Stocks/MCRI

MCRI

Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc.
Consumer Cyclical·Gambling, Resorts & Casinos
$120.26
$2.1B market cap
Revenue
$276.6M
Free Cash Flow
$75.2M
Rev Growth
+0.0%
FCF Margin
27.2%
P/FCF
28.4x
EV/FCF
27.0x
Fwd EV/EBITDA
--
Fair Value
--
Upside
--

Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc., through its subsidiaries, owns and operates the Atlantis Casino Resort Spa, a hotel and casino in Reno, Nevada. The company also owns and operates the Monarch Casino Resort Spa Black Hawk in Black Hawk, Colorado. As of December 31, 2021, its Atlantis Casino Resort Spa featured approximately 61,000 square feet of casino space; 818 guest rooms and suites; 8 food outlets; 2 gourmet coffee and pastry bars; a 30,000 square-foot health spa and salon with an enclosed pool

2-Year Price History

$116.81+78.5%
$70$80$90$100$110volJun 24Oct 24Jan 25May 25Sep 25Jan 26May 26

Quarterly Financials & Projections

Quarterly Waterfall ($ M)
PeriodRevEBITDAOpInNIOCFFCFCapExCashDebtSharesROICIntCovEV/EBITDA
Act2026-Q1136.647.036.527.648.543.0-5.6120.113.018.258.0%----
Act2025-Q4140.042.929.122.938.132.2-5.996.525.618.744.5%----

Valuation & Metrics

Market Stats

Price$120.26
Market Cap$2.1B
Enterprise Value$2.0B
P/S Ratio7.7x
P/FCF28.4x
EV/FCF27.0x
FCF Margin (TTM)27.2%
FCF Yield3.5%
Dividend Yield (TTM)1.0%
Annual Dilution0.0%
CurrencyUSD

TTM Financial Snapshot

Revenue$276.6M
Net Income$50.5M
Free Cash Flow$75.2M

Revenue Growth (YoY)+0.0%
EBITDA Margin32.5%
Net Margin18.3%
FCF Margin27.2%
CapEx % of Revenue4.1%
SBC % of Revenue1.5%
ROIC51.2%
WC Change % Rev1.3%
Interest Coverage--

Forward Outlook & Risk

Short Interest

Short % of Float--
Short Shares0.3M
Days to Cover1.2
Change (vs Prior)-7.3%
Need at least 2 settlement dates for chart

Employees

Headcount2,900
Revenue / Employee$95,363
Gross Profit / Employee$48,850

Institutional Ownership

Headline & net flow

NEUTRAL
Net flow · still filing
No float data — flow unavailable.

Ownership composition

Active
32.1%(+3.3% YoY)
223 filers
hedge / family / endowment
Retail funds
Fidelity, Schwab, 401(k)
Passive
19.4%(+3.7% YoY)
11 filers
Vanguard, iShares, SPDR
Market makers
0.3%(-0.4% YoY)
4 filers
Citadel, Susquehanna
Insiders
Form 4 — latest per insider
0%25%50%75%100%2022-062023-032023-122024-092025-062026-03
ActiveRetail fundsPassiveMarket makersRetail direct

Top holders

Fund$ valueCost basisΔ QoQΔ YoYα lifeFund AUM
BlackRock, Inc.Passive$188M$78.41+$2.0M−$4.7M-0.2%$5.69T
DAVENPORT & Co LLC$79.7M$62.71−$9.3M−$24.1M-0.2%$17.92B
VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLCPassive$52.8M$95.60+$52.8M+$52.8M$4.04T
AMERICAN CENTURY COMPANIES INC$48.8M$72.35+$1.3M+$6.1M+0.7%$193.48B
JPMORGAN CHASE & CO$47.6M$69.88+$1.8M−$33.9M-0.2%$1.47T
STATE STREET CORPPassive$46.4M$69.98+$882K−$366K-0.2%$2.89T
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLCPassive$39.1M$78.13+$1.1M+$7.8M+2.3%$1.61T
VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLCPassive$36.2M$95.60+$36.2M+$36.2M$1.91T
FULLER & THALER ASSET MANAGEMENT, INC.$28.1M$79.07−$31K−$4.7M-0.1%$29.55B
ALLIANCEBERNSTEIN L.P.$26.2M$95.24+$24.7M+$24.9M-0.3%$307.70B
MORGAN STANLEY$21.4M$72.49−$1.8M−$218K-0.3%$1.65T
ARROWSTREET CAPITAL, LIMITED PARTNERSHIP$19.4M$80.42−$592K+$10.0M+0.1%$184.72B
FMR LLC$17.7M$71.16−$418K+$1.4M-0.0%$1.89T
DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LPPassive$16.1M$68.19−$238K−$271K-0.4%$480.92B
AQR CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC$15.9M$82.39+$8.2M+$10.4M-0.2%$218.19B
CHARLES SCHWAB INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT INC$15.4M$81.37+$470K+$2.9M+0.7%$645.81B
Tributary Capital Management, LLC$14.9M$53.90−$2.4M−$10.4M-1.3%$1.03B
WELLINGTON MANAGEMENT GROUP LLP$14.6M$70.95−$637K−$7.7M-0.3%$533.98B
Qube Research & Technologies Ltd$14.0M$87.60−$2.4M+$4.8M+0.3%$70.36B
RENAISSANCE TECHNOLOGIES LLC$12.9M$75.21−$2.2M−$1.5M+1.2%$63.91B
Cost basis is a volume-weighted estimate from accumulation periods within our 13F history; holders who built their position before our window started will show a stale basis. % above the cost basis is the unrealized gain at the current price.

Trading behavior

Smart-money alpha (lifetime, %/qtr)NEUTRAL
Holders
-0.07%
avg per quarter
Holders (ex-self)
-0.07%
excl. this stock
Buyers (this Q)
-0.19%
121 buyers · $0.17B in
Sellers (this Q)
-0.16%
89 sellers · $0.07B out
alpha coverage: 91% of $ has a lifetime-alpha record
Holder behavior on this stocksource: stock
On big dips (−10%+)
+0.2%
how holders react when this stock falls
On quiet Qs
-0.2%
−10% to +10% baseline
On rallies (+10%+)
-17.2%
how they react when this stock rises
Holders' portfolio flow this Q
+2.0%
inflows — adds are organic
Sellers' portfolio flow this Q
+0.7%
Sellers' overall flow ~ flat.
▸ Compare to holder-profile behavior (across all their stocks)
Holder dip (any stock)
-4.4%
Holder mid (any stock)
-2.7%
Holder rally (any stock)
-5.0%

Top Holders Over Time

5-year share-count history (top 10 holders by peak, incl. exited) + price

01.1M2.3M3.4M4.6M$50$64$78$91$1052021-062022-062023-062024-062025-062026-03
hover the chart for per-quarter detailprice (right axis)
DAVENPORT & Co LLC841KJANUS HENDERSON GROUP PLC6KJPMORGAN CHASE & CO506KLafitte Capital Management LPAMERICAN CENTURY COMPANIES INC510KInvesco Ltd.54KMACQUARIE GROUP LTDFIRST TRUST ADVISORS LP52KPacer Advisors, Inc.FULLER & THALER ASSET MANAGEMENT, INC.294K

Analyst Coverage

Analyst Coverage
Price Targets
Last Quarter (1 analysts)$97.00-1930.0%
Last Year (4 analysts)$107.75-1040.0%
Current Price$120.26
Analyst Ratings
3
6
Buy: 3Hold: 6Consensus: Hold

Corporate

Insider Trading (last 12mo)

Open-market only (Form 4 P-Purchase + S-Sale). Excludes grants, option exercises, tax withholding, gifts.
Officers & directors
Buys ($, 12mo)
$0
0 txns · 0 insiders · 0 sh
Sells ($, 12mo)
$5.29M
10 txns · 4 insiders · 90,400 sh
Major holders (≥10% beneficial owners)
Buys ($, 12mo)
$0
0 txns · 0 insiders · 0 sh
Sells ($, 12mo)
$507K
3 txns · 1 insider · 5,000 sh
Recent transactions
DateSideInsiderTitleSharesPriceDollarsOwned $
2026-03-16SELLFARAHI JOHNdirector, 10 percent owner, officer: CEO2,000$99.00$198K$53.09M
2026-03-10SELLFARAHI JOHNdirector, 10 percent owner, officer: CEO1,000$97.43$97K$52.45M
2026-02-09SELLAndrews Pauldirector6,100$26.62$162K$1.38M
2026-01-15SELLLANDAU YVETTEdirector36,600$65.74$2.41M$0
2026-01-14SELLLANDAU YVETTEdirector9,516$43.61$415K$1.60M
2026-01-13SELLLANDAU YVETTEdirector2,684$44.55$120K$2.05M
2026-01-08SELLLANDAU YVETTEdirector9,898$27.63$273K$1.35M
2026-01-06SELLLANDAU YVETTEdirector2,302$21.85$50K$1.28M
2025-08-22SELLSULLIVAN CRAIG Fdirector5,376$44.55$240K$1.90M
2025-07-24SELLSULLIVAN CRAIG Fdirector724$44.55$32K$2.14M
2025-07-22SELLFARAHI JOHNdirector, 10 percent owner, officer: CEO2,000$105.78$212K$59.25M
2025-07-22SELLSULLIVAN CRAIG Fdirector12,200$105.55$1.29M$0
2025-07-21SELLKoenig Edwin S.officer: CAO5,000$61.17$306K$918K

Order Flow (FINRA, ~3w lag)

12.3%retail+2.4pp
21.2%dark-1.6pp
week of 2026-04-13
10%20%30%40%24-1125-0225-0525-0825-1126-0226-04retail (non-ATS)dark (ATS)
Off-exchange volume from FINRA. Retail = non-ATS (wholesaler PFOF + broker internalization). Dark = ATS (dark-pool crossing networks, institutional). Lit-exchange = remainder.

Filing Risk Analysis

Filing Risk Scores

Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc.: Minimalist Administrative Filing Indicates Operational Stability

Overall Risk
2/10
Fraud
1/10
Dilution
2/10
Insolvency
1/10
Earnings Overstated
3/10
Hidden Liabilities
2/10
Legal
2/10
Audit Warnings
1/10
Hidden Upside
4/10
Contextually Acceptable
10/10