Stocks/BHVN

BHVN

Biohaven Ltd.
Healthcare·Biotechnology
$11.01
$1.2B market cap
Claude Rating
3/10SELL
Revenue
$0.0M
Free Cash Flow
$-594.5M
Rev Growth
+0.0%
FCF Margin
0.0%
P/FCF
--
EV/FCF
--
Fwd EV/EBITDA
--
Fair Value
$6.50
Upside
-41.0%

Biohaven Ltd. is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company. The Company focuses on development of therapies for neurological and immunoscience diseases that can change current treatment paradigms.

2-Year Price History

$9.45-71.9%
$10$20$30$40$50volJun 24Oct 24Jan 25May 25Sep 25Jan 26May 26

Quarterly Financials & Projections

Quarterly Waterfall ($ M)
PeriodRevEBITDAOpInNIOCFFCFCapExCashDebtSharesROICIntCovEV/EBITDA
Est2027-Q40.00.0--0.0--0.0-0.0347.8----------
Est2027-Q30.00.0--0.0--0.0-0.0347.8----------
Est2027-Q20.00.0--0.0--0.0-0.0347.8----------
Est2027-Q10.00.0--0.0--0.0-0.0347.8----------
Est2026-Q40.00.0--0.0--0.0-0.0347.8----------
Est2026-Q30.00.0--0.0--0.0-0.0347.8----------
Est2026-Q20.00.0--0.0--0.0-0.0347.8----------
Est2026-Q10.00.0--0.0--0.0-0.0347.8----------
Act2026-Q10.0-128.1-130.4-130.5-149.9-149.9-0.0347.8280.3147.6-122.5%----
Act2025-Q40.0-142.7-142.7-145.6-130.7-130.7-0.0319.1278.9120.2-164.0%----
Act2025-Q30.0-172.1-169.4-173.4-145.7-145.7-0.0260.2314.2105.8-215.7%----
Act2025-Q20.0-209.7-211.7-198.2-167.9-168.2-0.2405.0291.6102.4-242.2%----
Act2025-Q10.0-219.3-221.6-221.7-165.1-165.6-0.5322.835.5101.9-400.4%----
Act2024-Q40.0-187.5-189.9-186.8-170.7-170.8-0.1486.036.6101.1-193.9%----
Act2024-Q30.0-176.2-178.2-160.3-141.3-141.9-0.6378.829.094.4-253.9%----
Act2024-Q20.0-331.8-333.8-319.8-167.8-170.8-3.0437.029.787.8-377.0%----
Act2024-Q10.0-181.8-183.2-179.5-102.6-103.1-0.4283.430.581.6-265.2%----
Act2023-Q40.0-151.8-153.7-144.8-114.9-115.4-0.5381.830.979.9-149.1%----
Act2023-Q30.0-109.0-110.6-102.6-94.8-96.1-1.3240.631.668.3-155.7%----
Act2023-Q20.0-92.2-94.0-90.4-44.4-45.0-0.6335.129.168.3-100.1%----
Act2023-Q10.0-76.1-77.8-70.5-77.6-78.4-0.7388.029.868.2-66.5%----
Act2022-Q40.0-213.1-213.4-201.1-75.4-75.7-0.3465.333.660.9-145.9%----
Act2022-Q30.0-67.3-67.6-68.9-95.6-100.1-4.550.75.239.4-336.4%----
Act2022-Q20.0-196.7-197.1-203.3-67.9-103.9-36.023.25.535.8<-999%----
Act2022-Q10.0-89.5-89.8-97.0-58.8-59.1-0.376.1634.135.8-54.0%----
Historical Valuation

Multiples vs the company's own history — cheap or rich relative to itself? Historical fiscal years, then TTM, then forward projections (E). Forward rows hold today's price against projected earnings, so the multiple compresses if the company grows into it.

YearPriceRev GrEBITDA %EBITDAEV/EBITDAEV/FCFP/EP/S
202213.88-567n/m
202342.80-429n/mn/mn/m
202437.35-877n/mn/mn/m
202511.29-744n/mn/mn/m
TTM11.01-6530.0×0.0×0.0×
2026E11.010
2027E11.010

EBITDA in reporting-currency $M. Historical multiples use year-end market cap (split-adjusted price history); TTM & forward years use today's.

AI Analysis

LLM Evaluations

Claude3/10SELLFV: $6.50

Biohaven is a high-risk pre-revenue biotech that has suffered multiple pipeline failures (opakalim MDD/BD, taldefgrobep SMA, troriluzole CRL) and now pins its future on novel degrader technology (BHV-1300, BHV-1400). While early clinical signals for BHV-1300 in Graves' disease are genuinely exciting, the investment case is severely impaired by: (1) toxic Oberland debt that captures up to 80% of future net sales and can trigger insolvency on a going-concern opinion, (2) relentless dilution (~19% annually) with share count doubling from 60M to 120M+ in three years, (3) 6-month cash runway requiring continual capital raises, (4) $4B+ in contingent milestone obligations, and (5) 24.5% short interest reflecting broad skepticism. At $10.46/share with ~$1.1B market cap and zero revenue, the stock prices in near-perfect execution on remaining programs while the Oberland structure ensures equity holders capture only residual value. This is a binary outcome where the 'house' has structural priority over common equity.

Catalyst Positive Phase 2/3 readouts for BHV-1300 in Graves' disease or BHV-1400 in IgAN could create significant upside, as could a potential takeout by a larger pharma company attracted to the degrader platform. Partnership deals on the degrader platform could also validate the technology and provide non-dilutive capital.
Risk The Oberland NPA 'death spiral' covenant: a going-concern audit opinion triggers immediate default and acceleration of $250M+ in debt, likely forcing liquidation or fire-sale. With only 6 months of cash runway and no revenue, this scenario is not remote.
Trend
DETERIORATING
Mgmt
4/10
Quarter
5/10
Exp. Move
-5.0%

Valuation & Metrics

Market Stats

Price$11.01
Market Cap$1.2B
Enterprise Value$1.1B
P/S Ratio0.0x
P/FCF--
EV/FCF--
FCF Margin (TTM)0.0%
FCF Yield-51.0%
Dividend Yield (TTM)--
Annual Dilution44.8%
CurrencyUSD

TTM Financial Snapshot

Revenue$0.0M
Net Income$-647.7M
Free Cash Flow$-594.5M

Revenue Growth (YoY)+0.0%
EBITDA Margin0.0%
Net Margin0.0%
FCF Margin0.0%
CapEx % of Revenue0.0%
SBC % of Revenue0.0%
ROIC-186.1%
WC Change % Rev0.0%
Interest Coverage--

DCF Fair Value Estimate

$0.46
-95.8% upside
Fair Enterprise Value$0M
− Net Debt$-68M
= Fair Equity$68M
Revenue Growth0.0% → 5.0%
FCF Margin0.0% → 20.0%
Discount Rate18.0%
Terminal EV/FCF15.0x

Forward Outlook & Risk

Short Interest

Short % of Float29.4%
Short Shares24.9M
Days to Cover14.4
Change (vs Prior)+4.6%
Short % Float History
29.40%+20.20pp
10.0%15.0%20.0%25.0%30.0%04-3007-1509-1511-1401-1504-30

Options

Call IV (ATM)117%
Put IV (ATM)81%
ATM Spread31.3%
Call $OI (near money)$225K
Put $OI (near money)$245K
ATM ExpiryJuly 17, 2026 (56D)
ATM Strike$9.0
Major Expirations1
Near-money chain · July 17, 2026
StrikeCall Bid/AskCall OIPut Bid/AskPut OI
$5.00$4.20/$5.307--/$2.202
$6.00$3.30/$4.4065--/$0.756
$7.50$1.90/$2.9584$0.35/$1.45170
$9.00$0.45/$3.4084$0.45/$1.40101
$10.00$0.05/$1.25239$1.35/$1.85493
$11.00--/$1.00135$1.20/$2.40126
$12.50--/$0.601,606$2.90/$4.5034
$14.00--/$0.80309$3.40/$5.904
Snapshot: 2026-05-22

Forward Projections & Estimates

NTM Revenue Growth+0.0%
Forward FCF Margin0.0%
Forward EBITDA Margin0.0%
Forward P/FCF--
Forward EV/FCF--
Forward Int. Coverage--
Model Risk Score10/10
Bankruptcy Odds30%
Est. Borrow Rate85.0%
Terminal EV/FCF15.0x
LT Growth5.0%
LT FCF Margin20.0%

Employees

Headcount256
Revenue / Employee$0
Gross Profit / Employee$-4,316
2022: 30,000 → 2023: 0 → 2024: 15,000 → 2025: 15,000 (-21% CAGR)

Cash Runway

7.0months
CRITICAL

Institutional Ownership

Headline & net flow

NET BUYING

In Q1 2026 so far (quarter still filing), institutions are net buyers — bought 37.8% of float, sold 6.2%. 5 filers moved >1% of shares (5 buying, 0 selling).

Net flow · Q1 2026still filing
+31.6% of float (net)
Bought 37.8% · Sold 6.2%
290 filers reported (last quarter: 300)

Ownership composition

Active
2.0%(-0.0% YoY)
1 filers
hedge / family / endowment
Retail funds
Fidelity, Schwab, 401(k)
Passive
0.0%(+0.0% YoY)
0 filers
Vanguard, iShares, SPDR
Market makers
0.0%(+0.0% YoY)
0 filers
Citadel, Susquehanna
Insiders
8.0%
Form 4 — latest per insider
0%25%50%75%100%2022-062023-032023-122024-092025-062026-03
ActiveRetail fundsPassiveMarket makersRetail direct

Top holders

Fund$ valueCost basisΔ QoQΔ YoYα lifeFund AUM
Knoll Capital Management, LLC$19.7M$15.62+$0+$12.7M-6.3%$180M
Cost basis is a volume-weighted estimate from accumulation periods within our 13F history; holders who built their position before our window started will show a stale basis. % above the cost basis is the unrealized gain at the current price.

Trading behavior

Smart-money alpha (lifetime, %/qtr)NEUTRAL
Holders
-5.47%
avg per quarter
Holders (ex-self)
-6.26%
excl. this stock
Buyers (this Q)
+0.00%
0 buyers · $0.00B in
Sellers (this Q)
+0.00%
0 sellers · $0.00B out
alpha coverage: 100% of $ has a lifetime-alpha record
Holder behavior on this stocksource: stock
On big dips (−10%+)
+19.1%
how holders react when this stock falls
On quiet Qs
+1.5%
−10% to +10% baseline
On rallies (+10%+)
+4.2%
how they react when this stock rises
Holders' portfolio flow this Q
-2.4%
outflows — trims may be forced
Sellers' portfolio flow this Q
+0.0%
Sellers' overall flow ~ flat.
▸ Compare to holder-profile behavior (across all their stocks)
Holder dip (any stock)
+11.0%
Holder mid (any stock)
+1.7%
Holder rally (any stock)
+6.0%

Biggest decreases this quarter

Top-5 holders · 100.0%

Knoll Capital Management, LLC--
Put / call ratio: 0.51 (-18.0% QoQ) net bullish options

Top Holders Over Time

5-year share-count history (top 10 holders by peak, incl. exited) + price

05.0M10.0M15.0M20.0M$6.30$6.55$6.80$7.05$7.302021-062021-092021-122022-032022-062022-09
hover the chart for per-quarter detailprice (right axis)
Capital World Investors842KCapital International Investors1.5MOCONNOR, A Distinct Business Unit of UBS ASSET MANAGEMENT AM3.8MHBK INVESTMENTS L P3.5MSTIFEL FINANCIAL CORP3.1MADAGE CAPITAL PARTNERS GP, L.L.C.2.3MMARSHALL WACE, LLP19KSOROS FUND MANAGEMENT LLC2.3MJANUS HENDERSON GROUP PLC550KJPMORGAN CHASE & CO2.0M

Analyst Coverage

Analyst Coverage
Price Targets
Last Quarter (3 analysts)$14.333020.0%
Last Year (9 analysts)$19.787970.0%
Current Price$11.01
Analyst Ratings
18
7
Buy: 18Hold: 7Consensus: Buy
Consensus Estimates
QuarterRevenueEBITDANet IncEPSEPS Range# Analysts
2026 Q31M0M-104M$-0.70$-0.80 – $-0.586
2026 Q41M0M-97M$-0.66$-0.66 – $-0.664
2027 Q11M0M-97M$-0.66$-0.66 – $-0.662
2027 Q21M0M-96M$-0.65$-0.65 – $-0.652
2027 Q38M0M-95M$-0.64$-0.64 – $-0.642
2027 Q412M0M-93M$-0.63$-0.63 – $-0.632
2028 Q10M0M-120M$-0.81$-0.81 – $-0.813
2028 Q23M0M-118M$-0.80$-0.80 – $-0.803
2028 Q37M0M-116M$-0.79$-0.79 – $-0.793
2028 Q415M0M-113M$-0.76$-0.76 – $-0.763

Corporate

Executive Compensation (2023-2025)

Direct Pay$31.9M
Incentive & Other$83.6M
Total Compensation$115.5M
% of Revenue0.0%

Insider Trading (last 12mo)

Open-market only (Form 4 P-Purchase + S-Sale). Excludes grants, option exercises, tax withholding, gifts.
Officers & directors
Buys ($, 12mo)
$33.14M
4 txns · 4 insiders · 4,416,999 sh
Sells ($, 12mo)
$0
0 txns · 0 insiders · 0 sh
Recent transactions
DateSideInsiderTitleSharesPriceDollarsOwned $
2025-11-17BUYClark George C.officer: VP, Chief Accounting Officer17,000$8.52$145K$170K
2025-11-13BUYBailey Gregorydirector400,000$7.50$3.00M$15.15M
2025-11-13BUYCHILDS JOHN Wdirector3,333,333$7.50$25.00M$42.40M
2025-11-13BUYCoric Vladdirector, officer: Chief Executive Officer666,666$7.50$5.00M$8.96M

Order Flow (FINRA, ~3w lag)

17.7%retail+2.9pp
28.6%dark+1.7pp
week of 2026-04-13
10%15%20%25%30%35%24-1125-0225-0525-0825-1126-0226-04retail (non-ATS)dark (ATS)
Off-exchange volume from FINRA. Retail = non-ATS (wholesaler PFOF + broker internalization). Dark = ATS (dark-pool crossing networks, institutional). Lit-exchange = remainder.

Revenue Breakdown

Revenue Segments

By Product (2022-Q2)
Product$193.9MNEW

Filing Risk Analysis

Filing Risk Scores

Biohaven Ltd.: A High-Burn Dilution Machine Tethered to Toxic Debt Covenants

Overall Risk
9/10
Fraud
4/10
Dilution
9/10
Insolvency
8/10
Earnings Overstated
2/10
Hidden Liabilities
6/10
Legal
8/10
Audit Warnings
7/10
Hidden Upside
5/10
Contextually Acceptable
3/10

Counter-Thesis

Counter-Thesis & Recent News

📰 Recent News

In Q1 2026, Biohaven reported breakthrough 'first-in-patient' data for its MoDE degrader BHV-1300, showing complete suppression of disease-causing antibodies and normalization of thyroid hormones in Graves' disease patients within weeks. Additionally, its BHV-1400 TRAP degrader demonstrated selective lowering of galactose-deficient IgA1 by up to 81%, improving kidney function in IgA nephropathy (IgAN) patients. The company successfully raised $179M in early 2026 and announced a major restructuring to reduce direct R&D spend by 60%, focusing resources on three pivotal programs (BHV-1300, BHV-1400, and opakalim). (Sources: PRNewswire, Investing.com)

🐻 Bear Case

The short thesis is driven by a string of high-profile clinical and regulatory setbacks: opakalim (BHV-7000) failed its Phase 2 primary endpoints in both Major Depressive Disorder and Bipolar Disorder in late 2025, and taldefgrobep alfa missed its primary endpoint in Spinal Muscular Atrophy. Furthermore, the FDA issued a Complete Response Letter (CRL) for troriluzole in spinocerebellar ataxia, significantly delaying a key potential revenue stream and forcing the company into a cash-preservation pivot. (Sources: Reuters, Stock Titan)

🚩 Red Flags

Significant shareholder dilution remains a primary concern, with 17.2 million new shares issued in early 2026 to shore up the balance sheet. Despite the recent capital raise, the company remains pre-revenue with a history of high cash burn and negative free cash flow. Short interest remains elevated at approximately 23.78% of the float, and the stock's price-to-book ratio of 27.2x is roughly ten times the industry average, suggesting the market is pricing in near-perfect execution for the remaining pipeline. (Sources: MarketBeat, Simply Wall St)

⚔️ Competitive Threats

Biohaven faces intense competition in the autoimmune and immunology space from established monoclonal antibody FcRn-targeting therapies. While Biohaven's small-molecule degraders (BHV-1300) aim to differentiate via subcutaneous self-administration and 'tunable' dosing, they must still prove superior long-term safety and efficacy against deep-pocketed incumbents. In the epilepsy space, opakalim faces a crowded market of existing anti-seizure medications and emerging Ion Channel modulators. (Sources: Biohaven, Seeking Alpha)

💬 Customer Sentiment

Physician and patient sentiment for the 'degrader' platform has been bolstered by rapid clinical responses; specifically, the 'normalization' of thyroid hormones in Graves' patients is viewed as a significant differentiator from existing treatments that merely manage symptoms. Analyst sentiment has also turned notably more bullish recently, with RBC Capital upgrading the stock to 'Outperform' and Goldman Sachs initiating coverage with a 'Buy' rating, citing the potential for BHV-1400 to serve as a central value driver. (Sources: Investing.com, Nasdaq)