Stocks/BUSE

BUSE

First Busey Corporation
Financial Services·Banks - Regional
$27.37
$2.3B market cap
Revenue
$545.5M
Free Cash Flow
$113.9M
Rev Growth
+0.0%
FCF Margin
20.9%
P/FCF
20.3x
EV/FCF
24.6x
Fwd EV/EBITDA
--
Fair Value
--
Upside
--

First Busey Corporation operates as the bank holding company for Busey Bank that provides retail and commercial banking products and services to individual, corporate, institutional, and governmental customers in the United States. The company operates through three segments: Banking, FirsTech, and Wealth Management. It offers customary types of demand and savings deposits; and commercial, agricultural, real estate construction, commercial and residential real estate, and consumer loans, as well

2-Year Price History

$27.08+30.8%
$20$22$24$26volJun 24Oct 24Jan 25May 25Sep 25Jan 26May 26

Quarterly Financials & Projections

Quarterly Waterfall ($ M)
PeriodRevEBITDAOpInNIOCFFCFCapExCashDebtSharesROICIntCovEV/EBITDA
Act2026-Q1267.863.763.750.051.549.1-2.5169.0662.589.114.3%0.9x--
Act2025-Q4277.888.377.560.872.264.9-7.3181.0490.189.118.8%1.1x--

Valuation & Metrics

Market Stats

Price$27.37
Market Cap$2.3B
Enterprise Value$2.8B
P/S Ratio4.2x
P/FCF20.3x
EV/FCF24.6x
FCF Margin (TTM)20.9%
FCF Yield4.9%
Dividend Yield (TTM)3.7%
Annual Dilution0.0%
CurrencyUSD

TTM Financial Snapshot

Revenue$545.5M
Net Income$110.7M
Free Cash Flow$113.9M

Revenue Growth (YoY)+0.0%
EBITDA Margin27.9%
Net Margin20.3%
FCF Margin20.9%
CapEx % of Revenue1.8%
SBC % of Revenue1.5%
ROIC16.6%
WC Change % Rev-0.2%
Interest Coverage1.0x

Forward Outlook & Risk

Short Interest

Short % of Float--
Short Shares3.3M
Days to Cover6.2
Change (vs Prior)+15.8%
Need at least 2 settlement dates for chart

Employees

Headcount1,965
Revenue / Employee$277,626
Gross Profit / Employee$198,977

Institutional Ownership

Headline & net flow

NEUTRAL
Net flow · still filing
No float data — flow unavailable.

Ownership composition

Active
34.7%(+4.8% YoY)
229 filers
hedge / family / endowment
Retail funds
Fidelity, Schwab, 401(k)
Passive
26.0%(+4.8% YoY)
11 filers
Vanguard, iShares, SPDR
Market makers
0.6%(+0.3% YoY)
6 filers
Citadel, Susquehanna
Insiders
Form 4 — latest per insider
0%25%50%75%100%2022-062023-032023-122024-092025-062026-03
ActiveRetail fundsPassiveMarket makersRetail direct

Top holders

Fund$ valueCost basisΔ QoQΔ YoYα lifeFund AUM
WELLINGTON MANAGEMENT GROUP LLP$176M$22.27−$19.2M+$134M-0.3%$533.98B
BlackRock, Inc.Passive$176M$22.97−$518K−$5.0M-0.2%$5.69T
DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LPPassive$128M$20.78+$4.9M−$743K-0.4%$480.92B
VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLCPassive$91.6M$25.02+$90.7M+$91.6M$4.04T
STATE STREET CORPPassive$78.1M$21.84+$4.2M+$19.1M-0.2%$2.89T
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLCPassive$58.5M$21.20+$4.2M+$8.0M+2.3%$1.61T
LSV ASSET MANAGEMENT$35.1M$20.78+$93K+$2.0M+0.0%$46.40B
AMERICAN CENTURY COMPANIES INC$34.0M$21.16+$3.0M−$9.7M+0.7%$193.48B
Savvy Advisors, Inc.$32.7M$24.86+$29.3M+$32.7M-0.3%$3.65B
MIRABELLA FINANCIAL SERVICES LLP$31.6M$22.31+$1.6M+$31.6M+0.9%$984M
Bank of New York Mellon Corp$28.1M$22.00−$5.1M+$16.2M-0.2%$543.21B
GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC$27.3M$22.55+$13.2M+$15.4M-0.2%$760.93B
CHARLES SCHWAB INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT INC$24.3M$20.58+$129K+$646K+0.7%$645.81B
NORTHERN TRUST CORPPassive$21.9M$21.04+$779K−$1.3M-0.2%$755.34B
FMR LLC$21.0M$23.62+$12.8M+$15.2M-0.0%$1.89T
Verition Fund Management LLC$20.2M$22.70+$4.9M+$13.3M-0.4%$9.73B
ARROWSTREET CAPITAL, LIMITED PARTNERSHIP$18.2M$21.44−$3.2M−$8.9M+0.1%$184.72B
VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLCPassive$17.9M$25.02+$17.8M+$17.9M$1.91T
MORGAN STANLEY$16.2M$21.42−$2.4M+$2.5M-0.3%$1.65T
BRIDGEWAY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC$16.0M$20.76−$7K+$1000K-2.3%$4.93B
Cost basis is a volume-weighted estimate from accumulation periods within our 13F history; holders who built their position before our window started will show a stale basis. % above the cost basis is the unrealized gain at the current price.

Trading behavior

Smart-money alpha (lifetime, %/qtr)NEUTRAL
Holders
-0.14%
avg per quarter
Holders (ex-self)
-0.14%
excl. this stock
Buyers (this Q)
-0.20%
117 buyers · $0.29B in
Sellers (this Q)
+0.24%
72 sellers · $0.07B out
alpha coverage: 91% of $ has a lifetime-alpha record
Holder behavior on this stocksource: stock
On big dips (−10%+)
-7.8%
how holders react when this stock falls
On quiet Qs
+0.2%
−10% to +10% baseline
On rallies (+10%+)
+5.1%
how they react when this stock rises
Holders' portfolio flow this Q
+1.0%
inflows — adds are organic
Sellers' portfolio flow this Q
+1.7%
Sellers grew AUM elsewhere — opinionated cut of this stock.
▸ Compare to holder-profile behavior (across all their stocks)
Holder dip (any stock)
-4.1%
Holder mid (any stock)
-2.6%
Holder rally (any stock)
-3.9%

Top Holders Over Time

5-year share-count history (top 10 holders by peak, incl. exited) + price

03.4M6.8M10.2M13.6M$17$19$21$23$252021-062022-062023-062024-062025-062026-03
hover the chart for per-quarter detailprice (right axis)
WELLINGTON MANAGEMENT GROUP LLP7.0MBusey Trust COBASSWOOD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.L.C.117KALLIANCEBERNSTEIN L.P.87KAMERICAN CENTURY COMPANIES INC1.3MLSV ASSET MANAGEMENT1.4MPlancorp, LLCSavvy Advisors, Inc.1.3MMIRABELLA FINANCIAL SERVICES LLP1.2MBank of New York Mellon Corp1.1M

Analyst Coverage

Analyst Coverage
Price Targets
Last Quarter (2 analysts)$29.00600.0%
Last Year (3 analysts)$29.00600.0%
Current Price$27.37
Analyst Ratings
4
7
Buy: 4Hold: 7Consensus: Hold

Corporate

Insider Trading (last 12mo)

Open-market only (Form 4 P-Purchase + S-Sale). Excludes grants, option exercises, tax withholding, gifts.
Officers & directors
Buys ($, 12mo)
$1.81M
21 txns · 5 insiders · 73,425 sh
Sells ($, 12mo)
$133K
7 txns · 1 insider · 5,250 sh
Recent transactions
DateSideInsiderTitleSharesPriceDollarsOwned $
2026-05-15SELLCassens Michael Daviddirector750$26.11$20K$3.67M
2026-05-12BUYBRADSHAW STANLEY Jdirector600$25.99$16K$13.15M
2026-05-04BUYPhillips Scott A.officer: Chief Accounting Officer5,000$25.90$130K$216K
2026-04-15SELLCassens Michael Daviddirector750$26.75$20K$3.77M
2026-03-19BUYBRADSHAW STANLEY Jdirector400$24.00$10K$12.05M
2026-03-16SELLCassens Michael Daviddirector750$24.92$19K$3.46M
2026-03-06BUYBRADSHAW STANLEY Jdirector1,000$24.50$25K$12.29M
2026-02-17SELLCassens Michael Daviddirector750$26.61$20K$3.71M
2026-01-15SELLCassens Michael Daviddirector750$24.24$18K$3.39M
2025-12-15SELLCassens Michael Daviddirector750$25.37$19K$3.57M
2025-12-03BUYMaddox Mikedirector, officer: President1,000$25.52$26K$1.03M
2025-11-14SELLCassens Michael Daviddirector750$22.92$17K$3.24M
2025-10-31BUYBRADSHAW STANLEY Jdirector1,500$22.31$33K$11.17M
2025-10-31BUYPhillips Scott A.officer: CAO1,350$25.64$35K$60K
2025-09-12BUYJensen Karen Mdirector3,000$24.60$74K$2.14M
2025-09-05BUYMaddox Mikedirector, officer: President7,960$25.44$203K$999K
2025-09-04BUYMaddox Mikedirector, officer: President10,000$25.52$255K$811K
2025-09-02BUYMaddox Mikedirector, officer: President21,780$25.26$550K$550K
2025-08-19BUYPhillips Scott A.officer: CAO and Interim CFO1,000$25.25$25K$25K
2025-07-31BUYBRADSHAW STANLEY Jdirector3,000$22.35$67K$11.14M

Order Flow (FINRA, ~3w lag)

11.3%retail+1.8pp
18.5%dark+1.9pp
week of 2026-04-13
10%15%20%25%30%35%24-1125-0225-0525-0825-1126-0226-04retail (non-ATS)dark (ATS)
Off-exchange volume from FINRA. Retail = non-ATS (wholesaler PFOF + broker internalization). Dark = ATS (dark-pool crossing networks, institutional). Lit-exchange = remainder.

Filing Risk Analysis

Filing Risk Scores

First Busey Corporation: Routine administrative metadata reveals stable tier-1 capital structure

Overall Risk
2/10
Fraud
1/10
Dilution
2/10
Insolvency
2/10
Earnings Overstated
1/10
Hidden Liabilities
2/10
Legal
1/10
Audit Warnings
1/10
Hidden Upside
2/10
Contextually Acceptable
10/10