Stocks/NEUP

NEUP

Neuphoria Therapeutics Inc.
Healthcare·Medical - Pharmaceuticals
$5.31
$29M market cap
Revenue
$-15.7M
Free Cash Flow
$59.5M
Rev Growth
+0.0%
FCF Margin
0.0%
P/FCF
0.5x
EV/FCF
0.2x
Fwd EV/EBITDA
--
Fair Value
--
Upside
--

Neuphoria Therapeutics, Inc. is a clinical-stage biotechnology company dedicated to developing therapies that address the complex needs of individuals affected by neuropsychiatric disorders. The company was founded on December 23, 2024 and is headquartered in Burlington, MA.

2-Year Price History

$5.48-35.7%
$4.0$6.0$8.0$10$12$14$16$18volJun 24Oct 24Jan 25May 25Sep 25Jan 26May 26

Quarterly Financials & Projections

Quarterly Waterfall ($ M)
PeriodRevEBITDAOpInNIOCFFCFCapExCashDebtSharesROICIntCovEV/EBITDA
Act2026-Q30.0-1.0-1.2-0.5-3.9-3.9-0.019.40.05.4-27.2%----
Act2026-Q20.0-2.2-4.11.9-6.4-6.4-0.022.20.14.5-93.4%----
Act2026-Q10.0-5.5-5.7-9.9-3.8-3.8-0.013.70.12.3<-999%----
Act2025-Q4-15.7-846.8-1,134-378.273.673.6-0.021.60.21.6<-999%----
Historical Valuation

Multiples vs the company's own history — cheap or rich relative to itself? Historical fiscal years, then TTM, then forward projections (E). Forward rows hold today's price against projected earnings, so the multiple compresses if the company grows into it.

YearPriceRev GrEBITDA %EBITDAEV/EBITDAEV/FCFP/EP/S
TTM5.310.0%5461.9%-8550.0×0.0×0.0×0.0×

EBITDA in reporting-currency $M. Historical multiples use year-end market cap (split-adjusted price history); TTM & forward years use today's.

Valuation & Metrics

Market Stats

Price$5.31
Market Cap$29M
Enterprise Value$9M
P/S Ratio0.0x
P/FCF0.5x
EV/FCF0.2x
FCF Margin (TTM)0.0%
FCF Yield207.2%
Dividend Yield (TTM)--
Annual Dilution0.0%
CurrencyUSD

TTM Financial Snapshot

Revenue$-15.7M
Net Income$-386.7M
Free Cash Flow$59.5M

Revenue Growth (YoY)+0.0%
EBITDA Margin0.0%
Net Margin0.0%
FCF Margin0.0%
CapEx % of Revenue0.0%
SBC % of Revenue0.0%
ROIC-12452.4%
WC Change % Rev0.0%
Interest Coverage--

Forward Outlook & Risk

Short Interest

Short % of Float--
Short Shares0.1M
Days to Cover1.5
Change (vs Prior)+97.4%
Need at least 2 settlement dates for chart

Employees

Headcount8
Revenue / Employee$-1,957,839
Gross Profit / Employee$-1,937,212

Institutional Ownership

Headline & net flow

NEUTRAL
Net flow · still filing
No float data — flow unavailable.

Ownership composition

Active
22.9%(+19.5% YoY)
15 filers
hedge / family / endowment
Retail funds
Fidelity, Schwab, 401(k)
Passive
2.7%(+2.7% YoY)
3 filers
Vanguard, iShares, SPDR
Market makers
0.2%(+0.2% YoY)
1 filers
Citadel, Susquehanna
Insiders
Form 4 — latest per insider
0%25%50%75%100%2024-122025-032025-062025-092025-122026-03
ActiveRetail fundsPassiveMarket makersRetail direct

Top holders

Fund$ valueCost basisΔ QoQΔ YoYα lifeFund AUM
Lynx1 Capital Management LP$3.6M$3.86+$0+$3.4M+3.0%$633M
AdvisorShares Investments LLC$632K$4.69+$86K+$349K-7.6%$549M
Shay Capital LLC$615K$3.88−$73K+$615K+0.3%$704M
BALYASNY ASSET MANAGEMENT LLC$579K$4.07+$579K+$579K-0.4%$48.01B
VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLCPassive$401K$4.07+$401K+$401K$4.04T
Squadron Capital Management LLC$312K$4.07+$312K+$312K+17.8%$250M
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLCPassive$212K$5.98+$141K+$212K+2.3%$1.61T
Ikarian Capital, LLC$193K$3.88+$0+$193K-8.8%$698M
VANGUARD FIDUCIARY TRUST COPassive$137K$4.07+$137K+$137K$395.83B
ADAR1 Capital Management, LLC$122K$3.88+$0+$122K+8.3%$1.64B
FNY Investment Advisers, LLC$107K$3.88+$0+$107K-0.7%$225M
CITADEL ADVISORS LLC$79K$6.36+$19K+$79K-0.4%$138.22B
BOOTHBAY FUND MANAGEMENT, LLC$57K$3.88+$0+$57K-0.4%$4.25B
Virtu Financial LLCMM$49K$4.07+$49K+$49K-2.0%$2.41B
COMMONWEALTH EQUITY SERVICES, LLC$46K$3.88+$0+$46K-0.3%$71.14B
Merck & Co., Inc.$41K$3.43+$0+$0+1.4%$349M
UBS Group AG$9K$3.55+$3K+$9K-0.3%$562.11B
RHUMBLINE ADVISERS$0$3.49+$0−$0+0.4%$116.90B
MORGAN STANLEY$0$3.83+$0+$0-0.3%$1.65T
Cost basis is a volume-weighted estimate from accumulation periods within our 13F history; holders who built their position before our window started will show a stale basis. % above the cost basis is the unrealized gain at the current price.

Trading behavior

Smart-money alpha (lifetime, %/qtr)BULLISH
Holders
+1.67%
avg per quarter
Holders (ex-self)
+1.67%
excl. this stock
Buyers (this Q)
+4.23%
10 buyers · $0.00B in
Sellers (this Q)
+0.26%
1 sellers · $0.00B out
alpha coverage: 92% of $ has a lifetime-alpha record
Holder behavior on this stocksource: stock
On big dips (−10%+)
+34.7%
how holders react when this stock falls
On quiet Qs
+0.9%
−10% to +10% baseline
On rallies (+10%+)
-3.6%
how they react when this stock rises
Holders' portfolio flow this Q
+8.3%
inflows — adds are organic
Sellers' portfolio flow this Q
+13.9%
Sellers grew AUM elsewhere — opinionated cut of this stock.
▸ Compare to holder-profile behavior (across all their stocks)
Holder dip (any stock)
-2.2%
Holder mid (any stock)
-7.0%
Holder rally (any stock)
-0.6%

Top Holders Over Time

5-year share-count history (top 10 holders by peak, incl. exited) + price

0370K739K1.1M1.5M$3.43$5.52$7.61$9.70$122024-122025-032025-062025-092025-122026-03
hover the chart for per-quarter detailprice (right axis)
Lynx1 Capital Management LP875KAdvisorShares Investments LLC155KShay Capital LLC151KBALYASNY ASSET MANAGEMENT LLC142KProsperity Wealth Management, Inc.Squadron Capital Management LLC77KDIADEMA PARTNERS LPMILLENNIUM MANAGEMENT LLCIkarian Capital, LLC47KADAR1 Capital Management, LLC30K

Analyst Coverage

Analyst Coverage
Price Targets
Last Year (1 analysts)$7.003180.0%
Current Price$5.31
Analyst Ratings
1
1
Buy: 1Hold: 1Consensus: Buy

Corporate

Insider Trading (last 12mo)

Open-market only (Form 4 P-Purchase + S-Sale). Excludes grants, option exercises, tax withholding, gifts.
Major holders (≥10% beneficial owners)
Buys ($, 12mo)
$3.28M
1 txn · 1 insider · 639,110 sh
Sells ($, 12mo)
$0
0 txns · 0 insiders · 0 sh
Recent transactions
DateSideInsiderTitleSharesPriceDollarsOwned $
2025-10-21BUYLynx1 Capital Management LP10 percent owner639,110$5.14$3.28M$4.50M

Order Flow (FINRA, ~3w lag)

31.8%retail-7.4pp
8.6%dark-1.0pp
week of 2026-04-13
0%20%40%60%24-1225-0325-0625-0925-1226-0226-04retail (non-ATS)dark (ATS)
Off-exchange volume from FINRA. Retail = non-ATS (wholesaler PFOF + broker internalization). Dark = ATS (dark-pool crossing networks, institutional). Lit-exchange = remainder.

Filing Risk Analysis

Filing Risk Scores

Neuphoria Therapeutics: A Ghost in the Nasdaq Shell Powered by Accounting Magic

Overall Risk
9/10
Fraud
4/10
Dilution
10/10
Insolvency
7/10
Earnings Overstated
9/10
Hidden Liabilities
5/10
Legal
4/10
Audit Warnings
8/10
Hidden Upside
2/10
Contextually Acceptable
2/10