OPXS
Optex Systems Holdings, IncOptex Systems Holdings, Inc. manufactures and sells optical sighting systems and assemblies primarily for the U.S. department of defense, foreign military applications, and commercial markets in the United States. It offers periscopes, such as laser and non-laser protected plastic and glass periscopes, electronic M17 day/thermal periscopes, and vision blocks; sighting systems, including back up sights, digital day and night sighting systems, M36 thermal periscope, unity mirrors, optical weapon s
2-Year Price History
Quarterly Financials & Projections
| Period | Rev | EBITDA | OpIn | NI | OCF | FCF | CapEx | Cash | Debt | Shares | ROIC | IntCov | EV/EBITDA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Est | 2028-Q2 | 12.5 | 2.4 | -- | 1.6 | -- | 1.3 | -0.3 | 4,177 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Est | 2028-Q1 | 10.5 | 1.4 | -- | 0.9 | -- | 1.6 | -0.3 | 4,176 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Est | 2027-Q4 | 14.2 | 3.2 | -- | 2.3 | -- | 2.3 | -0.3 | 4,174 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Est | 2027-Q3 | 12.8 | 2.6 | -- | 1.9 | -- | 1.7 | -0.3 | 4,172 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Est | 2027-Q2 | 11.5 | 2.1 | -- | 1.4 | -- | 0.9 | -0.3 | 4,170 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Est | 2027-Q1 | 9.5 | 1.1 | -- | 0.8 | -- | 1.7 | -0.3 | 4,169 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Est | 2026-Q4 | 13.5 | 3.0 | -- | 2.1 | -- | 2.0 | -0.3 | 4,168 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Est | 2026-Q3 | 12.5 | 2.5 | -- | 1.8 | -- | 1.5 | -0.4 | 4,166 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Act | 2026-Q2 | 9.6 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 1.3 | -1.2 | -1.6 | -0.4 | 4,164 | 1,638 | 6.9 | 0.0% | -- | -- |
| Act | 2026-Q1 | 9.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | -92.0 | -548.0 | -456.0 | 5.8 | 1.8 | 7.0 | 4.1% | -- | 11.9x |
| Act | 2025-Q4 | 11.3 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1.5 | -0.0 | 6.4 | 1.9 | 6.9 | 50.2% | -- | 9.9x |
| Act | 2025-Q3 | 11.1 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.4 | -0.0 | 4.9 | 2.0 | 6.9 | 44.9% | -- | 5.3x |
| Act | 2025-Q2 | 10.7 | 2.4 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 1.0 | -0.1 | 3.5 | 2.1 | 6.9 | 57.9% | -- | 6.8x |
| Act | 2025-Q1 | 8.2 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 2.8 | 2.5 | -0.3 | 2.5 | 2.3 | 6.9 | 32.2% | 80.4x | 9.3x |
| Act | 2024-Q4 | 9.4 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.5 | -0.2 | 1.0 | 3.4 | 6.9 | 37.6% | 96.3x | 9.6x |
| Act | 2024-Q3 | 9.1 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 0.1 | -0.3 | -0.3 | 0.5 | 3.5 | 6.9 | 50.6% | 102.8x | 9.8x |
| Act | 2024-Q2 | 8.5 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.1 | -1.3 | -2.4 | -1.1 | 0.3 | 3.2 | 6.8 | 50.2% | 163.7x | 10.3x |
| Act | 2024-Q1 | 7.0 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 2.3 | 2.2 | -0.1 | 2.4 | 2.8 | 6.7 | 24.5% | 92.1x | 6.8x |
| Act | 2023-Q4 | 8.1 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.1 | -0.0 | 1.2 | 3.9 | 6.7 | 74.5% | 74.8x | 7.9x |
| Act | 2023-Q3 | 7.2 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.6 | -0.3 | -0.6 | -0.2 | 0.3 | 4.2 | 6.7 | 36.1% | 38.1x | 9.0x |
| Act | 2023-Q2 | 6.4 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.5 | -1.5 | -1.6 | -0.1 | 0.7 | 4.2 | 6.7 | 32.9% | 87.5x | 9.3x |
| Act | 2023-Q1 | 4.0 | -0.2 | -0.3 | -0.2 | 0.5 | 0.4 | -0.1 | 1.3 | 3.3 | 6.5 | -19.4% | -- | 10.9x |
| Act | 2022-Q4 | 6.7 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | -0.0 | 0.9 | 3.4 | 8.2 | 79.3% | -- | 9.4x |
| Act | 2022-Q3 | 6.2 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.4 | -0.1 | 5.2 | 3.5 | 8.3 | 20.2% | -- | -- |
| Act | 2022-Q2 | 5.1 | -0.1 | -0.2 | -0.2 | -0.2 | -0.2 | -0.0 | 4.9 | 3.5 | 8.3 | -7.3% | -- | -- |
| Act | 2022-Q1 | 4.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6 | 1.5 | -0.1 | 5.3 | 3.7 | 8.3 | 0.7% | -- | -- |
Multiples vs the company's own history — cheap or rich relative to itself? Historical fiscal years, then TTM, then forward projections (E). Forward rows hold today's price against projected earnings, so the multiple compresses if the company grows into it.
| Year | Price | Rev Gr | EBITDA % | EBITDA | EV/EBITDA | EV/FCF | P/E | P/S |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 2.95 | — | 8.7% | 2 | 9.5× | 10.4× | 12.6× | 0.7× |
| 2023 | 6.55 | +14.6% | 12.2% | 3 | 9.3× | n/m | 11.7× | 1.0× |
| 2024 | 6.86 | +32.5% | 15.6% | 5 | 10.5× | >999× | 14.1× | 1.6× |
| 2025 | 14.18 | +21.6% | 18.5% | 8 | 10.6× | 12.6× | 16.6× | 2.1× |
| TTM | 11.36 | +10.0% | 15.2% | 6 | — | — | 0.0× | 0.0× |
| 2027E | 11.36 | +16.6% | 0.2% | 0 | — | — | 0.0× | 0.0× |
EBITDA in reporting-currency $M. Historical multiples use year-end market cap (split-adjusted price history); TTM & forward years use today's.
AI Analysis
LLM Evaluations
Optex Systems is a well-positioned defense niche player with sole-source contracts, zero debt, and improving margins as legacy loss contracts roll off. However, the stock trades at ~1.9x sales and ~$78M market cap for a business generating ~$41M in revenue with mid-teens net margins — implying the market is already pricing in margin improvement and modest growth. The extreme quarterly lumpiness, 93% government revenue concentration, and micro-cap illiquidity create significant risk. The recent CEO transition, institutional selling (Citadel exit), and net insider selling are yellow flags. While the defense spending environment is broadly favorable, the company's small scale limits its ability to win larger programs, and capacity constraints could cap growth. Fair value sits around $9-10/share, suggesting the stock at ~$11.30 is modestly overvalued relative to fundamental value, though the H2 revenue ramp could provide a near-term catalyst if management delivers on guidance.
Latest Earnings Call
Transcript Summary
OPTEX System Holdings, Inc. reported fiscal 2026 second-quarter results heavily impacted by federal government funding delays and a brief shutdown. While quarterly revenue fell to $600,000, the six-month revenue remained nearly flat at $18.8 million. Management expressed confidence in their full-year guidance of $43 million to $45 million, expecting a strong recovery in the second half as delayed awards move into production. A significant highlight was the gross margin improvement to 35.2% for the quarter, driven by the elimination of legacy loss-making contracts and better pricing on new defense programs. Operating expenses rose to $1.7 million, reflecting leadership transition costs and increased R&D investments. The company ended the period with a robust $36.6 million backlog and a cash balance of $4.2 million with no debt. Capital expenditures are planned between $2 million and $2.5 million to expand capacity and enhance prototyping capabilities. CEO Chad George emphasized that despite timing issues, the company is well-positioned for long-term growth and operational efficiency. No analysts participated in the Q&A session, leaving management's prepared remarks as the primary source of the quarterly update.
Valuation & Metrics
Market Stats
TTM Financial Snapshot
DCF Fair Value Estimate
Forward Outlook & Risk
Short Interest
Forward Projections & Estimates
Employees
Institutional Ownership
Headline & net flow
In Q1 2026 so far (quarter still filing), institutions are net buyers — bought 10.2% of float, sold 5.3%. 3 filers moved >1% of shares (2 buying, 1 selling).
Ownership composition
Top holders
| Fund | $ value | Cost basis | Δ QoQ | Δ YoY | α life | Fund AUM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Topline Capital Management, LLC | $7.7M | $6.86 | −$1.2M | −$2.7M | -4.4% | $605M |
| WASATCH ADVISORS INC | $5.3M | $13.54 | +$1.8M | +$5.3M | -2.9% | $14.87B |
| PUNCH & ASSOCIATES INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT, INC. | $4.3M | $3.66 | +$351K | −$648K | -0.3% | $1.72B |
| LPL Financial LLC | $3.4M | $12.48 | +$2.8M | +$3.0M | -0.2% | $372.65B |
| VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLCPassive | $2.6M | $13.23 | +$2.6M | +$2.6M | — | $4.04T |
| Archon Capital Management LLC | $2.6M | $13.32 | +$259K | +$2.6M | -2.9% | $175M |
| MARSHALL WACE, LLP | $1.3M | $12.33 | +$107K | +$1.3M | +0.6% | $92.71B |
| AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL INC | $973K | $12.86 | −$12K | +$973K | -0.1% | $430.96B |
| Mink Brook Asset Management LLC | $857K | $13.15 | +$647K | +$857K | -0.2% | $179M |
| GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLCPassive | $830K | $6.10 | −$19K | +$30K | +2.3% | $1.61T |
| O'SHAUGHNESSY ASSET MANAGEMENT, LLC | $718K | $13.51 | −$245K | +$718K | +0.1% | $19.92B |
| RITHOLTZ WEALTH MANAGEMENT | $534K | $13.56 | −$84K | +$534K | +0.2% | $5.76B |
| BlackRock, Inc.Passive | $470K | $11.32 | +$75K | +$344K | -0.2% | $5.69T |
| VANGUARD FIDUCIARY TRUST COPassive | $456K | $13.23 | +$456K | +$456K | — | $395.83B |
| World Investment Advisors | $418K | $14.18 | −$347K | +$418K | -0.3% | $6.09B |
| DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LPPassive | $378K | $10.32 | +$94K | +$196K | -0.4% | $480.92B |
| STATE STREET CORPPassive | $342K | $8.94 | +$0 | +$105K | -0.2% | $2.89T |
| ESSEX INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT CO LLC | $306K | $8.03 | +$0 | +$37K | +0.0% | $632M |
| CITADEL ADVISORS LLC | $266K | $9.74 | −$214K | −$32K | -0.4% | $138.22B |
| Beacon Pointe Advisors, LLC | $224K | $13.09 | +$38K | +$224K | -0.2% | $18.74B |
Trading behavior
▸ Compare to holder-profile behavior (across all their stocks)
Biggest decreases this quarter
New buyers this quarter
Top-5 holders · 66.4%
Top Holders Over Time
5-year share-count history (top 10 holders by peak, incl. exited) + price
Analyst Coverage
| Quarter | Revenue | EBITDA | Net Inc | EPS | EPS Range | # Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 Q3 | 11M | 2M | 0M | $0.00 | $0.00 – $0.00 | 0 |
| 2026 Q1 | 13M | 2M | 1M | $0.20 | $0.20 – $0.20 | 1 |
| 2026 Q2 | 12M | 2M | 2M | $0.23 | $0.23 – $0.23 | 1 |
| 2026 Q3 | 13M | 2M | 2M | $0.25 | $0.25 – $0.25 | 1 |
| 2026 Q4 | 11M | 1M | 1M | $0.19 | $0.19 – $0.19 | 1 |
| 2027 Q1 | 11M | 2M | 1M | $0.20 | $0.20 – $0.20 | 1 |
Corporate
Executive Compensation (2023-2025)
Insider Trading (last 12mo)
| Date | Side | Insider | Title | Shares | Price | Dollars | Owned $ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-11 | SELL | George Chad Michael | director, officer: CEO and President | 7,035 | $13.62 | $96K | $0 |
| 2026-01-08 | SELL | SCHOENING DANNY ROBERT | director, 10 percent owner: | 28,924 | $14.06 | $407K | $11.20M |
| 2026-01-07 | SELL | SCHOENING DANNY ROBERT | director, 10 percent owner: | 27,946 | $13.44 | $376K | $11.10M |
| 2026-01-06 | SELL | SCHOENING DANNY ROBERT | director, 10 percent owner: | 14,066 | $13.02 | $183K | $11.11M |
| 2026-01-05 | SELL | SCHOENING DANNY ROBERT | director, 10 percent owner: | 5,495 | $13.08 | $72K | $11.35M |
| 2026-01-02 | SELL | SCHOENING DANNY ROBERT | director, 10 percent owner: | 34,147 | $13.87 | $474K | $12.11M |
| 2025-06-30 | SELL | Topline Capital Management, LLC | other: See Explanation in Footnotes | 47,700 | $11.68 | $557K | $8.07M |
| 2025-06-30 | SELL | Topline Capital Partners, LP | 10 percent owner | 47,700 | $11.68 | $557K | $8.07M |
| 2025-06-27 | SELL | Malhotra R. Rimmy | director | 15,000 | $11.01 | $165K | $1.04M |
| 2025-06-27 | SELL | Topline Capital Management, LLC | other: See Explanation in Footnotes | 10,000 | $11.26 | $113K | $8.32M |
| 2025-06-27 | SELL | Topline Capital Partners, LP | 10 percent owner | 10,000 | $11.26 | $113K | $8.32M |
| 2025-06-26 | SELL | Topline Capital Partners, LP | 10 percent owner | 30,945 | $11.07 | $343K | $8.29M |
| 2025-06-26 | SELL | Topline Capital Management, LLC | other: See Explanation in Footnotes | 30,945 | $11.07 | $343K | $8.29M |
| 2025-06-17 | SELL | Dayton Judd | director, 10 percent owner: | 1,800 | $8.95 | $16K | $7.03M |
| 2025-06-16 | SELL | Dayton Judd | director, 10 percent owner: | 14,077 | $9.28 | $131K | $7.31M |
| 2025-06-13 | SELL | Dayton Judd | director, 10 percent owner: | 2,500 | $9.45 | $24K | $7.58M |
| 2025-06-09 | SELL | Malhotra R. Rimmy | director | 5,000 | $9.37 | $47K | $18K |
| 2025-06-06 | SELL | HAWKINS KAREN LEA | officer: CFO | 12,000 | $9.21 | $111K | $291K |
| 2025-06-06 | SELL | Lehmann Dale E | director | 18,000 | $9.20 | $166K | $1.09M |
| 2025-06-05 | SELL | Lehmann Dale E | director | 7,537 | $9.47 | $71K | $1.29M |
Order Flow (FINRA, ~3w lag)
Revenue Breakdown
Revenue Segments
| Optex Systems (OPX) - Richardson, Texas | $6.3M | -1% |
| Applied Optics Center (AOC) - Dallas | $3.8M | -21% |
| Other Operating Segment | $-0.4M | -- |
Filing Risk Analysis
Filing Risk Scores
Optex Systems Holdings: Hidden Warranty Reversals Masking Operational Softness
Counter-Thesis
Counter-Thesis & Recent News
In May 2026, Optex Systems reported a 10.3% year-over-year revenue decline for Q2 2026 ($9.6M vs $10.7M) and a 24.2% drop in net income. Management blamed federal government funding delays and the 2026 appropriations bill impasse for shifting contract awards into the second half of the year (Source: Motley Fool, Stock Titan). Additionally, Q1 2026 earnings were reported to have slumped due to significant spikes in the cost of gold and other raw materials (Source: Zacks).
The bear case centers on extreme dependency on the U.S. federal budget cycle, which has recently caused 'lumpy' revenue and significant quarterly misses. Operating expenses surged by $1.4 million in the first half of 2026 due to leadership transition costs and R&D, leading to a 22.6% decline in Adjusted EBITDA. Bears argue that while the company touts a $36.6M backlog, execution risks and the expiration of legacy loss-making contracts may not offset the persistent rise in fixed costs and labor (Source: GuruFocus, Stock Titan).
Technical indicators have turned sharply bearish; the stock's 20-day SMA is currently below its 60-day SMA, signaling a 'Strong Sell' trend for some algorithmic analysts (Source: Intellectia AI). Furthermore, cash and cash equivalents dropped from $6.4M to $4.2M in the first half of 2026, with negative operating cash flow of $1.3M reported for the quarter (Source: GuruFocus). There has also been notable institutional exit, with Citadel Advisors liquidating 100% of their position recently (Source: Quiver Quantitative).
Optex faces intensifying competition in the 'measuring and control equipment' sector from both niche players like Syntec Optics (OPTX) and larger defense primes. While Optex dominates the periscope market, its growth is constrained by production capacity; analysts note that if the company cannot scale in line with new program demands, it risks losing market share to competitors with more robust manufacturing footprints (Source: Seeking Alpha, MarketBeat).
Customer sentiment is currently strained by external political factors rather than product quality. The primary customer—the U.S. Government—has effectively 'stalled' on ordering due to appropriations delays, creating an environment of high uncertainty for near-term fulfillment. While new orders grew 3.8% in H1 2026, the 'customer order patterns' are described as volatile and highly sensitive to shifting presidential administration policies (Source: Stock Titan, Zacks).
Full Earnings Call Transcript
Full Earnings Call Transcript — Q2 • 2026-05-14
Operator: Thank you for your continued patience. Your meeting will Thank you for your continued patience. You are going to be holding it evenly. If you need assistance at any time, please press 0. A member of our team will be happy to help. to begin. Please standby. Your meeting is about Hello, and welcome to today's OPTEX System Holdings, Inc. Second Quarter Earnings Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. Later, you will have the opportunity to ask questions during the question and answer session. Please note that this call is being recorded, and I will be standing by should you need any assistance. It is now my pleasure to turn the meeting over to Chad George, CEO. Please go ahead, sir. Chad George: Thank you. Hello. My name is Chad George, and I am the CEO of Optex Systems. I would like to begin by introducing Karen L. Hawkins, our CFO, who will take the opportunity to walk us through our second quarter fiscal 26 financials. I will then return later to add additional perspective on our business and the path forward. Karen? Karen L. Hawkins: Thank you, Chad. Before we begin, I would like to note that statements made during today's call, including our responses during the Q&A session, may include forward-looking statements. These statements are subject to known and unknown risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially. Factors that could cause such differences are described in our filings with the SEC, including risk factors section of our most recent 10-Ks. We will also make reference to non-GAAP measures such as adjusted EBITDA. Reconciliations to GAAP results are available in our filings. For the 2026, revenue was $600 thousand compared to $10.7 million in the prior year period. For the 6 months, revenue totaled $18.8 million compared to $18.9 million last year, essentially flat year over year. The first half of the year was impacted by the federal government shutdown and delays in approval of the fifth fiscal year 26 appropriations bill. These factors put several contract awards into the second half of the year. Looking ahead, we expect a stronger second half of fiscal year 2026 as delayed awards move forward. We continue to project full year revenue in the range of $43 million to 45 million Gross profit was $3.4 million for the quarter and $5.5 million for the 6 months. Consistent with prior year periods despite the lower revenue. Gross margin improved meaningfully 35.2% for the quarter, up from 31.3%. 29.2% for the 6 months, compared to 29% in the prior year period. This improvement was driven by completion of legacy loss making periscope contracts, improved pricing on newer programs, continued operational efficiencies. Operating expenses were $1.7 million for the quarter compared to $1.1 million last year, an increase of $600 thousand. For the first 6 months, operating expenses were $3.7 million compared to $2.3 million an increase of $1.4 million The increase was driven primarily by Leadership transition costs and organizational changes. Higher stock-based compensation, increased research and development investments, ongoing compliance and systems upgrades, and to a lesser extent inflationary pressures. We expect operating expenses to remain elevated as we continue to invest in R&D, meet cybersecurity maturity model certification requirements and enhanced internal reporting systems. Net income for the quarter was $1.3 million or $0.19 per diluted share compared to $1.8 million last year. For the first 3 months, net income was $1.6 million or $0.23 per diluted share compared to $2.6 million in the prior year period. Adjusted EBITDA was $2 million for the quarter versus $2.4 million last year. And $2.8 million for the 6 months versus $3.6 million last year. The year-over-year decline reflects lower revenue volumes and increased operating expenses. We continue to expect full year adjusted EBITDA in the range of $7.5 million to $8.5 million For the balance sheet and cash flow, we ended the quarter with $4.2 million in cash and cash equivalents compared to $6.4 million at fiscal year end, with no outstanding debt on our revolving credit facility. We used $1.3 million in operating cash flow compared to $4 million generated in the prior year period. This reflects higher operating expenses, increased inventory and input inventory purchases to support the expected second half revenue. Working capital remained strong at $22.6 million compared to $21.1 million at fiscal year end. Orders and backlog. New orders increased 3.8% year-over-year to $16.3 million for the first half. Ending backlog was approximately $36.6 million providing good visibility into the remainder of fiscal year 26. We continue to see steady bookings tied to defense programs. We invested $800 thousand in capital equipment during the first half and have $1.1 million in additional committed investment. We expect full year capital expenditures to range between $2 million and $2.5 million These investments support capacity expansion, new product lines, research and development and enhanced prototyping capability. That concludes the financial portion of our remarks. I will now turn the call back over to Chad for closing comments. Chad George: Thank you, Karen. While Q2 2026 was impacted by delays in government funding and timing. We remain encouraged by the strength of our backlog, improving gross margins and continued demand across our core defense programs. We have made significant investments in research and development, manufacturing capabilities and organizational structure that we believe position Optex for long term growth and expanded market opportunity. As government procurement normalizes and recently awarded programs ramp into production, we expect stronger revenue performance during the second half of the fiscal year. Our team remains focused on execution, operational efficiency and delivering value to our customers, war fighters and shareholders, and we are confident in the long term direction of the business. With that, I would like to open it up for questions. Operator: Thank you. And once again, as a reminder, if you would like to ask a question, please press star 1 on your telephone keypad. We will pause for just a moment to allow everyone an opportunity to signal for questions. I am currently showing no questions in the queue at this time. Chad George: Okay. Operator: Any closing remarks? Chad George: No. Thank you. I appreciate it. Thanks for your time. Operator: Thank you. That brings us to the end of today's meeting. Appreciate your time and participation. May now disconnect.