Stocks/FRD

FRD

Friedman Industries, Incorporated
Basic Materials·Steel
$23.38
$166M market cap
Revenue
$584.4M
Free Cash Flow
$-7.5M
Rev Growth
+0.0%
FCF Margin
-1.3%
P/FCF
--
EV/FCF
--
Fwd EV/EBITDA
--
Fair Value
--
Upside
--

Friedman Industries, Incorporated engages in steel processing, pipe manufacturing and processing, and the steel and pipe distribution businesses the United States. It operates in two segments, Coil and Tubular. The Coil segment is involved in the conversion of steel coils into flat sheet and plate steel cut to customer specifications and reselling steel coils. This segment also processes customer-owned coils on a fee basis. The company sells coil products and processing services to approximately

2-Year Price History

$20.68+28.4%
$14$16$18$20$22volJun 24Oct 24Jan 25May 25Sep 25Jan 26May 26

Quarterly Financials & Projections

Quarterly Waterfall ($ M)
PeriodRevEBITDAOpInNIOCFFCFCapExCashDebtSharesROICIntCovEV/EBITDA
Act2026-Q3168.04.93.93.0-4.8-6.4-1.63.097.17.08.0%3.8x9.0x
Act2026-Q2152.44.72.92.20.4-2.0-2.54.691.57.06.1%6.2x--
Act2026-Q1134.88.27.05.015.513.7-1.82.135.87.026.2%12.1x--
Act2025-Q4129.28.55.95.3-11.8-12.8-1.03.750.57.018.6%11.0x--
Historical Valuation

Multiples vs the company's own history — cheap or rich relative to itself? Historical fiscal years, then TTM, then forward projections (E). Forward rows hold today's price against projected earnings, so the multiple compresses if the company grows into it.

YearPriceRev GrEBITDA %EBITDAEV/EBITDAEV/FCFP/EP/S
TTM23.380.0%4.5%260.0×0.0×0.0×0.0×

EBITDA in reporting-currency $M. Historical multiples use year-end market cap (split-adjusted price history); TTM & forward years use today's.

Valuation & Metrics

Market Stats

Price$23.38
Market Cap$166M
Enterprise Value$260M
P/S Ratio0.3x
P/FCF--
EV/FCF--
FCF Margin (TTM)-1.3%
FCF Yield-4.5%
Dividend Yield (TTM)0.9%
Annual Dilution0.0%
CurrencyUSD

TTM Financial Snapshot

Revenue$584.4M
Net Income$15.6M
Free Cash Flow$-7.5M

Revenue Growth (YoY)+0.0%
EBITDA Margin4.5%
Net Margin2.7%
FCF Margin-1.3%
CapEx % of Revenue1.2%
SBC % of Revenue0.1%
ROIC14.7%
WC Change % Rev-6.8%
Interest Coverage7.5x

Forward Outlook & Risk

Short Interest

Short % of Float--
Short Shares0.2M
Days to Cover7.1
Change (vs Prior)+3.0%
Need at least 2 settlement dates for chart

Employees

Headcount268
Revenue / Employee$2,180,410
Gross Profit / Employee$186,563

Cash Runway

4.8months
CRITICAL

Institutional Ownership

Headline & net flow

NEUTRAL
Net flow · still filing
No float data — flow unavailable.

Ownership composition

Active
26.6%(+3.6% YoY)
53 filers
hedge / family / endowment
Retail funds
Fidelity, Schwab, 401(k)
Passive
18.7%(+8.2% YoY)
9 filers
Vanguard, iShares, SPDR
Market makers
0.0%(-0.3% YoY)
1 filers
Citadel, Susquehanna
Insiders
Form 4 — latest per insider
0%25%50%75%100%2022-062023-032023-122024-092025-062026-03
ActiveRetail fundsPassiveMarket makersRetail direct

Top holders

Fund$ valueCost basisΔ QoQΔ YoYα lifeFund AUM
DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LPPassive$9.6M$14.50+$58K−$275K-0.4%$480.92B
De Lisle Partners LLP$7.4M$18.28+$0+$0-0.6%$836M
GENDELL JEFFREY L$6.3M$12.11+$0−$1.4M+8.4%$7.34B
RENAISSANCE TECHNOLOGIES LLC$5.9M$13.90+$184K−$10K+1.2%$63.91B
BlackRock, Inc.Passive$5.8M$17.50−$82K+$5.2M-0.2%$5.69T
VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLCPassive$5.1M$17.68+$5.1M+$5.1M$4.04T
Mink Brook Asset Management LLC$2.9M$15.28+$209K−$473K-0.3%$179M
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLCPassive$2.8M$15.97+$12K+$1.5M+2.3%$1.61T
Truffle Hound Capital, LLC$2.7M$15.24+$0+$799K+2.6%$163M
BRIDGEWAY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC$2.1M$13.94−$214K−$608K-2.3%$4.93B
ACADIAN ASSET MANAGEMENT LLC$2.1M$12.66+$89K−$219K-0.5%$70.48B
MORGAN STANLEY$1.7M$17.03−$65K+$54K-0.3%$1.65T
STATE STREET CORPPassive$1.5M$16.98+$70K+$998K-0.2%$2.89T
Bank of New York Mellon Corp$1.0M$16.74+$18K+$495K-0.2%$543.21B
NORTHERN TRUST CORPPassive$1.0M$16.04+$71K+$542K-0.2%$755.34B
Callahan Advisors, LLC$895K$13.08+$102K−$27K-0.4%$1.20B
Empowered Funds, LLC$833K$14.59+$0+$140K+0.2%$15.64B
O'SHAUGHNESSY ASSET MANAGEMENT, LLC$800K$18.84−$429K+$325K+0.1%$19.92B
VANGUARD FIDUCIARY TRUST COPassive$754K$17.68+$752K+$754K$395.83B
VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLCPassive$689K$17.68+$687K+$689K$1.91T
Cost basis is a volume-weighted estimate from accumulation periods within our 13F history; holders who built their position before our window started will show a stale basis. % above the cost basis is the unrealized gain at the current price.

Trading behavior

Smart-money alpha (lifetime, %/qtr)NEUTRAL
Holders
+1.40%
avg per quarter
Holders (ex-self)
+1.41%
excl. this stock
Buyers (this Q)
-0.19%
20 buyers · $0.01B in
Sellers (this Q)
-0.44%
16 sellers · $0.00B out
alpha coverage: 90% of $ has a lifetime-alpha record
Holder behavior on this stocksource: stock
On big dips (−10%+)
+1.2%
how holders react when this stock falls
On quiet Qs
+9.2%
−10% to +10% baseline
On rallies (+10%+)
-9.5%
how they react when this stock rises
Holders' portfolio flow this Q
+2.8%
inflows — adds are organic
Sellers' portfolio flow this Q
+3.2%
Sellers grew AUM elsewhere — opinionated cut of this stock.
▸ Compare to holder-profile behavior (across all their stocks)
Holder dip (any stock)
-2.0%
Holder mid (any stock)
-4.3%
Holder rally (any stock)
-4.1%

Top Holders Over Time

5-year share-count history (top 10 holders by peak, incl. exited) + price

0470K941K1.4M1.9M$6.89$11$14$18$222021-062022-062023-062024-062025-062026-03
hover the chart for per-quarter detailprice (right axis)
De Lisle Partners LLP420KGENDELL JEFFREY L355KRENAISSANCE TECHNOLOGIES LLC331KMink Brook Asset Management LLC163KTruffle Hound Capital, LLC150KBRIDGEWAY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC120KACADIAN ASSET MANAGEMENT LLC117KMORGAN STANLEY97KInformed Momentum Co LLCO'SHAUGHNESSY ASSET MANAGEMENT, LLC45K

Corporate

Insider Trading (last 12mo)

Open-market only (Form 4 P-Purchase + S-Sale). Excludes grants, option exercises, tax withholding, gifts.
Officers & directors
Buys ($, 12mo)
$123K
11 txns · 3 insiders · 6,500 sh
Sells ($, 12mo)
$0
0 txns · 0 insiders · 0 sh
Recent transactions
DateSideInsiderTitleSharesPriceDollarsOwned $
2026-03-18BUYChhibbar Gauravofficer: Chief Operating Officer400$16.94$7K$871K
2026-03-09BUYTaylor Mike Jdirector, officer: President / CEO / Director500$18.00$9K$4.02M
2026-03-03BUYTaylor Mike Jdirector, officer: President / CEO / Director400$18.00$7K$4.01M
2026-02-23BUYTaylor Mike Jdirector, officer: President / CEO / Director100$18.00$2K$4.00M
2026-02-19BUYChhibbar Gauravofficer: Chief Operating Officer1,000$18.35$18K$936K
2026-02-18BUYTaylor Mike Jdirector, officer: President / CEO / Director600$18.75$11K$4.17M
2025-12-02BUYTaylor Mike Jdirector, officer: President / CEO / Director500$18.74$9K$4.15M
2025-12-01BUYScott Sandra Kaydirector500$20.27$10K$214K
2025-11-28BUYScott Sandra Kaydirector500$20.05$10K$202K
2025-11-24BUYTaylor Mike Jdirector, officer: President / CEO / Director1,000$19.47$19K$4.30M
2025-11-21BUYTaylor Mike Jdirector, officer: President / CEO / Director1,000$19.28$19K$4.24M

Order Flow (FINRA, ~3w lag)

35.9%retail+0.4pp
13.8%dark+1.0pp
week of 2026-04-13
0%20%40%60%24-1125-0225-0525-0825-1126-0226-04retail (non-ATS)dark (ATS)
Off-exchange volume from FINRA. Retail = non-ATS (wholesaler PFOF + broker internalization). Dark = ATS (dark-pool crossing networks, institutional). Lit-exchange = remainder.

Filing Risk Analysis

Filing Risk Scores

FRIEDMAN INDUSTRIES INC: Heavy Metal M&A and The Inventory Gamble

Overall Risk
5/10
Fraud
2/10
Dilution
4/10
Insolvency
3/10
Earnings Overstated
4/10
Hidden Liabilities
4/10
Legal
2/10
Audit Warnings
2/10
Hidden Upside
6/10
Contextually Acceptable
8/10