Stocks/EXPD

EXPD

Expeditors International of Washington, Inc.
Industrials·Integrated Freight & Logistics
$157.99
$20.7B market cap
Revenue
$5.6B
Free Cash Flow
$567.0M
Rev Growth
+0.0%
FCF Margin
10.1%
P/FCF
36.5x
EV/FCF
35.1x
Fwd EV/EBITDA
--
Fair Value
--
Upside
--

Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. provides logistics services in the Americas, North Asia, South Asia, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and India. The company offers airfreight services, such as air freight consolidation and forwarding; ocean freight and ocean services, including ocean freight consolidation, direct ocean forwarding, and order management; customs brokerage, intra-continental ground transportation and delivery, and warehousing and distribution services; and customs clea

2-Year Price History

$158.48+34.3%
$110$120$130$140$150$160volMay 24Sep 24Jan 25May 25Sep 25Jan 26May 26

Quarterly Financials & Projections

Quarterly Waterfall ($ M)
PeriodRevEBITDAOpInNIOCFFCFCapExCashDebtSharesROICIntCovEV/EBITDA
Act2026-Q12,783305.7294.8229.6309.2296.6-12.61,317565.0134.170.0%----
Act2025-Q42,856276.1250.9201.2283.3270.3-13.01,314570.6134.656.8%----

Valuation & Metrics

Market Stats

Price$157.99
Market Cap$20.7B
Enterprise Value$19.9B
P/S Ratio3.7x
P/FCF36.5x
EV/FCF35.1x
FCF Margin (TTM)10.1%
FCF Yield2.7%
Dividend Yield (TTM)1.5%
Annual Dilution0.0%
CurrencyUSD

TTM Financial Snapshot

Revenue$5.6B
Net Income$430.8M
Free Cash Flow$567.0M

Revenue Growth (YoY)+0.0%
EBITDA Margin10.3%
Net Margin7.6%
FCF Margin10.1%
CapEx % of Revenue0.5%
SBC % of Revenue0.4%
ROIC63.4%
WC Change % Rev-0.3%
Interest Coverage--

Forward Outlook & Risk

Short Interest

Short % of Float--
Short Shares4.8M
Days to Cover4.8
Change (vs Prior)+11.2%
Need at least 2 settlement dates for chart

Employees

Headcount19,203
Revenue / Employee$293,648
Gross Profit / Employee$72,128

Institutional Ownership

Headline & net flow

NEUTRAL
Net flow · still filing
No float data — flow unavailable.

Ownership composition

Active
57.8%(+7.1% YoY)
879 filers
hedge / family / endowment
Retail funds
Fidelity, Schwab, 401(k)
Passive
30.2%(+3.3% YoY)
13 filers
Vanguard, iShares, SPDR
Market makers
0.3%(+0.1% YoY)
10 filers
Citadel, Susquehanna
Insiders
Form 4 — latest per insider
0%25%50%75%100%2022-062023-032023-122024-092025-062026-03
ActiveRetail fundsPassiveMarket makersRetail direct

Top holders

Fund$ valueCost basisΔ QoQΔ YoYα lifeFund AUM
BlackRock, Inc.Passive$1.78B$129.47+$76.6M−$295M-0.2%$5.69T
VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLCPassive$1.25B$143.23+$1.25B+$1.25B$4.04T
STATE STREET CORPPassive$1.03B$111.38−$70.0M−$40.0M-0.2%$2.89T
VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLCPassive$952M$143.23+$952M+$952M$1.91T
First Eagle Investment Management, LLC$852M$114.31−$52.6M+$83.6M+0.7%$58.96B
LOOMIS SAYLES & CO L P$804M$119.03−$11.1M−$6.7M-0.2%$73.82B
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLCPassive$512M$104.25+$14.8M+$11.4M+2.3%$1.61T
FIL Ltd$442M$116.58−$211M+$327M+0.2%$128.59B
Boston Partners$420M$108.18−$76.7M−$195M+0.5%$95.40B
BANK OF AMERICA CORP /DE/$367M$110.83−$11.1M−$44.2M-0.1%$1.36T
Invesco Ltd.$346M$118.46+$47.1M−$89.6M-0.2%$652.04B
Baird Financial Group, Inc.$313M$113.69+$13.8M+$48.2M-0.2%$63.96B
MORGAN STANLEY$305M$107.88+$20.9M+$10.0M-0.3%$1.65T
UBS ASSET MANAGEMENT AMERICAS INC$281M$118.67+$13.1M−$44.0M-0.3%$480.58B
MARSHFIELD ASSOCIATES$280M$117.05−$14.3M+$15.9M+0.7%$4.99B
NORTHERN TRUST CORPPassive$263M$108.44+$1.2M−$63.1M-0.2%$755.34B
DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LPPassive$218M$117.42+$5.4M+$23.3M-0.4%$480.92B
FMR LLC$217M$121.60+$778K+$132M-0.0%$1.89T
ROYAL BANK OF CANADA$213M$109.52−$1.7M+$63.5M-0.2%$526.36B
Amundi$198M$118.84+$58.0M+$16.2M-0.2%$366.88B
Cost basis is a volume-weighted estimate from accumulation periods within our 13F history; holders who built their position before our window started will show a stale basis. % above the cost basis is the unrealized gain at the current price.

Trading behavior

Smart-money alpha (lifetime, %/qtr)NEUTRAL
Holders
-0.09%
avg per quarter
Holders (ex-self)
-0.09%
excl. this stock
Buyers (this Q)
-0.10%
302 buyers · $3.56B in
Sellers (this Q)
-0.04%
339 sellers · $2.13B out
alpha coverage: 87% of $ has a lifetime-alpha record
Holder behavior on this stocksource: stock
On big dips (−10%+)
-0.2%
how holders react when this stock falls
On quiet Qs
-5.1%
−10% to +10% baseline
On rallies (+10%+)
-11.5%
how they react when this stock rises
Holders' portfolio flow this Q
+2.8%
inflows — adds are organic
Sellers' portfolio flow this Q
-0.1%
Sellers' overall flow ~ flat.
▸ Compare to holder-profile behavior (across all their stocks)
Holder dip (any stock)
-3.2%
Holder mid (any stock)
-1.6%
Holder rally (any stock)
-2.4%

Top Holders Over Time

5-year share-count history (top 10 holders by peak, incl. exited) + price

08.3M16.6M24.9M33.1M$85$101$117$133$1492021-062022-062023-062024-062025-062026-03
hover the chart for per-quarter detailprice (right axis)
LOOMIS SAYLES & CO L P5.6MFirst Eagle Investment Management, LLC5.9MFIL Ltd3.1MBANK OF AMERICA CORP /DE/2.6MBoston Partners2.9MInvesco Ltd.2.4MWELLINGTON MANAGEMENT GROUP LLP956KFIRST TRUST ADVISORS LP169KUBS ASSET MANAGEMENT AMERICAS INC2.0MBaird Financial Group, Inc.2.2M

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Analyst Coverage

Analyst Coverage
Price Targets
Last Quarter (5 analysts)$156.40-100.0%
Last Year (16 analysts)$141.19-1060.0%
Current Price$157.99
Analyst Ratings
4
20
9
Buy: 4Hold: 20Sell: 9Consensus: Hold

Corporate

Insider Trading (last 12mo)

Open-market only (Form 4 P-Purchase + S-Sale). Excludes grants, option exercises, tax withholding, gifts.
Officers & directors
Buys ($, 12mo)
$0
0 txns · 0 insiders · 0 sh
Sells ($, 12mo)
$6.40M
8 txns · 5 insiders · 49,421 sh
Recent transactions
DateSideInsiderTitleSharesPriceDollarsOwned $
2026-02-27SELLBell Blake Rofficer: President Global Business Dev10,351$144.08$1.49M$8.25M
2026-02-27SELLWall Daniel Rofficer: President and CEO6,100$145.07$885K$8.78M
2025-11-07SELLEmmert Mark Adirector5,400$135.25$730K$875K
2025-11-05SELLDickerman Jeffrey Fofficer: Senior VP/Gen Counsel/Corp Sec1,500$134.17$201K$825K
2025-09-05SELLCarlile Robert Pauldirector2,500$120.51$301K$1.09M
2025-08-19SELLEmmert Mark Adirector4,100$121.26$497K$1.44M
2025-08-07SELLDickerman Jeffrey Fofficer: Senior VP/Gen Counsel/Corp Sec1,470$118.05$174K$903K
2025-08-06SELLBell Blake Rofficer: President Global Business Dev18,000$117.89$2.12M$6.75M

Order Flow (FINRA, ~3w lag)

7.0%retail-3.2pp
30.9%dark+3.4pp
week of 2026-04-27
10%20%30%40%24-1125-0225-0525-0825-1126-0226-04retail (non-ATS)dark (ATS)
Off-exchange volume from FINRA. Retail = non-ATS (wholesaler PFOF + broker internalization). Dark = ATS (dark-pool crossing networks, institutional). Lit-exchange = remainder.

Filing Risk Analysis

Filing Risk Scores

Expeditors International: The Buyback Machine Masking Margin Compression

Overall Risk
3/10
Fraud
2/10
Dilution
1/10
Insolvency
1/10
Earnings Overstated
3/10
Hidden Liabilities
4/10
Legal
3/10
Audit Warnings
1/10
Hidden Upside
7/10
Contextually Acceptable
9/10