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NextN av’s Q4 2025 earnin gs call highl ighte d a major regul ato ry break throu gh: the FCC has forwa rded a draf t Notic e of Propo sed Rulem aking (NPRM ) on PNT techn ology to the OMB. CEO Maria m Soron d empha sized that this valid ates NextN av’s terre stria l 3D geolo catio n as a criti cal, resil ient backu p to GPS, addre ssing natio nal secur ity conce rns over jammi ng and spoof ing. The compa ny has begun opera ting the first 5G-po wered PNT netwo rk under an exper imen tal licen se and expan ded its partn ershi p with Japan 's MetCo m, demon strati ng inter natio nal scala bilit y. CFO Tim Gray repor ted a solid cash posit ion of $152 milli on, notin g that the $68 milli on net loss for the quart er was prima rily drive n by a $48 milli on non-c ash charg e relat ed to warra nt liabi litie s. Gray highl ighte d a multi -year runwa y, bolst ered by poten tial capit al from 2026 warra nt expir ation s. Durin g the Q&A, manag ement expre ssed confi dence in the NPRM’ s progre ss despi te the confi denti ality of the draf t conte nt. The compa ny remai ns focu sed on comme rcial izin g its 5G-ba sed solut ions withi n a "syste m of syste ms" frame work to secur e U.S. infra struc ture withou t taxpa yer fundin g.

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NextNav Inc.: Book Insolvency and Extreme Warrant Dilution Masked by Derivative Accounting

Full Earnings Call Transcript — Q4 • 2026-03-17

Operator: Hello, and thank you for standing by. My name is Tiffany, and I will be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to the NextNav Fourth Quarter 2025 Earnings Call. [Operator Instructions]. I would now like to turn the call over to [ Jarrod Pollock ], [ Jarrod ], please go ahead.
Unknown Executive: Good afternoon, everyone, and welcome to NextNav's Fourth Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call. Participating on today's call are Mariam Sorond, NextNav's Chief Executive Officer; and Tim Gray, NextNav's Chief Financial Officer. Before we begin, let me remind everyone that this call will include certain statements that constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements may be identified by use of the words may, anticipate, believe, expect, intend, should, could and similar expressions. Such forward-looking statements which may relate to NextNav forecast of future results, future prospects, developments and business strategies are subject to known and unknown risks, uncertainties and assumptions, many of which are outside NextNav's control and could cause actual results to differ. In particular, such forward-looking statements include the achievement of certain FCC-related milestones and FCC approvals. NextNav's projections, plans, objectives and expectations and NextNav's future business strategies and competitive position. These statements are based on management's current expectations and beliefs as well as a number of assumptions concerning future events. You are cautioned not to place undue reliance upon the forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date made, and NextNav undertakes no commitment to update or revise the forward-looking statements, except as required by law. For additional information regarding risks and uncertainties, please refer to the risk factors and other disclosures contained in the company's filings with the SEC. Following prepared remarks, the company will host an operator-led question-and-answer session. In addition, a replay of our discussion will be posted to the company's Investor Relations website. I'd now like to turn the call over to Ms. Sorond. Please go ahead, Mariam.
Mariam Sorond: Thank you, Jared. Good afternoon, and thank you all for joining us today. I'll begin with an important update on our FCC process. Earlier this month, the FCC formerly sent a draft notice of proposed rulemaking or NPRM, focused on PNT technology and solutions to the White House OMB. This is a critical step in the process, and I am confident in the NPRM advancing to report an order. This development underscores the FCC's focus on addressing the national security urgency of identifying resilient backups and complements to GPS. It reflects an incredible milestone achieved in rapid time and extraordinary momentum under this administration. While I am thrilled it does not come as a surprise as this progress is consistent with the confidence I have expressed over the prior quarters regarding the FCC's direction. The NextNav team has worked tirelessly alongside a highly engaged FCC, and we are extremely proud of where we stand today. It marks significant validation of NextNav solution to a critical national security priority at a time of heightened global risk as adversaries continue to invest in their own terrestrial PNT capabilities. The U.S. must meet the moment. The under agency review of the NPRM is now progressing as expected. While we do not yet know specific content, we do know that NPRM can take many forms. And based on the strength and completeness of the existing record, we remain confident in a direct path to a report in order. NextNav plays an important role in a system of systems framework that combines multiple terrestrial and space-based capabilities to build redundancy and resiliency across America's critical infrastructure. a redundancy that exists today for our adversaries, including Russia and China, but not for the United States. NextNav proposed solution is a one-of-one within this system of systems framework requiring capabilities that only NextNav can provide a unique combination of wide-scale positioning, timing and 3D geolocation services which are commercially viable and we believe can be made available during the current administration. Moreover, our solution is future-proof and does not require taxpayer funding. The anticipated NPRM is supported by a well-developed and complete record. Though as we have stated on prior earnings calls, the exact timing of the process remains outside of our control. We applaud the administration and Chairman Carr for their actionable leadership on this issue and look forward to continuing to work constructively with the FCC and key stakeholders as the process moves forward. As the national conversation around resilience and critical infrastructure is expanding, NextNav is increasingly contributing to the highest levels of industry and policy leadership. To that end, I am pleased to have joined the CTIA Board of Directors and participated in my first Board meeting alongside a dynamic group of leaders. I look forward to advancing the association's mission and helping expand the capabilities of 5G networks in ways that strengthen America's national security infrastructure to ensure our industry remains a good standard for innovation, public safety and natural security globally. Furthermore, NextNav continued to advance dialogue across both regulatory and industry audiences through participation in recent events, including Mobile World Congress 2026 in Barcelona and the 2026 Milken South Florida dialogues. Discussions at these forums highlighted several key themes. First, there was clear recognition that multiple public and private sector organizations are working towards PNT capabilities with PNT increasingly viewed as the killer application for 5G and 6G, one that could be among the most valuable transformative uses of these networks. Second, it was clear that strengthening resiliency and vulnerable systems is essential both for deterrence and for regaining U.S. leadership in critical technologies. It was top of mind in discussions that GPS has clear vulnerabilities, including indoor coverage gaps, jamming and spoofing. And it takes as little as a $200 jammer purchased online to disrupt signals, let alone the capabilities of an adversary. Recent developments in the Middle East conflict, including widespread GPS and communications jamming highlight how quickly these disruptions can escalate and destabilize critical systems. That's why a ground component is essential. And NextNav has the largest footprint capable of delivering a unique combination of positioning, timing and 3D geolocation capabilities. Independent of our work with the FCC, NextNav continues to advance its technology and commercialization efforts. First, we are very proud to have begun operating the world's first 5G powered PNT network, marking an important step towards commercialization. While the FCC granted NextNav an experimental license to begin this testing in a defined geographic location, I will reiterate that the testing itself is for early commercialization purposes and is independent of the FCC's NPRM process. Next, we announced an expanded partnership with Japan's MetCom, we believe this partnership is a compelling validation of demand for resilient terrestrial 5G-based 3D PNT solutions and represents a potentially significant commercial opportunity beyond the U.S. market. Under the agreement, MetCom has licensed our technology to power new terrestrial timing services in major Japanese metropolitan areas, highlighting both the strength of the deal and the international scalability of our platform, particularly given our 3GPP standards-based approach, which makes technology partnerships outside the U.S. especially attractive. It is essential to support our allies in a complex geopolitical landscape. As a public company, strengthening our governance is important as we advance the terrestrial market-based backup and complement to GPS. With that, we are pleased to welcome Lisa Hook as our Board's new Lead Independent Director. She brings decades of public company board experience at the intersection of technology, telecommunications and National security. For experience as CEO of Neustart, a publicly traded global information services company, leading you through years of complex technology and policy make her an ideal thought partner as we execute on our mission. With that, I will turn things over to Tim for a review of our financials. Tim?
Timothy Gray: Thank you, Mariam, and good afternoon, everyone. Based on the actions taken in 2025 to enhance the company's liquidity NextNav continues to hold a position of financial strength and strategic advantage with a strong cash position, valuable spectrum assets and the continued development of field testing of our resilient proven technology. On liquidity, we finished the fourth quarter with approximately $152 million in cash, cash equivalents and short-term investments. We will continue to manage our use of capital as we advance our ambitious goals, taking a deliberate approach to liquidity and commercialization. In addition, we have a significant number of warrants expiring in 2026 that have the potential to deliver over $200 million in additional capital depending on stock price performance. So let me be very clear that we believe we have significant runway in funding for multiple years. For our fourth quarter, a financial item of note. As a reminder, the gains or losses related to our outstanding private warrants and derivative liability fluctuate based on movements in our stock price. While last quarter, we had gains, this quarter, we're reporting losses. In the fourth quarter, we recognized losses of approximately $48 million associated with the change in the fair value of the derivative and warrant liability. The impact of these noncash losses resulted in our net loss for the quarter of roughly $68 million. These charges are a result of the funding the company took on earlier in 2025, which has put the company on very solid footing. With that, I'll turn the call over to the operator for questions. Operator?
Operator: [Operator Instructions] Your first question comes from the line of Mike Crawford with B. Riley Securities.
Michael Crawford: We were pleased to see that the FCC sent this promoting the development of PNT technologies to the OMB on March 2, but have you seen the content of what was actually sent. And do we know if that's any different from what has been contemplated previously?
Mariam Sorond: Mike, thanks for the question. I -- the NPRM has been drafted. And it is in the inner agency review process. We have not seen the content, and that is part of the process, contents will be available the draft review will be available once it finalizes its interagency process with the NTIA [indiscernible] and OMB [indiscernible].
Michael Crawford: And then the data that you've been collecting shows that you get more precise PNT when you have a 10/5 channel. And so do you think that, that is something that's what we're likely going to see when we get an NPRM and eventually report in order?
Mariam Sorond: Well, definitely, we've been testing and we're testing towards a 10 plus 5 capability, and that's part of our commercialization effort. And it's also just basically how 5G networks operate with respect to positioning, it becomes more accurate with the downlink being 10 megahertz. So we've made those studies over the FCC. And we remain confident that we're going to move forward with this FCC working with them to make sure that we meet the backup and complete requirements of GPS.
Operator: Your next question comes from the line of David Joyce with Seaport Research Partners.
David Joyce: Could you please provide any interesting learnings so far with your MetCom relationship? And perhaps connect that with how that might help with accelerated commercialization in the U.S.?
Mariam Sorond: I think there's definitely an international opportunity. MetCom is part of that for us, and we're super excited about the partnership that we've had with them and this new development with respect to what they're doing in Japan. I think this is a solution that, as we have said, can be taken global and it does have a national opportunity. What we're facing today with a lot of the GPS or GNSS in general, jamming and spoofing issues is a global problem. So we will share the results of whatever MetCom does when they publicize it with the market. But right now, this is a great step advancing that partnership and relationship with us.
Operator: That concludes our question-and-answer session. I will now turn the call back over to Mariam Sorond for closing remarks.
Mariam Sorond: In closing, NextNav remains highly optimistic about the path ahead toward an FCC vote on an NPRM in the near term, with clear line of sight to a report in order, and we look forward to continued engagement with the FCC and key stakeholders. We are very proud of the progress we're making to deliver a resilient future-proof terrestial complement and backup to GPS, strengthening U.S. economic and national security at a critical moment in time. Thank you all.
Operator: Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today's call. Thank you all for joining. You may now disconnect.