Stocks/Funds/CIK 1442056

CONFLUENCE INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT LLC

long-term holder
Quarterly 13F filings · Latest period 2026-03-31 · CIK 1442056
Assets
$6.44B
-7.2% YoY
Holdings
283
Lifetime alpha vs market
-1.59% annual
Average hold time
5.3 yr
median 4.8 yr

Quarterly history

Cum return +216% vs S&P +272% · α -56% lifetimeAUM $6.4B · peak $7.5BFlow $-389M (-6%)2016-062017-122019-062020-122022-062023-122025-062026-03
AUM ($B)fundS&P 500(gap = α)/ Flow in/out

Behavior signals (lifetime)

Dip response
-0.77%
trims when stocks drop
when a holding falls −10%+
Middle response
+0.76%
steady accumulation
Rally response
-1.03%
trims into rallies
when a holding rises +10%+

Top positions · 30

Ticker$ value% portYoYHold time
SGOViShares 0-3 Month Treasu$177M2.7%2.5 yr
ADIAnalog Devices, Inc.$172M2.7%+60.2%10.5 yr
LMTLockheed Martin Corporat$163M2.5%+39.0%10.5 yr
CVXChevron Corporation$160M2.5%+29.2%10.5 yr
SNASnap-on Incorporated$158M2.5%+10.7%6.5 yr
CBChubb Limited$157M2.4%+9.3%10.3 yr
HSYThe Hershey Company$144M2.2%+25.3%4.3 yr
WECWEC Energy Group, Inc.$143M2.2%+9.8%3.5 yr
LINLinde plc$140M2.2%+7.9%3.3 yr
ETREntergy Corporation$138M2.1%+35.0%7.3 yr
FASTFastenal Company$138M2.1%+22.1%10.5 yr
SOThe Southern Company$137M2.1%+8.4%10.5 yr
MDLZMondelez International, $122M1.9%-13.0%1.0 yr
GILDGilead Sciences, Inc.$120M1.9%+27.7%8.3 yr
CSCOCisco Systems, Inc.$120M1.9%+28.1%6.3 yr

Portfolio composition (YoY)

Industry mix
Asset Management8.8%+0.2pp$567M
Regulated Electric6.5%+0.4pp$419M
Insurance - Property & Casualty5.8%-0.4pp$372M
Asset Management - Bonds5.6%-1.0pp$364M
Food Confectioners4.1%+2.4pp$265M
Chemicals - Specialty3.9%+0.0pp$249M
Industrial - Machinery3.7%+0.5pp$238M
Semiconductors3.5%+1.0pp$222M
Household & Personal Products3.4%-0.5pp$222M
Banks - Diversified3.0%+0.2pp$192M
Country
US87.9%-2.5pp
GB3.8%-0.2pp
CH2.5%+0.1pp
Unknown2.2%+1.0pp
IE1.4%+1.0pp
NL0.7%+0.1pp
BM0.5%-0.0pp
CA0.3%+0.2pp
Top 5: 12.9% · Top 10: 24.1% · Top 25: 50.3%

Winners

TickerPrev $PnLYoY %
ADI$127M+0.08B60.2%
LMT$135M+0.05B39.0%
NTRS$110M+0.04B41.1%
ETR$119M+0.04B35.0%
CVX$123M+0.03B29.2%

Losers

TickerPrev $PnLYoY %
PAYX$164M-0.06B-38.2%
BR$148M-0.05B-31.8%
PGR$161M-0.04B-25.5%
FNF$144M-0.04B-26.0%
DEO$124M-0.03B-27.1%

Top buys this quarter · 15

MDLZ Mondelez International, Inc.+$21M
RLI RLI Corp.+$21M
DEO Diageo plc+$19M
MORN Morningstar, Inc.+$18M
CLX The Clorox Company+$16M
TREX Trex Company, Inc.new+$14M
DOW Dow Inc.+$12M
PAYC Paycom Software, Inc.+$50M
STZ Constellation Brands, Inc.+$9M
APD Air Products and Chemicals, In+$8M

Top sells this quarter · 15

NTRS Northern Trust Corporation$57M
KEYS Keysight Technologies, Inc.$44M
TJX The TJX Companies, Inc.$21M
ADI Analog Devices, Inc.$159M
MKC McCormick & Company, Incorporaexit$14M
SNA Snap-on Incorporated$12M
WEC WEC Energy Group, Inc.$140M
DLTR Dollar Tree, Inc.$10M
CB Chubb Limited$9M
LMT Lockheed Martin Corporation$138M

Quarterly history (TTM returns)

PeriodAUM# PosReturn (1yr)SPY (1yr)Alpha (1yr)Flow
2026-03-31$6.44B283+6.13%+17.59%-11.46%-0.39B
2025-12-31$6.67B296+5.69%+17.72%-12.03%-0.24B
2025-09-30$7.01B294+4.41%+17.52%-13.10%-0.34B
2025-06-30$7.08B287+11.13%+14.94%-3.81%+0.04B
2025-03-31$6.94B293+5.87%+8.30%-2.43%-0.41B
2024-12-31$7.21B299+11.69%+24.89%-13.19%-0.08B
2024-09-30$7.48B298+26.50%+36.04%-9.54%-0.17B
2024-06-30$6.93B299+10.09%+24.49%-14.40%-0.25B
2024-03-31$7.44B296+18.54%+29.62%-11.08%-0.17B
2023-12-31$7.07B294+13.73%+26.18%-12.44%-0.05B
2023-09-30$6.46B290+15.18%+21.57%-6.39%-0.14B
2023-06-30$6.86B298+13.46%+19.42%-5.97%-0.19B
2023-03-31$6.79B301-3.02%-7.82%+4.80%-0.12B
2022-12-31$6.70B305-10.32%-18.17%+7.86%+0.01B
2022-09-30$5.99B298-10.85%-15.51%+4.66%-0.08B
2022-06-30$6.42B310-5.31%-10.62%+5.31%+0.06B