Stocks/NECB

NECB

Northeast Community Bancorp, Inc.
Financial Services·Banks - Regional
$24.24
$335M market cap
Revenue
$76.0M
Free Cash Flow
$22.1M
Rev Growth
+0.0%
FCF Margin
29.1%
P/FCF
15.2x
EV/FCF
15.7x
Fwd EV/EBITDA
--
Fair Value
--
Upside
--

Northeast Community Bancorp, Inc. operates as the holding company for NorthEast Community Bank that provides financial services for individuals and businesses. It accepts various deposit instruments, including checking accounts, money market accounts, regular savings accounts, and non-interest bearing demand accounts. The company also offers construction, commercial and industrial, multifamily and mixed-use real estate, non-residential real estate loans, and consumer loans. In addition, it inves

2-Year Price History

$23.99+53.0%
$16$18$20$22$24$26$28volJun 24Oct 24Jan 25May 25Sep 25Jan 26May 26

Quarterly Financials & Projections

Quarterly Waterfall ($ M)
PeriodRevEBITDAOpInNIOCFFCFCapExCashDebtSharesROICIntCovEV/EBITDA
Act2026-Q136.814.114.110.010.410.3-0.114.025.113.528.0%1.2x--
Act2025-Q439.315.615.610.812.011.8-0.210.580.013.722.3%1.2x--

Valuation & Metrics

Market Stats

Price$24.24
Market Cap$335M
Enterprise Value$346M
P/S Ratio4.4x
P/FCF15.2x
EV/FCF15.7x
FCF Margin (TTM)29.1%
FCF Yield6.6%
Dividend Yield (TTM)5.8%
Annual Dilution0.0%
CurrencyUSD

TTM Financial Snapshot

Revenue$76.0M
Net Income$20.8M
Free Cash Flow$22.1M

Revenue Growth (YoY)+0.0%
EBITDA Margin39.0%
Net Margin27.3%
FCF Margin29.1%
CapEx % of Revenue0.4%
SBC % of Revenue0.0%
ROIC25.1%
WC Change % Rev19.4%
Interest Coverage1.2x

Forward Outlook & Risk

Short Interest

Short % of Float--
Short Shares0.1M
Days to Cover2.2
Change (vs Prior)-6.9%
Need at least 2 settlement dates for chart

Employees

Headcount136
Revenue / Employee$558,941
Gross Profit / Employee$377,794

Institutional Ownership

Headline & net flow

NEUTRAL
Net flow · still filing
No float data — flow unavailable.

Ownership composition

Active
26.5%(-0.1% YoY)
110 filers
hedge / family / endowment
Retail funds
Fidelity, Schwab, 401(k)
Passive
22.0%(+1.5% YoY)
9 filers
Vanguard, iShares, SPDR
Market makers
0.2%(-0.2% YoY)
4 filers
Citadel, Susquehanna
Insiders
Form 4 — latest per insider
0%25%50%75%100%2022-062023-032023-122024-092025-062026-03
ActiveRetail fundsPassiveMarket makersRetail direct

Top holders

Fund$ valueCost basisΔ QoQΔ YoYα lifeFund AUM
BlackRock, Inc.Passive$27.5M$24.43−$598K−$1.1M-0.2%$5.69T
VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLCPassive$12.1M$23.60+$12.0M+$12.1M$4.04T
DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LPPassive$11.1M$19.03+$606K+$2.2M-0.4%$480.92B
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLCPassive$9.4M$15.32+$17K+$2.3M+2.3%$1.61T
ACADIAN ASSET MANAGEMENT LLC$7.8M$18.13+$835K+$1.1M-0.5%$70.48B
STATE STREET CORPPassive$6.8M$16.96−$82K+$254K-0.2%$2.89T
LSV ASSET MANAGEMENT$6.6M$18.95−$252K+$1.1M+0.0%$46.40B
ARROWSTREET CAPITAL, LIMITED PARTNERSHIP$5.9M$13.43+$0+$0+0.1%$184.72B
RENAISSANCE TECHNOLOGIES LLC$4.2M$17.75+$675K−$205K+1.2%$63.91B
Connor, Clark & Lunn Investment Management Ltd.$4.0M$19.10+$0−$80K+0.6%$43.38B
BRIDGEWAY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC$3.5M$15.13+$326K+$570K-2.3%$4.93B
NORTHERN TRUST CORPPassive$3.1M$16.39+$96K+$374K-0.2%$755.34B
MORGAN STANLEY$2.8M$19.24+$467K+$947K-0.3%$1.65T
Stilwell Value LLC$2.6M$14.46+$0+$0-0.4%$96.1M
MANGROVE PARTNERS$2.4M$16.63+$0+$248K+1.6%$1.23B
SEGALL BRYANT & HAMILL, LLC$2.4M$17.71−$9K+$83K-0.1%$8.06B
Empowered Funds, LLC$2.3M$17.84+$421K+$666K+0.2%$15.64B
Qube Research & Technologies Ltd$2.2M$18.61−$68K+$922K+0.3%$70.36B
AQR CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC$2.1M$22.58+$1.0M+$267K-0.2%$218.19B
AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL INC$2.0M$24.07−$61K+$101K-0.1%$430.96B
Cost basis is a volume-weighted estimate from accumulation periods within our 13F history; holders who built their position before our window started will show a stale basis. % above the cost basis is the unrealized gain at the current price.

Trading behavior

Smart-money alpha (lifetime, %/qtr)NEUTRAL
Holders
-0.09%
avg per quarter
Holders (ex-self)
-0.10%
excl. this stock
Buyers (this Q)
+0.04%
55 buyers · $0.03B in
Sellers (this Q)
-0.19%
40 sellers · $0.00B out
alpha coverage: 90% of $ has a lifetime-alpha record
Holder behavior on this stocksource: stock
On big dips (−10%+)
+5.4%
how holders react when this stock falls
On quiet Qs
+6.6%
−10% to +10% baseline
On rallies (+10%+)
-3.1%
how they react when this stock rises
Holders' portfolio flow this Q
+3.9%
inflows — adds are organic
Sellers' portfolio flow this Q
+1.1%
Sellers grew AUM elsewhere — opinionated cut of this stock.
▸ Compare to holder-profile behavior (across all their stocks)
Holder dip (any stock)
-5.2%
Holder mid (any stock)
-4.1%
Holder rally (any stock)
-5.8%

Top Holders Over Time

5-year share-count history (top 10 holders by peak, incl. exited) + price

0596K1.2M1.8M2.4M$11$14$18$21$252021-092022-092023-092024-092025-092026-03
hover the chart for per-quarter detailprice (right axis)
M3F, Inc.ACADIAN ASSET MANAGEMENT LLC327KStilwell Value LLC110KLSV ASSET MANAGEMENT276KARROWSTREET CAPITAL, LIMITED PARTNERSHIP247KRENAISSANCE TECHNOLOGIES LLC176KInvesco Ltd.16KHOTCHKIS & WILEY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC68KConnor, Clark & Lunn Investment Management Ltd.167KMILLENNIUM MANAGEMENT LLC39K

Analyst Coverage

Analyst Coverage
Analyst Ratings
1
Hold: 1Consensus: Hold

Corporate

Insider Trading (last 12mo)

Open-market only (Form 4 P-Purchase + S-Sale). Excludes grants, option exercises, tax withholding, gifts.
Officers & directors
Buys ($, 12mo)
$0
0 txns · 0 insiders · 0 sh
Sells ($, 12mo)
$496K
8 txns · 6 insiders · 22,007 sh
Recent transactions
DateSideInsiderTitleSharesPriceDollarsOwned $
2026-03-12SELLCirillo Charles Michaeldirector3,566$22.94$82K$133K
2026-03-05SELLMcKenzie John Fdirector3,000$23.85$72K$388K
2025-12-12SELLHom Donald Sofficer: EVP and CFO2,000$23.76$48K$183K
2025-12-11SELLCavanaugh Diane Bdirector1,000$23.60$24K$156K
2025-12-11SELLMartinek Charles Adirector2,000$23.47$47K$12K
2025-10-28SELLHom Donald Sofficer: EVP and CFO4,000$20.19$81K$116K
2025-08-26SELLCollazo Jose Mdirector, officer: President and COO5,441$22.33$121K$209K
2025-08-13SELLHom Donald Sofficer: EVP and CFO1,000$22.05$22K$171K

Order Flow (FINRA, ~3w lag)

8.6%retail+1.8pp
28.8%dark+0.2pp
week of 2026-04-13
10%20%30%40%24-1125-0225-0525-0825-1126-0226-04retail (non-ATS)dark (ATS)
Off-exchange volume from FINRA. Retail = non-ATS (wholesaler PFOF + broker internalization). Dark = ATS (dark-pool crossing networks, institutional). Lit-exchange = remainder.

Filing Risk Analysis

Filing Risk Scores

NORTHEAST COMMUNITY BANCORP, INC.: Standard administrative reporting mask for a regional EGC bank

Overall Risk
3/10
Fraud
2/10
Dilution
2/10
Insolvency
3/10
Earnings Overstated
3/10
Hidden Liabilities
3/10
Legal
2/10
Audit Warnings
1/10
Hidden Upside
2/10
Contextually Acceptable
10/10