Stocks/NEOV

NEOV

NeoVolta Inc.
Industrials·Electrical Equipment & Parts
$1.95
$70M market cap
Revenue
$18.1M
Free Cash Flow
$-9.7M
Rev Growth
+0.0%
FCF Margin
-53.5%
P/FCF
--
EV/FCF
--
Fwd EV/EBITDA
--
Fair Value
--
Upside
--

NeoVolta Inc. designs, manufactures, and sells energy storage systems in the United States. It offers NV14 and NV 24 energy storage systems to store and use energy through batteries and an inverter at residential or commercial sites. The company markets and sells its products directly to certified solar installers and solar equipment distributors. NeoVolta Inc. was founded in 2018 and is headquartered in Poway, California.

2-Year Price History

$3.07+27.9%
$2.5$3.0$3.5$4.0$4.5$5.0$5.5volJun 24Oct 24Jan 25May 25Sep 25Jan 26May 26

Quarterly Financials & Projections

Quarterly Waterfall ($ M)
PeriodRevEBITDAOpInNIOCFFCFCapExCashDebtSharesROICIntCovEV/EBITDA
Act2026-Q32.0-2.5-2.6-3.0-3.6-3.4-0.511.50.740.2-50.3%-47.6x--
Act2026-Q24.7-4.3-4.5-5.5-2.1-2.9-0.50.24.435.0-242.5%-21.2x--
Act2026-Q16.7-0.8-0.9-1.2-2.5-2.5-0.00.94.934.2-68.1%-2.1x--
Act2025-Q44.8-1.4-1.4-1.7-0.9-0.9-0.00.83.134.1-140.7%-6.6x--
Historical Valuation

Multiples vs the company's own history — cheap or rich relative to itself? Historical fiscal years, then TTM, then forward projections (E). Forward rows hold today's price against projected earnings, so the multiple compresses if the company grows into it.

YearPriceRev GrEBITDA %EBITDAEV/EBITDAEV/FCFP/EP/S
TTM1.950.0%-50.0%-90.0×0.0×0.0×0.0×

EBITDA in reporting-currency $M. Historical multiples use year-end market cap (split-adjusted price history); TTM & forward years use today's.

Valuation & Metrics

Market Stats

Price$1.95
Market Cap$70M
Enterprise Value$59M
P/S Ratio3.9x
P/FCF--
EV/FCF--
FCF Margin (TTM)-53.5%
FCF Yield-13.8%
Dividend Yield (TTM)--
Annual Dilution0.0%
CurrencyUSD

TTM Financial Snapshot

Revenue$18.1M
Net Income$-11.5M
Free Cash Flow$-9.7M

Revenue Growth (YoY)+0.0%
EBITDA Margin-50.0%
Net Margin-63.4%
FCF Margin-53.5%
CapEx % of Revenue5.5%
SBC % of Revenue15.6%
ROIC-125.4%
WC Change % Rev-25.3%
Interest Coverage-10.5x

Forward Outlook & Risk

Short Interest

Short % of Float--
Short Shares3.5M
Days to Cover8.5
Change (vs Prior)-5.7%
Need at least 2 settlement dates for chart

Employees

Headcount10
Revenue / Employee$1,807,041
Gross Profit / Employee$361,630

Cash Runway

14.2months
WATCH

Institutional Ownership

Headline & net flow

NEUTRAL
Net flow · still filing
No float data — flow unavailable.

Ownership composition

Active
21.0%(+11.9% YoY)
27 filers
hedge / family / endowment
Retail funds
Fidelity, Schwab, 401(k)
Passive
8.9%(+6.0% YoY)
7 filers
Vanguard, iShares, SPDR
Market makers
0.6%(+0.4% YoY)
2 filers
Citadel, Susquehanna
Insiders
Form 4 — latest per insider
0%25%50%75%100%2022-062023-032023-122024-092025-062026-03
ActiveRetail fundsPassiveMarket makersRetail direct

Top holders

Fund$ valueCost basisΔ QoQΔ YoYα lifeFund AUM
Legacy Wealth Managment, LLC/ID$16.4M$3.35−$1.1M+$5.2M-9.5%$198M
VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLCPassive$5.2M$3.08+$5.2M+$5.2M$4.04T
BlackRock, Inc.Passive$1.5M$3.22+$174K+$106K-0.2%$5.69T
DAVIDSON KEMPNER CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LP$1.2M$3.08+$1.2M+$1.2M+0.9%$2.68B
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLCPassive$1.1M$4.26+$128K+$156K+2.3%$1.61T
MILLENNIUM MANAGEMENT LLC$800K$3.14+$764K+$800K-0.5%$127.40B
UBS Group AG$736K$2.90+$533K+$263K-0.3%$562.11B
VANGUARD FIDUCIARY TRUST COPassive$720K$3.08+$720K+$720K$395.83B
BIP Wealth, LLC$660K$2.71−$37K−$37K-0.3%$2.44B
SUSQUEHANNA INTERNATIONAL GROUP, LLPMM$617K$3.11+$573K+$571K-0.6%$77.14B
683 Capital Management, LLC$524K$3.04−$73K+$524K-2.2%$1.02B
STATE STREET CORPPassive$459K$3.33+$41K+$120K-0.2%$2.89T
MARSHALL WACE, LLP$388K$3.82+$327K+$388K+0.6%$92.71B
NORTHERN TRUST CORPPassive$352K$3.48−$2K−$28K-0.2%$755.34B
BARCLAYS PLC$334K$3.19+$327K+$334K-0.1%$279.69B
GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC$196K$5.21−$154K+$196K-0.2%$760.93B
Hudson Bay Capital Management LP$182K$3.08+$182K+$182K+1.9%$15.12B
Schonfeld Strategic Advisors LLC$156K$4.57+$47K+$156K+1.3%$12.20B
BB&T CORP$131K$1.18+$0+$131K-0.2%$73.72B
BANK OF AMERICA CORP /DE/$118K$4.27+$118K+$117K-0.1%$1.36T
Cost basis is a volume-weighted estimate from accumulation periods within our 13F history; holders who built their position before our window started will show a stale basis. % above the cost basis is the unrealized gain at the current price.

Trading behavior

Smart-money alpha (lifetime, %/qtr)BULLISH
Holders
-4.72%
avg per quarter
Holders (ex-self)
-7.04%
excl. this stock
Buyers (this Q)
+0.29%
18 buyers · $0.01B in
Sellers (this Q)
-2.18%
12 sellers · $0.00B out
alpha coverage: 82% of $ has a lifetime-alpha record
Holder behavior on this stocksource: stock
On big dips (−10%+)
+8.4%
how holders react when this stock falls
On quiet Qs
+23.3%
−10% to +10% baseline
On rallies (+10%+)
-0.4%
how they react when this stock rises
Holders' portfolio flow this Q
+7.7%
inflows — adds are organic
Sellers' portfolio flow this Q
+12.1%
Sellers grew AUM elsewhere — opinionated cut of this stock.
▸ Compare to holder-profile behavior (across all their stocks)
Holder dip (any stock)
-9.4%
Holder mid (any stock)
-6.0%
Holder rally (any stock)
-1.0%

Top Holders Over Time

5-year share-count history (top 10 holders by peak, incl. exited) + price

02.5M5.0M7.5M9.9M$1.18$2.19$3.20$4.20$5.212022-092023-092024-062025-032025-122026-03
hover the chart for per-quarter detailprice (right axis)
Legacy Wealth Managment, LLC/ID5.3MLegacy Investment Solutions, LLCSovran Advisors, LLC25KDAVIDSON KEMPNER CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LP400KBIP Wealth, LLC214KUBS Group AG239KMILLENNIUM MANAGEMENT LLC260KGOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC64K683 Capital Management, LLC170KRossby Financial, LCC

Analyst Coverage

Analyst Coverage
Analyst Ratings
1
Hold: 1Consensus: Hold

Corporate

Insider Trading (last 12mo)

Open-market only (Form 4 P-Purchase + S-Sale). Excludes grants, option exercises, tax withholding, gifts.
Officers & directors
Buys ($, 12mo)
$98K
1 txn · 1 insider · 47,000 sh
Sells ($, 12mo)
$0
0 txns · 0 insiders · 0 sh
Major holders (≥10% beneficial owners)
Buys ($, 12mo)
$0
0 txns · 0 insiders · 0 sh
Sells ($, 12mo)
$5K
1 txn · 1 insider · 500,000 sh
Recent transactions
DateSideInsiderTitleSharesPriceDollarsOwned $
2026-05-19BUYBond Stevedirector, officer: Executive Vice President47,000$2.09$98K$1.66M
2025-10-08SELLWillson Brent10 percent owner500,000$0.01$5K$36K

Order Flow (FINRA, ~3w lag)

33.7%retail-1.4pp
14.0%dark-1.1pp
week of 2026-04-13
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%24-1125-0225-0525-0825-1126-0226-04retail (non-ATS)dark (ATS)
Off-exchange volume from FINRA. Retail = non-ATS (wholesaler PFOF + broker internalization). Dark = ATS (dark-pool crossing networks, institutional). Lit-exchange = remainder.

Filing Risk Analysis

Filing Risk Scores

NeoVolta, Inc.: A High-Voltage Cash Burn Powered by Toxic Debt and Dilutive Financing

Overall Risk
9/10
Fraud
6/10
Dilution
9/10
Insolvency
8/10
Earnings Overstated
7/10
Hidden Liabilities
8/10
Legal
4/10
Audit Warnings
6/10
Hidden Upside
4/10
Contextually Acceptable
3/10