Stocks/FMNB

FMNB

Farmers National Banc Corp.
Financial Services·Banks - Regional
$14.18
$557M market cap
Revenue
$142.5M
Free Cash Flow
$25.6M
Rev Growth
+0.0%
FCF Margin
18.0%
P/FCF
21.7x
EV/FCF
37.6x
Fwd EV/EBITDA
--
Fair Value
--
Upside
--

Farmers National Banc Corp., a financial holding company, operates in the banking, trust, retirement consulting, insurance, and financial management industries. It offers commercial and retail banking services, including checking, savings, and time deposit accounts; commercial, mortgage and installment, and home equity loans; home equity lines of credit, night depository, safe deposit box, money order, bank check, automated teller machine, Internet banking, travel card, E bond transaction, Maste

2-Year Price History

$14.14+29.5%
$11$12$13$14volJun 24Oct 24Jan 25May 25Sep 25Jan 26May 26

Quarterly Financials & Projections

Quarterly Waterfall ($ M)
PeriodRevEBITDAOpInNIOCFFCFCapExCashDebtSharesROICIntCovEV/EBITDA
Act2026-Q172.820.020.016.37.67.1-0.538.2446.544.97.4%0.8x--
Act2025-Q469.717.717.714.619.618.6-1.11,364367.737.711.1%0.8x--

Valuation & Metrics

Market Stats

Price$14.18
Market Cap$557M
Enterprise Value$965M
P/S Ratio3.9x
P/FCF21.7x
EV/FCF37.6x
FCF Margin (TTM)18.0%
FCF Yield4.6%
Dividend Yield (TTM)6.0%
Annual Dilution0.0%
CurrencyUSD

TTM Financial Snapshot

Revenue$142.5M
Net Income$30.9M
Free Cash Flow$25.6M

Revenue Growth (YoY)+0.0%
EBITDA Margin26.5%
Net Margin21.7%
FCF Margin18.0%
CapEx % of Revenue1.1%
SBC % of Revenue0.9%
ROIC9.3%
WC Change % Rev0.0%
Interest Coverage0.8x

Forward Outlook & Risk

Short Interest

Short % of Float--
Short Shares1.0M
Days to Cover2.8
Change (vs Prior)-0.4%
Need at least 2 settlement dates for chart

Employees

Headcount682
Revenue / Employee$208,959
Gross Profit / Employee$138,257

Institutional Ownership

Headline & net flow

NEUTRAL
Net flow · still filing
No float data — flow unavailable.

Ownership composition

Active
26.6%(+11.1% YoY)
170 filers
hedge / family / endowment
Retail funds
Fidelity, Schwab, 401(k)
Passive
28.9%(+9.5% YoY)
11 filers
Vanguard, iShares, SPDR
Market makers
0.3%(-0.0% YoY)
5 filers
Citadel, Susquehanna
Insiders
Form 4 — latest per insider
0%25%50%75%100%2022-062023-032023-122024-092025-062026-03
ActiveRetail fundsPassiveMarket makersRetail direct

Top holders

Fund$ valueCost basisΔ QoQΔ YoYα lifeFund AUM
BlackRock, Inc.Passive$55.7M$13.79+$16.6M+$16.0M-0.2%$5.69T
VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLCPassive$32.4M$13.16+$32.4M+$32.4M$4.04T
DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LPPassive$20.3M$12.64+$4.0M+$4.7M-0.4%$480.92B
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLCPassive$18.1M$12.67+$6.1M+$6.6M+2.3%$1.61T
STATE STREET CORPPassive$16.4M$12.67+$5.1M+$5.2M-0.2%$2.89T
FARMERS TRUST CO$9.5M$12.33+$2.5M+$2.3M+0.1%$637M
NORTHERN TRUST CORPPassive$7.0M$12.74+$2.1M+$2.6M-0.2%$755.34B
HOTCHKIS & WILEY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC$6.6M$13.07+$3.7M+$4.7M-0.1%$31.89B
MANUFACTURERS LIFE INSURANCE COMPANY, THE$6.2M$12.58+$901K+$710K-0.2%$113.45B
VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLCPassive$5.7M$13.16+$5.7M+$5.7M$1.91T
BEESE FULMER INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT, INC.$4.9M$13.15−$11K+$413K-0.0%$1.56B
BRIDGEWAY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC$4.8M$13.14+$2.3M+$4.1M-2.3%$4.93B
VANGUARD FIDUCIARY TRUST COPassive$4.8M$13.16+$4.8M+$4.8M$395.83B
CITADEL ADVISORS LLC$4.7M$12.89+$1.8M+$3.5M-0.4%$138.22B
Bank of New York Mellon Corp$4.4M$12.68+$800K+$412K-0.2%$543.21B
JPMORGAN CHASE & CO$4.4M$13.17+$4.3M+$3.4M-0.2%$1.47T
MILLENNIUM MANAGEMENT LLC$4.3M$12.88+$836K+$3.7M-0.5%$127.40B
LSV ASSET MANAGEMENT$4.1M$11.76−$776K−$2.6M+0.0%$46.40B
TWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP$3.4M$12.65+$698K+$2.2M-0.9%$117.03B
STALEY CAPITAL ADVISERS INC$3.3M$11.58+$987K+$1.0M-0.5%$2.36B
Cost basis is a volume-weighted estimate from accumulation periods within our 13F history; holders who built their position before our window started will show a stale basis. % above the cost basis is the unrealized gain at the current price.

Trading behavior

Smart-money alpha (lifetime, %/qtr)NEUTRAL
Holders
-0.15%
avg per quarter
Holders (ex-self)
-0.15%
excl. this stock
Buyers (this Q)
-0.15%
135 buyers · $0.13B in
Sellers (this Q)
+0.02%
34 sellers · $0.01B out
alpha coverage: 86% of $ has a lifetime-alpha record
Holder behavior on this stocksource: stock
On big dips (−10%+)
-7.7%
how holders react when this stock falls
On quiet Qs
-3.7%
−10% to +10% baseline
On rallies (+10%+)
-15.6%
how they react when this stock rises
Holders' portfolio flow this Q
+2.8%
inflows — adds are organic
Sellers' portfolio flow this Q
+1.5%
Sellers grew AUM elsewhere — opinionated cut of this stock.
▸ Compare to holder-profile behavior (across all their stocks)
Holder dip (any stock)
-3.6%
Holder mid (any stock)
-2.9%
Holder rally (any stock)
-6.4%

Top Holders Over Time

5-year share-count history (top 10 holders by peak, incl. exited) + price

0867K1.7M2.6M3.5M$10$11$12$13$142021-062022-062023-062024-062025-062026-03
hover the chart for per-quarter detailprice (right axis)
FARMERS TRUST CO724KLSV ASSET MANAGEMENT308KMANUFACTURERS LIFE INSURANCE COMPANY, THE470KBEESE FULMER INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT, INC.373KMALTESE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLCPacific Ridge Capital Partners, LLCHOTCHKIS & WILEY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC502KRENAISSANCE TECHNOLOGIES LLC55KKENNEDY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLCBRIDGEWAY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC363K

Analyst Coverage

Analyst Coverage
Price Targets
Last Year (1 analysts)$14.00-130.0%
Current Price$14.18
Analyst Ratings
2
5
Buy: 2Hold: 5Consensus: Hold

Corporate

Insider Trading (last 12mo)

Open-market only (Form 4 P-Purchase + S-Sale). Excludes grants, option exercises, tax withholding, gifts.
Officers & directors
Buys ($, 12mo)
$2.53M
8 txns · 4 insiders · 192,034 sh
Sells ($, 12mo)
$0
0 txns · 0 insiders · 0 sh
Recent transactions
DateSideInsiderTitleSharesPriceDollarsOwned $
2026-03-26BUYVarischetti Nicholas Ddirector75,000$12.97$973K$2.97M
2026-03-19BUYRichardson Gina Adirector441$12.43$5K$196K
2026-03-05BUYRichardson Gina Adirector1,231$12.91$16K$198K
2026-03-03BUYMuransky Edwarddirector40,000$12.74$510K$2.50M
2026-02-02BUYWallace Amber Bofficer: SEVP/Chief Retail & Marketing15$13.02$195$727K
2026-01-02BUYWallace Amber Bofficer: SEVP/Chief Retail & Marketing14$13.35$187$745K
2025-10-30BUYRichardson Gina Adirector1,833$12.99$24K$180K
2025-10-24BUYMuransky Edwarddirector73,500$13.59$999K$1.50M

Order Flow (FINRA, ~3w lag)

14.5%retail-2.7pp
15.8%dark+2.8pp
week of 2026-04-13
10%15%20%25%30%24-1125-0225-0525-0825-1126-0226-04retail (non-ATS)dark (ATS)
Off-exchange volume from FINRA. Retail = non-ATS (wholesaler PFOF + broker internalization). Dark = ATS (dark-pool crossing networks, institutional). Lit-exchange = remainder.

Filing Risk Analysis

Filing Risk Scores

Farmers National Banc Corp.: Standard Entity Identification Lacking Substantive Financial Disclosure

Overall Risk
3/10
Fraud
2/10
Dilution
2/10
Insolvency
2/10
Earnings Overstated
3/10
Hidden Liabilities
3/10
Legal
2/10
Audit Warnings
1/10
Hidden Upside
1/10
Contextually Acceptable
10/10