc.$11.2M$4.90+$0+$2.2M-2.0%$201M
DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LPPassive$7.3M$5.79+$87K−$150K-0.4%$480.92B
MANUFACTURERS LIFE INSURANCE COMPANY, THE$5.9M$5.99−$54K−$210K-0.2%$113.45B
VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLCPassive$4.9M$5.50+$4.9M+$4.9M$4.04T
AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL INC$4.9M$5.67−$103K−$316K-0.1%$430.96B
Pacific Ridge Capital Partners, LLC$4.2M$5.34+$174K−$36K-0.7%$462M
ARROWSTREET CAPITAL, LIMITED PARTNERSHIP$3.2M$5.45+$0+$2.7M+0.1%$184.72B
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLCPassive$2.5M$5.38−$73K+$1.3M+2.3%$1.61T
ESSEX INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT CO LLC$2.1M$5.44+$57K+$2.1M+0.0%$632M
RENAISSANCE TECHNOLOGIES LLC$1.8M$5.40+$306K+$765K+1.2%$63.91B
ACADIAN ASSET MANAGEMENT LLC$1.6M$5.68−$237K−$66K-0.5%$70.48B
BRIDGEWAY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC$1.5M$5.13+$0+$148K-2.3%$4.93B
STATE STREET CORPPassive$1.3M$5.54+$2K+$968K-0.2%$2.89T
GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC$1.1M$5.45+$455K+$961K-0.2%$760.93B
VANGUARD FIDUCIARY TRUST COPassive$839K$5.50+$839K+$839K$395.83B
NORTHERN TRUST CORPPassive$812K$5.45+$80K+$599K-0.2%$755.34B
BANK OF AMERICA CORP /DE/$723K$5.64+$72K+$284K-0.1%$1.36T
Empowered Funds, LLC$706K$4.94+$0+$148K+0.2%$15.64B
SEI INVESTMENTS CO$702K$5.26+$366K+$702K-0.4%$108.06B
Cost basis is a volume-weighted estimate from accumulation periods within our 13F history; holders who built their position before our window started will show a stale basis. % above the cost basis is the unrealized gain at the current price.

Trading behavior

Smart-money alpha (lifetime, %/qtr)NEUTRAL
Holders
-0.61%
avg per quarter
Holders (ex-self)
-0.61%
excl. this stock
Buyers (this Q)
-0.05%
34 buyers · $0.01B in
Sellers (this Q)
+0.20%
28 sellers · $-0.00B out
alpha coverage: 92% of $ has a lifetime-alpha record
Holder behavior on this stocksource: stock
On big dips (−10%+)
+4.1%
how holders react when this stock falls
On quiet Qs
-16.5%
−10% to +10% baseline
On rallies (+10%+)
-8.6%
how they react when this stock rises
Holders' portfolio flow this Q
+2.6%
inflows — adds are organic
Sellers' portfolio flow this Q
-18.2%
Sellers shed AUM broadly — partly forced.
▸ Compare to holder-profile behavior (across all their stocks)
Holder dip (any stock)
-3.1%
Holder mid (any stock)
-3.9%
Holder rally (any stock)
-4.3%

Top Holders Over Time

5-year share-count history (top 10 holders by peak, incl. exited) + price

02.0M4.1M6.1M8.1M$3.88$4.66$5.45$6.23$7.012021-062022-062023-062024-062025-062026-03
hover the chart for per-quarter detailprice (right axis)
FJ Capital Management LLCNierenberg Investment Management Company, Inc.2.0MFourthstone LLCMANUFACTURERS LIFE INSURANCE COMPANY, THE1.1MPacific Ridge Capital Partners, LLC755KAMERIPRISE FINANCIAL INC889KJCSD Capital, LLCElizabeth Park Capital Advisors, Ltd.DEPRINCE RACE & ZOLLO INCRhino Investment Partners, Inc

Analyst Coverage

Analyst Coverage
Analyst Ratings
1
2
Buy: 1Sell: 2Consensus: Sell
Consensus Estimates
QuarterRevenueEBITDANet IncEPSEPS Range# Analysts
2024 Q413M3M1M$0.04$0.04 – $0.041
2025 Q112M3M1M$0.03$0.03 – $0.031
2025 Q213M3M1M$0.05$0.05 – $0.051
2025 Q314M3M1M$0.06$0.06 – $0.061
2025 Q414M3M1M$0.04$0.04 – $0.041
2026 Q114M3M1M$0.05$0.05 – $0.051
2026 Q215M3M1M$0.07$0.07 – $0.071
2026 Q315M3M2M$0.08$0.08 – $0.081
2026 Q416M3M2M$0.09$0.09 – $0.091
2027 Q116M3M2M$0.08$0.08 – $0.081

Corporate

Executive Compensation (2023-2025)

Direct Pay$6.5M
Incentive & Other$1.7M
Total Compensation$8.2M
% of Revenue3.8%

Insider Trading (last 12mo)

Open-market only (Form 4 P-Purchase + S-Sale). Excludes grants, option exercises, tax withholding, gifts.
Officers & directors
Buys ($, 12mo)
$121K
17 txns · 9 insiders · 23,257 sh
Sells ($, 12mo)
$0
0 txns · 0 insiders · 0 sh
Recent transactions
DateSideInsiderTitleSharesPriceDollarsOwned $
2026-05-08BUYBenke Robertofficer: EVP/CCO4,000$5.44$22K$261K
2026-05-07BUYSherman Nicoledirector, officer: President/CEO1,800$5.49$10K$904K
2026-05-05BUYHoff Larrydirector1,920$5.21$10K$73K
2026-05-04BUYCox Daniel Dofficer: EVP/COO1,000$5.22$5K$365K
2026-03-05BUYLightheart Charmaineofficer: EVP/CRDEO325$5.36$2K$80K
2026-02-18BUYWills Bessie Rossdirector3,000$5.39$16K$259K
2025-12-05BUYSherman Nicoledirector, officer: President/CEO975$5.12$5K$961K
2025-09-12BUYLam Davidofficer: EVP/CFO1,000$4.93$5K$356K
2025-08-26BUYSherman Nicoledirector, officer: President/CEO1,475$5.04$7K$816K
2025-08-18BUYCarlson Bradleydirector1,000$4.97$5K$111K
2025-08-07BUYLightheart Charmaineofficer: EVP/CRDEO508$4.92$2K$37K
2025-08-04BUYBenke Robertofficer: EVP/CCO4,000$4.85$19K$200K
2025-08-04BUYCarlson Bradleydirector1,000$4.82$5K$103K
2025-06-11BUYSowers Courtney Evanofficer: PRESIDENT/CEO - TRUST CO.196$5.44$1K$107K
2025-06-04BUYCox Daniel Dofficer: EVP/COO560$5.35$3K$369K
2025-06-03BUYLightheart Charmaineofficer: EVP/CRDEO445$5.43$2K$38K
2025-05-30BUYLightheart Charmaineofficer: EVP/CRDEO53$5.58$296$36K

Order Flow (FINRA, ~3w lag)

18.9%retail+2.6pp
15.9%dark-0.7pp
week of 2026-04-13
0%20%40%60%80%24-1125-0225-0525-0825-1126-0226-04retail (non-ATS)dark (ATS)
Off-exchange volume from FINRA. Retail = non-ATS (wholesaler PFOF + broker internalization). Dark = ATS (dark-pool crossing networks, institutional). Lit-exchange = remainder.

Revenue Breakdown

Revenue Segments

By Product (2026-Q3)
Asset management fees.$1.6M+10%
Debit card and ATM fees$0.7M-3%
Deposit related fees$0.6M+13%
Other, net$0.2M-27%
Loan related fees$0.2M+57%

Filing Risk Analysis

Filing Risk Scores

Riverview Bancorp, Inc.: Routine Administrative Filing Lacks Material Financial Substance

Overall Risk
1/10
Fraud
1/10
Dilution
1/10
Insolvency
1/10
Earnings Overstated
1/10
Hidden Liabilities
1/10
Legal
1/10
Audit Warnings
1/10
Hidden Upside
1/10
Contextually Acceptable
10/10

Counter-Thesis

Counter-Thesis & Recent News

📰 Recent News

In early 2026, Riverview Bancorp reported a significant Q3 earnings beat, posting an EPS of $0.07 against a $0.04 consensus estimate. Revenue rose 10.4% year-over-year to $14.05 million. Management demonstrated confidence in the stock's valuation by authorizing a $4.0 million share repurchase program (approximately 3.8% of shares outstanding) and maintaining its $0.02 quarterly cash dividend. Furthermore, the stock recently signaled a technical trend reversal by crossing above its 200-day moving average of $5.21 in March 2026 (Sources: MarketBeat, Intellectia.AI).

🐻 Bear Case

The short thesis typically focuses on a bloated cost structure and high valuation relative to peers. The bank's efficiency ratio remains near 87%, meaning nearly 90% of revenue is consumed by operating expenses. Additionally, the stock trades at a premium P/E of roughly 22x, significantly higher than the industry average of 11.8x, despite a historical 5-year trend of declining earnings (Source: Simply Wall St).

🚩 Red Flags

Internal efficiency is the primary concern; the high cost-to-income ratio (86.9% in Q3 2026) leaves little margin for error if revenue growth stalls. There are also reports from employees regarding 'bad upper management' and 'mistakes' at the executive level as the bank attempts to grow at an aggressive, potentially unrealistic rate (Source: Indeed Employee Reviews, Simply Wall St).

⚔️ Competitive Threats

The bank is struggling with a deposit mix shift where customers are migrating from low-cost accounts to higher-yielding CDs and money market accounts, increasing interest expenses. Externally, the bank faces pressure from large loan payoffs which have recently led to a slight contraction in the total loan portfolio despite new production (Source: Fintool, SmartAsset).

💬 Customer Sentiment

Customer sentiment remains a strong pillar of the long case. Riverview has been named 'Best Bank' in the Portland-Vancouver area for 11 consecutive years. It maintains a solid 4.1/5 rating on WalletHub, with customers frequently praising localized, 'extra mile' service at branches, particularly in resolving fraud issues and providing a personal touch that larger national competitors lack (Sources: WalletHub, Intellectia.AI).