Stocks/AQN

AQN

Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp.
Utilities·Renewable Utilities
$5.89
$4.5B market cap
Revenue
$2.5B
Free Cash Flow
$-110.2M
Rev Growth
+11.7%
FCF Margin
-4.4%
P/FCF
--
EV/FCF
--
Fwd EV/EBITDA
--
Fair Value
--
Upside
--

Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp., through its subsidiaries, owns and operates a portfolio of regulated and non-regulated generation, distribution, and transmission utility assets. The company operates through two segments, Regulated Services Group and Renewable Energy Group. The Regulated Services Group segment operates a portfolio of rate-regulated utilities located in the United States, Canada, Chile, and Bermuda. Its utilities provide distribution services to approximately 1,093,000 customer

2-Year Price History

$5.97+3.8%
$4.5$5.0$5.5$6.0$6.5volMay 24Sep 24Jan 25May 25Sep 25Jan 26May 26

Quarterly Financials & Projections

Quarterly Waterfall ($ M)
PeriodRevEBITDAOpInNIOCFFCFCapExCashDebtSharesROICIntCovEV/EBITDA
Act2026-Q1773.5277.1170.485.042.1-85.1-127.255.76,708772.97.9%3.9x11.9x
Act2025-Q4630.7229.7114.121.0178.8-44.8-223.632.66,531775.75.9%2.2x11.4x
Act2025-Q3582.7252.1149.738.998.6-52.2-150.862.26,435772.47.1%3.5x12.8x
Act2025-Q2527.8199.564.824.1260.071.8-188.154.36,329772.43.4%2.3x12.2x
Act2025-Q1692.4270.4178.996.873.7-148.3-221.972.26,322770.69.3%3.5x9.1x
Act2024-Q4584.8120.5105.9-186.449.2-215.6-264.834.86,699790.33.8%1.3x11.0x
Act2024-Q3573.2249.8111.1-1,30667.0-116.1-183.164.37,476769.75.1%2.7x9.3x
Act2024-Q2515.3435.385.5200.7235.330.9-204.5131.68,293704.02.3%3.8x13.2x
Act2024-Q1646.2152.9143.6-89.1130.2-81.3-211.686.39,090689.65.8%1.7x33.6x
Act2023-Q4666.8389.796.3186.3205.3-134.4-339.725.17,500697.44.5%5.0x15.7x
Act2023-Q3564.8-26.3125.3-174.6131.3-145.1-276.494.88,367689.15.4%-0.3x32.6x
Act2023-Q2627.9-111.593.7-253.2264.716.0-248.7100.38,083687.94.1%-1.2x32.9x
Act2023-Q1778.6479.3142.5270.134.2-135.5-169.861.07,849690.25.1%5.8x19.8x
Act2022-Q4738.591.318.6-74.4211.815.1-196.757.67,512678.60.8%1.1x39.5x
Act2022-Q3664.4-41.4134.9-195.297.9-205.3-303.2114.37,705678.65.9%-0.6x--
Act2022-Q2619.497.7107.0-33.4134.3-111.4-245.885.07,455674.74.7%1.5x--
Act2022-Q1733.2246.1137.391.0168.3-163.5-331.793.27,191678.25.6%4.3x--
Historical Valuation

Multiples vs the company's own history — cheap or rich relative to itself? Historical fiscal years, then TTM, then forward projections (E). Forward rows hold today's price against projected earnings, so the multiple compresses if the company grows into it.

YearPriceRev GrEBITDA %EBITDAEV/EBITDAEV/FCFP/EP/S
20225.5114.3%39439.5×n/mn/m2.9×
20235.66-4.3%27.7%73115.7×n/m139.1×1.5×
20244.24-12.1%41.3%95911.0×n/mn/m1.7×
20256.15+4.9%39.1%95211.4×n/m24.3×1.8×
TTM5.89+6.3%38.1%9580.0×0.0×0.0×0.0×

EBITDA in reporting-currency $M. Historical multiples use year-end market cap (split-adjusted price history); TTM & forward years use today's.

Valuation & Metrics

Market Stats

Price$5.89
Market Cap$4.5B
Enterprise Value$11.2B
P/S Ratio1.8x
P/FCF--
EV/FCF--
FCF Margin (TTM)-4.4%
FCF Yield-2.4%
Dividend Yield (TTM)4.4%
Annual Dilution0.3%
CurrencyUSD

TTM Financial Snapshot

Revenue$2.5B
Net Income$169.0M
Free Cash Flow$-110.2M

Revenue Growth (YoY)+11.7%
EBITDA Margin38.1%
Net Margin6.7%
FCF Margin-4.4%
CapEx % of Revenue27.4%
SBC % of Revenue0.1%
ROIC6.1%
WC Change % Rev0.4%
Interest Coverage2.9x

Forward Outlook & Risk

Short Interest

Short % of Float1.1%
Short Shares8.8M
Days to Cover2.7
Change (vs Prior)+6.5%
Short % Float History
1.10%-2.20pp
1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%04-3007-1509-1511-1401-1504-30

Options

Call IV (ATM)--
Put IV (ATM)--
ATM Spread4.2%
Call $OI (near money)$286K
Put $OI (near money)$13K
ATM ExpiryJuly 17, 2026 (56D)
ATM Strike$5.0
Major Expirations2
Near-money chain · July 17, 2026
StrikeCall Bid/AskCall OIPut Bid/AskPut OI
$2.50$2.60/$4.707--/$1.251
$5.00$0.85/$1.103,105--/$0.5516
$7.50--/$0.101,606$0.35/$2.8063
$10.00--/$1.25146$3.50/$4.705
$12.50--/$0.0580$5.30/$7.900
Snapshot: 2026-05-22

Employees

Headcount3,786
Revenue / Employee$664,219
Gross Profit / Employee$390,070
2022: 0 → 2023: 0 → 2024: 0 → 2025: 0

Cash Runway

6.1months
CRITICAL

Institutional Ownership

Headline & net flow

NET BUYING

In Q1 2026 so far (quarter still filing), institutions are net buyers — bought 11.1% of float, sold 6.4%. 3 filers moved >1% of shares (2 buying, 1 selling).

Net flow · Q1 2026still filing
+4.7% of float (net)
Bought 11.1% · Sold 6.4%
256 filers reported (last quarter: 251)

Ownership composition

Active
63.3%(+16.5% YoY)
230 filers
hedge / family / endowment
Retail funds
Fidelity, Schwab, 401(k)
Passive
6.4%(+1.2% YoY)
11 filers
Vanguard, iShares, SPDR
Market makers
0.1%(+0.1% YoY)
6 filers
Citadel, Susquehanna
Insiders
Form 4 — latest per insider
0%25%50%75%100%2022-062023-032023-122024-092025-062026-03
ActiveRetail fundsPassiveMarket makersRetail direct

Top holders

Fund$ valueCost basisΔ QoQΔ YoYα lifeFund AUM
EdgePoint Investment Group Inc.$499M$5.99−$1.6M+$240M-0.3%$12.48B
Starboard Value LP$351M$6.19−$38.7M−$56.8M-0.8%$4.57B
FIL Ltd$233M$5.30−$66.8M−$23.5M+0.2%$128.59B
VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLCPassive$137M$6.14+$137M+$137M$4.04T
ROYAL BANK OF CANADA$126M$6.87+$14.6M−$51.5M-0.2%$526.36B
BANK OF MONTREAL /CAN/$123M$7.86−$3.4M+$16.9M-0.1%$234.58B
ARIEL INVESTMENTS, LLC$121M$5.43+$22.8M+$77.9M-0.4%$8.93B
PRINCIPAL FINANCIAL GROUP INC$83.5M$6.16+$9.6M+$83.5M-0.5%$186.29B
BRITISH COLUMBIA INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT Corp$81.5M$5.42+$1.4M+$1.1M+1.3%$16.89B
Clearbridge Investments, LLC$78.8M$6.14+$78.8M+$78.8M-0.2%$114.75B
Mitsubishi UFJ Trust & Banking Corp$76.5M$6.14+$77.7M+$76.5M-0.3%$40.56B
BANK OF NOVA SCOTIA$48.6M$8.47−$14.4M−$11.2M-0.1%$56.56B
GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC$47.8M$5.94+$12.8M−$27.1M-0.2%$760.93B
Neuberger Berman Group LLC$47.6M$6.04+$19.6M+$47.6M-0.3%$131.37B
DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LPPassive$47.4M$5.46+$887K+$11.6M-0.4%$480.92B
ARROWSTREET CAPITAL, LIMITED PARTNERSHIP$44.9M$5.41+$20.7M+$3.8M+0.1%$184.72B
MORGAN STANLEY$43.5M$7.33+$18.4M+$25.6M-0.3%$1.65T
VANGUARD FIDUCIARY TRUST COPassive$41.5M$6.14+$41.6M+$41.5M$395.83B
Legal & General Group Plc$40.1M$5.38−$2.2M−$6.8M-0.1%$432.24B
PRIVATE MANAGEMENT GROUP INC$39.1M$4.61−$435K−$1.2M-0.5%$3.47B
Cost basis is a volume-weighted estimate from accumulation periods within our 13F history; holders who built their position before our window started will show a stale basis. % above the cost basis is the unrealized gain at the current price.

Trading behavior

Smart-money alpha (lifetime, %/qtr)NEUTRAL
Holders
-0.19%
avg per quarter
Holders (ex-self)
-0.17%
excl. this stock
Buyers (this Q)
-0.07%
120 buyers · $0.66B in
Sellers (this Q)
-0.12%
83 sellers · $0.33B out
alpha coverage: 93% of $ has a lifetime-alpha record
Holder behavior on this stocksource: stock
On big dips (−10%+)
-10.5%
how holders react when this stock falls
On quiet Qs
-20.5%
−10% to +10% baseline
On rallies (+10%+)
-21.0%
how they react when this stock rises
Holders' portfolio flow this Q
-0.5%
outflows — trims may be forced
Sellers' portfolio flow this Q
-3.8%
Sellers shed AUM broadly — partly forced.
▸ Compare to holder-profile behavior (across all their stocks)
Holder dip (any stock)
-1.7%
Holder mid (any stock)
-3.2%
Holder rally (any stock)
-8.4%

Top Holders Over Time

5-year share-count history (top 10 holders by peak, incl. exited) + price

065.2M130.3M195.5M260.7M$4.24$6.28$8.31$10$122021-062022-062023-062024-062025-062026-03
hover the chart for per-quarter detailprice (right axis)
BANK OF MONTREAL /CAN/20.2MROYAL BANK OF CANADA20.6MEdgePoint Investment Group Inc.81.5MStarboard Value LP57.2MFIL Ltd38.1MTORONTO DOMINION BANK3.7MTD ASSET MANAGEMENT INC2.6MBANK OF AMERICA CORP /DE/3.6MBANK OF NOVA SCOTIA7.9MCIBC WORLD MARKET INC.2.7M

Analyst Coverage

Analyst Coverage
Price Targets
Last Quarter (4 analysts)$6.501040.0%
Last Year (7 analysts)$6.711390.0%
Current Price$5.89
Analyst Ratings
3
9
Buy: 3Hold: 9Sell: 1Consensus: Hold
Consensus Estimates
QuarterRevenueEBITDANet IncEPSEPS Range# Analysts
2025 Q3599M321M49M$0.06$0.05 – $0.077
2025 Q4607M325M37M$0.05$0.05 – $0.066
2026 Q1714M383M88M$0.11$0.09 – $0.146
2026 Q2588M315M38M$0.05$0.04 – $0.056
2026 Q3665M356M74M$0.10$0.09 – $0.106
2026 Q4722M387M70M$0.09$0.09 – $0.094
2027 Q1763M409M108M$0.14$0.14 – $0.142
2027 Q2564M302M48M$0.06$0.06 – $0.062
2027 Q3662M355M74M$0.10$0.09 – $0.102
2027 Q4679M364M76M$0.10$0.10 – $0.102

Corporate

Order Flow (FINRA, ~3w lag)

36.8%retail+6.1pp
13.5%dark-0.4pp
week of 2026-04-13
10%20%30%40%50%60%70%24-1125-0225-0525-0825-1126-0226-04retail (non-ATS)dark (ATS)
Off-exchange volume from FINRA. Retail = non-ATS (wholesaler PFOF + broker internalization). Dark = ATS (dark-pool crossing networks, institutional). Lit-exchange = remainder.

Revenue Breakdown

Revenue Segments

By Product (2023-Q2)
Regulated Electricity$326.8MNEW
Regulated Gas$109.5MNEW
Regulated Water$95.9MNEW
Non-Regulated Energy$71.7MNEW
Other Revenue$23.9MNEW
By Geography (2023-Q2)
UNITED STATES$503.8MNEW
International, Excluding Canada$86.3MNEW
CANADA$37.8MNEW