Stocks/BANF

BANF

BancFirst Corporation
Financial Services·Banks - Regional
$110.29
$3.7B market cap
Revenue
$422.6M
Free Cash Flow
$108.3M
Rev Growth
+0.0%
FCF Margin
25.6%
P/FCF
34.2x
EV/FCF
-16.3x
Fwd EV/EBITDA
--
Fair Value
--
Upside
--

BancFirst Corporation operates as the bank holding company for BancFirst that provides a range of commercial banking services to retail customers, and small to medium-sized businesses. It operates through Metropolitan Banks, Community Banks, Pegasus Bank, and Other Financial Services segments. The company offers checking accounts, negotiable order of withdrawal accounts, savings accounts, money market accounts, sweep accounts, club accounts, individual retirement accounts, and certificates of de

2-Year Price History

$111.31+36.9%
$90$100$110$120$130volJun 24Oct 24Jan 25May 25Sep 25Jan 26May 26

Quarterly Financials & Projections

Quarterly Waterfall ($ M)
PeriodRevEBITDAOpInNIOCFFCFCapExCashDebtSharesROICIntCovEV/EBITDA
Act2026-Q1241.683.083.063.075.965.1-10.85,571101.334.035.5%1.3x--
Act2025-Q4181.079.373.659.554.843.2-11.6227.0133.733.931.4%0.7x--

Valuation & Metrics

Market Stats

Price$110.29
Market Cap$3.7B
Enterprise Value$-1.8B
P/S Ratio8.8x
P/FCF34.2x
EV/FCF-16.3x
FCF Margin (TTM)25.6%
FCF Yield2.9%
Dividend Yield (TTM)1.7%
Annual Dilution0.0%
CurrencyUSD

TTM Financial Snapshot

Revenue$422.6M
Net Income$122.5M
Free Cash Flow$108.3M

Revenue Growth (YoY)+0.0%
EBITDA Margin38.4%
Net Margin29.0%
FCF Margin25.6%
CapEx % of Revenue5.3%
SBC % of Revenue0.4%
ROIC33.5%
WC Change % Rev-101.4%
Interest Coverage0.9x

Forward Outlook & Risk

Short Interest

Short % of Float--
Short Shares1.0M
Days to Cover7.4
Change (vs Prior)+0.0%
Need at least 2 settlement dates for chart

Employees

Headcount2,135
Revenue / Employee$197,926
Gross Profit / Employee$167,613

Institutional Ownership

Headline & net flow

NEUTRAL
Net flow · still filing
No float data — flow unavailable.

Ownership composition

Active
22.6%(-0.2% YoY)
228 filers
hedge / family / endowment
Retail funds
Fidelity, Schwab, 401(k)
Passive
25.7%(+0.8% YoY)
11 filers
Vanguard, iShares, SPDR
Market makers
0.1%(-0.3% YoY)
4 filers
Citadel, Susquehanna
Insiders
Form 4 — latest per insider
0%25%50%75%100%2022-062023-032023-122024-092025-062026-03
ActiveRetail fundsPassiveMarket makersRetail direct

Top holders

Fund$ valueCost basisΔ QoQΔ YoYα lifeFund AUM
BlackRock, Inc.Passive$335M$102.91+$1.9M−$5.8M-0.2%$5.69T
KAYNE ANDERSON RUDNICK INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT LLC$281M$101.46−$2.7M+$46.9M-0.8%$34.05B
VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLCPassive$167M$108.50+$167M+$167M$1.91T
STATE STREET CORPPassive$144M$105.86−$5.5M+$1.9M-0.2%$2.89T
VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLCPassive$118M$108.50+$118M+$118M$4.04T
DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LPPassive$94.3M$87.18−$2.5M−$10.5M-0.4%$480.92B
BancFirst Trust & Investment Management$94.1M$99.58+$2.2M−$464K+1.5%$221M
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLCPassive$57.9M$97.18+$1.9M+$3.8M+2.3%$1.61T
FULLER & THALER ASSET MANAGEMENT, INC.$29.3M$87.01−$47K−$173K-0.1%$29.55B
WELLS FARGO & COMPANY/MN$29.2M$91.83−$1.3M−$1.4M-0.2%$497.71B
NORTHERN TRUST CORPPassive$26.7M$99.29+$486K−$6.7M-0.2%$755.34B
Champlain Investment Partners, LLC$24.2M$80.65−$1.9M−$12.8M-2.5%$7.75B
AMERICAN CENTURY COMPANIES INC$23.5M$112.98+$6.8M+$21.1M+0.7%$193.48B
MORGAN STANLEY$22.9M$96.42−$3.4M+$636K-0.3%$1.65T
MASSACHUSETTS FINANCIAL SERVICES CO /MA/$22.3M$108.50+$20.6M+$22.3M$297.48B
CHARLES SCHWAB INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT INC$22.2M$99.04+$1.7M+$3.1M+0.7%$645.81B
Bank of New York Mellon Corp$16.9M$90.33−$449K−$2.5M-0.2%$543.21B
VANGUARD FIDUCIARY TRUST COPassive$15.9M$108.50+$15.9M+$15.9M$395.83B
RAYMOND JAMES FINANCIAL INC$14.4M$117.37−$6K+$3.5M-0.0%$322.69B
GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC$12.2M$94.60−$1.4M−$1.7M-0.2%$760.93B
Cost basis is a volume-weighted estimate from accumulation periods within our 13F history; holders who built their position before our window started will show a stale basis. % above the cost basis is the unrealized gain at the current price.

Trading behavior

Smart-money alpha (lifetime, %/qtr)NEUTRAL
Holders
-0.41%
avg per quarter
Holders (ex-self)
-0.23%
excl. this stock
Buyers (this Q)
-0.14%
104 buyers · $0.38B in
Sellers (this Q)
-0.33%
97 sellers · $0.06B out
alpha coverage: 83% of $ has a lifetime-alpha record
Holder behavior on this stocksource: stock
On big dips (−10%+)
-3.4%
how holders react when this stock falls
On quiet Qs
-9.6%
−10% to +10% baseline
On rallies (+10%+)
+4.2%
how they react when this stock rises
Holders' portfolio flow this Q
-1.6%
outflows — trims may be forced
Sellers' portfolio flow this Q
-12.6%
Sellers shed AUM broadly — partly forced.
▸ Compare to holder-profile behavior (across all their stocks)
Holder dip (any stock)
-4.0%
Holder mid (any stock)
+0.2%
Holder rally (any stock)
-3.1%

Top Holders Over Time

5-year share-count history (top 10 holders by peak, incl. exited) + price

01.4M2.8M4.3M5.7M$79$90$102$114$1252021-062022-062023-062024-062025-062026-03
hover the chart for per-quarter detailprice (right axis)
KAYNE ANDERSON RUDNICK INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT LLC2.6MBancFirst Trust & Investment Management872KChamplain Investment Partners, LLC223KWELLS FARGO & COMPANY/MN269KFULLER & THALER ASSET MANAGEMENT, INC.270KNORGES BANKMORGAN STANLEY211KGOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC113KAMERIPRISE FINANCIAL INC41KPRINCIPAL FINANCIAL GROUP INC102K

Analyst Coverage

Analyst Coverage
Analyst Ratings
2
1
Hold: 2Sell: 1Consensus: Hold

Corporate

Insider Trading (last 12mo)

Open-market only (Form 4 P-Purchase + S-Sale). Excludes grants, option exercises, tax withholding, gifts.
Officers & directors
Buys ($, 12mo)
$0
0 txns · 0 insiders · 0 sh
Sells ($, 12mo)
$1.61M
3 txns · 2 insiders · 13,000 sh
Major holders (≥10% beneficial owners)
Buys ($, 12mo)
$0
0 txns · 0 insiders · 0 sh
Sells ($, 12mo)
$6.72M
7 txns · 1 insider · 58,217 sh
Recent transactions
DateSideInsiderTitleSharesPriceDollarsOwned $
2026-05-07SELLRAINBOLT DAVID Edirector, 10 percent owner: 9,001$115.11$1.04M$19.20M
2026-05-06SELLRAINBOLT DAVID Edirector, 10 percent owner: 6,219$115.07$716K$20.23M
2026-04-29SELLRAINBOLT DAVID Edirector, 10 percent owner: 1$115.00$115$20.93M
2026-04-28SELLRAINBOLT DAVID Edirector, 10 percent owner: 24,614$115.55$2.84M$21.03M
2026-04-27SELLRAINBOLT DAVID Edirector, 10 percent owner: 205$115.01$24K$23.76M
2026-04-24SELLRAINBOLT DAVID Edirector, 10 percent owner: 650$115.02$75K$23.79M
2026-04-23SELLRAINBOLT DAVID Edirector, 10 percent owner: 17,527$115.53$2.02M$23.97M
2026-02-10SELLFORAKER RANDYofficer: Executive Vice President3,000$119.91$360K$0
2025-08-13SELLDrummond F Forddirector: Director5,000$126.29$631K$0
2025-05-28SELLDrummond F Forddirector: Director5,000$124.12$621K$0

Order Flow (FINRA, ~3w lag)

9.9%retail-4.1pp
22.1%dark+3.2pp
week of 2026-04-13
10%20%30%24-1125-0225-0525-0825-1126-0226-04retail (non-ATS)dark (ATS)
Off-exchange volume from FINRA. Retail = non-ATS (wholesaler PFOF + broker internalization). Dark = ATS (dark-pool crossing networks, institutional). Lit-exchange = remainder.

Filing Risk Analysis

Filing Risk Scores

BancFirst Corporation: Robust Liquidity Anchors Growth Despite Escalating Real Estate Asset Quality Deterioration

Overall Risk
4/10
Fraud
2/10
Dilution
3/10
Insolvency
2/10
Earnings Overstated
4/10
Hidden Liabilities
3/10
Legal
2/10
Audit Warnings
3/10
Hidden Upside
6/10
Contextually Acceptable
8/10