Stocks/FNKO

FNKO

Funko, Inc.
Consumer Cyclical·Leisure
$5.68
$317M market cap
Claude Rating
2/10SHORT
Revenue
$918.4M
Free Cash Flow
$-16.2M
Rev Growth
+5.3%
FCF Margin
-1.8%
P/FCF
--
EV/FCF
--
Fwd EV/EBITDA
8.9x
Fair Value
$3.25
Upside
-42.8%

Funko, Inc., a pop culture consumer products company, designs, sources, and distributes licensed pop culture products in the United States, Europe, and internationally. The company provides vinyl, blind-packed miniature, and action figures; fashion accessories, including bags, backpacks, and wallets; apparel, such as t-shirts and hats; board games, plush products, and accessories, such as keychains, pens, and pins; homewares, comprising drinkware, and other home accessories, non-fungible tokens,

2-Year Price History

$5.21-45.2%
$4.0$6.0$8.0$10$12$14volJun 24Oct 24Jan 25May 25Sep 25Jan 26May 26

Quarterly Financials & Projections

Quarterly Waterfall ($ M)
PeriodRevEBITDAOpInNIOCFFCFCapExCashDebtSharesROICIntCovEV/EBITDA
Est2028-Q1208.07.3---11.4---8.3-7.340.8----------
Est2027-Q4278.023.6--1.4--19.5-8.349.2----------
Est2027-Q3258.023.2--1.3--5.2-7.729.7----------
Est2027-Q2215.08.6---10.8---12.9-7.524.6----------
Est2027-Q1205.06.2---12.3---10.3-7.237.5----------
Est2026-Q4280.025.2--2.8--22.4-8.447.7----------
Est2026-Q3260.024.7--3.9--7.8-7.825.3----------
Est2026-Q2210.07.4---15.8---16.8-7.417.5----------
Act2026-Q1200.95.1-9.6-18.110.21.9-8.234.3277.855.4-13.9%1.1x15.5x
Act2025-Q4273.120.55.7-0.228.110.3-8.942.2291.754.45.7%3.9x31.7x
Act2025-Q3250.922.36.40.911.23.4-7.939.2312.254.76.6%4.0x31.2x
Act2025-Q2193.5-21.1-34.8-40.5-22.2-31.8-9.749.2331.254.4-42.0%-4.7x29.6x
Act2025-Q1190.7-8.1-23.2-27.6-22.3-28.8-6.625.9276.853.5-33.5%-2.1x14.4x
Act2024-Q4293.723.75.4-1.559.847.8-12.034.7260.352.05.3%5.6x11.3x
Act2024-Q3292.827.411.74.33.4-4.2-7.528.6304.153.412.9%5.5x11.6x
Act2024-Q2247.725.110.75.145.936.8-9.141.6305.452.612.6%4.9x10.8x
Act2024-Q1215.7-0.9-14.9-22.714.510.4-4.226.1330.950.7-18.0%-0.1x56.1x
Act2023-Q4291.214.3-3.4-10.833.829.5-4.336.5362.450.4-3.8%1.9x--
Act2023-Q3312.915.4-5.5-15.09.21.0-8.231.9391.348.2-5.6%2.0x--
Act2023-Q2240.0-16.6-30.5-73.018.28.3-10.036.8400.247.4-29.6%-2.3x--
Act2023-Q1251.9-20.4-64.5-55.3-30.3-43.0-12.834.8408.747.3-44.3%-3.6x33.2x
Act2022-Q4333.0-2.6-58.1-42.225.012.5-12.219.2347.147.2-36.0%-0.6x16.9x
Act2022-Q3365.629.317.49.6-34.5-47.7-13.225.1347.949.711.6%9.8x--
Act2022-Q2315.720.48.914.7-7.2-21.7-14.556.2335.253.87.2%12.3x--
Act2022-Q1308.330.319.89.9-23.0-42.4-19.233.1268.742.517.0%25.0x--
Historical Valuation

Multiples vs the company's own history — cheap or rich relative to itself? Historical fiscal years, then TTM, then forward projections (E). Forward rows hold today's price against projected earnings, so the multiple compresses if the company grows into it.

YearPriceRev GrEBITDA %EBITDAEV/EBITDAEV/FCFP/EP/S
202210.915.8%7716.9×n/mn/m0.7×
20237.73-17.1%-0.7%-7n/mn/mn/m0.3×
202413.39-4.2%7.2%7511.3×9.4×n/m0.6×
20253.40-13.5%1.5%1431.7×n/mn/m0.2×
TTM5.68-10.4%2.9%270.0×0.0×0.0×0.0×
2027E5.68+4.1%0.1%10.0×0.0×0.0×0.0×

EBITDA in reporting-currency $M. Historical multiples use year-end market cap (split-adjusted price history); TTM & forward years use today's.

AI Analysis

LLM Evaluations

Claude2/10SHORTFV: $3.25

Funko is a distressed consumer brand facing existential refinancing risk with $241M+ in debt maturing September 2026, zero revolver availability, serial covenant waivers, and a going concern warning. While new CEO Josh Simon's 'Make Culture Pop' strategy has stabilized gross margins at 40-44% through cost cuts and licensing renegotiations, the core business faces secular headwinds: 94% of products resell below retail (destroying collector incentive), Pop Mart is capturing younger demographics, and domestic POS trends remain weak. The company's negative tangible book value ($265M in goodwill/intangibles vs $169M total equity), $102.5M off-balance-sheet TRA liability, and 14.7% short interest all point to a business where equity holders face severe dilution or wipeout risk in any restructuring scenario. Even if refinancing succeeds, terms will be highly dilutive to equity holders at punitive interest rates.

Catalyst The September 2026 debt maturity is the defining event. Either Moelis successfully refinances (likely at very high rates with warrants/equity kickers that dilute current holders) or the company enters restructuring. A potential sale of the brand/IP to a strategic buyer (Hasbro, Mattel) could provide some equity recovery but would likely occur at distressed valuations.
Risk Failure to refinance the $241M credit facility maturing September 2026, which would trigger bankruptcy and likely wipe out equity holders entirely. Even successful refinancing will come at punitive terms that significantly increase interest expense and potentially dilute existing shareholders.
Trend
IMPROVING
Mgmt
5/10
Quarter
6/10
Exp. Move
+3.0%

Latest Earnings Call

Transcript Summary

Funko’s Q1 results demonstrated a robust recovery, headlined by a 5% sales increase and a record 44% gross margin. The 'Make Culture Pop!' strategy led to a 17% surge in core collectibles, supported by high-profile collaborations with WWE and Inter Miami CF. CFO Yves Le Pendeven noted that adjusted EBITDA reached $11 million, significantly beating projections. A key takeaway from the call was the strategic reset of the Loungefly brand, which saw a 50% SKU reduction to prioritize profitability and SKU productivity over volume. Management also highlighted international expansion as a core growth pillar, with Andy Oddie appointed as Chief International Officer to focus on high-potential markets like China and Japan. Operationally, the company is seeing positive sell-through trends, with global POS up 6%. While the company faces potential headwinds from oil price volatility and remains in the process of reclaiming $20 million in tariff payments, it reiterated its full-year EBITDA guidance of $70 million to $80 million. Upcoming initiatives include a Pop! Mystery blind-box line and specialized products for the World Cup and the 'Romantasy' book genre, reflecting a continued commitment to speed-to-market and diverse fandoms.

Valuation & Metrics

Market Stats

Price$5.68
Market Cap$317M
Enterprise Value$561M
P/S Ratio0.3x
P/FCF--
EV/FCF--
FCF Margin (TTM)-1.8%
FCF Yield-5.1%
Dividend Yield (TTM)--
Annual Dilution3.5%
CurrencyUSD

TTM Financial Snapshot

Revenue$918.4M
Net Income$-57.9M
Free Cash Flow$-16.2M

Revenue Growth (YoY)+5.3%
EBITDA Margin2.9%
Net Margin-6.3%
FCF Margin-1.8%
CapEx % of Revenue3.8%
SBC % of Revenue1.2%
ROIC-10.9%
WC Change % Rev0.7%
Interest Coverage1.3x

DCF Fair Value Estimate

$0.04
-99.3% upside
Fair Enterprise Value$21M
− Net Debt$244M
= Fair Equity$2M
Revenue Growth0.4% → 1.0%
FCF Margin-1.8% → 5.0%
Discount Rate17.0%
Terminal EV/FCF7.0x

Forward Outlook & Risk

Short Interest

Short % of Float13.6%
Short Shares5.1M
Days to Cover10.5
Change (vs Prior)-6.7%
Short % Float History
13.60%+1.20pp
10.0%12.0%14.0%16.0%18.0%04-3007-1509-1511-1401-1504-30

Options

Call IV (ATM)98%
Put IV (ATM)91%
ATM Spread3.8%
Call $OI (near money)$971K
Put $OI (near money)$52K
ATM ExpiryJuly 17, 2026 (56D)
ATM Strike$5.0
Major Expirations4
Near-money chain · July 17, 2026
StrikeCall Bid/AskCall OIPut Bid/AskPut OI
$2.50$2.10/$3.300--/$0.750
$5.00$0.80/$1.0070$0.55/$0.650
$7.50$0.20/$0.251$2.25/$2.800
$10.00$0.05/$0.159$4.30/$5.500
Snapshot: 2026-05-22

Forward Projections & Estimates

NTM Revenue Growth+4.0%
Forward FCF Margin0.3%
Forward EBITDA Margin6.6%
Forward P/FCF100.7x
Forward EV/FCF178.0x
Forward Int. Coverage2.7x
Model Risk Score9/10
Bankruptcy Odds30%
Est. Borrow Rate14.0%
Terminal EV/FCF7.0x
LT Growth1.0%
LT FCF Margin5.0%

Employees

Headcount1,267
Revenue / Employee$724,853
Gross Profit / Employee$251,890
2022: 1,466 → 2023: 1,269 → 2024: 1,283 → 2025: 1,104 (-9% CAGR)

Cash Runway

25.4months
WATCH

Institutional Ownership

Headline & net flow

NET BUYING

In Q1 2026 so far (quarter still filing), institutions are net buyers — bought 22.0% of float, sold 6.7%. 5 filers moved >1% of shares (5 buying, 0 selling).

Net flow · Q1 2026still filing
+15.4% of float (net)
Bought 22.0% · Sold 6.7%
114 filers reported (last quarter: 121)

Ownership composition

Active
41.2%(-57.9% YoY)
94 filers
hedge / family / endowment
Retail funds
Fidelity, Schwab, 401(k)
Passive
9.8%(-9.9% YoY)
9 filers
Vanguard, iShares, SPDR
Market makers
1.5%(-3.7% YoY)
6 filers
Citadel, Susquehanna
Insiders
0.9%
Form 4 — latest per insider
0%25%50%75%100%2022-062023-032023-122024-092025-062026-03
ActiveRetail fundsPassiveMarket makersRetail direct

Top holders

Fund$ valueCost basisΔ QoQΔ YoYα lifeFund AUM
TCG Capital Management, LP$39.4M$10.91+$0+$0$39.4M
Fund 1 Investments, LLC$16.9M$7.75+$369K+$2.1M-3.7%$767M
BlackRock, Inc.Passive$8.6M$11.52−$44K+$734K-0.2%$5.69T
Ararat Capital Management LP$7.9M$3.83+$5.2M+$7.9M-1.7%$178M
NOMURA HOLDINGS INC$7.4M$7.58+$6.0M−$265K-0.4%$9.84B
DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LPPassive$5.4M$12.00−$193K−$352K-0.4%$480.92B
VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLCPassive$4.9M$3.15+$4.9M+$4.9M$4.04T
Hosking Partners LLP$4.4M$3.44−$6K+$4.4M+0.6%$2.79B
MARSHALL WACE, LLP$4.4M$8.93+$3.0M+$4.4M+0.6%$92.71B
CastleKnight Management LP$3.7M$5.29+$267K+$3.7M+1.2%$2.13B
MILLENNIUM MANAGEMENT LLC$3.4M$6.54+$2.2M+$2.4M-0.5%$127.40B
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLCPassive$3.2M$9.43+$194K+$611K+2.3%$1.61T
JACOBS LEVY EQUITY MANAGEMENT, INC$3.1M$5.60+$138K+$2.6M+0.4%$23.79B
STATE STREET CORPPassive$2.5M$9.74+$160K+$320K-0.2%$2.89T
JANE STREET GROUP, LLCMM$2.4M$4.87+$466K+$2.2M-0.1%$92.10B
MONIMUS CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LP$2.4M$3.15+$2.4M+$2.4M-3.9%$361M
Hudson Bay Capital Management LP$2.4M$6.86+$0+$0+1.9%$15.12B
MUFG Securities EMEA plc$2.4M$3.44+$0+$2.4M+1.3%$6.70B
ING GROEP NV$1.9M$6.86+$0−$1.3M-0.2%$16.35B
Shay Capital LLC$1.9M$6.33+$1.1M+$1.1M+0.3%$704M
Cost basis is a volume-weighted estimate from accumulation periods within our 13F history; holders who built their position before our window started will show a stale basis. % above the cost basis is the unrealized gain at the current price.

Trading behavior

Smart-money alpha (lifetime, %/qtr)NEUTRAL
Holders
-5.01%
avg per quarter
Holders (ex-self)
-0.95%
excl. this stock
Buyers (this Q)
-0.97%
31 buyers · $0.03B in
Sellers (this Q)
-0.67%
40 sellers · $0.01B out
alpha coverage: 95% of $ has a lifetime-alpha record
Holder behavior on this stocksource: stock
On big dips (−10%+)
-23.6%
how holders react when this stock falls
On quiet Qs
-0.4%
−10% to +10% baseline
On rallies (+10%+)
-28.8%
how they react when this stock rises
Holders' portfolio flow this Q
+3.5%
inflows — adds are organic
Sellers' portfolio flow this Q
+8.2%
Sellers grew AUM elsewhere — opinionated cut of this stock.
▸ Compare to holder-profile behavior (across all their stocks)
Holder dip (any stock)
-4.0%
Holder mid (any stock)
-4.6%
Holder rally (any stock)
-8.4%

Top Holders Over Time

5-year share-count history (top 10 holders by peak, incl. exited) + price

08.3M16.6M24.9M33.1M$3.15$7.94$13$18$222021-062022-062023-062024-062025-062026-03
hover the chart for per-quarter detailprice (right axis)
ACON Equity Management, L.L.C.TCG Capital Management, LP12.5MWoodson Capital Management, LPWorking Capital Advisors (UK) Ltd.Fund 1 Investments, LLC5.4MCOOPER CREEK PARTNERS MANAGEMENT LLCMASSACHUSETTS FINANCIAL SERVICES CO /MA/No Street GP LPHood River Capital Management LLCNOMURA HOLDINGS INC2.4M

Analyst Coverage

Analyst Coverage
Price Targets
Last Quarter (2 analysts)$6.251000.0%
Last Year (2 analysts)$6.251000.0%
Current Price$5.68
Analyst Ratings
6
8
Buy: 6Hold: 8Consensus: Hold
Consensus Estimates
QuarterRevenueEBITDANet IncEPSEPS Range# Analysts
2025 Q3259M12M-5M$-0.08$-0.09 – $-0.072
2025 Q4261M12M0M$0.00$0.00 – $0.002
2026 Q1189M9M-19M$-0.34$-0.34 – $-0.341
2026 Q2201M9M-11M$-0.21$-0.22 – $-0.192
2026 Q3253M12M7M$0.12$0.08 – $0.162
2026 Q4277M13M7M$0.13$0.13 – $0.131
2027 Q1214M10M-5M$-0.09$-0.09 – $-0.091
2027 Q2211M10M-10M$-0.17$-0.18 – $-0.171
2027 Q3266M12M8M$0.15$0.15 – $0.151
2027 Q4291M14M9M$0.17$0.17 – $0.171

Corporate

Executive Compensation (2023-2025)

Direct Pay$44.0M
Incentive & Other$21.0M
Total Compensation$65.0M
% of Revenue2.2%

Insider Trading (last 12mo)

Open-market only (Form 4 P-Purchase + S-Sale). Excludes grants, option exercises, tax withholding, gifts.
Officers & directors
Buys ($, 12mo)
$0
0 txns · 0 insiders · 0 sh
Sells ($, 12mo)
$384K
13 txns · 4 insiders · 79,924 sh
Recent transactions
DateSideInsiderTitleSharesPriceDollarsOwned $
2026-05-08SELLOddie Andrew Davidofficer: CHIEF INTERNATIONAL OFFICER34,656$6.00$208K$208K
2026-03-18SELLDaw Tracy Dofficer: CHIEF LEGAL OFFICER12,793$3.65$47K$171K
2026-03-16SELLLe Pendeven Yvesofficer: CFO2,832$3.74$11K$217K
2026-03-16SELLOddie Andrew Davidofficer: CHIEF INTERNATIONAL OFFICER6,250$3.71$23K$257K
2026-03-16SELLShah Husnalofficer: Chief Product Officer3,651$3.73$14K$62K
2026-03-13SELLLe Pendeven Yvesofficer: CFO3,199$4.14$13K$218K
2026-03-13SELLOddie Andrew Davidofficer: CHIEF INTERNATIONAL OFFICER4,844$4.13$20K$260K
2026-03-13SELLShah Husnalofficer: Chief Product Officer2,358$4.15$10K$50K
2026-03-09SELLLe Pendeven Yvesofficer: CFO1,192$4.34$5K$197K
2026-03-09SELLOddie Andrew Davidofficer: CHIEF INTERNATIONAL OFFICER5,744$4.35$25K$242K
2026-03-09SELLShah Husnalofficer: Chief Product Officer1,347$4.35$6K$37K
2025-12-02SELLShah Husnalofficer: Chief Product Officer263$3.18$837$23K
2025-08-11SELLLe Pendeven Yvesofficer: CFO795$2.59$2K$113K

Order Flow (FINRA, ~3w lag)

18.3%retail-3.3pp
29.7%dark+3.0pp
week of 2026-04-13
10%20%30%40%24-1125-0225-0525-0825-1126-0226-04retail (non-ATS)dark (ATS)
Off-exchange volume from FINRA. Retail = non-ATS (wholesaler PFOF + broker internalization). Dark = ATS (dark-pool crossing networks, institutional). Lit-exchange = remainder.

Revenue Breakdown

Revenue Segments

By Geography (2026-Q1)
UNITED STATES$117.3M-4%
Europe$68.1M+26%
Non-US$15.5M+6%

Filing Risk Analysis

Filing Risk Scores

Funko, Inc.: Restricted Liquidity and Permanent Debt Attrition Masking Distress

Overall Risk
9/10
Fraud
4/10
Dilution
6/10
Insolvency
9/10
Earnings Overstated
5/10
Hidden Liabilities
8/10
Legal
7/10
Audit Warnings
8/10
Hidden Upside
2/10
Contextually Acceptable
2/10

Counter-Thesis

Counter-Thesis & Recent News

📰 Recent News

Funko reported a revenue miss in Q4 2025 ($273.1M vs $280.2M expected) and continued to post GAAP net losses in Q1 2026, totaling $18.1M. While gross margins slightly improved, the Loungefly fashion segment is struggling, with management guiding for a double-digit revenue decline in 2026 due to aggressive SKU cuts and cooling demand (Investing.com, March 2026; StockTitan, May 2026).

🐻 Bear Case

The core 'collector investment' thesis has fundamentally broken; recent market analysis indicates that 94% of Funko Pops now resell for less than their original retail price, mirroring the 'Beanie Baby' bubble trajectory. Financial stability remains precarious, as the company issued a 'going concern' warning in early 2026, forcing a Fifth Amendment to its credit agreement to extend debt maturity and ease covenants just to maintain liquidity (YouTube/Financial Analysis, Nov 2025; Finimize, April 2026).

🚩 Red Flags

A Ninth Circuit court recently revived portions of a securities class-action lawsuit against Funko, alleging the company misled investors regarding warehouse chaos and 'dead inventory' write-offs. Additionally, extreme management turnover—highlighted by the abrupt departure of CEO Cynthia Williams in July 2025 after only a few months—signals ongoing internal instability and execution risk (Faruqi & Faruqi LLP, Feb 2026; Levi & Korsinsky, 2025).

⚔️ Competitive Threats

Funko is losing 'shelf-space' and mindshare to more innovative competitors like Pop Mart, whose stylized blind-box format is attracting younger collectors. Simultaneously, the 'kidult' market is shifting back toward LEGO and Trading Card Games (TCGs) like Pokémon, which offer better value retention and take up significantly less physical storage space (The Toy Investor, Jan 2026; Matrix BCG, April 2026).

💬 Customer Sentiment

Collector communities are increasingly vocal about 'overproduction fatigue,' noting that the market is flooded with endless variants that kill scarcity value. Point-of-sale (POS) data showed a staggering 33.9% decline in engagement in mid-2025, and long-term hobbyists on platforms like Reddit report selling off 80-90% of their collections as 'the writing is on the wall' for the brand's cultural relevance (Public.com, May 2026; Reddit, Jan 2026).

Full Earnings Call Transcript

Full Earnings Call Transcript — Q1 • 2026-05-07

Top Pops: Hi, everybody. I'm Tristan, but most people know me online as Top Pops. Today, we are here on a Hollywood Boulevard in front of Funko Hollywood. This is the only store that you can find on the Walk of Fame that has literally every corner of entertainment, music, TV, anime, gaming, sports, all in one place. Today, I'm here to host Funko's first quarter financial results. So let's go inside. Joining me are Josh Simon, CEO of Funko;  Yves Le Pendeven, CFO; and Jessica Kong, the GM of Loungefly.
Josh Simon: Tristan, T Pop, thanks for being here. Now just so everyone knows, you are a super creator influencer in the world of collectibles. You cover the space more broadly. I think you know more about Funko and Pop! than probably all of us combined at the table. So we thought it would be great to have you here and bring a new perspective to our earnings call. I think is this your first earnings call? Okay, just to confirm, I figured. Well, awesome having you here. We appreciate it.
Top Pops: No, it's so great to be here. guys, I've spent a lot of time talking about Funko from the fan side. And today, I get to ask the questions from the business side. So let's get right into it. How was Q1 for Funko?
Josh Simon: Great business question. You nailed it at the top. The Q1 was really strong. I think it was the example of our Make Culture Pop! strategy kind of starting to really manifest itself in the market. We ended Q4 with some momentum, and we saw that continue into the year. Overall, our sales were up 5% in the quarter. And if you look at just the Core Collectibles business, we're up 17%.
Yves Le Pendeven: And if I can jump into, it's obviously pleased about the sales growth, but we also reported our highest gross margin ever at 44%, and that drove an adjusted EBITDA of $11 million, which was way better than we expected.
Top Pops: Wow, that's great. Now let's talk about what's new on the product side. Josh, you've talked about Funko being at the center of culture. What did that look like this quarter?
Josh Simon: So I go back to the Make Culture Pop! strategy, culture, creativity and commerce. So on the culture side, we want to be part of all of these sort of fan entertainment moments, pop culture moments that are going on around the world while they're happening. Some awesome examples of that in Q1. The big movers were KPop Demon Hunters, the final season of Stranger Things, One Piece, which is always really strong for us. But we're also starting to see some really other great dimensions of the business with Mando, Grogu coming out, our Star Wars business is really showing some nice growth. And then I'll even just use a more recent example of Michael Jackson. This is one of my favorites, the smooth criminal vibe that's sort of iconic leaning look that always mesmerized me, growing up, like how did you do it? But great to be part of that moment with the Michael Biopic out right now. Then from a creativity standpoint, it's really about how are we taking those moments and turning them into products and frankly, adding some more newness and dimension to our product line. I think Bitty Pop! is a great example of that. We saw strength in the quarter coming off of Q4 rolling out into Walmart. From a seasonal basis, I'll give a great example, which is this sort of Bitty Bouquet for your Valentine's Day lover. You can -- if the sort of bouquet stand and you can sort of swap out whatever Bitty Pop! you're interested in there, which I think is a great evolution of a moment that we can play on with Bitty Pop!. I'll point out sort of something in the world of Demon Slayer, which is obviously a great IP for us, kind of like a Sumi-Ink paint deco to the Pop!, which just helps to bring some freshness and newness to the fans of Demon Slayer. And then from a commerce standpoint, it's really about how do we bring these products to life for fans. I think we like to say, turning shelves into stages, some really fun experiences that I think are examples of that from the quarter. I went a few weeks ago to WrestleMania 42 in Las Vegas. Awesome weekend. Those guys always do a great job. We came to life at the WWE Fan Expo at the Las Vegas Convention Center with a Pop! Yourself experience, so you could customize yourself in exclusive WWE gear that you could only get there. We built the Pop! on site. We also launched a limited edition WWE covers on our D2C site as part of the WrestleMania weekend, which was awesome. I think it's selling for 3 to 4x on eBay right now, which is cool to see. And then also in the world of sports, I had the chance also to go to Miami. We have a brand-new shop in shop that opened at the new Inter Miami Stadium. I was able to attend the second game in that stadium. Also an awesome Pop! Yourself experience there, an exclusive Messi Pop!, which you can only get at the stadium. And then actually, we really rounded out with some incredible Loungefly product as well. I think Yves there in his bag of tricks. There's a great example of some of the Loungefly products that we're selling in the stadium there for Inter Miami.
Jessica Kong: Yes, that's right, Josh. So this is our Iconic Me backpack for Inter Miami, along with one of the many bag charms that are available. So a super fun collection.
Josh Simon: I love that colorway brings back memories. I grew up in Florida. So it reminds me of the Miami Vice in the '80s, and we get to live out our sort of like Crockett and Tubbs duo here. So it's a good one.
Top Pops: Now speaking of Loungefly, Jessica, is there anything else new that you have?
Jessica Kong: Well, you know what, I'm so glad you asked. So Loungefly has a really strong base, right? We have an exceptionally loyal fan base. We have high brand equity and best of the best product placement in all of the Disney parks, right? We also have really great relationships with key retailers like BoxLunch and Hot Topic. And we're also getting in premium. And so I can show you here our very first Swarovski collection that launched last year, this is a piece that was part of the collection, selling at $400, which is well above the average $80 to $90 price point that we normally hit. And this sold out within hours, right? So super excited to do more of these going forward. That being said, this year is really an important business reset for us, right? So we cut our SKUs back by 50% and so sales will be down as planned this year. But that's really in order for us to improve SKU productivity and overall profitability in general. And we're already seeing the results of that. So super encouraged by that. So with that, we're doubling down on wearable storytelling. So that means, one, expanding the styles that we do beyond the iconic mini backpack. And so with that, here is, Heihei from Moana, She's a figural, she was actually our #1 SKU last year, which is great, and we'll continue to do more of these going forward. We also are doubling down on accessories, bag charms and pins are categories that are driving double-digit growth for us. And so thank you, Yves. This is Mickey and Minnie new figural bag charms that are launching later this year. And look, they hold hands. And then third, we are also expanding our reach with Gen Z. And so we'll be launching a new diffusion line that is much more everyday functional at a much more affordable price point.
Top Pops: This is all really great. Also welcome to the team. Thank you. But now I've got to ask. Is there any other changes you made to the management team?
Josh Simon: Yes. We just had a brand-new Head of Marketing and Brand starts a couple of weeks ago, Nik Rupp comes to us previously from Nike. Awesome to have him on board. And I mentioned this last quarter, Andy Oddie, who's been with Funko for a long time, industry expert in many different ways, moved into a new role as our Chief International Officer, so really giving some dedicated focus to growing the business in Latin America and Asia. He and I, about a month ago, spent a couple of weeks touring the region. We met with our distributors. We spent time with our licensors and some retail partners in Korea and Japan and a few other locations. And I came away really encouraged. I think from an IP standpoint, we already work with some of the biggest partners in the region, like I'll use the sort of Zootopia from Disney as an example. This year, that was the highest grossing import movie ever in the history of China. It did about $630 million in box office there. And obviously, we have a long-standing relationship with Disney. One piece is another example of something in the anime world, and obviously, we're into anime more broadly and really popular in the region. So I think there's a lot of potential. It's going to take some time to build the foundation, the plans and kind of see us really supercharge that growth, but I definitely came away really encouraged about the opportunity in the region and also Andy helping to lead the charge for us there.
Top Pops: Yves, anything you want to add about the broader economic environment and what the rest of the outlook is for the year?
Yves Le Pendeven: Yes. So obviously, we're pleased with Q1. It was a strong start to the year. We expect that momentum to continue in Q2. So today, we issued guidance for Q2, we think sales will be up low single digits to mid-single digits. And adjusted EBITDA between $5 million and $10 million. And then as we look to the second half of the year, it's a little bit too soon to say, but there are some favorable things going on, the current tariff rates that are in effect are a little bit lower than we planned. So that's great news, and we hope that continues. On the flip side, we're watching the news about oil prices pretty closely. We have not been negatively impacted yet, but it's a little bit too soon to say. So with that in mind, we're just reiterating our original guidance for the year, which was sales flat to up 3% and then adjusted EBITDA between $70 million and $80 million.
Top Pops: Thanks so much. And now, Josh, I've got to ask. Is there anything that you're excited about coming up later this year?
Josh Simon: I think is there anything I'm not excited about. There's a lot this year. I mean I mentioned in the last quarter too, it's an awesome film slate this year, just sort of from beginning to end of the year, Mando, Grogu, soon Toy Story, Avengers Doomsday at the end of the year, which is awesome. We actually just spent some time across the street from our offices here in Burbank with the Head of DC Studios last week and I think super excited for Supergirl. So a big year for movies, TV shows. Sports is obviously also huge this year because of the World Cup. And so we have the French, English and U.S. national teams. We also have a great relationship with a lot of athletes. I mentioned Messi earlier, who's playing for Argentina, Yamal for Spain, Haaland, Man City is playing for Norway and a few others. And then we even have the mascots. Can you name any of the three mascots. The three mascots that represent U.S., Canada and Mexico who are hosting the game. So covering it from all dimensions. And then look, the other thing I had mentioned, we talk a lot about the importance of speed, getting products to market faster. We just had an awesome execution of that with WrestleMania, a surprise appearance from IShowSpeed, one of the biggest creators in the world. I think he has like 50 million followers each on YouTube, Instagram and TikTok, right as he was walking out to the ring, we dropped an IShowSpeed Pop! on our site and also on fanatics.com. And so you can expect a lot more of us, both in that creator space and coming to market much faster kind of in the moment for our fans throughout the year.
Top Pops: This is all really super exciting. And now, let's turn to a couple of questions that we have from a few analysts as well as some fans maybe even watching right now. First one we have here is coming in from Stephen Laszczyk, Goldman Sachs, he asks what gives you confidence that the improving POS trends you saw in Q4 will continue in 2026?
Yves Le Pendeven: Actually, we had a great continuation of the Q4 trend. So I'm happy to report POS globally was up 6% in Q1. In the wholesale channel, it was actually up 12%. And then by territory, that was up 6% in the U.S. and up 28% in Europe. And you can see that's very much aligned to the sell-in. So it's a very healthy trend, sell-in, sell-through, and we're pleased with that trend.
Top Pops: Great. Now actually another question from Stephen. What level of upside could we see from potential refunds and tariffs?
Yves Le Pendeven: So we've shared that we've paid approximately $20 million in our IEEPA tariffs we're taking all the steps that we need to obtain a refund and kind of following the instructions there. A little bit uncertain on the timing. There is also a market to monetize tariff claims, and we're kind of exploring all of our options at this point. So more to come on that.
Top Pops: Okay. Next question we have here is coming in from Keegan Cox at D.A. Davidson. He asked, can you talk about gross margin drivers for Q1 and Q2?
Yves Le Pendeven: Sure. Again, highest gross margin we've ever reported. And it's not because of some kind of accounting adjustment or anything like that. It's really the result of so many things that we've been working on for the past 6 months to a year. So reducing the amount of discounting and promotional activity that we've been doing. We've also got renewed licensing agreements with our major partners. And then just channel and sales mix all contributed to that 44% gross margin. And then our guidance, 42% to 44%. We expect that the trend should be able to hold for the rest of the year.
Top Pops: Okay. Perfect. Next up, we're going to get into some fan questions here. And the first one is coming in from [ TheBearsCollection142 ], they ask, what future Funko are you excited for?
Josh Simon: I guess, like, for me, there's a few. So coming up at San Diego Comic-Con this year, I'm just going to tease that we'll be launching and rolling out our Pop! Mystery lineup. And so that's kind of taking the -- a brand new lineup of people's favorite 4-inch pop vinyl figures, but putting them into more of a blind box mystery format. We're starting off with some really fun lines of WB Horror, our own lineup on the Pop! Flora line. We have some really big IP coming into the future that I'm just going to tease right now. And there's also some really, I think, unique and compelling chase elements to it. So that's one I'm particularly excited for. The other one I'd say is we've continued to see some traction in the world of like BookTok and Romantasy. And so I would just say like, we -- if you can imagine like the biggest titles in that world for those of you who indulge as I do, we have those coming, and we'll be announcing some of that soon. But I think that's just like a brand-new category of fandom for us that I'm excited about.
Top Pops: I'll be honest, I'm pretty excited to make some videos on those, too. Next one, we actually coming in is from [ FuntoCollect ], and they ask with Pop! from the Fox and the Hound, Oliver and Company, and Atlantis already out, are you looking to keep expanding into older Disney films?
Josh Simon: Does Freaky Friday count? That would be a personal favorite. But I mean maybe on the -- we work with Disney a lot, obviously. So there's we are constantly coming up with fun ways to bring some of their characters to life. I think definitely something we think about a lot on the Loungefly front as well. .
Jessica Kong: Yes, for sure. Our fans love Disney Classic, right? That's something that is core to our portfolio, and we'll always continue to develop into that.
Top Pops: Cool. So good. This next year is actually kind of a joint question. There was two people that asked, it's [ Wasatch Pop and Chad Beaton ]. They are asking the possibility of retail footprint expansions.
Josh Simon: Well, obviously, you're here in the Hollywood store today. I think the next step that we really think about from a retail and a retail experiential standpoint is what we could do with our partners in that space. And so we're currently working on kind of, I think, I'll say, revitalizing and reconceiving our space with FAO Schwarz to New York. We're in the early stages there, but I think that's an incredible sort of global flagship shopping destination. I think they do experiential retail better than anyone. They've been incredible partners so there's some newness we're bringing there. We are working on expanding how we think about that pop yourself kiosk experience and how that could come to life with some retail partners. So we'll be testing that later this year with some partners. We haven't quite announced yet, but we will be rolling that out. And then we'll continue to experiment here in this store. We have a lot of space, and I think we'll introduce and refine some concepts that in success, I can imagine us rolling out into more places around the world.
Top Pops: Sounds pretty good. Yes. Now this next one that we've got here is coming in from [ Noah MTV ], and he asked, what's your favorite comic book character you'd like to see become a Pop!?
Josh Simon: I mean, look, we do a lot in that space, and I think that kind of goes back to the core DNA of the company. I would say across the team, we're all really excited about DC's Absolute Universe sort of how I would -- I think it's super unique. It's a fresh take on that world. The books have been great, chart topping. I think that's an area that I think we're continue to really explore -- continue to explore.
Top Pops: I'll be honest, I'm excited about those. So now that you've mentioned it, it's pretty cool. Yes. But that pretty much wraps up the questions. I don't know if you have any final words?
Josh Simon: I have -- well, a couple of things. First of all, just back to thanking you for being here. And World Cup, we are kicking off a bespoke Pop! Yourself experience. So right now with Pop! Yourself, you can actually get yourself popped in a U.S. World Cup kits. And then next week, we're launching some additional accessories. So it's not out yet, but we did do a version of Top Pops for you here, you can accessorize yourself with the World Cup trophy. So that's a little thank you for being here today and a little token of gratitude for your first earnings call.
Top Pops: That is exactly what I want. Thank you.
Josh Simon: No, we appreciate it. And then I'll mention a lot of the information we talked about today, some additional investor materials and the presentation is available on our Investor Relations website, along with this for anyone who wants to watch it over and over again as I'm sure many, many people out in the world will, I encourage it.
Top Pops: Yes. Perfect. Well, thank you so much.
Josh Simon: Thank you.
Jessica Kong: Thank you.