Stocks/CBFV

CBFV

CB Financial Services, Inc.
Financial Services·Banks - Regional
$35.84
$182M market cap
Claude Rating
5/10HOLD
Revenue
$70.6M
Free Cash Flow
$15.9M
Rev Growth
+10.6%
FCF Margin
22.6%
P/FCF
11.4x
EV/FCF
10.3x
Fwd EV/EBITDA
7.8x
Fair Value
$30.00
Upside
-16.3%

CB Financial Services, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Community Bank that provides various banking products and services for individuals and businesses in southwestern Pennsylvania, West Virginia, and Ohio. The company's primary deposit products include demand deposits, NOW accounts, money market accounts, and savings accounts, as well as time deposit products. Its loan products comprise residential real estate loans, such as one- to four-family mortgage loans, home equity install

2-Year Price History

$34.49+62.4%
$20$22$24$26$28$30$32$34$36volJun 24Oct 24Jan 25May 25Sep 25Jan 26May 26

Quarterly Financials & Projections

Quarterly Waterfall ($ M)
PeriodRevEBITDAOpInNIOCFFCFCapExCashDebtSharesROICIntCovEV/EBITDA
Est2027-Q322.06.3--4.5--4.0-0.383.9----------
Est2027-Q221.86.1--4.4--3.8-0.380.0----------
Est2027-Q121.05.7--4.0--4.0-0.376.2----------
Est2026-Q421.55.9--4.2--3.0-0.372.2----------
Est2026-Q321.25.7--4.0--3.6-0.369.2----------
Est2026-Q220.85.4--3.7--3.3-0.365.6----------
Est2026-Q120.05.1--3.5--3.6-0.262.2----------
Act2026-Q120.64.64.63.93.02.8-0.255.637.85.315.1%0.8x18.7x
Est2025-Q420.54.9--3.4--3.1-0.358.6----------
Act2025-Q421.75.35.34.74.94.7-0.20.034.85.319.1%0.8x30.4x
Act2025-Q38.7-6.6-7.0-5.74.64.5-0.155.934.85.3-23.9%-1.1x25.8x
Act2025-Q219.75.24.74.04.13.9-0.364.634.75.317.1%0.8x7.3x
Act2025-Q118.62.82.31.94.03.9-0.161.334.75.58.2%0.4x8.1x
Act2024-Q420.23.53.12.51.61.3-0.3309.134.75.510.9%0.4x--
Act2024-Q320.44.54.03.23.12.2-0.9415.634.75.413.5%0.6x--
Act2024-Q219.23.93.22.7-1.2-2.4-1.2409.034.75.211.8%0.5x--
Act2024-Q119.45.85.14.23.32.3-1.0303.634.75.118.7%0.9x--
Act2023-Q48.518.918.313.0-3.4-5.1-1.7272.734.75.158.4%3.3x--
Act2023-Q318.04.03.22.79.18.9-0.3223.234.75.116.6%0.8x--
Act2023-Q217.04.23.52.81.30.2-1.1257.234.75.116.6%1.0x--
Act2023-Q116.96.05.34.27.27.0-0.2290.114.85.334.9%2.3x--
Act2022-Q415.75.95.24.25.15.1-0.0291.122.75.133.9%3.0x--
Act2022-Q314.05.64.93.93.83.6-0.2314.035.75.126.7%4.4x--
Act2022-Q212.50.70.10.12.12.0-0.1292.049.85.20.4%0.9x--
Act2022-Q112.54.53.93.13.23.0-0.2351.856.85.212.6%6.2x--
Historical Valuation

Multiples vs the company's own history — cheap or rich relative to itself? Historical fiscal years, then TTM, then forward projections (E). Forward rows hold today's price against projected earnings, so the multiple compresses if the company grows into it.

YearPriceRev GrEBITDA %EBITDAEV/EBITDAEV/FCFP/EP/S
202218.8430.7%1710.0×2.0×
202321.95+10.3%54.7%334.9×1.8×
202427.46+31.2%22.4%1811.5×1.8×
202534.60-13.3%9.7%730.4×11.9×34.1×2.4×
TTM35.84-10.0%12.0%80.0×0.0×0.0×0.0×
2026E35.84+18.2%0.3%00.0×0.0×0.0×0.0×

EBITDA in reporting-currency $M. Historical multiples use year-end market cap (split-adjusted price history); TTM & forward years use today's.

AI Analysis

LLM Evaluations

Claude5/10HOLDFV: $30.00

CBFV is a small community bank that just completed a meaningful balance sheet repositioning, swapping low-yield securities for higher-yield ones, which should boost NIM and EPS by ~$0.40 annually going forward. At ~$32/share with a 3.3% dividend yield and P/FCF of ~12x on normalized earnings, the valuation is reasonable but not compelling. The core franchise is solid with good credit quality (0.46% NPLs) and modest loan growth (6.4%), but the bank operates in low-growth rural markets, faces structural competitive pressures from larger banks and fintechs, and the dividend payout ratio exceeding 100% on reported earnings is a near-term concern. Insider selling adds caution. The stock is fairly valued for what it is — a decent community bank with limited upside catalysts but reasonable downside protection from the dividend and conservative underwriting.

Catalyst Full run-rate benefit of the securities repositioning flowing through to earnings over the next 2-3 quarters, which should bring the dividend payout ratio back below 100% and demonstrate the strategic rationale; potential for further NIM expansion if rates cooperate.
Risk Dividend sustainability — with payout ratio above 100% on reported earnings, any credit quality deterioration or NIM compression could force a dividend cut, which would be devastating for a yield-oriented shareholder base and likely trigger a 15-25% sell-off.
Trend
IMPROVING
Mgmt
5/10
Quarter
3/10
Exp. Move
-3.0%

Valuation & Metrics

Market Stats

Price$35.84
Market Cap$182M
Enterprise Value$164M
P/S Ratio2.6x
P/FCF11.4x
EV/FCF10.3x
FCF Margin (TTM)22.6%
FCF Yield8.8%
Dividend Yield (TTM)3.7%
Annual Dilution-2.8%
CurrencyUSD

TTM Financial Snapshot

Revenue$70.6M
Net Income$6.9M
Free Cash Flow$15.9M

Revenue Growth (YoY)+10.6%
EBITDA Margin12.0%
Net Margin9.7%
FCF Margin22.6%
CapEx % of Revenue1.1%
SBC % of Revenue1.1%
ROIC6.8%
WC Change % Rev-9.1%
Interest Coverage0.3x

DCF Fair Value Estimate

$29.24
-18.4% upside
Fair Enterprise Value$138M
− Net Debt$-18M
= Fair Equity$156M
Revenue Growth4.6% → 2.5%
FCF Margin22.6% → 17.0%
Discount Rate14.0%
Terminal EV/FCF10.0x

Forward Outlook & Risk

Short Interest

Short % of Float2.1%
Short Shares0.1M
Days to Cover25.9
Change (vs Prior)+0.2%
Short % Float History
2.10%+1.60pp
1.0%2.0%3.0%04-3007-1509-1511-1401-1504-30

Forward Projections & Estimates

NTM Revenue Growth+16.8%
Forward FCF Margin16.5%
Forward EBITDA Margin25.6%
Forward P/FCF13.4x
Forward EV/FCF12.1x
Forward Int. Coverage0.8x
Model Risk Score6/10
Bankruptcy Odds2%
Est. Borrow Rate5.8%
Terminal EV/FCF10.0x
LT Growth2.5%
LT FCF Margin17.0%

Employees

Headcount159
Revenue / Employee$444,182
Gross Profit / Employee$285,208
2022: 184 → 2023: 159 → 2024: 159 → 2025: 169 (-3% CAGR)

Institutional Ownership

Headline & net flow

BALANCED

In Q1 2026 so far (quarter still filing), institutions are roughly balanced — bought 1.3% of float, sold 1.1%.

Net flow · Q1 2026still filing
+0.2% of float (net)
Bought 1.3% · Sold 1.1%
77 filers reported (last quarter: 73)

Ownership composition

Active
29.2%(+0.2% YoY)
68 filers
hedge / family / endowment
Retail funds
Fidelity, Schwab, 401(k)
Passive
14.3%(+10.8% YoY)
9 filers
Vanguard, iShares, SPDR
Market makers
0.0%(-0.9% YoY)
1 filers
Citadel, Susquehanna
Insiders
6.3%
Form 4 — latest per insider
0%25%50%75%100%2022-062023-032023-122024-092025-062026-03
ActiveRetail fundsPassiveMarket makersRetail direct

Top holders

Fund$ valueCost basisΔ QoQΔ YoYα lifeFund AUM
Janney Montgomery Scott LLC$10.4M$20.47−$445K−$1.1M-0.2%$40.39B
ALLIANCEBERNSTEIN L.P.$8.9M$21.02+$135K−$6.1M-0.3%$307.70B
BlackRock, Inc.Passive$8.7M$28.12−$37K+$6.8M-0.2%$5.69T
VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLCPassive$6.6M$34.18+$6.6M+$6.6M$4.04T
M3F, Inc.$5.9M$28.03+$254K+$2.5M+1.5%$404M
MANUFACTURERS LIFE INSURANCE COMPANY, THE$5.3M$20.40−$52K−$310K-0.2%$113.45B
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLCPassive$3.6M$27.24−$29K+$1.9M+2.3%$1.61T
BRIDGEWAY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC$2.3M$21.16−$68K+$29K-2.3%$4.93B
Waldron, LP$2.1M$27.46+$0+$0-0.1%$2.56B
RENAISSANCE TECHNOLOGIES LLC$1.9M$26.57−$44K+$229K+1.2%$63.91B
STATE STREET CORPPassive$1.7M$28.75−$30K+$1.3M-0.2%$2.89T
Empowered Funds, LLC$1.3M$20.85+$0+$97K+0.2%$15.64B
DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LPPassive$1.2M$24.79−$16K+$499K-0.4%$480.92B
De Lisle Partners LLP$1.2M$21.65−$14K−$14K-0.7%$836M
NORTHERN TRUST CORPPassive$1.2M$27.98+$64K+$771K-0.2%$755.34B
Wilmington Savings Fund Society, FSB$1.1M$26.63+$0+$0+0.1%$4.20B
S&T BANK/PA$1.1M$20.42+$0+$0-0.3%$268M
VANGUARD FIDUCIARY TRUST COPassive$1.1M$34.18+$1.1M+$1.1M$395.83B
VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLCPassive$910K$34.18+$910K+$910K$1.91T
GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC$829K$30.24−$19K+$59K-0.2%$760.93B
Cost basis is a volume-weighted estimate from accumulation periods within our 13F history; holders who built their position before our window started will show a stale basis. % above the cost basis is the unrealized gain at the current price.

Trading behavior

Smart-money alpha (lifetime, %/qtr)BULLISH
Holders
-0.07%
avg per quarter
Holders (ex-self)
-0.07%
excl. this stock
Buyers (this Q)
+0.35%
20 buyers · $0.01B in
Sellers (this Q)
-0.29%
34 sellers · $0.00B out
alpha coverage: 89% of $ has a lifetime-alpha record
Holder behavior (holder profile)source: holder
On big dips (−10%+)
-3.4%
how holders react when this stock falls
On quiet Qs
-0.4%
−10% to +10% baseline
On rallies (+10%+)
-13.4%
how they react when this stock rises
Holders' portfolio flow this Q
+1.1%
inflows — adds are organic
Sellers' portfolio flow this Q
+1.4%
Sellers grew AUM elsewhere — opinionated cut of this stock.

Top Holders Over Time

5-year share-count history (top 10 holders by peak, incl. exited) + price

0383K765K1.1M1.5M$19$23$27$31$352021-062022-062023-062024-062025-062026-03
hover the chart for per-quarter detailprice (right axis)
ALLIANCEBERNSTEIN L.P.254KJanney Montgomery Scott LLC305KPetiole USA ltdM3F, Inc.171KMANUFACTURERS LIFE INSURANCE COMPANY, THE156KWaldron, LP60KENDEAVOUR CAPITAL ADVISORS INC24KRENAISSANCE TECHNOLOGIES LLC56KBRIDGEWAY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC66KFourthstone LLC10K

Analyst Coverage

Analyst Coverage
Analyst Ratings
1
2
Buy: 1Hold: 2Consensus: Hold
Consensus Estimates
QuarterRevenueEBITDANet IncEPSEPS Range# Analysts
2025 Q314M4M3M$0.65$0.65 – $0.651
2025 Q415M5M4M$0.81$0.81 – $0.821
2026 Q115M5M4M$0.69$0.67 – $0.702
2026 Q215M5M4M$0.70$0.69 – $0.712
2026 Q316M5M4M$0.76$0.76 – $0.762
2026 Q416M5M4M$0.79$0.78 – $0.791
2027 Q116M5M4M$0.79$0.79 – $0.791
2027 Q217M5M4M$0.78$0.77 – $0.781
2027 Q317M5M4M$0.84$0.84 – $0.851
2027 Q417M5M5M$0.85$0.85 – $0.861

Corporate

Executive Compensation (2023-2025)

Direct Pay$6.0M
Incentive & Other$1.8M
Total Compensation$7.8M
% of Revenue3.7%

Insider Trading (last 12mo)

Open-market only (Form 4 P-Purchase + S-Sale). Excludes grants, option exercises, tax withholding, gifts.
Officers & directors
Buys ($, 12mo)
$67K
2 txns · 2 insiders · 2,200 sh
Sells ($, 12mo)
$328K
6 txns · 5 insiders · 9,574 sh
Recent transactions
DateSideInsiderTitleSharesPriceDollarsOwned $
2026-03-05SELLCobain Stephenofficer: Chief Credit Officer1,792$34.58$62K$149K
2026-02-23SELLCobain Stephenofficer: Chief Credit Officer140$33.79$5K$146K
2026-02-23SELLEngles Amanda Lofficer: EVP and CFO54$33.79$2K$69K
2026-02-06SELLGuthrie Charles R.director, other: Vice Chairman of the Board1,913$37.35$71K$627K
2025-11-18BUYSharp Bruce A.officer: SEVP & Chief Comm Loan Officer1,000$32.80$33K$33K
2025-09-17SELLGEORGE JENNIFER Lofficer: SEVP and COO5,042$33.15$167K$407K
2025-07-30SELLLaCarte John Jdirector633$33.30$21K$1.54M
2025-05-28BUYSWIATEK JOHNdirector1,200$28.80$35K$217K

Order Flow (FINRA, ~3w lag)

10.5%retail-5.6pp
17.1%dark+4.0pp
week of 2026-04-13
0%10%20%30%40%50%24-1125-0225-0525-0825-1126-0226-04retail (non-ATS)dark (ATS)
Off-exchange volume from FINRA. Retail = non-ATS (wholesaler PFOF + broker internalization). Dark = ATS (dark-pool crossing networks, institutional). Lit-exchange = remainder.

Revenue Breakdown

Revenue Segments

By Product (2026-Q1)
Deposit Account$0.6M+20%
Financial Service, Other$0.1M+21%

Filing Risk Analysis

Filing Risk Scores

CB Financial Services, Inc.: Structural Reporting Shell with Zero Forensic Visibility

Overall Risk
3/10
Fraud
1/10
Dilution
1/10
Insolvency
1/10
Earnings Overstated
1/10
Hidden Liabilities
1/10
Legal
1/10
Audit Warnings
1/10
Hidden Upside
1/10
Contextually Acceptable
10/10

Counter-Thesis

Counter-Thesis & Recent News

📰 Recent News

In January 2026, CB Financial Services announced an 8% increase in its quarterly cash dividend to $0.28 per share (yielding approx. 3.3%). More critically, the company reported a significant expansion in Net Interest Margin (NIM) to 3.76% for Q4 2025, up from 3.13% a year prior. This was driven by a strategic balance sheet repositioning (selling low-yield securities to buy higher-yield ones) which is projected to add $0.40 to annual EPS (Source: Fintool, Business Wire).

🐻 Bear Case

The short thesis likely hinges on a reported Q4 2025 earnings miss ($0.72 EPS vs. $0.83 expected) and an alarming dividend payout ratio that recently spiked to 123%, suggesting the dividend may not be covered by current earnings. Bears also point to potential credit quality deterioration in Pennsylvania and a high P/E ratio compared to regional peers (Source: MarketBeat, TipRanks).

🚩 Red Flags

Significant insider selling occurred in March 2026, including Chief Compliance Officer Stephen Cobain and other executives unloading shares. Additionally, while the dividend was raised, the lack of immediate earnings coverage (payout ratio >100%) and a recent 9.67% price drop from a 'pivot top' on technical charts are near-term warning signs (Source: TipRanks, StockInvest.us).

⚔️ Competitive Threats

The bank faces regional pressure from a flattening yield curve and rising technology expenses required to compete with larger players. A potential slowdown in loan growth across the Pennsylvania and West Virginia markets could hinder revenue generation, especially if credit trends in the commercial real estate sector turn adverse (Source: Public.com).

💬 Customer Sentiment

Sentiment appears stable to positive on the business side; total loans grew 6.4% to $1.16 billion by year-end 2025. Low non-performing loans (0.46% of total loans) suggest a loyal, high-quality local customer base and conservative underwriting that hasn't yet been impacted by broader regional economic concerns (Source: Fintool, CB Bank).