Stocks/Funds/CIK 2007407

Expect Equity LLC

Quarterly 13F filings · Latest period 2026-03-31 · CIK 2007407
Assets
$104M
+17.3% YoY
Holdings
48
Lifetime alpha vs market
+4.56% annual
Average hold time
1.2 yr
median 1.5 yr

Quarterly history

Cum return +19% vs S&P +13% · α +6% lifetimeAUM $104M · peak $104MFlow $-2M (-2%)2024-122025-032025-062025-092025-122026-03
AUM ($B)fundS&P 500(gap = α)/ Flow in/out

Behavior signals (lifetime)

Dip response
+8.28%
adds when stocks drop
when a holding falls −10%+
Middle response
+0.47%
steady accumulation
Rally response
-10.30%
trims into rallies
when a holding rises +10%+

Top positions · 30

Ticker$ value% portYoYHold time
MKSIMKS Inc.$4M4.1%+188.8%1.5 yr
COLBColumbia Banking System,$4M3.8%+16.1%1.5 yr
FHNFirst Horizon Corporatio$4M3.7%+20.6%1.5 yr
ATIATI Inc.$4M3.6%+179.6%0.8 yr
CACICACI International Inc$4M3.5%+48.2%1.3 yr
FLSFlowserve Corporation$4M3.4%+52.2%1.5 yr
OSKOshkosh Corporation$3M3.3%+59.0%1.5 yr
SMSM Energy Company$3M2.9%+8.9%0.3 yr
CONConcentra Group Holdings$3M2.8%+0.0%1.3 yr
MODModine Manufacturing Com$3M2.7%+182.4%1.5 yr
CUZCousins Properties Incor$3M2.7%-21.1%1.5 yr
LYTSLSI Industries Inc.$3M2.6%+10.5%1.5 yr
MAMAMama's Creations, Inc.$3M2.6%+135.6%1.5 yr
ROCKGibraltar Industries, In$3M2.4%-32.0%1.5 yr
SAROStandardAero, Inc.$3M2.4%-3.0%0.8 yr

Portfolio composition (YoY)

Industry mix
Hardware, Equipment & Parts11.9%+1.1pp$12M
Industrial - Machinery7.7%-1.1pp$8M
Banks - Regional7.5%+0.8pp$8M
Packaged Foods5.6%-2.4pp$6M
Medical - Instruments & Supplies5.1%+3.8pp$5M
Aerospace & Defense4.8%+1.7pp$5M
Information Technology Services4.5%+0.1pp$5M
Medical - Devices3.7%-1.9pp$4M
Steel3.7%+1.2pp$4M
Manufacturing - Metal Fabrication3.6%+2.8pp$4M
Country
US97.5%+3.7pp
GB1.3%-1.2pp
Unknown1.2%-2.5pp
Top 5: 18.7% · Top 10: 33.8% · Top 25: 69.2%

Winners

TickerPrev $PnLYoY %
TTMI$2M+0.01B375.0%
MKSI$2M+0.00B188.8%
CECO$2M+0.00B161.3%
MOD$2M+0.00B182.4%
MAMA$2M+0.00B135.6%

Losers

TickerPrev $PnLYoY %
CUZ$4M-0.00B-21.1%
ROCK$2M-0.00B-32.0%
LNTH$3M-0.00B-22.3%
OPCH$2M-0.00B-23.0%
HAE$1M-0.00B-11.3%

Top buys this quarter · 15

SM SM Energy Companynew+$3M
ITRI Itron, Inc.new+$1M
HQY HealthEquity, Inc.new+$1M
INFU InfuSystem Holdings, Inc.new+$1M
AVY Avery Dennison Corporation+$1M
EWBC East West Bancorp, Inc.+$1M
SN SharkNinja, Inc.+$1M
ROCK Gibraltar Industries, Inc.+$3M
RDNT RadNet, Inc.+$0M
CACI CACI International Inc+$0M

Top sells this quarter · 15

HAS Hasbro, Inc.exit$2M
NOG Northern Oil and Gas, Inc.exit$2M
THG The Hanover Insurance Group, Iexit$2M
CTLP Cantaloupe, Inc.exit$1M
MKSI MKS Inc.$4M
CECO CECO Environmental Corp.$1M
VSEC VSE Corporation$1M
MOD Modine Manufacturing Company$2M
LAKE Lakeland Industries, Inc.$0M
ATI ATI Inc.$3M

Quarterly history (TTM returns)

PeriodAUM# PosReturn (1yr)SPY (1yr)Alpha (1yr)Flow
2026-03-31$104M48+27.83%+17.59%+10.24%-0.00B
2025-12-31$103M47+15.73%+17.72%-1.99%-0.00B
2025-09-30$102M49+8.13%+8.12%+0.01%+0.00B
2025-06-30$94M47+10.25%+10.78%-0.53%-0.00B
2025-03-31$89M47-6.89%-4.27%-2.62%-0.00B
2024-12-31$96M45