Stocks/MBIN

MBIN

Merchants Bancorp
Financial Services·Banks - Regional
$47.14
$2.2B market cap
Revenue
$671.8M
Free Cash Flow
$-978.0M
Rev Growth
+0.0%
FCF Margin
-145.6%
P/FCF
--
EV/FCF
--
Fwd EV/EBITDA
--
Fair Value
--
Upside
--

Merchants Bancorp operates as the diversified bank holding company in the United States. The company operates through Multi-family Mortgage Banking, Mortgage Warehousing, and Banking segments. The Multi-family Mortgage Banking segment originates and services government sponsored mortgages for multi-family and healthcare facilities. This segment also offers customized loan products for independent living, assisted living, memory care, and skilled nursing projects; and operates as a syndicator of

2-Year Price History

$45.99+17.3%
$30$35$40$45$50volMay 24Sep 24Jan 25May 25Sep 25Jan 26May 26

Quarterly Financials & Projections

Quarterly Waterfall ($ M)
PeriodRevEBITDAOpInNIOCFFCFCapExCashDebtSharesROICIntCovEV/EBITDA
Act2026-Q1317.184.384.367.7-780.4-781.6-1.219.64,78846.04.9%0.6x--
Act2025-Q4354.773.973.967.9-192.6-196.4-3.8880.93,85046.05.9%0.4x--

Valuation & Metrics

Market Stats

Price$47.14
Market Cap$2.2B
Enterprise Value$6.9B
P/S Ratio3.2x
P/FCF--
EV/FCF--
FCF Margin (TTM)-145.6%
FCF Yield-45.2%
Dividend Yield (TTM)0.9%
Annual Dilution0.0%
CurrencyUSD

TTM Financial Snapshot

Revenue$671.8M
Net Income$135.6M
Free Cash Flow$-978.0M

Revenue Growth (YoY)+0.0%
EBITDA Margin23.5%
Net Margin20.2%
FCF Margin-145.6%
CapEx % of Revenue0.7%
SBC % of Revenue0.0%
ROIC5.4%
WC Change % Rev1630.9%
Interest Coverage0.5x

Forward Outlook & Risk

Short Interest

Short % of Float--
Short Shares1.7M
Days to Cover9.8
Change (vs Prior)+3.9%
Need at least 2 settlement dates for chart

Employees

Headcount663
Revenue / Employee$1,013,243
Gross Profit / Employee$478,845

Cash Runway

0.2months
CRITICAL

Institutional Ownership

Headline & net flow

NEUTRAL
Net flow · still filing
No float data — flow unavailable.

Ownership composition

Active
72.9%(+56.6% YoY)
161 filers
hedge / family / endowment
Retail funds
Fidelity, Schwab, 401(k)
Passive
19.1%(+9.8% YoY)
11 filers
Vanguard, iShares, SPDR
Market makers
0.1%(-0.1% YoY)
4 filers
Citadel, Susquehanna
Insiders
Form 4 — latest per insider
0%25%50%75%100%2022-062023-032023-122024-092025-062026-03
ActiveRetail fundsPassiveMarket makersRetail direct

Top holders

Fund$ valueCost basisΔ QoQΔ YoYα lifeFund AUM
Elser Financial Planning, Inc$1.18B$35.95−$4.8M+$1.18B-0.6%$2.06B
BlackRock, Inc.Passive$174M$42.53+$93.1M+$108M-0.2%$5.69T
DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LPPassive$75.5M$35.34+$4.4M+$15.8M-0.4%$480.92B
Doma Perpetual Capital Management LLC$47.9M$33.77+$0+$47.9M-1.7%$372M
NOMURA ASSET MANAGEMENT INTERNATIONAL INC.$46.9M$33.97−$746K+$46.9M+1.4%$58.02B
STATE STREET CORPPassive$44.5M$40.17+$19.8M+$24.7M-0.2%$2.89T
VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLCPassive$42.9M$42.91+$42.9M+$42.9M$4.04T
AMERICAN CENTURY COMPANIES INC$31.9M$36.57+$2.9M+$9.9M+0.7%$193.48B
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLCPassive$31.1M$32.65+$431K+$6.2M+2.3%$1.61T
ROYCE & ASSOCIATES LP$24.3M$38.96−$10.3M−$5.1M-0.9%$10.09B
VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLCPassive$19.9M$42.91+$19.9M+$19.9M$1.91T
HOTCHKIS & WILEY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC$13.0M$32.84−$3.8M+$80K-0.1%$31.89B
MORGAN STANLEY$12.8M$38.26+$1.9M+$814K-0.3%$1.65T
NORTHERN TRUST CORPPassive$12.3M$34.88+$1.3M+$4.9M-0.2%$755.34B
BANC FUNDS CO LLC$12.1M$28.05+$1.6M−$4.5M-1.4%$537M
BASSWOOD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.L.C.$11.7M$33.39+$0−$13.0M-0.2%$1.96B
CHARLES SCHWAB INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT INC$10.6M$36.40+$577K+$2.0M+0.7%$645.81B
Bank of New York Mellon Corp$10.1M$36.62+$3.1M+$3.9M-0.2%$543.21B
Valeo Financial Advisors, LLC$10.1M$30.52−$387K+$415K-0.6%$4.18B
ROYAL BANK OF CANADA$9.1M$41.06+$296K−$314K-0.2%$526.36B
Cost basis is a volume-weighted estimate from accumulation periods within our 13F history; holders who built their position before our window started will show a stale basis. % above the cost basis is the unrealized gain at the current price.

Trading behavior

Smart-money alpha (lifetime, %/qtr)BULLISH
Holders
-0.67%
avg per quarter
Holders (ex-self)
-0.52%
excl. this stock
Buyers (this Q)
-0.13%
97 buyers · $0.32B in
Sellers (this Q)
-0.80%
54 sellers · $-0.24B out
alpha coverage: 96% of $ has a lifetime-alpha record
Holder behavior on this stocksource: stock
On big dips (−10%+)
-22.7%
how holders react when this stock falls
On quiet Qs
+1.2%
−10% to +10% baseline
On rallies (+10%+)
-11.8%
how they react when this stock rises
Holders' portfolio flow this Q
+860.5%
inflows — adds are organic
Sellers' portfolio flow this Q
+1426.2%
Sellers grew AUM elsewhere — opinionated cut of this stock.
▸ Compare to holder-profile behavior (across all their stocks)
Holder dip (any stock)
-0.5%
Holder mid (any stock)
+1.5%
Holder rally (any stock)
+0.2%

Top Holders Over Time

5-year share-count history (top 10 holders by peak, incl. exited) + price

07.8M15.6M23.4M31.2M$22$27$33$39$442021-062022-062023-062024-062025-062026-03
hover the chart for per-quarter detailprice (right axis)
Elser Financial Planning, Inc27.0MDoma Perpetual Capital Management LLC1.1MNOMURA ASSET MANAGEMENT INTERNATIONAL INC.1.1MMACQUARIE GROUP LTDBASSWOOD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.L.C.274KAMERICAN CENTURY COMPANIES INC743KROYCE & ASSOCIATES LP567KJPMORGAN CHASE & CO29KInvesco Ltd.155KBANC FUNDS CO LLC281K

Analyst Coverage

Analyst Coverage
Price Targets
Last Quarter (2 analysts)$54.501560.0%
Last Year (4 analysts)$47.5080.0%
Current Price$47.14
Analyst Ratings
5
2
Buy: 5Hold: 2Consensus: Buy

Corporate

Insider Trading (last 12mo)

Open-market only (Form 4 P-Purchase + S-Sale). Excludes grants, option exercises, tax withholding, gifts.
Officers & directors
Buys ($, 12mo)
$1.24M
5 txns · 3 insiders · 40,353 sh
Sells ($, 12mo)
$253K
1 txn · 1 insider · 5,500 sh
Major holders (≥10% beneficial owners)
Buys ($, 12mo)
$0
0 txns · 0 insiders · 0 sh
Sells ($, 12mo)
$4.40M
29 txns · 1 insider · 151,072 sh
Recent transactions
DateSideInsiderTitleSharesPriceDollarsOwned $
2026-05-06SELLPetrie Michael F.director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chairman and CEO8,334$46.86$391K$87.39M
2026-05-05SELLPetrie Michael F.director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chairman and CEO30,696$46.75$1.44M$34.41M
2026-02-26SELLPetrie Michael F.director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chairman and CEO28,871$32.62$942K$96K
2026-02-25SELLPetrie Michael F.director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chairman and CEO377$20.20$8K$340K
2026-02-18SELLPetrie Michael F.director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chairman and CEO1,502$20.20$30K$348K
2026-02-17SELLPetrie Michael F.director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chairman and CEO100$20.20$2K$378K
2026-02-10SELLPetrie Michael F.director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chairman and CEO4,455$20.20$90K$380K
2026-02-10SELLSchroeter Martin Aofficer: President-Warehouse Lending5,500$46.06$253K$501K
2026-02-09SELLPetrie Michael F.director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chairman and CEO14,610$20.20$295K$470K
2026-02-06SELLPetrie Michael F.director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chairman and CEO7,149$20.20$144K$765K
2026-02-05SELLPetrie Michael F.director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chairman and CEO2,034$20.20$41K$909K
2026-02-04SELLPetrie Michael F.director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chairman and CEO6,929$20.20$140K$951K
2026-02-03SELLPetrie Michael F.director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chairman and CEO1,383$20.20$28K$1.09M
2026-02-02SELLPetrie Michael F.director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chairman and CEO2,404$20.20$49K$1.12M
2025-12-12SELLPetrie Michael F.director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chairman and CEO1,380$19.00$26K$1.10M
2025-12-11SELLPetrie Michael F.director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chairman and CEO5,336$19.00$101K$1.12M
2025-12-10SELLPetrie Michael F.director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chairman and CEO7,541$19.00$143K$1.23M
2025-12-08SELLPetrie Michael F.director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chairman and CEO1,129$19.03$21K$1.37M
2025-12-05SELLPetrie Michael F.director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chairman and CEO3,159$19.14$60K$1.40M
2025-12-04SELLPetrie Michael F.director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chairman and CEO3,109$19.14$60K$1.46M

Order Flow (FINRA, ~3w lag)

6.6%retail-0.5pp
32.8%dark+5.4pp
week of 2026-04-13
10%20%30%40%24-1125-0225-0525-0825-1126-0226-04retail (non-ATS)dark (ATS)
Off-exchange volume from FINRA. Retail = non-ATS (wholesaler PFOF + broker internalization). Dark = ATS (dark-pool crossing networks, institutional). Lit-exchange = remainder.

Filing Risk Analysis

Filing Risk Scores

Merchants Bancorp: Complex Capital Tiering and Preferred Stock Proliferation

Overall Risk
3/10
Fraud
1/10
Dilution
4/10
Insolvency
2/10
Earnings Overstated
2/10
Hidden Liabilities
3/10
Legal
2/10
Audit Warnings
1/10
Hidden Upside
2/10
Contextually Acceptable
9/10