Stocks/DDS

DDS

Dillard's, Inc.
Consumer Cyclical·Department Stores
$590.21
$9.2B market cap
Revenue
$3.6B
Free Cash Flow
$538.4M
Rev Growth
+0.0%
FCF Margin
15.0%
P/FCF
17.1x
EV/FCF
15.5x
Fwd EV/EBITDA
--
Fair Value
--
Upside
--

Dillard's, Inc. operates retail department stores in the southeastern, southwestern, and midwestern areas of the United States. Its stores offer merchandise, including fashion apparel for women, men, and children; and accessories, cosmetics, home furnishings, and other consumer goods. As of January 29, 2022, the company operated 280 Dillard's stores, including 30 clearance centers, and an Internet store at dillards.com. It also engages in the general contracting construction activities. The comp

2-Year Price History

$561.80+39.2%
$300$400$500$600volMay 24Sep 24Jan 25May 25Sep 25Jan 26May 26

Quarterly Financials & Projections

Quarterly Waterfall ($ M)
PeriodRevEBITDAOpInNIOCFFCFCapExCashDebtSharesROICIntCovEV/EBITDA
Act2026-Q11,589270.3227.0250.6364.0346.8-17.21,417555.415.643.9%----
Act2025-Q41,989263.6206.7204.1211.2191.6-19.61,073557.615.667.8%----

Valuation & Metrics

Market Stats

Price$590.21
Market Cap$9.2B
Enterprise Value$8.4B
P/S Ratio2.6x
P/FCF17.1x
EV/FCF15.5x
FCF Margin (TTM)15.0%
FCF Yield5.8%
Dividend Yield (TTM)5.3%
Annual Dilution0.0%
CurrencyUSD

TTM Financial Snapshot

Revenue$3.6B
Net Income$454.7M
Free Cash Flow$538.4M

Revenue Growth (YoY)+0.0%
EBITDA Margin14.9%
Net Margin12.7%
FCF Margin15.0%
CapEx % of Revenue1.0%
SBC % of Revenue0.0%
ROIC55.8%
WC Change % Rev-0.1%
Interest Coverage--

Forward Outlook & Risk

Short Interest

Short % of Float--
Short Shares0.9M
Days to Cover10.0
Change (vs Prior)-2.8%
Need at least 2 settlement dates for chart

Employees

Headcount28,800
Revenue / Employee$124,236
Gross Profit / Employee$46,885

Institutional Ownership

Headline & net flow

NEUTRAL
Net flow · still filing
No float data — flow unavailable.

Ownership composition

Active
47.2%(+17.9% YoY)
295 filers
hedge / family / endowment
Retail funds
Fidelity, Schwab, 401(k)
Passive
5.8%(+1.6% YoY)
13 filers
Vanguard, iShares, SPDR
Market makers
0.4%(+0.2% YoY)
7 filers
Citadel, Susquehanna
Insiders
Form 4 — latest per insider
0%25%50%75%100%2022-062023-032023-122024-092025-062026-03
ActiveRetail fundsPassiveMarket makersRetail direct

Top holders

Fund$ valueCost basisΔ QoQΔ YoYα lifeFund AUM
Newport Trust Co$2.58B$406.85−$6.3M−$148M-0.5%$40.73B
DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LPPassive$124M$179.14−$366K−$51.2M-0.4%$480.92B
BlackRock, Inc.Passive$108M$363.15+$2.1M+$11.4M-0.2%$5.69T
UBS Group AG$95.4M$453.24+$56.5M+$87.6M-0.3%$562.11B
Allianz Asset Management GmbH$92.0M$352.60−$2.5M−$9.6M-0.2%$86.14B
VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLCPassive$85.3M$572.11+$85.3M+$85.3M$1.91T
MORGAN STANLEY$82.8M$351.62+$11.6M+$27.5M-0.3%$1.65T
RENAISSANCE TECHNOLOGIES LLC$81.3M$396.71+$12.8M+$28.9M+1.2%$63.91B
VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLCPassive$75.4M$572.11+$75.4M+$75.4M$4.04T
AQR CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC$70.8M$405.43+$5.1M+$26.1M-0.2%$218.19B
Clientfirst Wealth Management, LLC$61.8M$179.14+$0−$2.9M+2.8%$118M
Gotham Asset Management, LLC$58.6M$485.17+$16.4M+$44.3M+0.4%$32.62B
GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC$48.9M$450.60+$31.6M+$11.0M-0.2%$760.93B
BNP PARIBAS FINANCIAL MARKETS$45.7M$542.52+$26.5M+$42.9M-0.2%$149.31B
D. E. Shaw & Co., Inc.$40.2M$338.73+$28.9M+$18.6M-0.3%$118.02B
Bank of New York Mellon Corp$39.0M$401.12−$3.9M−$5.4M-0.2%$543.21B
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLCPassive$36.0M$470.59+$3.7M+$6.5M+2.3%$1.61T
STATE STREET CORPPassive$35.9M$321.70−$1.7M−$2.3M-0.2%$2.89T
WEDGE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT L L P/NC$35.1M$320.68+$3.3M+$30.8M+0.2%$5.42B
CITADEL ADVISORS LLC$31.2M$346.52+$17.8M−$8.3M-0.4%$138.22B
Cost basis is a volume-weighted estimate from accumulation periods within our 13F history; holders who built their position before our window started will show a stale basis. % above the cost basis is the unrealized gain at the current price.

Trading behavior

Smart-money alpha (lifetime, %/qtr)NEUTRAL
Holders
-0.06%
avg per quarter
Holders (ex-self)
-0.24%
excl. this stock
Buyers (this Q)
-0.07%
141 buyers · $0.55B in
Sellers (this Q)
-0.03%
87 sellers · $0.35B out
alpha coverage: 96% of $ has a lifetime-alpha record
Holder behavior on this stocksource: stock
On big dips (−10%+)
-5.5%
how holders react when this stock falls
On quiet Qs
-11.1%
−10% to +10% baseline
On rallies (+10%+)
-12.4%
how they react when this stock rises
Holders' portfolio flow this Q
+0.1%
inflows — adds are organic
Sellers' portfolio flow this Q
-1.0%
Sellers shed AUM broadly — partly forced.
▸ Compare to holder-profile behavior (across all their stocks)
Holder dip (any stock)
-1.8%
Holder mid (any stock)
-2.2%
Holder rally (any stock)
-4.6%

Top Holders Over Time

5-year share-count history (top 10 holders by peak, incl. exited) + price

01.6M3.2M4.8M6.3M$179$286$393$499$6062021-062022-062023-062024-062025-062026-03
hover the chart for per-quarter detailprice (right axis)
Newport Trust Co4.5MPacer Advisors, Inc.Alyeska Investment Group, L.P.Allianz Asset Management GmbH161KUBS Group AG167KMORGAN STANLEY145KRENAISSANCE TECHNOLOGIES LLC142KClientfirst Wealth Management, LLC108KFIRST TRUST ADVISORS LP16KBeacon Pointe Advisors, LLC

Analyst Coverage

Analyst Coverage
Price Targets
Last Quarter (2 analysts)$557.50-550.0%
Last Year (3 analysts)$525.00-1100.0%
Current Price$590.21
Analyst Ratings
2
6
5
Buy: 2Hold: 6Sell: 5Consensus: Hold

Corporate

Insider Trading (last 12mo)

Open-market only (Form 4 P-Purchase + S-Sale). Excludes grants, option exercises, tax withholding, gifts.
Officers & directors
Buys ($, 12mo)
$0
0 txns · 0 insiders · 0 sh
Sells ($, 12mo)
$693K
2 txns · 2 insiders · 1,150 sh
Recent transactions
DateSideInsiderTitleSharesPriceDollarsOwned $
2025-10-16SELLWATTS J C JRdirector750$594.60$446K$6.09M
2025-09-29SELLJohnson Chris B.officer: SENIOR VICE PRESIDENT400$617.00$247K$5.77M

Order Flow (FINRA, ~3w lag)

15.9%retail-0.6pp
29.2%dark+3.7pp
week of 2026-04-27
5%10%15%20%25%30%35%24-1125-0225-0525-0825-1126-0226-04retail (non-ATS)dark (ATS)
Off-exchange volume from FINRA. Retail = non-ATS (wholesaler PFOF + broker internalization). Dark = ATS (dark-pool crossing networks, institutional). Lit-exchange = remainder.

Filing Risk Analysis

Filing Risk Scores

Dillard’s, Inc.: Administrative Header Review Yields No Forensic Red Flags

Overall Risk
2/10
Fraud
1/10
Dilution
1/10
Insolvency
1/10
Earnings Overstated
1/10
Hidden Liabilities
1/10
Legal
1/10
Audit Warnings
1/10
Hidden Upside
1/10
Contextually Acceptable
10/10